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Chewy (CHWY)
NYSE:CHWY

Chewy (CHWY) AI Stock Analysis

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Chewy

(NYSE:CHWY)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$47.00
▲(17.50%Upside)
Chewy's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call results. While the valuation suggests a premium price, the company's growth prospects and strategic initiatives, such as the Autoship program and expansion into Vet Care Clinics, support its market position. Technical analysis shows mixed signals, but the long-term trend remains positive.
Positive Factors
Earnings Growth
Analyst projects that above-industry revenue growth plus solid YoY EBITDA expansion could drive strong earnings growth of 25%, well above comps.
Online Market Penetration
Expanding online penetration continues to be a key driver for Chewy's above-industry growth and share gains.
Revenue Diversification
Chewy is diversifying revenue streams into high-margin areas such as pharmacy and sponsored ads, enhancing profitability.
Negative Factors
Cost Management
Gross margin contracted slightly year-over-year, and SG&A expenses were higher than expected, leading to some investor disappointment.
Growth Slowdown Risk
There is a modest risk of a slowdown in growth in 4Q on tougher comps.
Investor Expectations
Despite positive results and guidance, Chewy shares are down 10% due to unfulfilled investor expectations for an official FY’25 guide raise.

Chewy (CHWY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Chewy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChewy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the pure play e-commerce business in the United States. The company provides pet food and treats, pet supplies and pet medications, and other pet-health products, as well as pet services for dogs, cats, fish, birds, small pets, horses, and reptiles through its www.chewy.com retail Website, as well as its mobile applications. It offers approximately 100,000 products from 3,000 partner brands. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Dania Beach, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyChewy makes money primarily through the sale of pet food and pet-related products directly to consumers via its online platform. The company's revenue model is based on a direct-to-consumer approach, with key revenue streams including the sales of pet food, treats, supplies, and healthcare products. Chewy offers an auto-ship subscription service that provides recurring revenue and enhances customer retention by allowing customers to schedule regular deliveries of their chosen products. Additionally, Chewy has established partnerships with numerous pet product brands and manufacturers to offer a broad selection of items, which contributes to a diverse product range and revenue stability. The company also benefits from its proprietary private label products, which generally have higher margins than third-party products.

Chewy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Active Customers
Active Customers
Indicates the total number of customers making purchases, reflecting the company's market reach and customer base growth.
Chart InsightsChewy's active customer base experienced a plateau from 2021 to 2023, reflecting market saturation or competitive pressures. However, recent quarters show a resurgence in growth, indicating successful customer retention strategies or new customer acquisition efforts. This turnaround could signal effective marketing initiatives or enhanced product offerings, positioning Chewy for renewed expansion in the pet e-commerce market.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Chewy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 26, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 19.01%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 27, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Chewy's first quarter results show strong sales growth, increased customer engagement, and operational efficiency with notable success in the AutoShip program, sponsored ads, and Chewy Vet Care expansion. However, concerns about one-time item impacts on prior year results, anticipated declines in adjusted EBITDA margin, and potential tariff impacts temper the outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record First Quarter Net Sales
Q1 net sales exceeded the high end of guidance, growing by over 8% to $3.12 billion, supported by strong participation from new and existing customers.
Significant Growth in AutoShip Program
First quarter AutoShip customer sales reached $2.56 billion, representing approximately 82% of Q1 net sales and a 14.8% increase from the previous year.
Increase in Active Customers
Chewy ended Q1 with 20.8 million active customers, reflecting a 3.8% year-over-year growth and an increase of approximately 240,000 customers sequentially.
Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Chewy generated $192.7 million of adjusted EBITDA, representing a 6.2% adjusted EBITDA margin and a year-over-year increase of approximately 50 basis points.
Chewy Vet Care Expansion
Three new Chewy Vet Care practices were opened, bringing the total to 11 across four states, and plans to open 8 to 10 new clinics in fiscal year 2025.
Successful Sponsored Ads Business
Sponsored ads business grew sequentially, benefiting from the migration to a first-party platform, including the expansion of off-site ads.
Negative Updates
Impact of One-Time Items on Prior Year Comparison
Previous year's gross margin and adjusted EBITDA figures were positively impacted by approximately 70 basis points of one-time items, affecting year-over-year comparisons.
Expected Sequential Declines in Adjusted EBITDA Margin
Despite strong Q1 results, Chewy anticipates modest sequential declines in adjusted EBITDA margin throughout the year due to typical seasonality and timing of investments.
Tariff Concerns
Potential impacts from tariffs on hard goods and discretionary categories were noted, though minimal expected impact is embedded in the 2025 guidance.
Company Guidance
During Chewy, Inc.'s First Quarter 2025 earnings call, a variety of metrics were presented to highlight the company's performance and guidance. Net sales for Q1 2025 increased by over 8% to $3.12 billion, surpassing the high end of guidance. Key drivers included a 12.3% year-over-year growth in hard goods and a record high in auto-ship customer sales, which rose by nearly 15% to $2.56 billion, representing 82% of total net sales. Active customers grew to 20.8 million, marking a 3.8% increase from the previous year. The company achieved a gross margin of 29.6%, with a year-over-year expansion of 60 basis points when adjusted for one-time items from the previous year. Adjusted EBITDA was reported at $192.7 million, reflecting a margin of 6.2% and a 50 basis point increase from the previous year. Looking forward, Chewy maintained its full-year 2025 net sales outlook of $12.3 billion to $12.45 billion, projecting 6% to 7% growth after adjusting for the 53rd week in fiscal 2024. The adjusted EBITDA margin for the full year is anticipated to be between 5.4% and 5.7%, with about 60% of margin expansion driven by improvements in gross margin. The company also expects 80% of adjusted EBITDA to convert into free cash flow for the year, translating to approximately $550 million. Chewy's strategic initiatives, including the Chewy Vet Care expansion and the Chewy Plus membership program, are expected to drive long-term growth and customer loyalty.

Chewy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Chewy demonstrates strong financial health with significant revenue growth and improved profitability. The company has effectively managed costs and increased its gross profit margins. Although there are some liabilities on the balance sheet, overall financial metrics suggest robust performance and potential for future growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Chewy has shown impressive revenue growth, with a substantial increase from $7.1 billion in 2021 to $12.1 billion TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Gross profit margins have improved consistently, indicating strong pricing power and cost management. The company has transitioned from negative EBIT and net income in 2021 to positive figures, showing a clear path to profitability.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet shows a healthy equity growth from negative in 2021 to $375.6 million TTM, with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio. However, high liabilities relative to assets may pose risks if not managed carefully. The equity ratio has improved, reflecting better asset management.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Chewy's operating cash flow has shown strong growth, supporting its operational expansion. The free cash flow has also improved significantly, enhancing its financial flexibility. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.10B11.86B11.15B10.10B8.89B7.15B
Gross Profit3.54B3.47B3.16B2.83B2.37B1.82B
EBITDA272.63M268.21M161.50M138.56M-17.72M-54.80M
Net Income388.24M392.74M39.58M49.90M-75.46M-94.51M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.06B3.01B3.19B2.52B2.09B1.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments616.40M596.66M1.13B677.38M603.08M563.35M
Total Debt500.20M502.40M527.79M471.76M410.17M328.23M
Total Liabilities2.68B2.75B2.68B2.30B2.07B1.74B
Stockholders Equity375.60M261.46M510.24M213.96M14.74M-2.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow448.56M452.49M342.93M119.28M8.55M2.01M
Operating Cash Flow600.79M596.33M486.21M349.57M191.74M132.75M
Investing Cash Flow-152.33M394.57M-287.36M-615.48M-193.27M-123.69M
Financing Cash Flow-966.67M-996.74M71.60M-6.73M41.27M342.20M

Chewy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price40.00
Price Trends
50DMA
41.97
Negative
100DMA
38.15
Positive
200DMA
35.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.43
Positive
RSI
37.52
Neutral
STOCH
15.97
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHWY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 40 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.30, below the 50-day MA of 41.97, and above the 200-day MA of 35.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.43 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.97 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CHWY.

Chewy Risk Analysis

Chewy disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Chewy reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Chewy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$17.03B44.8076.24%7.64%369.79%
77
Outperform
$12.74B31.9912.96%11.34%
67
Neutral
¥250.86B13.176.48%2.78%5.05%-11.96%
64
Neutral
$5.60B37.98-39.97%2.18%-32.87%
62
Neutral
$893.95M-69.51%-10.55%9.27%
WW
55
Neutral
$7.06B17.86%-0.89%46.62%
52
Neutral
$867.65M-5.90%-2.37%95.07%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CHWY
Chewy
40.00
14.60
57.48%
W
Wayfair
55.09
1.68
3.15%
ETSY
Etsy
53.46
-3.86
-6.73%
WOOF
Petco Health and Wellness Company
3.07
-0.25
-7.53%
TDUP
thredUP
6.93
5.27
317.47%
CART
Maplebear
48.71
15.38
46.14%

Chewy Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingStock Buyback
Chewy Completes Share Sale and Repurchase Agreements
Neutral
Jun 25, 2025

On June 23, 2025, Chewy, Inc. entered into an Underwriting Agreement with Buddy Chester Sub LLC and J.P. Morgan Securities LLC for the sale of 23,952,096 shares of Class A common stock at $41.95 per share, with an additional option for 3,592,815 shares, which was exercised on June 24, 2025. The offering closed on June 25, 2025, with Chewy not selling any shares or receiving proceeds, while the company and seller agreed to indemnify the underwriters against certain liabilities. Additionally, on June 20, 2025, Chewy agreed to repurchase $100 million worth of shares from the Seller, closing on June 25, 2025, with the repurchased shares being cancelled and retired. This repurchase was approved by a special committee of independent directors and did not utilize the company’s existing share repurchase program.

The most recent analyst rating on (CHWY) stock is a Buy with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chewy stock, see the CHWY Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Chewy CFO Resignation Announced Amid Strategic Growth
Neutral
May 12, 2025

On May 7, 2025, Chewy, Inc. announced the resignation of its Chief Financial Officer, David Reeder, who is leaving to become a CEO in the semiconductor industry. The company confirmed that his departure was not due to any disagreements and reaffirmed its first quarter fiscal 2025 guidance, indicating continued business momentum and strategic growth initiatives. Reeder will remain in his role until June to ensure a smooth transition, as Chewy searches for his successor.

The most recent analyst rating on (CHWY) stock is a Hold with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chewy stock, see the CHWY Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Chewy Expands Board with New Director Appointment
Positive
Apr 25, 2025

On April 24, 2025, Chewy, Inc. expanded its board of directors from thirteen to fourteen members by appointing Dr. Nat Goldhaber as a Class I director, with his term set to expire at the company’s annual meeting of stockholders in 2026. Dr. Goldhaber, an independent director under SEC and NYSE rules, brings extensive experience in venture capital, clean energy, and healthcare investments, having co-founded Claremont Creek Ventures. His appointment is expected to enhance Chewy’s strategic direction, leveraging his expertise in technology and energy sectors.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 19, 2025