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XRT - AI Analysis

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XRT

SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$90.00
The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) has a solid overall rating, reflecting a mix of strengths and challenges among its holdings. Strong performers like Pricesmart and Boot Barn contribute positively with robust financial performance, strategic growth plans, and bullish momentum. However, weaker holdings such as RealReal and National Vision Holdings, which face significant financial sustainability issues and valuation concerns, slightly weigh down the fund's rating. A key risk factor is the ETF's exposure to the retail sector, which can be sensitive to economic cycles and consumer spending trends.
Positive Factors
Strong Top Holdings
Several top holdings, such as Etsy and National Vision Holdings, have delivered strong year-to-date performance, supporting the ETF's overall returns.
Sector Focus on Consumer Cyclical
The ETF's heavy exposure to consumer cyclical stocks positions it to benefit from economic growth and increased consumer spending.
Reasonable Expense Ratio
The ETF charges a relatively low expense ratio, making it cost-effective compared to many actively managed funds.
Negative Factors
High Concentration in U.S. Market
With nearly all assets invested in U.S. companies, the ETF lacks geographic diversification and is sensitive to domestic market conditions.
Underperforming Holdings
Some holdings, such as Victoria's Secret and Academy Sports and Outdoors, have struggled year-to-date, which could drag on overall performance.
Sector Overweight Risk
The ETF's heavy reliance on consumer cyclical stocks, at over 75% of the portfolio, increases vulnerability to downturns in this sector.

XRT vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

XRT Summary

The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) is an investment fund that focuses on the US retail sector, including both online and physical stores. It follows the S&P Retail Select Industry Index, which gives equal weight to a mix of well-known companies like Walmart and Etsy, as well as smaller, emerging players. This ETF is a good option for investors who want to benefit from the growth and innovation in consumer spending and shopping trends. However, new investors should be aware that the fund’s performance can fluctuate with changes in consumer behavior and the overall economy.
How much will it cost me?The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) has an expense ratio of 0.35%, which means you’ll pay $3.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This expense ratio is slightly higher than average for ETFs because it is passively managed but follows a specialized index focused on the retail sector, which can involve higher costs due to its unique equal-weighted strategy.
What would affect this ETF?The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) could benefit from positive consumer spending trends, advancements in e-commerce, and the growth of omnichannel retailing, which align with its focus on the U.S. retail sector. However, it may face challenges from rising interest rates, which can reduce consumer discretionary spending, and economic slowdowns that could negatively impact retail sales. Regulatory changes or shifts in trade policies could also influence the performance of its top holdings, such as Walmart and Etsy.

XRT Top 10 Holdings

The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) is a snapshot of the U.S. retail sector, blending established names like Walmart and Etsy with emerging players such as RealReal. Walmart’s steady performance and strategic initiatives provide a solid foundation for the fund, while Etsy’s mixed results reflect challenges in profitability despite innovation in personalization. On the flip side, Academy Sports and Outdoors is lagging, weighed down by increased expenses and weaker consumer traffic. With a strong tilt toward consumer cyclical stocks, XRT captures the pulse of shifting shopping habits but faces headwinds from uneven performance across its holdings.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
RealReal1.95%$8.52M$1.42B304.28%
54
Neutral
Victoria's Secret1.85%$8.07M$2.90B25.02%
70
Outperform
Etsy1.78%$7.75M$6.46B35.88%
54
Neutral
ODP1.74%$7.56M$835.43M-10.65%
64
Neutral
National Vision Holdings1.63%$7.08M$2.14B165.42%
54
Neutral
Macy's1.59%$6.93M$5.25B26.64%
58
Neutral
Signet Jewelers1.55%$6.74M$4.15B9.41%
73
Outperform
Pricesmart1.52%$6.64M$3.72B35.57%
78
Outperform
Five Below1.51%$6.60M$8.91B73.58%
75
Outperform
Best Buy Co1.51%$6.57M$17.65B-7.09%
71
Outperform

XRT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
85.50
Negative
100DMA
82.64
Negative
200DMA
77.73
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.47
Positive
RSI
35.24
Neutral
STOCH
30.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XRT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 84.39, equal to the 50-day MA of 85.50, and equal to the 200-day MA of 77.73, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.47 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for XRT.

XRT Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$376.04M0.35%
67
Neutral
$973.38M0.18%
75
Outperform
$972.12M0.11%
71
Outperform
$341.32M0.57%
66
Neutral
$327.72M0.61%
68
Neutral
$223.84M0.40%
69
Neutral
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XRT
SPDR S&P Retail ETF
81.18
7.25
9.81%
IETC
iShares Evolved US Technology ETF
BBRE
JPMorgan BetaBuilders MSCI U.S. REIT ETF
PEJ
Invesco Dynamic Leisure & Entertainment ETF
FXD
First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund
RSPD
Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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