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Revolve Group (RVLV)
NYSE:RVLV
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Revolve Group (RVLV) AI Stock Analysis

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RVLV

Revolve Group

(NYSE:RVLV)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$24.50
▲(16.17% Upside)
Revolve Group's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, including significant margin expansion and strategic initiatives in AI and international growth. However, the stock's high valuation and mixed technical indicators temper the score, with concerns about slower sales growth and increased return rates also impacting the outlook.
Positive Factors
Gross Margin Expansion
The significant gross margin expansion reflects effective cost management and pricing strategies, enhancing profitability and providing a competitive edge in the retail sector.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation and a debt-free balance sheet enhance financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and resilience against economic fluctuations.
AI Integration for Efficiency
AI integration boosts operational efficiency and productivity, reducing costs and potentially increasing margins, which is crucial for long-term competitiveness in the fast-paced retail industry.
Negative Factors
Slower Net Sales Growth
Slower net sales growth indicates potential challenges in market expansion and consumer demand, which could impact revenue and market share if not addressed.
Higher Return Rates
Increased return rates can lead to higher fulfillment costs and erode profit margins, necessitating improvements in product quality and customer satisfaction strategies.
Challenges in Asian Regions
Challenges in Asian markets may hinder international expansion efforts, limiting growth opportunities and diversification of revenue streams.

Revolve Group (RVLV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Revolve Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRevolve Group, Inc. (RVLV) is a leading online fashion retailer based in the United States, specializing in the sale of trendy apparel, accessories, and footwear. The company primarily targets millennials and Gen Z consumers through its e-commerce platform, offering a curated selection of popular brands as well as its own private label collections. Revolve operates in the fast-paced fashion industry, emphasizing a strong social media presence and influencer marketing to drive consumer engagement and sales.
How the Company Makes MoneyRevolve Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of clothing, accessories, and footwear on its e-commerce platform. The company operates a direct-to-consumer model, allowing it to maintain higher margins by selling products directly to customers without intermediaries. Key revenue streams include sales from its proprietary brands and third-party brands featured on its site. Additionally, Revolve benefits from strategic partnerships with social media influencers and fashion bloggers who promote its products, driving traffic and sales. The company also leverages data analytics to optimize inventory management and enhance customer personalization, contributing to increased sales and customer loyalty.

Revolve Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Active Customers
Total Active Customers
Measures the number of customers who have made a purchase within a specific period, showing customer engagement and the potential for repeat business.
Chart InsightsRevolve Group's active customer base has shown consistent growth, reaching 2.74 million by mid-2025. This upward trend aligns with the company's strategic focus on international expansion and leveraging AI for enhanced customer experiences. The earnings call highlights robust revenue growth and improved operational efficiencies, contributing to this customer growth. Despite challenges like tariff pressures and a higher tax rate, Revolve's focus on owned brands and technological innovations has bolstered its competitive position, suggesting continued momentum in expanding its customer base.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Revolve Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements in gross margin expansion, adjusted EBITDA growth, and cash flow improvements, indicating strong financial performance. However, the slower net sales growth and increased return rates presented notable challenges. Overall, the positive aspects and strategic initiatives suggest a favorable outlook, but sales growth remains a concern.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA increased by 45% year-over-year to $25 million, marking the highest ever for a third quarter.
Gross Margin Expansion
Consolidated gross margin increased to 54.6%, a gain of nearly 3.5 percentage points year-over-year, significantly outperforming guidance.
Cash Position Strengthening
Free cash flows tripled, increasing cash position by $63 million or 25% year-over-year, with no debt on the balance sheet.
International Growth in China
REVOLVE segment net sales in Mainland China increased more than 50% year-over-year.
Owned Brand Success
Owned brand penetration increased for the third consecutive quarter, contributing to higher-than-expected gross margins.
AI Integration for Efficiency
AI is being leveraged to drive efficiency across design and back-office functions, resulting in cost efficiencies and improved productivity.
Negative Updates
Slower Net Sales Growth
Net sales increased by only 4% year-over-year in the third quarter, which is lower than recent trends and expectations.
Higher Return Rates
Slight increase in return rate year-over-year, affecting fulfillment costs and overall margin.
Challenges in Asian Regions
Continued challenges in certain Asian regions partially offset the international growth.
Company Guidance
During Revolve Group's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance highlighting several key financial metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported a 45% year-over-year increase in adjusted EBITDA, reaching $25 million, driven by a robust 350 basis point increase in gross margins to 54.6%. Despite net sales growth of only 4%, with domestic and international net sales increasing 4% and 6% respectively, Revolve focused on enhancing profitability, resulting in a significant expansion in gross profit dollars. The company is optimistic about its strategic initiatives, including owned brand expansion, which contributed to the quarter's results, and investments in marketing to grow brand awareness. Revolve is also actively pursuing international growth, with notable success in Mainland China, where net sales increased by over 50% year-over-year. Additionally, the company is leveraging AI technology to drive operational efficiencies and is exploring physical retail as a new channel for customer acquisition. Looking forward, Revolve expects its gross margin for the full year 2025 to increase by approximately 100 basis points year-over-year, despite a volatile tariff landscape.

Revolve Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revolve Group exhibits a solid financial position with consistent revenue growth, strong gross margins, and prudent balance sheet management. While profitability margins could be improved, the company's robust cash flow generation and low leverage provide a stable foundation for future growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Revolve Group shows a stable revenue growth trajectory with a 2.29% increase in TTM, although growth has slowed compared to previous years. Gross profit margin remains strong at 52.43%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 4.37%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are modest at 5.56% and 5.25%, respectively, reflecting moderate operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.098, indicating conservative leverage. Return on equity is solid at 11.76%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at a robust level, reflecting a strong capital structure and financial stability.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Revolve Group demonstrates impressive free cash flow growth of 138.22% in TTM, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.15, suggesting efficient conversion of earnings into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.80 indicates a healthy cash flow relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.20B1.13B1.07B1.10B891.39M580.65M
Gross Profit637.16M593.27M554.20M592.32M489.82M305.28M
EBITDA77.81M56.58M27.53M77.93M109.80M65.89M
Net Income55.49M49.56M28.15M58.70M99.84M56.79M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets751.26M665.55M608.89M579.32M480.41M305.75M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments315.43M256.60M245.45M234.72M218.46M146.01M
Total Debt35.29M40.73M40.99M24.50M6.94M0.00
Total Liabilities261.05M227.76M223.75M199.75M163.40M105.69M
Stockholders Equity490.21M438.19M385.14M379.57M317.01M200.06M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow63.37M21.04M39.14M18.27M60.12M71.45M
Operating Cash Flow73.50M26.69M43.34M23.44M62.31M73.77M
Investing Cash Flow-14.29M-9.11M-4.20M-5.17M-2.19M-2.32M
Financing Cash Flow3.74M-5.36M-30.38M887.00K12.77M8.66M

Revolve Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price21.09
Price Trends
50DMA
22.31
Negative
100DMA
21.68
Negative
200DMA
22.53
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Positive
RSI
45.24
Neutral
STOCH
29.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RVLV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.09 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.85, below the 50-day MA of 22.31, and below the 200-day MA of 22.53, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RVLV.

Revolve Group Risk Analysis

Revolve Group disclosed 64 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Revolve Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Revolve Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.40B7.7828.94%-0.38%35.78%
71
Outperform
$1.58B27.3912.19%9.24%35.68%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
58
Neutral
$1.50B37.612.69%3.35%1.97%
58
Neutral
$1.34B-0.40%6.45%-102.30%
53
Neutral
$1.96B-668.80-0.37%-1.58%85.04%
52
Neutral
$983.62M-35.37%-4.90%50.77%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RVLV
Revolve Group
21.09
-10.38
-32.98%
SBH
Sally Beauty
13.76
0.95
7.42%
WINA
Winmark
417.28
17.92
4.49%
EYE
National Vision Holdings
23.48
11.97
104.00%
TDUP
thredUP
7.87
6.94
746.24%
SVV
Savers Value Village Inc.
7.90
-2.24
-22.09%

Revolve Group Corporate Events

Revolve Group’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Nov 6, 2025

Revolve Group’s recent earnings call painted a picture of strong financial performance, marked by significant achievements in gross margin expansion, adjusted EBITDA growth, and cash flow improvements. Despite these positive developments, the company faces challenges with slower net sales growth and increased return rates. The overall sentiment suggests a favorable outlook, though concerns about sales growth persist.

Revolve Group Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 5, 2025

Revolve Group, Inc. is a next-generation fashion retailer catering to Millennial and Generation Z consumers, offering a diverse range of apparel, footwear, accessories, beauty, and home products through its dynamic online platform. The company operates through two segments, REVOLVE and FWRD, providing a curated selection of premium and luxury brands.

Revolve Group’s Earnings Call: Strong Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 7, 2025

Revolve Group’s latest earnings call exuded a positive sentiment, highlighting the company’s impressive achievements in revenue growth, international expansion, and financial stability. Despite facing challenges such as tariffs and a higher tax rate, Revolve demonstrated resilience by generating significant cash flow, improving inventory efficiency, and enhancing technological capabilities, thereby strengthening its competitive position.

Revolve Group Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Performance
Aug 6, 2025

Revolve Group, Inc., a prominent fashion retailer catering to Millennial and Generation Z consumers, specializes in offering a curated selection of apparel, footwear, accessories, beauty, and home products through its online platform. The company operates through two segments, REVOLVE and FWRD, which provide a mix of premium and luxury brands.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025