XRT - ETF AI Analysis

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SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT)

Rating:65Neutral

Price Target:―

The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) has a solid overall rating, reflecting a mix of strong performers and some weaker holdings. Top contributors like TJX Companies and Ross Stores stand out with their robust financial performance, positive earnings outlooks, and strategic expansions, which bolster the fund's rating. However, weaker holdings such as RealReal and Macy's, which face financial challenges and valuation concerns, slightly weigh down the overall score. A key risk for this ETF is its exposure to the retail sector, which can be sensitive to economic cycles and consumer spending trends.

Positive Factors

Strong Top Holdings

Several top holdings, such as Etsy and National Vision Holdings, have delivered strong year-to-date performance, supporting the ETF's overall returns.

Sector Focus on Consumer Cyclical

The ETF's heavy exposure to consumer cyclical stocks positions it to benefit from economic growth and increased consumer spending.

Reasonable Expense Ratio

The ETF charges a relatively low expense ratio, making it cost-effective compared to many actively managed funds.

Negative Factors

High Concentration in U.S. Market

With nearly all assets invested in U.S. companies, the ETF lacks geographic diversification and is sensitive to domestic market conditions.

Underperforming Holdings

Some holdings, such as Victoria's Secret and Academy Sports and Outdoors, have struggled year-to-date, which could drag on overall performance.

Sector Overweight Risk

The ETF's heavy reliance on consumer cyclical stocks, at over 75% of the portfolio, increases vulnerability to downturns in this sector.

XRT vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AUM484.61M

RegionNorth America

Expense Ratio0.35%

Beta0.95

IssuerSPDR

Inception DateJun 19, 2006

Dividend Yield1.21%

Asset ClassEquity

Index TrackedS&P Retail Select Industry

Share Statistics

EPS (TTM)N/A

Shares OutstandingN/A

10 Day Avg. Volume5,008,655

30 Day Avg. Volume5,086,037

Financial Highlights & Ratios

PEG RatioN/A

Price to Book (P/B)N/A

Price to Sales (P/S)N/A

P/FCF RatioN/A

Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A

Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A

Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A

Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A

Forecast

1Y Price Target

98.49

Price Target Upside― Downside

Rating ConsensusModerate Buy

Number of Analyst Covering77

EPS Forecast (FY)N/A

Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A

XRT Summary

The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) is an investment fund that focuses on the US retail sector, including both online and physical stores. It follows the S&P Retail Select Industry Index, which gives equal weight to a mix of well-known companies like Walmart and Etsy, as well as smaller, emerging players. This ETF is a good option for investors who want to benefit from the growth and innovation in consumer spending and shopping trends. However, new investors should be aware that the fund’s performance can fluctuate with changes in consumer behavior and the overall economy.

How much will it cost me?The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) has an expense ratio of 0.35%, which means you’ll pay $3.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This expense ratio is slightly higher than average for ETFs because it is passively managed but follows a specialized index focused on the retail sector, which can involve higher costs due to its unique equal-weighted strategy.

What would affect this ETF?The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) could benefit from positive consumer spending trends, advancements in e-commerce, and the growth of omnichannel retailing, which align with its focus on the U.S. retail sector. However, it may face challenges from rising interest rates, which can reduce consumer discretionary spending, and economic slowdowns that could negatively impact retail sales. Regulatory changes or shifts in trade policies could also influence the performance of its top holdings, such as Walmart and Etsy.

XRT Top 10 Holdings

The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) is heavily concentrated in the U.S. retail sector, with a mix of established names and emerging players driving its performance. TJX Companies and Ross Stores are rising stars, benefiting from strong sales growth and strategic expansions, while Walmart’s steady performance is tempered by concerns of overvaluation. On the lagging side, Victoria’s Secret and National Vision Holdings are struggling with financial challenges despite some positive earnings momentum. Overall, the fund’s focus on consumer cyclical stocks highlights its reliance on shifting consumer spending trends.

Name	Company Name	Weight %	Market Value	Market Cap	Yearly Gain	Overall Rating
VSCO	Victoria's Secret	2.84%	$13.76M	$4.26B	28.55%	71 Outperform
REAL	RealReal	2.28%	$11.01M	$1.72B	78.02%	54 Neutral
KSS	Kohl's	1.92%	$9.30M	$2.52B	63.56%	68 Neutral
AEO	American Eagle	1.92%	$9.30M	$4.56B	68.34%	77 Outperform
M	Macy's	1.87%	$9.02M	$6.15B	47.38%	74 Outperform
DLTR	Dollar Tree	1.79%	$8.63M	$25.52B	83.75%	61 Neutral
DG	Dollar General	1.77%	$8.55M	$30.15B	84.98%	73 Outperform
EYE	National Vision Holdings	1.73%	$8.35M	$2.25B	154.56%	57 Neutral
ROST	Ross Stores	1.68%	$8.14M	$59.11B	23.53%	80 Outperform
FIVE	Five Below	1.68%	$8.13M	$9.85B	68.95%	76 Outperform

XRT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment

Positive

Last Price―

Price Trends

50DMA

83.38

Positive

100DMA

84.03

Positive

200DMA

78.68

Positive

Market Momentum

MACD

1.50

Negative

RSI

62.16

Neutral

STOCH

54.14

Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XRT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 85.06, equal to the 50-day MA of 83.38, and equal to the 200-day MA of 78.68, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.50 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for XRT.

XRT Peer Comparison

Comparison Results

Name	Price	Price Target	AUM	Expense Ratio	Overall Rating
XRT	―	―	$484.61M	0.35%	―
BBRE	―	―	$955.61M	0.11%	―
PWRD	―	―	$946.41M	0.75%	―
FXD	―	―	$302.08M	0.61%	―
PEJ	―	―	$250.75M	0.57%	―
RSPD	―	―	$227.70M	0.40%	―

Performance Comparison

XRT

SPDR S&P Retail ETF

87.29

7.67

9.63%

BBRE

JPMorgan BetaBuilders MSCI U.S. REIT ETF

―

PWRD

Tcw Transform Systems Etf

―

FXD

First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund

―

PEJ

Invesco Dynamic Leisure & Entertainment ETF

―

RSPD

Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF

―

Glossary

BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―

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