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Chewy (CHWY)
NYSE:CHWY

Chewy (CHWY) AI Stock Analysis

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Chewy

(NYSE:CHWY)

75Outperform
Chewy's overall stock score reflects its robust financial performance driven by revenue growth and cash flow strength, alongside positive technical momentum. However, high valuation and reliance on liabilities temper the outlook. Continued operational improvements and strategic expansions are essential for sustaining growth.
Positive Factors
Customer Growth
Active customers are growing and margins are expanding.
Market Share
Chewy's strong execution and customer growth have led to significant market share gains in a stable market.
Profitability
Marketing investments are yielding a good return and management feels comfortable they can outpace industry growth.
Negative Factors
Gross Margin Decline
The 4Q gross margin saw a larger-than-expected decline due to weather impacts and promotional activities.
Ownership Concerns
Concerns around another potential BC Partners sale (53% ownership) may be holding shares back near-term.

Chewy (CHWY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Chewy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChewy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the pure play e-commerce business in the United States. The company provides pet food and treats, pet supplies and pet medications, and other pet-health products, as well as pet services for dogs, cats, fish, birds, small pets, horses, and reptiles through its www.chewy.com retail Website, as well as its mobile applications. It offers approximately 100,000 products from 3,000 partner brands. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Dania Beach, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyChewy generates revenue primarily through the sale of pet products via its online platform. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of pet food, treats, and supplies, as well as health and wellness products. Chewy also offers an autoship subscription service, which provides customers with the convenience of automatic reordering of pet supplies at a discount, contributing to recurring revenue. Additionally, Chewy has expanded its offerings to include pet pharmacy services, enabling customers to purchase prescription medications online. Strategic partnerships with major pet product brands and competitive pricing further support Chewy's revenue growth.

Chewy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Active Customers
Active Customers
Indicates the total number of customers making purchases, reflecting the company's market reach and customer base growth.
Chart InsightsChewy's active customer base has stabilized after a period of decline, with the first year-over-year growth in eight quarters, reaching 20.5 million by the end of 2024. This resurgence is supported by strong performance in the Autoship program and strategic expansions like Vet Care Clinics. Despite minimal pricing impact expected in 2025, Chewy's focus on innovation and customer retention strategies, such as sponsored ads and clinic openings, suggests a positive outlook for continued growth and profitability.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Chewy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Chewy has shown strong revenue growth and a shift towards profitability, increasing its cash flow generation. The balance sheet shows reduced leverage, but the low equity ratio indicates potential risks.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Chewy has demonstrated impressive revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase from 2020 to 2025. The gross profit margin has improved, reflecting better cost management, and the net profit margin turned positive in recent years, indicating a shift towards profitability. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively low, suggesting room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Chewy's balance sheet shows a manageable level of debt with improvements in stockholders' equity over time. The debt-to-equity ratio has decreased, signaling reduced financial leverage. However, the equity ratio remains relatively low, indicating that assets are still largely financed by liabilities, which poses potential risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The company's cash flow generation has strengthened, with significant growth in operating and free cash flows. The free cash flow growth rate is positive, indicating healthy cash reserves for potential reinvestment. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, suggesting strong cash flow relative to profitability. However, fluctuations in financing cash flow highlight potential volatility.
Breakdown
Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
11.86B11.15B10.10B8.89B7.15B
Gross Profit
3.47B3.16B2.83B2.37B1.82B
EBIT
112.59M-23.63M55.75M-72.18M-90.46M
EBITDA
271.77M161.50M138.56M-17.72M-54.80M
Net Income Common Stockholders
392.74M39.58M49.90M-75.46M-94.51M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
596.66M1.13B677.38M603.08M563.35M
Total Assets
3.01B3.19B2.52B2.09B1.74B
Total Debt
502.40M527.79M471.76M410.17M328.23M
Net Debt
-93.36M-74.44M141.32M-192.91M-235.11M
Total Liabilities
2.75B2.68B2.30B2.07B1.74B
Stockholders Equity
261.46M510.24M213.96M14.74M-2.00M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
452.49M342.93M119.28M8.55M2.01M
Operating Cash Flow
596.33M486.21M349.57M191.74M132.75M
Investing Cash Flow
394.57M-287.36M-615.48M-193.27M-123.69M
Financing Cash Flow
-996.74M71.60M-6.73M41.27M342.20M

Chewy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price37.14
Price Trends
50DMA
34.30
Positive
100DMA
34.96
Positive
200DMA
31.63
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.73
Negative
RSI
61.81
Neutral
STOCH
91.48
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHWY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 37.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.15, above the 50-day MA of 34.30, and above the 200-day MA of 31.63, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.73 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.48 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CHWY.

Chewy Risk Analysis

Chewy disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Chewy reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Chewy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$15.22B40.92101.78%6.40%891.13%
72
Outperform
$10.97B25.6612.68%11.05%
65
Neutral
$497.20M-79.06%-6.95%-0.73%
60
Neutral
$6.87B11.743.18%4.16%2.37%-21.84%
60
Neutral
$4.91B19.34-39.97%2.18%5.77%
51
Neutral
$856.97M-8.86%-2.22%92.17%
WW
37
Underperform
$3.71B17.86%-1.27%38.07%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CHWY
Chewy
37.14
21.37
135.51%
W
Wayfair
31.02
-20.15
-39.38%
ETSY
Etsy
45.88
-23.00
-33.39%
WOOF
Petco Health and Wellness Company
3.16
1.60
102.56%
TDUP
thredUP
4.29
2.56
147.98%
CART
Maplebear
39.92
5.44
15.78%

Chewy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 26, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 10.50%|
Next Earnings Date:May 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance for Chewy in fiscal year 2024, with significant growth in key areas such as revenue, customer base, and profitability. The company has demonstrated its ability to innovate and expand its offerings, particularly in the Autoship program and Vet Care Clinics. However, there are some concerns about the minimal impact of pricing on growth and the dependency on external factors for hard goods growth.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Fourth quarter net sales increased approximately 15% year-over-year to $3.25 billion, resulting in full year 2024 net sales of $11.86 billion, representing 6% year-over-year growth.
Autoship Program Success
Autoship program represented 80.6% of Q4 net sales, with sales increasing by 21% in the fourth quarter and nearly 11% for the full year 2024.
Active Customer Growth
Chewy ended fiscal year 2024 with 20.5 million active customers, marking year-over-year growth for the first time in eight quarters.
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA margin for fiscal year 2024 reached 4.8%, reflecting year-over-year expansion of approximately 150 basis points.
Record Free Cash Flow
Chewy generated a record $452.5 million of free cash flow in fiscal year 2024, converting approximately 80% of adjusted EBITDA to free cash flow.
Sponsored Ads Business Growth
Sponsored ads business scaled to approximately 1% of net sales for full year 2024, contributing to year-over-year gross margin improvement.
Chewy Vet Care Clinics Expansion
Successfully opened eight CVC locations, reaching the upper end of the target range, with plans to open eight to 10 new clinics in fiscal year 2025.
Negative Updates
Minimal Pricing Impact Expected
Guidance for 2025 anticipates minimal price inflation, which may impact revenue growth potential.
Hard Goods Growth Dependency
While hard goods outperformed consumables in Q4, this category's growth is reliant on factors such as new pet adoptions and market trends.
Company Guidance
In the Chewy Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Call, the company reported strong financial performance, exceeding the high end of their guidance ranges. Fourth quarter net sales grew approximately 15% year-over-year to $3.25 billion, contributing to full year net sales of $11.86 billion, marking a 6% increase from the previous year. Autoship customer sales saw significant growth, increasing by 21% in Q4 and 10.6% for the full year, with Autoship representing 80.6% of Q4 net sales. Chewy's adjusted EBITDA margin for fiscal year 2024 reached 4.8%, reflecting a year-over-year expansion of around 150 basis points, and the company generated a record $452.5 million in free cash flow. The call also highlighted the success of Chewy's sponsored ads business, which scaled to approximately 1% of net sales, and the opening of eight Chewy Vet Care Clinics, which exceeded expectations. For 2025, Chewy anticipates continued growth with net sales projected between $12.3 billion and $12.45 billion, reflecting a 6% to 7% year-over-year increase, along with further adjusted EBITDA margin expansion to between 5.4% and 5.7%.

Chewy Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Chewy Expands Board with New Director Appointment
Positive
Apr 25, 2025

On April 24, 2025, Chewy, Inc. expanded its board of directors from thirteen to fourteen members by appointing Dr. Nat Goldhaber as a Class I director, with his term set to expire at the company’s annual meeting of stockholders in 2026. Dr. Goldhaber, an independent director under SEC and NYSE rules, brings extensive experience in venture capital, clean energy, and healthcare investments, having co-founded Claremont Creek Ventures. His appointment is expected to enhance Chewy’s strategic direction, leveraging his expertise in technology and energy sectors.

Spark’s Take on CHWY Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, CHWY is a Outperform.

Chewy’s overall stock score of 76 reflects its strong financial performance and positive earnings call, which highlight revenue growth, profitability, and cash flow strength. Technical indicators show positive momentum, although high valuation and operational efficiency remain areas for improvement.

To see Spark’s full report on CHWY stock, click here.

Executive/Board Changes
Chewy Expands Board with New Director Appointment
Positive
Feb 25, 2025

On February 21, 2025, Chewy, Inc. expanded its board of directors from twelve to thirteen members, appointing Ms. Deborah Ellinger as a Class II director. Ms. Ellinger, an experienced leader in the consumer products and solutions industry, brings a wealth of experience from her previous roles, including CEO positions at various private-equity backed companies. Her appointment is expected to enhance Chewy’s strategic direction and governance, with her term set to expire at the company’s annual meeting of stockholders in 2027.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.