Revolve Group (RVLV)
NYSE:RVLV
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Revolve Group
(NYSE:RVLV)
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Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$25.00
▲(12.61% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/20/26
The score is driven primarily by strong underlying financial quality (low leverage, solid margins, multi-year growth) and a generally positive earnings outlook with improving gross margin and demand momentum. Offsetting these are notably weak technicals (price below key moving averages with bearish momentum) and a growth-leaning valuation (P/E ~29) without dividend support, plus near-term uncertainty from tariffs and higher marketing investment pressuring EBITDA leverage.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Low leverage, a large cash buffer and healthy ROE (~12% in 2025) provide durable financial flexibility. This supports sustained investment in marketing, owned‑brand development and measured retail expansion while helping absorb tariff or inventory shocks without forcing external financing.
Negative Factors
Tariff-related gross margin risk
Tariff timing, levels and potential refunds inject structural variability into costs and margins. Because guidance is sensitive to tariff outcomes, sustained tariff exposure could reverse recent gross‑margin gains and complicate multi‑period planning for pricing, sourcing and inventory strategies.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Low leverage, a large cash buffer and healthy ROE (~12% in 2025) provide durable financial flexibility. This supports sustained investment in marketing, owned‑brand development and measured retail expansion while helping absorb tariff or inventory shocks without forcing external financing.
Read all positive factors
Revolve Group (RVLV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$1.59B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)1.25M
Price to Earnings (P/E)29.0
Beta (1Y)1.86
Revenue Growth9.24%
EPS Growth35.68%
CountryUS
Employees1,632
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustrySpecialty Retail
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.26
Shares Outstanding41,253,120
10 Day Avg. Volume700,670
30 Day Avg. Volume1,248,073
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.44
Price to Book (P/B)4.20
Price to Sales (P/S)1.76
P/FCF Ratio44.85
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.84
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.08
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit2.02
Enterprise Value/Ebitda14.79
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$29.91Price Target Upside34.73% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering13
EPS Forecast (FY)0.91
Revenue Forecast (FY)$1.33B
Revolve Group Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Revolve Group, Inc. operates as an online fashion retailer for consumers in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, REVOLVE and FWRD. It operates a platform that connects consumers and global fashion influencer...
How the Company Makes Money
Revolve Group makes money primarily by selling merchandise directly to consumers through its online stores. Revenue is generated mainly from (1) product sales across categories such as women’s and men’s apparel, footwear, accessories, and beauty, ...
Revolve Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Total Active Customers
Measures the number of customers who have made a purchase within a specific period, showing customer engagement and the potential for repeat business.
Measures the number of customers who have made a purchase within a specific period, showing customer engagement and the potential for repeat business.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyRevolve Group Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 24, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a strong set of operating and financial results — double-digit Q4 revenue growth, sizable EBITDA and net income expansion, robust cash generation, meaningful gross margin improvement, category diversification (notably beauty), FWRD momentum, owned brand progress, and multiple AI-led revenue and efficiency gains. Offsetting risks include tariff-related uncertainty that can impact gross margin, planned higher marketing investments in 2026 that will pressure near-term leverage, some one-time G&A items, and the early-stage nature and cost of physical retail expansion. On balance, the highlights materially outweigh the lowlights, as the company demonstrated improving top-line momentum, expanding profitability, healthy cash flow, and a concrete plan to invest for future growth while maintaining a strong balance sheet.Positive Updates
Fourth Quarter Revenue Growth
Net sales of $324 million in Q4, up 10% year-over-year; 2-year stacked revenue growth of 26% (improved 11 points vs Q3). REVOLVE segment +10% and FWRD segment +14% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Tariff-Related Uncertainty
Management cited tariff pressures as a material uncertainty for gross margin and supply chain; outlook and gross margin guidance are sensitive to timing and level of tariffs and mitigation outcomes (including pending Supreme Court implications not modeled).
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Fourth Quarter Revenue Growth
Net sales of $324 million in Q4, up 10% year-over-year; 2-year stacked revenue growth of 26% (improved 11 points vs Q3). REVOLVE segment +10% and FWRD segment +14% year-over-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided Q1 2026 gross margin of 52.8%–53.3% (≈+105 bps YoY at the midpoint) and full‑year 2026 gross margin of 53.7%–54.2% (≈+45 bps YoY at the midpoint), noting stronger year‑over‑year margin expansion in H1 as they lap markdown‑algorithm gains from H2 2025 and that outlook is sensitive to current tariff timing/mitigation (does not assume any potential refunds). They expect fulfillment of ~3.2% of net sales in Q1 and 3.2%–3.4% for the full year (≈+10 bps YoY midpoint); selling & distribution of ~17.1% in Q1 and 17.1%–17.3% for FY (≈+30 bps Q1, ≈+10 bps FY midpoint); marketing of ~15.7% in Q1 and 15.3%–15.8% for FY (implying ≈+140 bps Q1 and ≈+125 bps FY at the midpoint) to support brand and owned‑brand initiatives; G&A of ~$40.5m in Q1 and $161m–$164m for FY (midpoint ≈+4% YoY); an effective tax rate of ~24%–26% for FY; and a near‑term adjusted EBITDA profile that is roughly flat (implied ~7.5% EBITDA margin), while noting quarter‑to‑date net sales through the first seven weeks of 2026 are up ~16% and inventory, tariff, and macro variability could affect results.Revolve Group Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
Cash Flow
67
Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 1.23B | 1.13B | 1.07B | 1.10B | 891.39M |
| Gross Profit | 655.78M | 593.27M | 554.20M | 592.32M | 489.82M |
| EBITDA | 86.90M | 56.58M | 27.23M | 77.93M | 109.80M |
| Net Income | 61.71M | 49.56M | 28.15M | 58.70M | 99.84M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 765.00M | 665.55M | 608.89M | 579.32M | 480.41M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 292.26M | 256.60M | 245.45M | 234.72M | 218.46M |
| Total Debt | 32.45M | 40.73M | 40.99M | 24.50M | 6.94M |
| Total Liabilities | 252.47M | 227.76M | 223.75M | 199.75M | 163.40M |
| Stockholders Equity | 512.53M | 438.19M | 385.14M | 379.57M | 317.01M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 47.99M | 21.04M | 39.14M | 18.27M | 60.12M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 59.40M | 26.69M | 43.34M | 23.44M | 62.31M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -14.87M | -9.11M | -4.20M | -5.17M | -2.19M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -1.39M | -5.36M | -30.38M | 887.00K | 12.77M |
Revolve Group Technical Analysis
Negative
22.20
Price Trends
25.12
Negative
26.02
Negative
23.85
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.86
Negative
40.36
Neutral
49.03
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RVLV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 22.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.03, below the 50-day MA of 25.12, and below the 200-day MA of 23.85, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.86 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RVLV.
Revolve Group Risk Analysis
Revolve Group disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Revolve Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Revolve Group Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
71 Outperform | $1.55B | 34.96 | ― | 3.35% | 3.35% | 1.97% | |
67 Neutral | $1.59B | 29.01 | 12.82% | ― | 9.24% | 35.68% | |
64 Neutral | $1.37B | 7.65 | 23.43% | ― | -0.42% | 31.64% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
60 Neutral | $1.15B | 16.40 | 5.37% | ― | 6.45% | -102.30% | |
53 Neutral | $430.66M | -38.47 | -34.47% | ― | -4.90% | 50.77% | |
51 Neutral | $1.90B | 69.37 | 3.47% | ― | -1.58% | 85.04% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
RVLV
Revolve Group
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Revolve Group Corporate Events
Executive/Board Changes
Revolve Group Refreshes Board with New Audit Chair
Positive
Mar 20, 2026
On March 18, 2026, Revolve Group, Inc. appointed Erinn Murphy to its board of directors, effective immediately, and named her chair of the Audit Committee and a member of the Compensation Committee. Murphy brings extensive capital markets and fina...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Revolve Group Extends Credit Facility, Enhancing Liquidity Flexibility
Positive
Feb 4, 2026
On February 2, 2026, Revolve Group, Inc. executed a First Amendment to its existing Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, originally dated March 23, 2021, with subsidiaries Alliance Apparel Group, Inc., Eminent, Inc., and Advance Development, Inc...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.