Revolve Group (RVLV)
NYSE:RVLV
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Revolve Group
(NYSE:RVLV)
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Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$20.00
▼(-26.74% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
RVLV scores as moderately attractive, driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong margins, profitability rebound, and low leverage) and a constructive earnings update with strong growth and cash generation. Offsetting these positives are weak technicals (price below key moving averages with negative momentum) and a valuation that is not cheap at ~28x earnings, which increases execution sensitivity.
Positive Factors
Gross margin stability
Sustained ~52–55% gross margins indicate durable pricing power and favorable product mix across REVOLVE and FORWARD. High gross margins provide structural operating leverage, helping the company absorb input-cost pressure and fund marketing/G&A while preserving long-term profitability.
Negative Factors
Variable cash conversion
Inconsistent conversion of earnings to cash introduces quality-of-earnings risk; uneven OCF implies working-capital swings or timing differences that can impair the sustainability of FCF. This variability makes capital allocation and margin durability harder to predict over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Gross margin stability
Sustained ~52–55% gross margins indicate durable pricing power and favorable product mix across REVOLVE and FORWARD. High gross margins provide structural operating leverage, helping the company absorb input-cost pressure and fund marketing/G&A while preserving long-term profitability.
Read all positive factors
Revolve Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Total Active Customers
Measures the number of customers who have made a purchase within a specific period, showing customer engagement and the potential for repeat business.
Measures the number of customers who have made a purchase within a specific period, showing customer engagement and the potential for repeat business.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyRevolve Group (RVLV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$1.33B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)1.27M
Price to Earnings (P/E)28.1
Beta (1Y)1.82
Revenue Growth10.02%
EPS Growth26.46%
CountryUS
Employees1,632
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustrySpecialty Retail
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.90
Shares Outstanding41,412,365
10 Day Avg. Volume2,047,293
30 Day Avg. Volume1,265,784
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.44
Price to Book (P/B)4.20
Price to Sales (P/S)1.76
P/FCF Ratio44.85
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.76
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.79
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit1.48
Enterprise Value/Ebitda10.99
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$28.67Price Target Upside5.01% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering14
EPS Forecast (FY)0.91
Revenue Forecast (FY)$1.36B
Revolve Group Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Revolve Group, Inc. operates as an online fashion retailer for consumers in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, REVOLVE and FWRD. It operates a platform that connects consumers and global fashion influencer...
How the Company Makes Money
Revolve Group makes money primarily by selling merchandise directly to consumers through its online stores. Revenue is generated mainly from (1) product sales across categories such as women’s and men’s apparel, footwear, accessories, and beauty, ...
Revolve Group Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted broad-based, double-digit top-line momentum (16% sales growth), strong profitability and cash generation (EPS +25%, strong operating and free cash flow), effective brand-building (Revolve LA, GrowGood, Festival) and technology-driven conversion gains (AI). Near-term headwinds include geopolitical weakness in the Middle East, input cost inflation (freight and petroleum-based materials), elevated marketing and G&A investments to fuel new initiatives, and slight volatility in full-price mix and inventory/timing risks. Overall, the company demonstrates clear operational and strategic progress with manageable near-term cost and cadence pressures.Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line Growth
Net sales of $343 million, up 16% year over year — the highest growth rate in nearly four years — with broad-based double-digit growth across REVOLVE (+15%), FORWARD (+17%), domestic (+15%), and international (+20%).
Negative Updates
Geopolitical Headwinds in the Middle East
Meaningful slowdown in the Middle East beginning in March that carried into April and into Q2, negatively impacting international cadence despite overall international growth of 20% in Q1.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Top-Line Growth
Net sales of $343 million, up 16% year over year — the highest growth rate in nearly four years — with broad-based double-digit growth across REVOLVE (+15%), FORWARD (+17%), domestic (+15%), and international (+20%).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided to continued improvement in Q2/Q4 profitability while investing to drive growth, reporting net sales through April up ~14% year‑over‑year and reiterating Q2 gross margin of 54.1%–54.6% (FY guide 53.5%–54.0%, each implying ~+25 bps YoY at the midpoints). They expect fulfillment of ~3.2% of sales in Q2 (3.2%–3.4% FY), selling & distribution of ~17.5% in Q2 (17.1%–17.3% FY), and marketing of ~15.7% in Q2 (15.3%–15.8% FY). Q2 G&A was guided to roughly $43M with FY G&A of $164M–$168M (higher partly from performance equity and Cardi B JV investments), and an effective tax rate of ~24%–26% for 2026. Recent operating metrics included Q1 net sales of $343M (+16% YoY), Q1 operating cash flow $49M and free cash flow $45M (+95% YoY), cash & equivalents of $336M (up $33M since year‑end), inventory of $245M (+15% YoY), AOV +1% (expected flat to slight increase), and management noted tougher Q2 comps, Middle East softness, and that tariff refund timing (60–90 days) is not included in guidance.Revolve Group Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
73
Positive
Balance Sheet
84
Very Positive
Cash Flow
67
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.27B | 1.23B | 1.13B | 1.07B | 1.10B | 891.39M |
| Gross Profit | 682.11M | 655.78M | 593.27M | 554.20M | 592.32M | 489.82M |
| EBITDA | 91.88M | 86.90M | 56.58M | 27.23M | 77.93M | 109.80M |
| Net Income | 64.24M | 61.71M | 49.56M | 28.15M | 58.70M | 99.84M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 821.40M | 765.00M | 665.55M | 608.89M | 579.32M | 480.41M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 335.85M | 292.26M | 256.60M | 245.45M | 234.72M | 218.46M |
| Total Debt | 33.41M | 32.45M | 40.73M | 40.99M | 24.50M | 6.94M |
| Total Liabilities | 293.15M | 252.47M | 227.76M | 223.75M | 199.75M | 163.40M |
| Stockholders Equity | 528.25M | 512.53M | 438.19M | 385.14M | 379.57M | 317.01M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 46.89M | 47.99M | 21.04M | 39.14M | 18.27M | 60.12M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 63.67M | 59.40M | 26.69M | 43.34M | 23.44M | 62.31M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -28.01M | -14.87M | -9.11M | -4.20M | -5.17M | -2.19M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -1.40M | -1.39M | -5.36M | -30.38M | 887.00K | 12.77M |
Revolve Group Technical Analysis
Negative
27.30
Price Trends
23.30
Negative
25.60
Negative
24.26
Negative
Market Momentum
-1.81
Positive
30.11
Neutral
17.85
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RVLV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 27.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.76, above the 50-day MA of 23.30, and above the 200-day MA of 24.26, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.81 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.85 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RVLV.
Revolve Group Risk Analysis
Revolve Group disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Revolve Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Revolve Group Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
66 Neutral | $1.33B | 28.14 | 12.85% | ― | 10.02% | 26.46% | |
62 Neutral | $1.26B | 40.31 | -100.45% | 3.35% | 2.27% | -1.23% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
61 Neutral | $1.13B | 7.84 | 22.86% | ― | 0.77% | 2.73% | |
57 Neutral | $1.40B | 15.13 | 5.36% | ― | 9.20% | ― | |
57 Neutral | $525.20M | -16.18 | -36.11% | ― | 10.25% | 70.25% | |
54 Neutral | $1.11B | -55.24 | 5.19% | ― | 10.20% | -7.90% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
RVLV
Revolve Group
18.39
-2.25
-10.90%
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EYE
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TDUP
thredUP
4.05
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SVV
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7.10
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-28.14%
Revolve Group Corporate Events
Executive/Board Changes
Revolve Group Refreshes Board with New Audit Chair
Positive
Mar 20, 2026
On March 18, 2026, Revolve Group, Inc. appointed Erinn Murphy to its board of directors, effective immediately, and named her chair of the Audit Committee and a member of the Compensation Committee. Murphy brings extensive capital markets and fina...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.