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Revolve Group (RVLV)
NYSE:RVLV
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Revolve Group (RVLV) AI Stock Analysis

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RVLV

Revolve Group

(NYSE:RVLV)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$24.00
▲(10.91% Upside)
Revolve Group's strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlight its growth potential and strategic progress. However, the high valuation and mixed technical indicators suggest caution. Continued focus on improving profitability and managing external challenges will be crucial for sustaining momentum.
Positive Factors
International Growth
International growth is robust, with a 17% increase, and owned brands are driving higher sales and margins.
Platform Advantage
The company's competitively advantaged platform with customer acquisition and engagement is supported by deep data pools and proprietary systems, a strong balance sheet, and significant optionality for international, new category, and retail expansion.
Profitability
Revolve Group's profitability with EBITDA margins around 8% and strong cash flow is appealing.
Negative Factors
Margin Pressure
Tariffs and markdowns are expected to pressure the company's gross margin.
Sales Slowdown
Management noted a slowdown in growth, with July's increase at 7%, down from 9% in the previous quarter, contributing to negative stock reaction.
Tariff Impact
The company has mid-teens direct import exposure to China, which remains a risk due to high tariffs.

Revolve Group (RVLV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Revolve Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRevolve Group, Inc. (RVLV) is a leading online fashion retailer based in the United States, specializing in the sale of trendy apparel, accessories, and footwear. The company primarily targets millennials and Gen Z consumers through its e-commerce platform, offering a curated selection of popular brands as well as its own private label collections. Revolve operates in the fast-paced fashion industry, emphasizing a strong social media presence and influencer marketing to drive consumer engagement and sales.
How the Company Makes MoneyRevolve Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of clothing, accessories, and footwear on its e-commerce platform. The company operates a direct-to-consumer model, allowing it to maintain higher margins by selling products directly to customers without intermediaries. Key revenue streams include sales from its proprietary brands and third-party brands featured on its site. Additionally, Revolve benefits from strategic partnerships with social media influencers and fashion bloggers who promote its products, driving traffic and sales. The company also leverages data analytics to optimize inventory management and enhance customer personalization, contributing to increased sales and customer loyalty.

Revolve Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Active Customers
Total Active Customers
Measures the number of customers who have made a purchase within a specific period, showing customer engagement and the potential for repeat business.
Chart InsightsRevolve Group's active customer base has shown consistent growth, reaching 2.74 million by mid-2025. This upward trend aligns with the company's strategic focus on international expansion and leveraging AI for enhanced customer experiences. The earnings call highlights robust revenue growth and improved operational efficiencies, contributing to this customer growth. Despite challenges like tariff pressures and a higher tax rate, Revolve's focus on owned brands and technological innovations has bolstered its competitive position, suggesting continued momentum in expanding its customer base.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Revolve Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.54%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Revolve demonstrated a strong quarter with notable achievements in revenue growth, international expansion, and financial stability, despite facing challenges from tariffs and a higher tax rate. The company's ability to generate significant cash flow, improve inventory efficiency, and enhance its technological capabilities further strengthens its competitive position.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Net sales increased 9% year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA increased 12% year-over-year, delivering the highest adjusted EBITDA margin in 3 years.
Significant Cash Flow Generation
The company generated $52 million in free cash flow during the first 6 months of 2025, nearly 3x the free cash flow achieved for the full year in 2024.
International Expansion Success
International net sales increased 17% year-over-year, with notable growth in China where REVOLVE segment sales more than doubled over the past 2 years.
Owned Brands Growth
Owned brand sales outpaced overall growth, contributing to increased penetration and improved gross margins.
FWRD Segment Performance
FWRD net sales increased 10% year-over-year, and gross profit increased 16%, despite challenges in the global luxury market.
Inventory Efficiency
Net sales increased 9% year-over-year while inventory balance declined 6%, demonstrating improved inventory dynamics.
AI and Technology Innovations
Enhanced AI search algorithms and personalization capabilities contributed to improved conversion rates and operational efficiencies.
Robust Financial Position
Cash and equivalents grew to an all-time high of $311 million, a 27% increase year-over-year, with no debt.
Negative Updates
Tariff Challenges
Continued pressure from increased tariff rates, though mitigation efforts have been moderately successful.
Moderate July Sales Growth
Net sales in July increased by approximately 7% year-over-year, indicating a slowdown compared to previous months.
Higher Effective Tax Rate
The effective tax rate increased to 33.7% in the second quarter, up from 25.7% in the prior year.
Lower Average Order Value
Average order value decreased by 2% year-over-year, primarily due to a shift in product mix.
Company Guidance
During Revolve's Second Quarter 2025 call, the company reported a robust set of metrics showcasing continued growth and strategic progress. Net sales increased by 9% year-over-year, with domestic sales up 7% and international sales growing by 17%. The company's adjusted EBITDA rose by 12%, marking the highest adjusted EBITDA margin achieved in three years. Revolve generated $52 million in free cash flow during the first half of 2025, nearly tripling the cash flow for the entire year of 2024. Inventory balance decreased by 6% year-over-year, contributing to healthy cash flow and efficient operations. The gross margin saw a slight expansion despite increased tariff pressures, aided by successful tariff mitigation efforts and an increased mix of owned brands. The company also noted a decrease in the product return rate by over 1.5 points year-over-year. Their strong cash position reached an all-time high of $311 million, reflecting a 27% increase from the previous year. Looking ahead, Revolve remains optimistic about its strategic investments and growth opportunities, including brand marketing, international expansion, and leveraging AI for enhanced operational efficiency.

Revolve Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revolve Group exhibits a solid financial position with consistent revenue growth, strong gross margins, and prudent balance sheet management. While profitability margins could be improved, the company's robust cash flow generation and low leverage provide a stable foundation for future growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Revolve Group shows a stable revenue growth trajectory with a 2.29% increase in TTM, although growth has slowed compared to previous years. Gross profit margin remains strong at 52.43%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 4.37%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are modest at 5.56% and 5.25%, respectively, reflecting moderate operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.098, indicating conservative leverage. Return on equity is solid at 11.76%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at a robust level, reflecting a strong capital structure and financial stability.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Revolve Group demonstrates impressive free cash flow growth of 138.22% in TTM, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.15, suggesting efficient conversion of earnings into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.80 indicates a healthy cash flow relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.18B1.13B1.07B1.10B891.39M580.65M
Gross Profit620.51M593.27M554.20M592.32M489.82M305.28M
EBITDA64.05M56.58M27.53M77.93M109.80M65.89M
Net Income45.29M49.56M28.15M58.70M99.84M56.79M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets722.92M665.55M608.89M579.32M480.41M305.75M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments310.72M256.60M245.45M234.72M218.46M146.01M
Total Debt37.53M40.73M40.99M24.50M6.94M0.00
Total Liabilities254.34M227.76M223.75M199.75M163.40M105.69M
Stockholders Equity468.59M438.19M385.14M379.57M317.01M200.06M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow63.88M21.04M39.14M18.27M60.12M71.45M
Operating Cash Flow70.73M26.69M43.34M23.44M62.31M73.77M
Investing Cash Flow-11.98M-9.11M-4.20M-5.17M-2.19M-2.32M
Financing Cash Flow2.59M-5.36M-30.38M887.00K12.77M8.66M

Revolve Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price21.64
Price Trends
50DMA
21.00
Positive
100DMA
20.64
Positive
200DMA
25.64
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.20
Positive
RSI
56.95
Neutral
STOCH
57.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RVLV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.86, above the 50-day MA of 21.00, and below the 200-day MA of 25.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.20 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RVLV.

Revolve Group Risk Analysis

Revolve Group disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Revolve Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Revolve Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$8.09B8.1719.00%2.93%-5.90%-11.16%
75
Outperform
$6.12B18.2824.98%2.96%9.80%-6.33%
74
Outperform
$1.47B34.3910.36%10.68%37.84%
72
Outperform
$3.46B9.5820.14%0.87%-3.57%-17.43%
63
Neutral
£1.73B10.494.37%3.49%0.66%-39.52%
63
Neutral
$6.59B56.05-39.97%2.38%-38.88%
56
Neutral
$9.68B17.86%0.87%54.67%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RVLV
Revolve Group
21.69
-2.09
-8.79%
VIPS
Vipshop
17.33
4.10
30.99%
W
Wayfair
79.05
34.90
79.05%
ETSY
Etsy
68.21
14.48
26.95%
ASO
Academy Sports and Outdoors
54.81
2.01
3.81%
MNSO
MINISO Group Holding
19.52
4.80
32.61%

Revolve Group Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
Revolve Group Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 6, 2025, Revolve Group held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders where three proposals were presented. The stockholders elected directors to the board, ratified KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, and approved the compensation of the company’s named executive officers on a non-binding advisory basis.

The most recent analyst rating on (RVLV) stock is a Buy with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Revolve Group stock, see the RVLV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025