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Revolve Group (RVLV)
NYSE:RVLV
US Market
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Revolve Group (RVLV) AI Stock Analysis

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RVLV

Revolve Group

(NYSE:RVLV)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$22.00
▼(-19.41% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/10/26
RVLV scores positively on fundamentals, led by a strong balance sheet (low leverage) and improved profitability with resilient gross margins, reinforced by an upbeat earnings update showing double-digit growth and strong cash generation. The score is held back primarily by weak technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD) and only moderate valuation support (P/E ~21.7 with no dividend yield provided).
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Extremely low leverage and a large cash balance provide durable financial flexibility. Over the next 2–6 months this supports investment in marketing, inventory for international expansion, absorbs timing shocks (tariff refunds) and reduces financing risk, underpinning resilience through cycles.
Negative Factors
Input cost pressures
Persistent inflation in freight and commodity-based inputs can structurally erode gross margins, particularly on owned-brand merchandise. If costs remain elevated, the company may need price increases or higher promotions, which could compress sustainable margin improvement.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Extremely low leverage and a large cash balance provide durable financial flexibility. Over the next 2–6 months this supports investment in marketing, inventory for international expansion, absorbs timing shocks (tariff refunds) and reduces financing risk, underpinning resilience through cycles.
Read all positive factors

Revolve Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Active Customers
Total Active Customers
Measures the number of customers who have made a purchase within a specific period, showing customer engagement and the potential for repeat business.
Chart InsightsRevolve’s active customer base shows steady expansion with clear acceleration into late‑2025, driven by FWRD acquisition programs, beauty category strength and owned‑brand traction — real customer momentum rather than a one‑off. That said, management is intentionally dialing up marketing (and accepting near‑term margin pressure) to fuel further roster growth, so watch retention and spend per active customer (AOV softened) as the real test of sustainable revenue and profit upside.
Data provided by:The Fly

Revolve Group (RVLV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Revolve Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Revolve Group, Inc. functions as an online fashion retailer, reaching consumers throughout the United States and globally. The company conducts its business through two main segments: REVOLVE and FWRD. It manages a sophisticated platform designed ...
How the Company Makes Money
Revolve Group primarily makes money by selling products directly to consumers through its e-commerce sites and apps. Its main revenue stream is net sales from merchandise—apparel, footwear, accessories, and beauty—sold under two brand platforms: R...

Revolve Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted broad-based, double-digit top-line momentum (16% sales growth), strong profitability and cash generation (EPS +25%, strong operating and free cash flow), effective brand-building (Revolve LA, GrowGood, Festival) and technology-driven conversion gains (AI). Near-term headwinds include geopolitical weakness in the Middle East, input cost inflation (freight and petroleum-based materials), elevated marketing and G&A investments to fuel new initiatives, and slight volatility in full-price mix and inventory/timing risks. Overall, the company demonstrates clear operational and strategic progress with manageable near-term cost and cadence pressures.
Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line Growth
Net sales of $343 million, up 16% year over year — the highest growth rate in nearly four years — with broad-based double-digit growth across REVOLVE (+15%), FORWARD (+17%), domestic (+15%), and international (+20%).
Negative Updates
Geopolitical Headwinds in the Middle East
Meaningful slowdown in the Middle East beginning in March that carried into April and into Q2, negatively impacting international cadence despite overall international growth of 20% in Q1.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Top-Line Growth
Net sales of $343 million, up 16% year over year — the highest growth rate in nearly four years — with broad-based double-digit growth across REVOLVE (+15%), FORWARD (+17%), domestic (+15%), and international (+20%).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided to continued improvement in Q2/Q4 profitability while investing to drive growth, reporting net sales through April up ~14% year‑over‑year and reiterating Q2 gross margin of 54.1%–54.6% (FY guide 53.5%–54.0%, each implying ~+25 bps YoY at the midpoints). They expect fulfillment of ~3.2% of sales in Q2 (3.2%–3.4% FY), selling & distribution of ~17.5% in Q2 (17.1%–17.3% FY), and marketing of ~15.7% in Q2 (15.3%–15.8% FY). Q2 G&A was guided to roughly $43M with FY G&A of $164M–$168M (higher partly from performance equity and Cardi B JV investments), and an effective tax rate of ~24%–26% for 2026. Recent operating metrics included Q1 net sales of $343M (+16% YoY), Q1 operating cash flow $49M and free cash flow $45M (+95% YoY), cash & equivalents of $336M (up $33M since year‑end), inventory of $245M (+15% YoY), AOV +1% (expected flat to slight increase), and management noted tougher Q2 comps, Middle East softness, and that tariff refund timing (60–90 days) is not included in guidance.

Revolve Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are solid overall: steady TTM revenue growth and a meaningful profitability rebound (EBIT margin ~6.8% TTM vs. ~2.1% in 2023) with consistently strong gross margins (~52–55%). The balance sheet is a key strength with very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.06) and healthy ROE (~12.9% TTM). The main offset is cash-flow quality/consistency: free cash flow is positive but conversion is uneven (FCF ~74% of net income TTM).
Income Statement
73
Positive
Balance Sheet
84
Very Positive
Cash Flow
67
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.27B1.23B1.13B1.07B1.10B891.39M
Gross Profit682.11M655.78M593.27M554.20M592.32M489.82M
EBITDA91.10M86.90M69.61M42.85M81.41M109.24M
Net Income64.24M61.71M49.56M28.15M58.70M99.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets821.40M765.00M665.55M608.89M579.32M480.41M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments335.85M292.26M256.60M245.45M234.72M218.46M
Total Debt33.41M32.45M40.73M40.99M24.50M6.94M
Total Liabilities293.15M252.47M227.76M223.75M199.75M163.40M
Stockholders Equity528.25M512.53M438.19M385.14M379.57M317.01M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow46.89M47.99M21.04M39.14M18.27M60.12M
Operating Cash Flow63.67M59.40M26.69M43.34M23.44M62.31M
Investing Cash Flow-28.01M-14.87M-9.11M-4.20M-5.17M-2.19M
Financing Cash Flow-1.40M-1.39M-5.36M-30.38M887.00K12.77M

Revolve Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price27.30
Price Trends
50DMA
21.95
Negative
100DMA
23.28
Negative
200DMA
24.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
60.04
Neutral
STOCH
81.37
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RVLV, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 27.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.97, above the 50-day MA of 21.95, and above the 200-day MA of 24.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.37 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for RVLV.

Revolve Group Risk Analysis

Revolve Group disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Revolve Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Revolve Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$1.56B24.2412.85%10.02%26.46%
62
Neutral
$1.32B7.2722.86%0.77%2.73%
62
Neutral
$1.43B34.94-100.45%3.35%2.27%-1.23%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
$1.56B71.215.19%10.20%-7.90%
58
Neutral
$1.34B28.695.36%9.20%
55
Neutral
$775.54M-35.74-36.11%10.25%70.25%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RVLV
Revolve Group
21.79
1.43
7.02%
SBH
Sally Beauty
13.83
4.89
54.70%
WINA
Winmark
400.34
11.62
2.99%
EYE
National Vision Holdings
16.78
-5.91
-26.05%
TDUP
thredUP
6.01
-2.39
-28.45%
SVV
Savers Value Village Inc.
10.15
-0.37
-3.52%

Revolve Group Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Revolve Group Shareholders Back Board, Auditor and Pay
Positive
Jun 9, 2026
On June 5, 2026, Revolve Group held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where shareholders elected directors Michael Karanikolas, Michael Mente, Melanie Cox, Erinn Murphy and Oana Ruxandra to serve on the board until the 2027 annual meeting o...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Revolve Showcases AI-Driven Growth Strategy to Investors
Positive
Jun 3, 2026
On June 3, 2026, Revolve Group released an updated investor presentation for use at the William Blair Growth Stock Conference and in future investor meetings, outlining its technology-enabled, AI-powered e&#8209;commerce platform and growth strate...
Executive/Board Changes
Revolve Group Refreshes Board with New Audit Chair
Positive
Mar 20, 2026
On March 18, 2026, Revolve Group, Inc. appointed Erinn Murphy to its board of directors, effective immediately, and named her chair of the Audit Committee and a member of the Compensation Committee. Murphy brings extensive capital markets and fina...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 10, 2026