XRT - ETF AI Analysis

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SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT)

Rating:68Neutral

Price Target:―

XRT, the SPDR S&P Retail ETF, earns a solid overall rating largely because many of its key holdings—like Ulta Beauty, Five Below, and PriceSmart—show strong financial performance, positive earnings call commentary, and generally supportive technical trends that point to healthy growth potential. Well-known retailers such as Target, Dollar General, and Costco add stability through steady results and reasonable valuations, though occasional bearish technical signals and signs of overvaluation, along with weaker names like Bath & Body Works facing revenue declines and high leverage, slightly weigh on the fund’s appeal. The main risk is that the ETF is concentrated in the retail sector, so it is sensitive to consumer spending trends and broader economic conditions.

Positive Factors

Broad Retail Diversification

The ETF spreads its investments across many different retail companies, so it is not overly dependent on any single stock.

Strong Performance From Key Holdings

Several of the top positions, such as Camping World, CarMax, and Casey’s General, have shown strong gains this year, helping support the fund’s overall results.

Solid Recent Performance Trend

The fund has delivered positive returns over the past month, three months, and year-to-date, indicating steady recent momentum in the retail segment.

Negative Factors

Heavy U.S. Focus

With almost all assets in U.S. companies, the ETF offers little geographic diversification and is highly tied to the U.S. economy.

Concentration in Consumer Cyclical Sector

A large majority of the portfolio is in consumer cyclical stocks, which can be more sensitive to economic slowdowns and changes in consumer spending.

Moderate Expense Ratio

The fund’s expense ratio is not especially low, meaning fees could modestly reduce long-term returns compared with cheaper index ETFs.

XRT vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AUM657.73M

RegionNorth America

Expense Ratio0.35%

Beta0.97

IssuerSPDR

Inception DateJun 19, 2006

Dividend Yield0.8%

Asset ClassEquity

Index TrackedS&P Retail Select Industry

Share Statistics

EPS (TTM)N/A

Shares OutstandingN/A

10 Day Avg. Volume6,314,393

30 Day Avg. Volume5,105,425

Financial Highlights & Ratios

PEG RatioN/A

Price to Book (P/B)N/A

Price to Sales (P/S)N/A

P/FCF RatioN/A

Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A

Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A

Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A

Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A

Forecast

1Y Price Target

103.65

Price Target Upside― Downside

Rating ConsensusModerate Buy

Number of Analyst Covering74

EPS Forecast (FY)N/A

Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A

XRT Summary

The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) is an investment fund that follows the S&P Retail Select Industry Index, focusing on U.S. retail companies. It holds a wide mix of stores and brands that sell directly to shoppers, both online and in physical locations. Well-known holdings include Target and Dollar General, along with many smaller specialty retailers. Someone might invest in XRT to bet on the overall growth of U.S. shopping and consumer spending, while spreading money across many different retailers. A key risk is that it can rise or fall sharply with changes in consumer spending and the retail sector.

How much will it cost me?The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) has an expense ratio of 0.35%, which means you’ll pay $3.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This expense ratio is slightly higher than average for ETFs because it is passively managed but follows a specialized index focused on the retail sector, which can involve higher costs due to its unique equal-weighted strategy.

What would affect this ETF?The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) could benefit from positive consumer spending trends, advancements in e-commerce, and the growth of omnichannel retailing, which align with its focus on the U.S. retail sector. However, it may face challenges from rising interest rates, which can reduce consumer discretionary spending, and economic slowdowns that could negatively impact retail sales. Regulatory changes or shifts in trade policies could also influence the performance of its top holdings, such as Walmart and Etsy.

XRT Top 10 Holdings

XRT is riding a wave of U.S. retail strength, with discount and specialty chains doing much of the heavy lifting. Five Below, PriceSmart, and Dollar General are all rising, giving the fund a solid boost as value-focused shoppers keep their registers ringing. Target looks steady to improving, helped by its digital push, while Victoria’s Secret and Bath & Body Works are more of a mixed bag, adding some drama to the story. Overall, the ETF is firmly anchored in U.S. consumer cyclicals, with only light exposure beyond core retail names.

Name	Company Name	Weight %	Market Value	Market Cap	Yearly Gain	Overall Rating
TGT	Target	1.88%	$12.20M	$54.50B	4.96%	70 Neutral
CASY	Casey's General	1.87%	$12.08M	$24.87B	66.68%	68 Neutral
FIVE	Five Below	1.85%	$12.00M	$12.23B	162.41%	76 Outperform
BURL	Burlington Stores	1.76%	$11.41M	$20.23B	27.23%	68 Neutral
ROST	Ross Stores	1.75%	$11.34M	$69.49B	55.74%	80 Outperform
KR	Kroger Company	1.73%	$11.21M	$45.29B	11.11%	56 Neutral
PSMT	Pricesmart	1.72%	$11.17M	$4.52B	63.43%	77 Outperform
VVV	Valvoline	1.72%	$11.17M	$4.59B	0.34%	68 Neutral
DG	Dollar General	1.72%	$11.17M	$32.26B	78.78%	73 Outperform
BBWI	Bath & Body Works	1.69%	$10.95M	$4.56B	-36.24%	53 Neutral

XRT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment

Negative

Last Price―

Price Trends

50DMA

87.77

Negative

100DMA

85.60

Negative

200DMA

83.46

Negative

Market Momentum

MACD

-0.84

Positive

RSI

33.60

Neutral

STOCH

30.29

Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XRT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 87.04, equal to the 50-day MA of 87.77, and equal to the 200-day MA of 83.46, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.84 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for XRT.

XRT Peer Comparison

Comparison Results

Name	Price	Price Target	AUM	Expense Ratio	Overall Rating
XRT	―	―	$657.73M	0.35%	68 Neutral
RSPN	―	―	$933.03M	0.40%	72 Outperform
FXH	―	―	$900.20M	0.61%	71 Outperform
RSPD	―	―	$279.56M	0.40%	69 Neutral
FXD	―	―	$276.62M	0.60%	69 Neutral
PEJ	―	―	$258.25M	0.57%	70 Neutral

Performance Comparison

XRT

SPDR S&P Retail ETF

83.07

13.18

18.86%

RSPN

Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Industrials ETF

―

FXH

First Trust Health Care AlphaDEX Fund

―

RSPD

Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF

―

FXD

First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund

―

PEJ

Invesco Dynamic Leisure & Entertainment ETF

―

Glossary

BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―

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