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XRT - ETF AI Analysis

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XRT

SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
XRT, the SPDR S&P Retail ETF, has a solid overall rating driven mainly by strong performers like Ulta Beauty, Build-A-Bear Workshop, and Pricesmart, which benefit from robust financial results, positive earnings commentary, and generally supportive technical trends. The fund’s score is held back somewhat by weaker names such as Camping World and Bath & Body Works, where financial stress, high leverage, and bearish technical signals create concerns. The main risk factor is that many holdings face retail-specific pressures like competitive intensity, valuation concerns, and occasional bearish price trends, which can make the ETF sensitive to shifts in consumer spending and market sentiment.
Positive Factors
Broad Retail Diversification
The ETF spreads its investments across many different retail companies, so it is not overly dependent on any single stock.
Strong Performance From Key Holdings
Several of the top positions, such as Camping World, CarMax, and Casey’s General, have shown strong gains this year, helping support the fund’s overall results.
Solid Recent Performance Trend
The fund has delivered positive returns over the past month, three months, and year-to-date, indicating steady recent momentum in the retail segment.
Negative Factors
Heavy U.S. Focus
With almost all assets in U.S. companies, the ETF offers little geographic diversification and is highly tied to the U.S. economy.
Concentration in Consumer Cyclical Sector
A large majority of the portfolio is in consumer cyclical stocks, which can be more sensitive to economic slowdowns and changes in consumer spending.
Moderate Expense Ratio
The fund’s expense ratio is not especially low, meaning fees could modestly reduce long-term returns compared with cheaper index ETFs.

XRT vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

XRT Summary

The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) is an investment fund that follows the S&P Retail Select Industry Index, focusing on U.S. retail companies. It holds a wide mix of stores and brands that sell directly to shoppers, both online and in physical locations. Well-known holdings include Target and Dollar General, along with many smaller specialty retailers. Someone might invest in XRT to bet on the overall growth of U.S. shopping and consumer spending, while spreading money across many different retailers. A key risk is that it can rise or fall sharply with changes in consumer spending and the retail sector.
How much will it cost me?The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) has an expense ratio of 0.35%, which means you’ll pay $3.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This expense ratio is slightly higher than average for ETFs because it is passively managed but follows a specialized index focused on the retail sector, which can involve higher costs due to its unique equal-weighted strategy.
What would affect this ETF?The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) could benefit from positive consumer spending trends, advancements in e-commerce, and the growth of omnichannel retailing, which align with its focus on the U.S. retail sector. However, it may face challenges from rising interest rates, which can reduce consumer discretionary spending, and economic slowdowns that could negatively impact retail sales. Regulatory changes or shifts in trade policies could also influence the performance of its top holdings, such as Walmart and Etsy.

XRT Top 10 Holdings

XRT is very much a U.S. retail story, and lately its winners are doing the heavy lifting. Beauty and specialty names like Ulta and Victoria’s Secret are rising, helping to brighten the fund’s overall tone, while steady performers such as Dollar General, Target, and Casey’s General Stores give it a more defensive backbone across discount and convenience retail. PriceSmart adds a bit of international flavor but still ties back to consumer spending. The main drag comes from Camping World, which has been lagging and slightly dulling the fund’s momentum.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Camping World Holdings1.81%$8.77M$1.35B-42.88%
44
Neutral
Pricesmart1.67%$8.08M$4.38B56.33%
77
Outperform
Casey's General1.66%$8.04M$22.48B43.80%
68
Neutral
eBay1.66%$8.01M$41.23B35.18%
70
Outperform
BuildABear Workshop1.65%$7.96M$772.61M40.95%
76
Outperform
Dollar General1.63%$7.90M$31.57B101.84%
73
Outperform
CarMax1.60%$7.75M$6.32B-47.99%
61
Neutral
Costco1.58%$7.64M$417.35B-4.04%
72
Outperform
Target1.58%$7.62M$47.76B-23.52%
70
Neutral
AutoZone1.57%$7.61M$61.37B10.57%
63
Neutral

XRT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
86.48
Negative
100DMA
85.32
Positive
200DMA
81.36
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Positive
RSI
41.54
Neutral
STOCH
9.35
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XRT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 88.82, equal to the 50-day MA of 86.48, and equal to the 200-day MA of 81.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.35 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for XRT.

XRT Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$489.35M0.35%
$991.43M0.19%
$974.47M0.38%
$316.72M0.61%
$255.94M0.57%
$228.28M0.40%
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XRT
SPDR S&P Retail ETF
86.33
8.15
10.42%
SOXQ
Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF
IHE
iShares U.S. Pharmaceuticals ETF
FXD
First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund
PEJ
Invesco Dynamic Leisure & Entertainment ETF
RSPD
Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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