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thredUP (TDUP)
NASDAQ:TDUP
US Market

thredUP (TDUP) AI Stock Analysis

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TDUP

thredUP

(NASDAQ:TDUP)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$6.00
▲(1.69% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak profitability/ROE and bearish technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Offsetting these, the latest earnings call indicates meaningful operating momentum with accelerating revenue growth, improved margins/EBITDA, and supportive guidance, while valuation remains challenging due to negative earnings and no dividend.
Positive Factors
High Gross Margin
ThredUP's very high gross profit margin (85.64% TTM) demonstrates advantaged unit economics for resale inventory processing and pricing. Sustained high gross margins create durable operating leverage, allowing the company to fund fulfillment, AI, and RaaS investments while improving path to profitability.
Improving Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow growth of 28.22% TTM indicates improving cash generation and operational efficiency. Durable FCF expansion enhances financial flexibility to invest in logistics and platform tech, reduce reliance on external capital, and support scalable RaaS programs and marketing over multiple quarters.
Customer Base Expansion
Record new buyer acquisition (+54% YoY) and a 26% rise in active buyers show strengthening marketplace demand. A growing buyer base is structurally important: it improves liquidity, supports higher sell-through, lowers customer acquisition costs over time and underpins durable network effects.
Negative Factors
Negative Return on Equity
Return on equity of -94.05% indicates current operations destroy shareholder capital and that retained earnings are insufficient. Persistently negative ROE constrains the firm's ability to self-finance growth, making sustainable profit recovery essential to restore capital efficiency and investor confidence.
Ongoing Net Losses
Net profit margin of -22.78% with negative EBIT/EBITDA margins shows that high gross margins aren't translating to operating profits. This structural disconnect points to persistent cost pressure in logistics, processing and SG&A that must be addressed to achieve lasting profitability.
Peer-to-Peer Marketplace Frictions
Peer-to-peer market issues—listing quality, seller reputation, and buyer trust—are structural marketplace frictions. They can depress conversion, raise returns and acquisition costs, and require ongoing investment in moderation, authentication and quality controls to maintain long-term marketplace health.

thredUP (TDUP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

thredUP Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThredUp Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates online resale platforms that allows consumers to buy and sell secondhand women's and kids' apparel, shoes, and accessories. ThredUp Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Oakland, California.
How the Company Makes MoneythredUP generates revenue through several key streams, primarily by selling secondhand clothing and accessories on its online platform. The company operates a consignment model where individuals send in their gently used items, which thredUP then inspects, cleans, and lists for sale. It takes a commission from the sale of these items, which constitutes a significant portion of its revenue. Additionally, thredUP offers a subscription service called 'thredUP's Closet Cleanout,' where customers can receive a prepaid shipping kit to send in their items for resale. The company also partners with brands and retailers to facilitate the resale of their unsold inventory, creating a circular economy that benefits both the brands and thredUP. Furthermore, thredUP has explored collaborations and partnerships with various companies to expand its reach and enhance its offerings, contributing to its overall earnings.

thredUP Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Active Buyers
Active Buyers
Measures the number of unique customers making purchases, providing insight into market reach and customer loyalty.
Chart InsightsThredUp's active buyers saw a notable decline from late 2023 into 2024, reflecting potential challenges in maintaining customer engagement. However, the latest earnings call highlights a strong recovery in 2025, driven by a 74% increase in new buyer acquisition and AI-driven improvements in customer conversion. This resurgence aligns with the company's strategic focus on growth and innovation, despite macroeconomic uncertainties and competitive pressures. The anticipated seasonal slowdown in Q4 suggests cautious optimism, but the overall trajectory remains positive with strategic investments paying off.
Data provided by:The Fly

thredUP Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
ThredUp's Q3 2025 earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth, impressive new customer acquisition, and successful product innovations driven by AI. However, there are concerns about macroeconomic conditions affecting consumer spending in the upcoming holiday season and challenges within the peer-to-peer market.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record New Customer Acquisition
ThredUp acquired more new customers in Q3 2025 than at any other time in its history, with new buyer acquisition up 54% year-over-year and active buyers up 26% year-over-year.
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue growth accelerated to 34% year-over-year, marking the strongest year-over-year growth in nearly 4 years and the fourth consecutive quarter of accelerating growth.
High Gross Margin and EBITDA
Gross margin was reported at 79.4%, and adjusted EBITDA was 4.6%, both exceeding expectations.
Successful AI-Driven Product Innovations
Launch of AI-driven features like the Daily Edit and the Trend Report, enhancing personalization and trend responsiveness.
Expansion of Resale-as-a-Service (RaaS)
Launch of RaaS programs for New York & Co. and Cotopaxi, with expectations for more brands to join in the coming months.
Negative Updates
Cautious Outlook for Holiday Season
Concerns about broader macroeconomic challenges affecting consumer spending during the holiday season, with potential shifts in wallet share to new gifts.
Competitive Pressure in the Peer-to-Peer Market
Challenges noted in the peer-to-peer market, including issues with listing quality, seller reputation, and buyer trust.
Company Guidance
During ThredUp's Q3 2025 earnings call, the company highlighted significant growth metrics and provided guidance for the upcoming quarter and fiscal year. Revenue for Q3 increased by 34% year-over-year, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of accelerating growth. The gross margin reached 79.4%, and adjusted EBITDA was 4.6%, both exceeding expectations. The company also reported a 54% year-over-year increase in new buyer acquisition and a 26% rise in active buyers. For Q4, ThredUp guided revenue between $76 million and $78 million, representing a 14% year-over-year growth at the midpoint, and for the full year 2025, revenue is expected to range between $307 million and $309 million, reflecting an 18% growth. Looking ahead to 2026, ThredUp plans for revenue growth in the low double digits, slightly better than the U.S. online resale industry growth expectations, and anticipates a modest expansion in EBITDA margins.

thredUP Financial Statement Overview

Summary
thredUP shows strong gross profit margins and improvements in cash flow, but faces challenges with profitability and leverage, as indicated by negative net profit margins and return on equity.
Income Statement
thredUP's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has a strong gross profit margin of 85.64% in the TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin remains negative at -22.78%, reflecting ongoing losses. Revenue growth is modest at 3.66% TTM, showing some improvement compared to the previous year. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, suggesting challenges in achieving operational profitability.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet presents a moderate risk profile. The debt-to-equity ratio improved to 0.94 TTM from 1.05 in the previous year, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity is negative at -94.05%, highlighting profitability issues. The equity ratio is not provided, but the overall leverage appears manageable.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis shows positive trends with a 28.22% growth in free cash flow TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.23, suggesting some efficiency in converting income to cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.39, indicating room for improvement in cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue258.78M260.03M258.50M288.38M251.79M186.01M
Gross Profit223.88M207.13M198.47M192.34M178.13M128.15M
EBITDA16.27M-20.12M-35.87M-77.41M-51.67M-40.94M
Net Income-36.35M-76.99M-71.25M-92.28M-63.18M-47.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets172.47M171.22M249.97M301.95M360.83M142.91M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments51.11M44.18M64.18M104.93M205.83M64.48M
Total Debt54.30M58.84M76.41M84.81M76.25M59.68M
Total Liabilities113.40M114.92M146.05M161.95M155.09M365.09M
Stockholders Equity59.07M56.30M103.92M140.00M205.73M-222.18M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.28M-5.69M-38.58M-95.36M-54.85M-38.53M
Operating Cash Flow13.24M898.00K-22.59M-52.10M-35.02M-19.11M
Investing Cash Flow-9.37M-16.90M43.68M8.92M-169.58M-19.42M
Financing Cash Flow-915.00K-4.39M-3.60M-3.94M228.96M18.21M

thredUP Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.90
Price Trends
50DMA
7.58
Negative
100DMA
8.83
Negative
200DMA
7.64
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.48
Positive
RSI
30.79
Neutral
STOCH
29.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TDUP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.10, below the 50-day MA of 7.58, and below the 200-day MA of 7.64, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.48 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TDUP.

thredUP Risk Analysis

thredUP disclosed 64 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. thredUP reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

thredUP Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$947.99M36.0014.56%31.20%38.38%
71
Outperform
$1.26B37.457.42%27.84%
69
Neutral
$1.51B38.753.35%3.35%1.97%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
57
Neutral
$6.10B42.811.98%-20.98%
54
Neutral
$760.86M-18.95-35.37%-4.90%50.77%
45
Neutral
$1.75B-102.27%-4.62%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TDUP
thredUP
5.90
4.62
360.94%
LQDT
Liquidity Services
31.22
-1.79
-5.42%
WINA
Winmark
434.64
72.32
19.96%
ETSY
Etsy
61.23
8.66
16.47%
JMIA
Jumia Technologies AG
14.60
10.77
281.20%
RERE
ATRenew Inc. Sponsored ADR
6.04
3.42
130.53%

thredUP Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
ThredUp Appoints Kelly Bodnar Battles to Board
Positive
Nov 17, 2025

On November 17, 2025, ThredUp announced the appointment of Kelly Bodnar Battles to its Board of Directors, effective December 1, 2025, where she will also serve as the Audit Committee Chair. This strategic move aims to bolster ThredUp’s financial governance as it accelerates growth and transitions into an AI-first resale marketplace. Battles brings over 35 years of finance and strategy experience, having held executive roles at several high-growth companies, and her expertise is expected to drive long-term value for shareholders as ThredUp continues to scale and innovate in the resale industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TDUP) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on thredUP stock, see the TDUP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026