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Chewy Inc (CHWY)
NYSE:CHWY

Chewy (CHWY) AI Stock Analysis

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CHWY

Chewy

(NYSE:CHWY)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$35.00
▲(9.41% Upside)
Chewy's overall stock score reflects a mix of strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives, offset by bearish technical indicators and a high valuation. The company's robust cash flow and revenue growth are positive, but the stock's current technical weakness and premium valuation present risks. Investors should monitor for potential technical rebounds and continued execution of strategic initiatives.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Chewy's consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, enhancing its competitive position in the e-commerce sector.
Autoship Program
The Autoship program's success reflects customer loyalty and recurring revenue, providing stability and predictability to Chewy's financial performance.
Gross Margin Expansion
Improved gross margins indicate better cost management and pricing power, contributing to enhanced profitability and financial health over the long term.
Negative Factors
SG&A Deleveraging
Rising SG&A expenses can pressure operating margins, potentially limiting profitability improvements despite revenue growth.
Inbound Processing Costs
Increased processing costs could impact margins if not managed, highlighting potential vulnerabilities in cost structure due to external factors like tariffs.
Low Net Profit Margin
A low net profit margin suggests limited profitability, which can constrain reinvestment capabilities and affect long-term growth potential.

Chewy (CHWY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Chewy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChewy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the pure play e-commerce business in the United States. The company provides pet food and treats, pet supplies and pet medications, and other pet-health products, as well as pet services for dogs, cats, fish, birds, small pets, horses, and reptiles through its www.chewy.com retail Website, as well as its mobile applications. It offers approximately 100,000 products from 3,000 partner brands. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Dania Beach, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyChewy generates revenue primarily through the sale of pet food and supplies via its online platform. The company's key revenue streams include direct product sales, subscription services through autoship, and various promotional partnerships with pet brands and manufacturers. Autoship subscriptions provide a predictable revenue stream, as customers can set up recurring orders for their pet essentials, often at discounted prices. Additionally, Chewy has established partnerships with leading pet product manufacturers, enabling it to offer exclusive products and promotions, which further enhance its sales. The company also invests in customer engagement strategies, such as personalized recommendations and loyalty programs, to increase repeat purchases and drive overall revenue growth.

Chewy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Active Customers
Active Customers
Indicates the total number of customers making purchases, reflecting the company's market reach and customer base growth.
Chart InsightsChewy's active customer base has rebounded after a period of stagnation, reaching 20.9 million by mid-2025, a 4.5% increase. This growth aligns with strategic initiatives like the Chewy Vet Care network and Chewy+ membership program, which are enhancing customer engagement. The earnings call highlighted a record 83% of sales from Autoship customers, underscoring loyalty and recurring revenue. Despite some cost challenges, Chewy's focus on expanding market share and customer experience positions it well for sustained growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Chewy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 31, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was largely positive, with significant revenue growth, improved profitability, and strong performance of strategic initiatives like Chewy+ and health services. However, some challenges remain with SG&A costs and expected margin pressures in Q4.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Q3 net sales grew over 8% year-over-year to $3.12 billion, exceeding the high end of guidance. Autoship customer sales increased by 13.6% to $2.61 billion.
Improved Profitability
Adjusted EBITDA reached $181 million, up 30% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by 100 basis points to 5.8%.
Free Cash Flow Surge
Generated approximately $176 million of free cash flow in the quarter, up nearly $70 million sequentially.
Chewy+ Membership Program Success
Chewy+ continues to outperform expectations, driving higher order frequency and category engagement. Raised annual fee from $49 to $79, with strong conversion retention.
Expansion of Health Services
Chewy Vet Care (CVC) continues to exceed expectations, with two additional practices opened, bringing the total to 14 locations.
Negative Updates
SG&A Challenges
SG&A, excluding share-based compensation and related taxes, was $588.6 million or 18.9% of net sales, including $2.7 million of onetime transaction costs.
Q4 Margins Forecasted to Decline
Guidance implies Q4 EBITDA margins will take a step down on a sequential basis due to higher promotional levels and increased media rates.
Company Guidance
During the Chewy Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported a strong financial performance, with net sales growing by 8.3% year-over-year to $3.12 billion, surpassing their Q3 guidance. Chewy's Autoship program saw a 13.6% increase in sales, reaching $2.61 billion, and active customers grew by nearly 5% to 21.2 million. The firm achieved a gross margin expansion of 50 basis points to 29.8% and a significant rise in adjusted EBITDA by 30% year-over-year to $181 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 5.8%. Free cash flow generation was robust at $176 million, enabling a $55 million share repurchase. Chewy narrowed its full-year 2025 net sales outlook to between $12.58 billion and $12.6 billion, reflecting an 8% year-over-year growth, and adjusted its EBITDA margin outlook to 5.6% to 5.7%. The company continues to focus on expanding its health offerings, with Chewy Vet Care growing to 14 locations and the acquisition of Smart Equine expected to bolster its premium health segment.

Chewy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Chewy shows positive growth trends with improving revenue and cash flow metrics. While profitability margins are modest, the company is managing its leverage better and generating strong cash flows. Continued focus on improving profitability and maintaining financial stability will be crucial for sustained growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Chewy has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 2.03%. The gross profit margin has improved slightly over time, reaching 29.45% in the TTM period. However, the net profit margin remains low at 1.22%, indicating limited profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are modest, reflecting operational challenges but showing improvement over previous periods.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 1.27 in the TTM period, indicating better leverage management compared to previous years. However, the return on equity has decreased significantly to 48.34%, suggesting reduced efficiency in generating profits from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio remains low, highlighting potential financial risk.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Chewy's cash flow position is strong, with a free cash flow growth rate of 3.21% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.28, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.76 suggests efficient conversion of profits into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.35B11.86B11.15B10.12B8.97B7.15B
Gross Profit3.64B3.47B3.16B2.83B2.39B1.82B
EBITDA332.88M271.77M161.50M138.56M-17.72M-54.80M
Net Income151.12M392.74M39.58M49.90M-75.21M-92.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.12B3.01B3.19B2.52B2.09B1.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments591.80M596.66M1.13B678.59M603.08M563.35M
Total Debt494.10M502.40M527.79M471.82M410.17M328.23M
Total Liabilities2.73B2.75B2.68B2.36B2.07B1.74B
Stockholders Equity389.90M261.46M510.24M160.27M14.74M-2.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow462.97M452.49M342.93M119.28M8.55M2.01M
Operating Cash Flow611.28M596.33M486.21M349.57M191.74M132.75M
Investing Cash Flow-153.51M394.57M-287.36M-615.48M-193.27M-123.69M
Financing Cash Flow-560.68M-996.74M71.60M-6.73M41.26M342.20M

Chewy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price31.99
Price Trends
50DMA
34.24
Negative
100DMA
36.46
Negative
200DMA
37.45
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.55
Positive
RSI
38.83
Neutral
STOCH
9.35
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHWY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 31.99 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.59, below the 50-day MA of 34.24, and below the 200-day MA of 37.45, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.55 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.35 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CHWY.

Chewy Risk Analysis

Chewy disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Chewy reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Chewy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$11.82B24.7315.33%10.16%18.29%
69
Neutral
$17.23B21.3417.05%3.33%3.26%-25.41%
62
Neutral
$14.58B22.9722.49%5.46%-0.95%-48.28%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
54
Neutral
$13.28B66.0559.58%9.80%-46.84%
53
Neutral
$3.94B5.924.16%-1.04%-20.88%
51
Neutral
$812.80M-267.59-0.19%-3.85%97.87%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CHWY
Chewy
31.99
-2.04
-5.99%
BBY
Best Buy Co
69.74
-15.07
-17.77%
GPC
Genuine Parts Company
123.86
10.94
9.69%
BBWI
Bath & Body Works
19.25
-17.74
-47.96%
WOOF
Petco Health and Wellness Company
2.93
-1.20
-29.06%
CART
Maplebear
45.03
1.31
3.00%

Chewy Corporate Events

Chewy Inc. Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Performance
Sep 11, 2025

Chewy Inc., a leading online retailer in the pet products industry, offers a wide range of pet supplies and services, emphasizing convenience and customer-centric experiences. In its second quarter of fiscal year 2025, Chewy reported net sales of $3.10 billion, marking an 8.6% increase from the previous year. The company’s gross margin improved to 30.4%, while net income stood at $62 million, despite a decrease in net margin. Chewy’s Autoship program contributed significantly to sales, with a 15% increase, representing 83% of total net sales.

Chewy Inc’s Earnings Call Highlights Strong Growth and Strategic Initiatives
Sep 11, 2025

Chewy Inc’s recent earnings call painted a positive picture of the company’s financial health and strategic direction. The sentiment was largely optimistic, with strong sales growth and gross margin expansion driven by the Autoship program and new private brands. Despite some challenges with SG&A deleverage and temporary cost increases, Chewy’s overall performance and strategic initiatives suggest a promising future.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025