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Chewy (CHWY)
NYSE:CHWY
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Chewy (CHWY) AI Stock Analysis

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CHWY

Chewy

(NYSE:CHWY)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$23.00
▼(-16.42% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/25/26
The score is primarily driven by mixed financial performance—profitability and cash generation have improved versus prior years, but TTM revenue and free cash flow declines plus thin margins and meaningful leverage raise execution risk. Technicals are weak with the stock below key long-term moving averages, and valuation remains demanding with a high P/E and no dividend support. Offsetting these, corporate actions (expanded buyback and finalized CFO transition with profitability focus) are moderately positive.
Positive Factors
Recurring Revenue / Autoship
Chewy’s Autoship recurring-delivery program creates durable revenue visibility and higher customer lifetime value. Persistent subscription-like behavior reduces acquisition frequency and smooths demand, supporting predictable inventory planning, margin improvement, and long-term retention economics.
Negative Factors
Sharp Revenue Decline
A >25% TTM revenue contraction is a durable risk: it erodes operating leverage, compresses margins, and makes restoration of growth and scale more difficult. Persistently lower top line reduces cash flow generation potential and increases sensitivity to competitive pressure and pricing dynamics.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring Revenue / Autoship
Chewy’s Autoship recurring-delivery program creates durable revenue visibility and higher customer lifetime value. Persistent subscription-like behavior reduces acquisition frequency and smooths demand, supporting predictable inventory planning, margin improvement, and long-term retention economics.
Read all positive factors

Chewy (CHWY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Chewy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Chewy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the pure play e-commerce business in the United States. The company provides pet food and treats, pet supplies and pet medications, and other pet-health products, as well as pet services for ...
How the Company Makes Money
Chewy primarily makes money by selling pet products directly to customers through its e-commerce platform. Its largest revenue stream is product sales, especially consumables such as pet food and treats, as well as hardgoods like toys, crates, and...

Chewy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Active Customers
Active Customers
Indicates the total number of customers making purchases, reflecting the company's market reach and customer base growth.
Chart InsightsChewy's active customer base is rebounding after a period of stagnation, with a notable increase in 2025, reaching 21.2 million. This growth aligns with the company's strategic initiatives, such as the successful Autoship program and Chewy+ membership, which have enhanced customer engagement and retention. The earnings call highlights robust revenue growth and improved profitability, although challenges with SG&A costs and anticipated margin pressures in Q4 remain. The expansion into health services, including Chewy Vet Care and the acquisition of Smart Equine, positions Chewy for further growth in the premium segment.
Data provided by:The Fly

Chewy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was largely positive, with significant revenue growth, improved profitability, and strong performance of strategic initiatives like Chewy+ and health services. However, some challenges remain with SG&A costs and expected margin pressures in Q4.
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Q3 net sales grew over 8% year-over-year to $3.12 billion, exceeding the high end of guidance. Autoship customer sales increased by 13.6% to $2.61 billion.
Negative Updates
SG&A Challenges
SG&A, excluding share-based compensation and related taxes, was $588.6 million or 18.9% of net sales, including $2.7 million of onetime transaction costs.
Read all updates
Q3-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong Revenue Growth
Q3 net sales grew over 8% year-over-year to $3.12 billion, exceeding the high end of guidance. Autoship customer sales increased by 13.6% to $2.61 billion.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the Chewy Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported a strong financial performance, with net sales growing by 8.3% year-over-year to $3.12 billion, surpassing their Q3 guidance. Chewy's Autoship program saw a 13.6% increase in sales, reaching $2.61 billion, and active customers grew by nearly 5% to 21.2 million. The firm achieved a gross margin expansion of 50 basis points to 29.8% and a significant rise in adjusted EBITDA by 30% year-over-year to $181 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 5.8%. Free cash flow generation was robust at $176 million, enabling a $55 million share repurchase. Chewy narrowed its full-year 2025 net sales outlook to between $12.58 billion and $12.6 billion, reflecting an 8% year-over-year growth, and adjusted its EBITDA margin outlook to 5.6% to 5.7%. The company continues to focus on expanding its health offerings, with Chewy Vet Care growing to 14 locations and the acquisition of Smart Equine expected to bolster its premium health segment.

Chewy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
A multi-year turnaround to positive operating profit and positive free cash flow supports a mid-range score, but TTM revenue is sharply down (-25.8%), net margin is still very thin (~1.6%), and TTM free cash flow fell materially (-63.8%). Balance sheet leverage has improved versus 2022 but remains meaningful (~1.1 debt-to-equity), keeping risk elevated if demand softens.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
49
Neutral
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.60B11.86B11.15B10.12B8.97B
Gross Profit3.63B3.47B3.16B2.83B2.39B
EBITDA402.70M271.77M161.50M138.56M-17.72M
Net Income222.80M392.74M39.58M49.90M-75.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.59B3.01B3.19B2.52B2.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments878.80M596.66M1.13B678.59M603.08M
Total Debt556.80M502.40M527.79M471.82M410.17M
Total Liabilities3.10B2.75B2.68B2.36B2.07B
Stockholders Equity497.90M261.46M510.24M160.27M14.74M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow562.40M452.49M342.93M119.28M8.55M
Operating Cash Flow691.60M596.33M486.21M349.57M191.74M
Investing Cash Flow-151.80M394.57M-287.36M-615.48M-193.27M
Financing Cash Flow-276.00M-996.74M71.60M-6.73M41.26M

Chewy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price27.52
Price Trends
50DMA
25.84
Positive
100DMA
29.18
Negative
200DMA
33.33
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.21
Negative
RSI
58.53
Neutral
STOCH
84.88
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHWY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 27.52 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.99, above the 50-day MA of 25.84, and below the 200-day MA of 33.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.88 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CHWY.

Chewy Risk Analysis

Chewy disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Chewy reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Chewy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$9.48B15.5616.62%11.84%14.91%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
58
Neutral
$12.42B6.3538.54%5.46%0.39%17.90%
56
Neutral
$3.97B2.86-44.22%4.16%-0.23%-13.10%
54
Neutral
$799.04M-73.450.79%-2.53%
52
Neutral
$9.57B52.7751.43%6.24%-41.25%
50
Neutral
$14.41B19.301.31%3.33%4.79%-92.77%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CHWY
Chewy
22.97
-16.51
-41.82%
BBY
Best Buy Co
59.40
-10.05
-14.48%
GPC
Genuine Parts Company
104.72
-13.36
-11.32%
BBWI
Bath & Body Works
19.73
-12.54
-38.85%
WOOF
Petco Health and Wellness Company
2.81
-0.37
-11.64%
CART
Maplebear
40.35
-3.26
-7.48%

Chewy Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesLegal Proceedings
Chewy Reaches Settlement Agreement in Derivative Lawsuit
Neutral
Apr 28, 2026
On April 6, 2026, a Special Litigation Committee of Chewy’s board, the company and various BC Partners-affiliated entities and directors entered into a stipulation and settlement agreement with stockholder Eric Gilbert to resolve a derivativ...
Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Chewy Expands Share Repurchase Authorization to Boost Returns
Positive
Apr 8, 2026
On April 7, 2026, Chewy, Inc.’s board of directors approved a $500 million increase to its existing share repurchase program for its Class A and Class B common stock, adding to the roughly $119.4 million of remaining authorization under the ...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Chewy Finalizes CFO Succession, Reaffirms Profitability Targets
Positive
Feb 24, 2026
On February 23, 2026, Chewy’s board appointed Christopher S. “Chris” Deppe as Chief Financial Officer and principal financial officer, ending the interim tenure of Chief Accounting Officer William Billings in that role, while Bil...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 25, 2026