tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Vipshop Holdings Limited (VIPS)
NYSE:VIPS
Advertisement

Vipshop (VIPS) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,493 Followers

Top Page

VIPS

Vipshop

(NYSE:VIPS)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 81 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$23.50
▲(16.16% Upside)
Vipshop's overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance and attractive valuation, which are supported by positive technical indicators. The earnings call provided a balanced view with growth in customer base and technological advancements, although challenges in maintaining profit margins were noted. The stock's undervaluation and dividend yield further enhance its investment appeal.
Positive Factors
Customer Growth
The increase in active super VIP customers indicates strong customer loyalty and engagement, which can drive sustained revenue growth and market share expansion.
AI Integration
AI integration enhances operational efficiency and customer experience, potentially leading to increased sales and competitive advantage in the e-commerce sector.
Net Income Growth
The significant increase in net income reflects effective cost management and strategic investments, supporting financial health and shareholder value.
Negative Factors
Decline in Gross Profit Margin
A decline in profit margins suggests challenges in cost control and pricing power, which could impact long-term profitability if not addressed.
Increased Operating Expenses
Rising operating expenses can pressure profit margins and reduce financial flexibility, potentially hindering future growth initiatives.
Operational Cash Flow Concerns
Zero operating cash flow indicates potential liquidity issues, which could limit the company's ability to invest in growth and manage debt effectively.

Vipshop (VIPS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vipshop Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVipshop Holdings Limited operates online platforms for various brands in the People's Republic of China. It operates in Vip.com, Shan Shan Outlets, and Others segments. The company offers women's apparel, such as casual wear, jeans, dresses, outerwear, lingerie, pajamas, and maternity clothes; men's apparel comprising casual and smart-casual T-shirts, polo shirts, jackets, pants, and underwear; and skin care and cosmetic products, including cleansers, lotions, face and body creams, face masks, sunscreen, foundations, lipsticks, eye shadows, and other cosmetics-related items. It also provides shoes and bags, which comprises casual and formal shoes, purses, satchels, luggage, duffel bags, and wallets; handbags; apparel, gears and accessories, furnishings and decor, toys, and games for boys, girls, infants, and toddlers; sportswear, sports gear, and footwear for various sporting activities; home furnishings, such as bed and bath products, home decor, kitchen and tabletop items, and home appliances; and consumer electronic products. In addition, the company offers food and snacks, beverages, fresh produce, and pet goods; beauty products; and internet finance services, including consumer and supplier financing, and microcredit. Vipshop Holdings Limited provides its branded products through its vip.com and vipshop.com online platforms, as well as through its internet website and cellular phone application. Further, it offers warehousing, logistics, product procurement, research and development, technology development, and consulting services; software development and information technology support solutions; and supply chain services. Vipshop Holdings Limited was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China.
How the Company Makes MoneyVipshop generates revenue primarily through the sale of discounted branded products to consumers via its e-commerce platform. The company's revenue model is based on a combination of direct sales and consignment sales, where it partners with various brands and manufacturers to sell their products. Key revenue streams include sales from flash sales events, membership fees for exclusive access to premium offers, and advertising income from brands looking to promote their products on the platform. Additionally, Vipshop benefits from its significant partnerships with domestic and international brands, which help to secure inventory at competitive pricing, ultimately enhancing its profit margins. The company also leverages data analytics to optimize its inventory management and marketing strategies, further contributing to its earnings.

Vipshop Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 20, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed outlook with positive developments in customer growth, net income, and AI advancements, countered by challenges in profit margins and increased operating expenses. While there is optimism about future revenue growth and technological integration, some concerns remain about maintaining profitability.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Growth in Active Customers and Super VIP Membership
Total active customers regained year-over-year growth, with active super VIP customers growing by 11% year-over-year, contributing 51% of online spending.
Net Income and Shareholder Returns
Net income attributable to Vipshop Holdings Limited shareholders increased by 16.8% year-over-year to RMB1.2 billion. Over $730 million has been returned to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks.
Revenue Growth and Future Outlook
Total net revenues for the third quarter increased by 3.4% year-over-year to RMB21.4 billion. The company expects total net revenues for 2025 to be between RMB33.2 billion and RMB34.9 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of approximately 0% to 5%.
AI Integration and Technological Advancements
Deployment of AI agents to enhance key areas including search, recommendations, customer service, and marketing. Notable improvements in customer experience with AI-powered try-on features and AI advertising.
Negative Updates
Decline in Gross Profit and Operating Margin
Gross profit was RMB4.9 billion compared with RMB5 billion in the prior year period. Gross margin decreased to 23% from 24%, and operating margin declined to 5.9% from 6.4%.
Increased Operating Expenses
Total operating expenses increased to RMB3.9 billion from RMB3.8 billion in the prior year period. Fulfillment, marketing, and general administrative expenses saw year-over-year increases impacting overall profitability.
Challenges in Maintaining Profit Margins
Despite revenue growth, efforts to provide customer incentives have led to a decline in profit margins. Management highlighted the difficulty of maintaining stable profit margins amidst competitive pressures.
Company Guidance
During Vipshop Holdings Limited's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the management provided guidance that highlighted a continued focus on sustainable and profitable growth, driven by improvements in customer trends and category performance. The company reported a 3.4% year-over-year increase in total net revenues to RMB21.4 billion, with active super VIP customers growing by 11% year-over-year, contributing 51% of online spending. Despite a slight decline in gross profit margin to 23% from 24% the previous year, net income attributable to shareholders increased by 16.8% to RMB1.2 billion. Looking forward to 2025, Vipshop anticipates total net revenues to range between RMB33.2 billion and RMB34.9 billion, representing a potential year-over-year increase of up to 5%. The company is also committed to returning no less than 75% of the RMB9 billion full-year 2024 non-GAAP net income to shareholders, having already returned over $730 million through dividends and buybacks.

Vipshop Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vipshop demonstrates solid financial health with strong profitability and a robust balance sheet, indicative of prudent financial management. While past cash flows have been strong, recent operational cash flow issues need monitoring. Overall, the company is well-positioned for continued growth in the retail sector.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
The company exhibits strong profitability with a high gross profit margin and consistent net profit margins over the years. Revenue has shown fluctuations but remains robust, indicating resilience in a competitive retail sector. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
Vipshop maintains a solid balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio and strong equity ratio, showcasing financial stability and low leverage. The return on equity is impressive, reflecting efficient use of equity capital. The company's assets and equity have been growing, supporting future expansion.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a volatile but positive free cash flow trend, indicating good cash generation capability. However, recent operating cash flow dropped to zero, raising concerns about operational cash sustainability. Nonetheless, previous years show strong free cash flow to net income ratios, highlighting effective cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue105.97B108.42B112.86B103.15B117.06B101.86B
Gross Profit24.72B25.47B25.72B21.62B23.11B21.29B
EBITDA9.58B10.41B11.53B7.50B6.58B6.78B
Net Income6.92B7.74B8.12B6.30B4.68B5.91B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets73.58B74.94B72.32B65.48B62.29B58.94B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments27.22B28.22B27.40B23.53B21.68B19.32B
Total Debt7.32B3.25B2.38B3.79B3.28B2.70B
Total Liabilities32.45B33.39B33.76B31.40B28.46B29.56B
Stockholders Equity39.50B39.97B36.96B32.75B32.63B28.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.005.57B9.18B7.42B3.17B9.55B
Operating Cash Flow0.009.13B14.41B10.52B6.74B11.82B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-3.57B-5.16B1.05B-2.33B-6.70B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-4.97B-6.15B-5.57B-58.79M-20.84M

Vipshop Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price20.23
Price Trends
50DMA
19.04
Positive
100DMA
17.78
Positive
200DMA
16.19
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.25
Negative
RSI
61.85
Neutral
STOCH
91.74
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VIPS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 20.23 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.12, above the 50-day MA of 19.04, and above the 200-day MA of 16.19, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.74 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VIPS.

Vipshop Risk Analysis

Vipshop disclosed 81 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vipshop reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
You must not rely on our dividend policy for return on your investment in our ADSs because the amount, timing, and whether or not we distribute dividends at all is entirely at the discretion of our board of directors. Q4, 2023
2.
There can be no assurance that we will maintain profitable or positive cash flow from operating activities in the future. Q4, 2023

Vipshop Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$9.98B10.5717.92%2.44%-2.18%-7.85%
72
Outperform
$6.12B20.4320.83%3.12%13.37%-19.37%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
57
Neutral
$14.34B3.35%42.99%
55
Neutral
$5.35B37.911.98%-20.98%
54
Neutral
$14.42B98.1134.48%9.04%-56.79%
45
Neutral
$1.50B-102.25%-4.38%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VIPS
Vipshop
20.23
6.86
51.31%
W
Wayfair
110.04
61.26
125.58%
ETSY
Etsy
54.67
-2.56
-4.47%
JMIA
Jumia Technologies AG
12.26
8.51
226.93%
CHWY
Chewy
34.79
1.17
3.48%
MNSO
MINISO Group Holding
19.79
-4.46
-18.39%

Vipshop Corporate Events

Vipshop Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results with Increased Revenues and Net Income
Nov 20, 2025

On November 20, 2025, Vipshop Holdings Limited announced its unaudited financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showing a 3.4% increase in total net revenues year over year to RMB21.4 billion. The company reported a 16.8% rise in net income attributable to shareholders, reaching RMB1.2 billion, driven by strategic investments and strong customer engagement. Despite a slight decrease in gross profit, Vipshop saw growth in active customers and total orders, indicating positive business momentum and effective strategic realignment.

Vipshop Announces Annual General Meeting for December 2025
Nov 12, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Vipshop Holdings Limited announced it will hold its annual general meeting on December 5, 2025, at its headquarters in Guangzhou, China. The meeting will not include any proposals for shareholder approval but will serve as an open forum for shareholders and ADS holders to discuss company affairs with management. The record date for determining shareholders entitled to attend is November 10, 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 02, 2025