XRT - ETF AI Analysis
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SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:―
Positive Factors
Strong Recent Performance
The ETF has shown steady gains over the past month, three months, and year-to-date, indicating positive recent momentum.
Leading Retail Holdings
Several top holdings, including Groupon, Etsy, Victoria's Secret, CarMax, Sonic Automotive, and others, have delivered strong year-to-date performance that supports the fund’s returns.
Focused Retail Exposure
The fund’s heavy tilt toward consumer cyclical and consumer defensive companies gives investors targeted exposure to the retail sector, which can benefit when consumer spending is healthy.
Negative Factors
High Sector Concentration
With most assets in consumer cyclical and consumer defensive stocks, the ETF is heavily exposed to changes in consumer spending and retail industry conditions.
Underperforming Retail Names
Some top holdings such as Revolve Group, RealReal, and National Vision have shown weak year-to-date performance, which can drag on overall returns.
Limited Geographic Diversification
Almost all of the ETF’s holdings are in U.S. companies, so investors are highly dependent on the health of the U.S. economy and retail market.
XRT vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
AUM368.29M
RegionNorth America
Expense Ratio0.35%
Beta0.90
IssuerSPDR
Inception DateJun 19, 2006
Dividend Yield0.77%
Asset ClassEquity
Index TrackedS&P Retail Select Industry
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)N/A
Shares OutstandingN/A
10 Day Avg. Volume4,045,738
30 Day Avg. Volume4,708,422
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG RatioN/A
Price to Book (P/B)N/A
Price to Sales (P/S)N/A
P/FCF RatioN/A
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
104.17Price Target Upside― Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering76
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
XRT Summary
The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) is a fund that follows the S&P Retail Select Industry Index, giving you broad exposure to U.S. retail companies, both online and in physical stores. It holds a wide mix of retailers, from discount chains like Dollar Tree to specialty and online names such as Etsy. Investors might consider XRT if they want a simple way to bet on consumer spending and diversify across many different retail businesses instead of picking individual stocks. A key risk is that retail stocks can be very sensitive to the economy and consumer confidence, so the ETF’s price can rise and fall sharply with market conditions.
How much will it cost me?The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) has an expense ratio of 0.35%, which means you’ll pay $3.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This expense ratio is slightly higher than average for ETFs because it is passively managed but follows a specialized index focused on the retail sector, which can involve higher costs due to its unique equal-weighted strategy.
What would affect this ETF?The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) could benefit from positive consumer spending trends, advancements in e-commerce, and the growth of omnichannel retailing, which align with its focus on the U.S. retail sector. However, it may face challenges from rising interest rates, which can reduce consumer discretionary spending, and economic slowdowns that could negatively impact retail sales. Regulatory changes or shifts in trade policies could also influence the performance of its top holdings, such as Walmart and Etsy.
XRT Top 10 Holdings
XRT is very much a U.S. retail story, and lately the auto dealers have been in the driver’s seat: names like Penske Automotive, Sonic Automotive, and CarMax are rising and giving the fund a solid boost. Online-focused players are more of a mixed bag—Etsy and Groupon are climbing but still wrestling with shaky fundamentals, while resale and specialty retailers like RealReal and National Vision are lagging and acting as a drag. Overall, the ETF is concentrated in consumer cyclical retail, so it largely rides the ups and downs of American shoppers’ moods.
Name | Company Name | Weight % | Market Value | Market Cap | Yearly Gain | Overall Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marinemax | 2.19% | $7.02M | $1.15B | 85.96% | 51 Neutral | |
| RealReal | 1.74% | $5.60M | $1.35B | 46.12% | 54 Neutral | |
| CarMax | 1.72% | $5.52M | $8.82B | 3.45% | 61 Neutral | |
| Sally Beauty | 1.69% | $5.44M | $1.55B | 22.11% | 76 Outperform | |
| Maplebear | 1.69% | $5.43M | $11.54B | 14.90% | 79 Outperform | |
| Target | 1.69% | $5.41M | $75.14B | 66.71% | 70 Neutral | |
| Abercrombie Fitch | 1.68% | $5.39M | $4.84B | 10.72% | 78 Outperform | |
| Driveway Vehicle Solutions | 1.66% | $5.33M | $8.15B | 13.47% | 76 Outperform | |
| Penske Automotive Group | 1.66% | $5.33M | $14.24B | 15.78% | 71 Outperform | |
| Five Below | 1.65% | $5.29M | $13.84B | 76.46% | 76 Outperform |
XRT Technical Analysis
Negative
―
Price Trends
88.45
Negative
85.97
Positive
85.29
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.23
Positive
47.03
Neutral
50.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XRT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 89.48, equal to the 50-day MA of 88.45, and equal to the 200-day MA of 85.29, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for XRT.
XRT Peer Comparison
Comparison Results
Performance Comparison
XRT
SPDR S&P Retail ETF
87.89
2.49
2.92%
AIPO
Defiance AI & Power Infrastructure ETF
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TPYP
Tortoise North American Pipeline Fund
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PEJ
Invesco Dynamic Leisure & Entertainment ETF
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RSPD
Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF
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FXD
First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund
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Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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