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Bath & Body Works (BBWI)
NYSE:BBWI

Bath & Body Works (BBWI) AI Stock Analysis

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Bath & Body Works

(NYSE:BBWI)

Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$30.00
▲(12.23%Upside)
The overall stock score reflects financial instability with high leverage and declining sales as significant risks. Positive earnings call and corporate events provide optimism, while technical indicators show bearish momentum. The stock's low valuation could attract value investors.
Positive Factors
Earnings
BBWI's accelerating sales growth and strong margin profile deserves a higher multiple and analyst reiterates a Buy rating.
International Expansion
Net sales of $1.4bn (+3%) were at the high end of guidance, driven by growth in all core categories and international sales up 10%.
Sales Growth
The company's new Disney collaboration was a key driver of first-quarter performance.
Negative Factors
Financial Outlook
Analyst is lowering the F25/F26 EPS estimates by 3%/4% and the price objective to $40 to reflect tariff pressure and a more cautious FY outlook.
Growth Uncertainty
The path back to consistent growth levels remains unclear and may be elongated as new management implements strategic changes.
Tariffs
Shares reversed primarily driven by disappointing 2Q trends/guidance, implied 2H GM compression, and tariff status-quo actualizing at bottom half of guidance.

Bath & Body Works (BBWI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bath & Body Works Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBath & Body Works, Inc. operates a specialty retailer of home fragrance, body care, and soaps and sanitizer products. The company sells its products under the Bath & Body Works, White Barn, and other brand names through specialty retail stores and websites located in the United States and Canada, as well as through international stores operated by partners under franchise, license, and wholesale arrangements. As of January 29, 2022, it operated 1,755 company-operated retail stores and 338 international partner-operated stores. The company was formerly known as L Brands, Inc. and changed its name to Bath & Body Works, Inc. in August 2021. Bath & Body Works, Inc. was founded in 1963 and is headquartered in Columbus, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyBath & Body Works makes money primarily through the sale of its personal care and home fragrance products. The company's revenue model is centered around its extensive retail network, which includes both physical stores and a robust online presence. Key revenue streams include direct sales from their brick-and-mortar locations, e-commerce platforms, and seasonal product launches that capitalize on consumer trends. Bath & Body Works also benefits from brand loyalty and repeat purchases driven by its popular loyalty programs and marketing campaigns. Strategic partnerships and exclusive product lines further contribute to its earnings, as does the company's agility in responding to consumer preferences and market demands.

Bath & Body Works Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -12.30%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a predominantly positive outlook with strong Q1 performance, highlighted by successful collaborations and international growth. While there are challenges such as direct sales declines and tariff impacts, the company remains optimistic about leveraging its innovations and market strategy for future growth.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q1 Performance
Net sales increased by 3% year-over-year, reaching the high-end of guidance, and earnings per diluted share of $0.49 exceeded expectations.
Successful Disney Collaboration
The Disney collaboration was a major success, exceeding expectations with strong consumer engagement, including 1.8 billion online impressions.
Positive Dual Channel Traffic
Both in-store and online traffic were positive, outperforming third-party benchmarks.
International Sales Growth
International retail sales grew approximately 10% year-over-year.
Strong Gross Margin Expansion
First quarter gross profit rate of 45.4% exceeded expectations with a 160 basis points increase compared to the prior year.
Negative Updates
Challenges with Direct Net Sales
Direct net sales decreased by 4.3% compared to last year, with adjustments for buy online, pickup in-store affecting performance.
Tariff Impact on Inventory and Costs
Inventory levels were slightly above expectations due to tariffs and strategic pull forwards, and tariffs are impacting cost management.
Flat Guidance for Q2
Net sales for Q2 are expected to be flat to 2% growth compared to prior year, reflecting cautious outlook amid some macroeconomic challenges.
Company Guidance
During the Bath & Body Works First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the guidance for the fiscal year 2025 was discussed, with net sales growth projected to be between 1% and 3%, and earnings per share (EPS) expected to range from $3.25 to $3.60. The company reported a strong first quarter, achieving net sales of $1.4 billion, up 3% year-over-year, and an EPS of $0.49, which exceeded expectations. International expansion was highlighted as a growth opportunity, with international retail sales growing approximately 10% in the first quarter. The company also emphasized a focus on digital enhancements and packaging improvements as part of its growth strategy. Additionally, Bath & Body Works plans to invest $250 million to $270 million in capital expenditures for the year, while maintaining its commitment to returning value to shareholders, with $300 million in share repurchases planned for 2025.

Bath & Body Works Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Bath & Body Works faces challenges in revenue growth and profitability, with a declining revenue growth rate of -1.65% and high leverage indicated by negative stockholders' equity. However, strong cash flow and operational efficiency provide some stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Bath & Body Works has experienced declining revenue over the past few years, with a revenue growth rate of -1.65% from 2024 to 2025. The gross profit margin remains strong at approximately 44.26% in 2025, but the net profit margin has decreased to 10.92%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable at 17.32% for both, indicating operational efficiency. Nonetheless, the overall decline in revenue and profits suggests challenges in sales growth.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company's balance sheet displays high leverage, with a negative stockholders' equity of -$1.385 billion in 2025 and a debt-to-equity ratio that cannot be calculated due to negative equity. This indicates financial instability and potential risk. The equity ratio is negative, further emphasizing the company's over-leveraged position, which may limit financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Operating cash flow is robust at $886 million, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.83, suggesting efficient cash management. However, the free cash flow growth rate is minimal at 0.61% from 2024 to 2025. The company's ability to generate cash remains strong, but limited growth in free cash flow may hinder future investments.
Breakdown
Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
7.31B7.43B7.56B7.88B6.43B
Gross Profit
3.23B3.24B3.25B3.85B3.10B
EBIT
1.27B1.28B1.38B2.01B1.60B
EBITDA
1.62B1.55B1.61B2.17B2.08B
Net Income Common Stockholders
798.00M878.00M800.00M1.33B844.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
674.00M1.08B1.23B1.98B3.90B
Total Assets
4.87B5.46B5.49B6.03B11.57B
Total Debt
4.96B5.57B6.05B6.01B9.46B
Net Debt
4.29B4.49B4.82B4.03B5.55B
Total Liabilities
6.25B7.09B7.70B7.54B12.23B
Stockholders Equity
-1.39B-1.63B-2.21B-1.52B-662.00M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
660.00M656.00M816.00M1.22B1.81B
Operating Cash Flow
886.00M954.00M1.14B1.49B2.04B
Investing Cash Flow
-162.00M-286.00M-328.00M-259.00M-219.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.13B-815.00M-1.56B-3.19B610.00M

Bath & Body Works Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price26.73
Price Trends
50DMA
30.23
Negative
100DMA
32.98
Negative
200DMA
32.70
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.57
Positive
RSI
31.66
Neutral
STOCH
5.22
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BBWI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 26.73 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.33, below the 50-day MA of 30.23, and below the 200-day MA of 32.70, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.57 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.22 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BBWI.

Bath & Body Works Risk Analysis

Bath & Body Works disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bath & Body Works reported the most risks in the “Production” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Bath & Body Works Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$21.19B18.4150.44%1.06%-0.29%
75
Outperform
$5.35B15.6724.98%3.41%9.80%-6.33%
SBSBH
72
Outperform
$878.79M4.9229.74%0.17%20.26%
72
Outperform
$1.45B29.0111.97%9.09%106.50%
64
Neutral
$5.77B39.32-39.97%2.18%-32.87%
62
Neutral
$6.90B11.122.92%3.89%2.68%-25.06%
59
Neutral
$5.95B7.52-52.83%2.84%-0.93%-4.07%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BBWI
Bath & Body Works
26.73
-17.47
-39.52%
SBH
Sally Beauty
8.80
-3.24
-26.91%
ULTA
Ulta Beauty
475.68
86.27
22.15%
ETSY
Etsy
58.74
-6.17
-9.51%
RVLV
Revolve Group
20.39
2.34
12.96%
MNSO
MINISO Group Holding
17.18
-5.22
-23.30%

Bath & Body Works Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Bath & Body Works Reports Strong Q1 2025 Results
Positive
May 29, 2025

On May 29, 2025, Bath & Body Works reported a 2.9% increase in net sales to $1.4 billion for the first quarter of 2025, with earnings per diluted share rising 29% to $0.49, surpassing expectations. The company maintained its full-year 2025 guidance of 1% to 3% net sales growth and earnings per diluted share between $3.25 and $3.60. The announcement also highlighted the appointment of Daniel Heaf as CEO, effective May 16, 2025, signaling a strategic focus on growth in the home fragrance and beauty categories.

The most recent analyst rating on (BBWI) stock is a Hold with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bath & Body Works stock, see the BBWI Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Bath & Body Works Amends Credit Facility Agreement
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Bath & Body Works amended and restated its senior secured asset-based revolving credit facility, known as the ABL Facility. This strategic financial move allows the company to borrow in both U.S. and Canadian dollars, with the facility maturing five years post-closing. The ABL Facility is secured by first-priority liens on various assets, including credit card receivables and inventory, and includes covenants that restrict additional indebtedness. This development is expected to impact Bath & Body Works’ financial flexibility and operational strategy, potentially influencing its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (BBWI) stock is a Hold with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bath & Body Works stock, see the BBWI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Bath & Body Works Appoints New CEO Daniel Heaf
Positive
May 19, 2025

On May 19, 2025, Bath & Body Works announced the appointment of Daniel Heaf as the new Chief Executive Officer, effective May 16, 2025, succeeding Gina Boswell. Heaf, who has a strong background in driving growth and transformation at Nike and Burberry, is expected to lead the company into its next chapter of growth. The company also pre-announced its first quarter 2025 results, reporting net sales of $1.4 billion and earnings per diluted share of $0.49, meeting and exceeding guidance expectations, while maintaining its full-year outlook.

The most recent analyst rating on (BBWI) stock is a Hold with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bath & Body Works stock, see the BBWI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Bath & Body Works Hosts Investor Tour in Ohio
Positive
Apr 17, 2025

On April 17, 2025, Bath & Body Works hosted an investor tour at its Beauty Park in Columbus, Ohio, showcasing its strategic advantages in agility, innovation, and supply chain management. The event highlighted the company’s integrated development and production capabilities, emphasizing its ability to launch new products swiftly and maintain a strong market position through its vertically integrated supply chain.

Financial Disclosures
Bath & Body Works Reaffirms 2025 Financial Guidance
Neutral
Mar 11, 2025

On March 11, 2025, Bath & Body Works’ executive team will participate in the Bank of America Consumer & Retail Conference. The company reaffirms its first quarter 2025 net sales growth of 1% to 3% and earnings per share guidance of $0.36 to $0.43, as well as its full-year fiscal 2025 net sales growth and earnings per share guidance.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.