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Revolve Group (RVLV)
NYSE:RVLV
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Revolve Group (RVLV) AI Stock Analysis

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RVLV

Revolve Group

(NYSE:RVLV)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$25.00
▲(9.36% Upside)
Revolve Group's strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights are the primary drivers of its stock score. The company's robust cash flow and strategic focus on international expansion and AI advancements position it well for future growth. However, valuation concerns and technical resistance limit the overall score.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Revolve second-quarter sales and earnings came in ahead of expectations with better gross margin and modest reductions to some variable cost line items.
International Growth
International growth is robust, with a 17% increase, and owned brands are driving higher sales and margins.
Platform Strength
The company's competitively advantaged platform with customer acquisition and engagement is supported by deep data pools and proprietary systems, a strong balance sheet, and significant optionality for international, new category, and retail expansion.
Negative Factors
Margin Guidance
Management lowered the full-year margin guidance to reflect tariff impacts and a consumer pullback due to macroeconomic uncertainty.
Revenue Growth
Revolve Group was affected as revenue growth slowed, which the company attributed to macro impacts and customers opting for lower-priced items.
Tariffs
The company has mid-teens direct import exposure to China, which remains a risk due to high tariffs.

Revolve Group (RVLV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Revolve Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRevolve Group, Inc. operates as an online fashion retailer for consumers in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, REVOLVE and FWRD. It operates a platform that connects consumers and global fashion influencers, as well as emerging, established, and owned brands. The company offers women's apparel, footwear, accessories, and beauty styles under established and emerging brands, as well as owned brands. It also provides various luxury brands. The company was formerly known as Advance Holdings, LLC and changed its name to Revolve Group, Inc. in October 2018. Revolve Group, Inc. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Cerritos, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyRevolve Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of clothing, accessories, and footwear on its e-commerce platform. The company operates a direct-to-consumer model, allowing it to maintain higher margins by selling products directly to customers without intermediaries. Key revenue streams include sales from its proprietary brands and third-party brands featured on its site. Additionally, Revolve benefits from strategic partnerships with social media influencers and fashion bloggers who promote its products, driving traffic and sales. The company also leverages data analytics to optimize inventory management and enhance customer personalization, contributing to increased sales and customer loyalty.

Revolve Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Active Customers
Total Active Customers
Measures the number of customers who have made a purchase within a specific period, showing customer engagement and the potential for repeat business.
Chart InsightsRevolve Group's active customer base has shown consistent growth, reaching 2.74 million by mid-2025. This upward trend aligns with the company's strategic focus on international expansion and leveraging AI for enhanced customer experiences. The earnings call highlights robust revenue growth and improved operational efficiencies, contributing to this customer growth. Despite challenges like tariff pressures and a higher tax rate, Revolve's focus on owned brands and technological innovations has bolstered its competitive position, suggesting continued momentum in expanding its customer base.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Revolve Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Revolve showcased strong financial performance with significant revenue growth, particularly in international markets, and impressive cash flow generation. While the company successfully mitigated many of the negative impacts from tariffs, challenges such as a decrease in average order value and increased tax rates were noted. However, the positive highlights, including the growth of owned brands and advancements in AI, suggest a strong strategic positioning.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Net sales increased by 9% year-over-year, marking the first time quarterly revenue surpassed $300 million.
Significant Free Cash Flow Generation
Generated $52 million in free cash flow in the first half of 2025, nearly triple the free cash flow for the full year of 2024.
International Market Expansion
International net sales increased by 17% year-over-year, with China being a notable market where sales have more than doubled over the past two years.
Owned Brands Growth
Owned brand net sales growth has outpaced overall growth for five consecutive quarters, contributing positively to gross margins.
Enhanced Gross Margin
Delivered a slight increase in gross margin year-over-year despite tariff pressures, supported by successful tariff mitigation efforts.
AI and Technology Advancements
Implemented new AI search algorithms that improved conversion rates, and invested in AI across various company operations, including customer service and marketing.
Negative Updates
Tariff Challenges
Faced significant uncertainty and expenses due to tariffs, although mitigated to some extent, leading to a complex operating environment.
Decrease in Average Order Value
Average order value decreased by 2% year-over-year, primarily due to a shift in product mix.
Increased Tax Rate
The effective tax rate increased to 33.7% from 25.7% in the prior year, affecting net income.
Other Income Decrease
A significant $7.2 million year-over-year decrease in other income due to foreign currency exchange losses and a noncash charge related to the disposal of a subsidiary.
Company Guidance
During Revolve's second-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a 9% year-over-year increase in net sales, with adjusted EBITDA rising by 12% and achieving the highest adjusted EBITDA margin in three years. The company generated $52 million in free cash flow in the first half of 2025, nearly tripling the free cash flow from the entire year of 2024. International net sales saw a robust 17% growth, with significant contributions from China. Owned brand sales, contributing to higher margins, continued to outpace overall growth. Despite tariff pressures, Revolve successfully mitigated a significant portion, leading to a slight increase in gross margin. The company also highlighted a decrease in product return rates by more than 1.5 percentage points, leveraging 60 basis points in variable cost line items. Cash and equivalents reached an all-time high of $311 million, marking a 27% increase year-over-year. Looking forward, Revolve anticipates gross margins between 52.1% and 52.6% for full-year 2025, reflecting positive impacts from tariff mitigation and strategic investments in AI and physical retail.

Revolve Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revolve Group exhibits a solid financial position with consistent revenue growth, strong gross margins, and prudent balance sheet management. While profitability margins could be improved, the company's robust cash flow generation and low leverage provide a stable foundation for future growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Revolve Group shows a stable revenue growth trajectory with a 2.29% increase in TTM, although growth has slowed compared to previous years. Gross profit margin remains strong at 52.43%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 4.37%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are modest at 5.56% and 5.25%, respectively, reflecting moderate operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.098, indicating conservative leverage. Return on equity is solid at 11.76%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at a robust level, reflecting a strong capital structure and financial stability.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Revolve Group demonstrates impressive free cash flow growth of 138.22% in TTM, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.15, suggesting efficient conversion of earnings into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.80 indicates a healthy cash flow relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.18B1.13B1.07B1.10B891.39M580.65M
Gross Profit620.51M593.27M554.20M592.32M489.82M305.28M
EBITDA64.05M56.58M27.53M77.93M109.80M65.89M
Net Income45.29M49.56M28.15M58.70M99.84M56.79M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets722.92M665.55M608.89M579.32M480.41M305.75M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments310.72M256.60M245.45M234.72M218.46M146.01M
Total Debt37.53M40.73M40.99M24.50M6.94M0.00
Total Liabilities254.34M227.76M223.75M199.75M163.40M105.69M
Stockholders Equity468.59M438.19M385.14M379.57M317.01M200.06M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow63.88M21.04M39.14M18.27M60.12M71.45M
Operating Cash Flow70.73M26.69M43.34M23.44M62.31M73.77M
Investing Cash Flow-11.98M-9.11M-4.20M-5.17M-2.19M-2.32M
Financing Cash Flow2.59M-5.36M-30.38M887.00K12.77M8.66M

Revolve Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price22.86
Price Trends
50DMA
21.23
Positive
100DMA
20.73
Positive
200DMA
25.15
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.44
Negative
RSI
59.22
Neutral
STOCH
53.38
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RVLV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.53, above the 50-day MA of 21.23, and below the 200-day MA of 25.15, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RVLV.

Revolve Group Risk Analysis

Revolve Group disclosed 64 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Revolve Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Revolve Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$8.27B9.1017.79%2.83%-5.24%-12.89%
77
Outperform
$7.37B23.5222.92%2.53%10.93%-10.83%
75
Outperform
$1.53B35.9110.36%10.68%37.84%
72
Outperform
$3.29B9.2818.42%0.96%-2.20%-17.95%
61
Neutral
$17.96B13.14-5.29%3.00%1.25%-13.95%
57
Neutral
$10.07B17.86%0.87%54.67%
57
Neutral
$5.17B41.75-39.97%2.38%-38.88%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RVLV
Revolve Group
22.86
1.40
6.52%
VIPS
Vipshop
16.97
4.68
38.08%
W
Wayfair
82.80
39.62
91.76%
ETSY
Etsy
52.21
-0.14
-0.27%
ASO
Academy Sports and Outdoors
50.04
-2.12
-4.06%
MNSO
MINISO Group Holding
24.37
8.08
49.60%

Revolve Group Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
Revolve Group Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 6, 2025, Revolve Group held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders where three proposals were presented. The stockholders elected directors to the board, ratified KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, and approved the compensation of the company’s named executive officers on a non-binding advisory basis.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 04, 2025