tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Petco Health and Wellness Company (WOOF)
NASDAQ:WOOF
US Market

Petco Health and Wellness Company (WOOF) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,136 Followers

Top Page

WOOF

Petco Health and Wellness Company

(NASDAQ:WOOF)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▼(-3.85% Downside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial profitability (losses and negative ROE) and bearish technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). These are partially offset by improving cash flow and leverage trends, plus a more positive earnings-call outlook driven by higher adjusted EBITDA guidance and strong recent free cash flow, supported by refinancing actions to improve financial flexibility.
Positive Factors
Services segment growth
Services (grooming, vet) are expanding fastest, creating recurring, higher-margin revenue and strong customer stickiness. This diversifies the retail-heavy model, raises switching costs, enables cross‑sell of products and insurance, and supports durable margin improvement and customer lifetime value.
Improving free cash flow
A >100% TTM rise in free cash flow signals materially stronger cash generation, which funds capital allocation, deleveraging and reinvestment without relying on equity. Steady FCF improves financial resilience versus peers and enables strategic flexibility across 2–6 month horizons and beyond.
Debt refinancing extends maturities
Completed refinancing reshapes the capital structure by extending maturities and raising liquidity, reducing near-term rollover risk. Even if coupon costs are elevated, a reprofiled debt ladder and improved covenant package enhance capacity to execute operational turnarounds and sustain investments.
Negative Factors
Top-line contraction
Nearly 8% TTM revenue decline reflects structural softness that erodes scale and limits leverage on fixed costs. Persistent top-line pressure constrains margin recovery, capital returns and reinvestment, making durable profit improvement dependent on reversing sales trends or extracting more productivity.
Negative profitability metrics
A negative net margin and ROE indicate the business presently fails to generate returns on equity despite operational improvements. Sustained shareholder value creation requires consistent operating income expansion and conversion to positive net earnings, which remains an ongoing structural challenge.
High-cost secured debt and covenants
Issuing high‑coupon secured notes and restrictive loan terms raises fixed interest expense and imposes covenants that limit capital allocation, dividends and M&A. With weak sales, elevated financing costs increase refinancing risk and constrain strategic flexibility over the medium term.

Petco Health and Wellness Company (WOOF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Petco Health and Wellness Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPetco Health and Wellness Company, Inc., a health and wellness company, focuses on enhancing the lives of pets, pet parents, and its Petco partners. The company provides veterinary care, grooming, training, tele-health, and Vital Care and pet health insurance services, as well as veterinary services through Vetco mobile clinics. It also offers pet consumables, supplies, and services through its petco.com, petcoach.co, petinsurancequotes.com, and pupbox.com websites. As of March 23, 2022, the company operated approximately 1,500 Petco locations in the United States, Mexico, and Puerto Rico that included a network of approximately 200 in-store veterinary hospitals. Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyPetco generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from the sale of pet food and supplies in its retail stores and e-commerce platform. The company also earns significant income from its veterinary services, including routine check-ups, vaccinations, and other medical care provided at its in-store clinics. Additionally, Petco offers pet insurance plans through partnerships with insurance providers, which contributes to its revenue. The company has engaged in various partnerships and collaborations to enhance its service offerings and expand its market reach, further solidifying its financial performance.

Petco Health and Wellness Company Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue from different business areas, highlighting which segments drive growth and profitability, and indicating potential areas of strategic focus or risk.
Chart InsightsPetco's 'Services and Other' segment saw a dramatic spike in late 2023, likely due to a one-time event, before stabilizing. The 'Consumables' segment shows steady growth, reflecting strong demand for pet essentials. However, 'Supplies and Companion Animals' has been declining, aligning with the earnings call's note on store closures and tariff impacts. Despite these challenges, Petco's improved profitability and operational efficiency, as highlighted in the earnings call, suggest a strategic focus on margin expansion over top-line growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Petco Health and Wellness Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 25, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Petco's third-quarter earnings call reflects a positive trajectory in profitability and cash flow, with strategic initiatives in services and operational efficiencies. However, challenges such as declining net sales and the impact of tariffs weigh on the overall outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Profitability and Cash Flow
Operating income increased by over $25 million, adjusted EBITDA was $99 million, and free cash flow was over $60 million. These improvements reflect the company's focus on profitability and cash generation.
Services Segment Growth
The services business, including grooming and veterinary services, continues to be the fastest-growing category, indicating a strong competitive moat and high barriers to entry.
Gross Margin Expansion
Gross margin expanded by approximately 75 basis points to 38.9%, driven by disciplined approaches to pricing and cost management.
Strong Cash Position
Free cash flow for the quarter was $61 million, and year-to-date cash flow from operations nearly doubled versus the prior year to $161 million.
Adjusted EBITDA Guidance Raised
For the full year 2025, adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $395 million and $397 million, indicating an increase of roughly 18% year over year at the midpoint.
Negative Updates
Decline in Net Sales
Net sales were down 3.1% with comp sales down 2.2%, influenced by strategic decisions to move away from unprofitable sales and store closures.
Impact of Tariffs
Tariffs began to impact the cost of goods sold meaningfully in Q3, with a more significant impact expected in Q4, potentially affecting gross margins.
Store Closures
The company closed 25 net stores in 2024 and an additional nine net stores year-to-date, ending the quarter with 1,389 stores in the US.
Company Guidance
During Petco's third quarter earnings call for fiscal year 2025, the company reported significant improvements in profitability, including a $25 million increase in operating income and an adjusted EBITDA of $99 million, with over $60 million in free cash flow. Despite a 3.1% decline in net sales and a 2.2% drop in comparable sales, the company expanded its gross margin by approximately 75 basis points to 38.9%, attributed to disciplined pricing and promotional strategies. Petco also reported a 21% increase in adjusted EBITDA, reaching $99 million, and a nearly 140 basis point expansion in adjusted EBITDA margin to 6.7% of sales. The company's outlook for the full year anticipates an adjusted EBITDA between $395 and $397 million, marking an 18% year-over-year increase at the midpoint.

Petco Health and Wellness Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed: the company remains unprofitable (TTM net margin -0.04% and negative ROE -0.19%) and revenue is down 7.78% TTM, but gross margin is relatively stable (~38.57%), leverage has improved (debt-to-equity down to 1.20 from 2.66), and cash generation is notably better (TTM free cash flow growth 120.89%).
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Petco's income statement reveals a challenging financial environment. The TTM data shows a negative net profit margin of -0.04%, indicating the company is currently unprofitable. Revenue has declined by 7.78% in the TTM period, reflecting a downturn in sales. However, the gross profit margin remains relatively stable at 38.57%, suggesting some resilience in cost management. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are low, at 1.32% and 4.29% respectively, indicating limited operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.20 in the TTM, which is an improvement from the previous year's 2.66, indicating a reduction in leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -0.19%, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges. The equity ratio stands at 22.24%, suggesting a moderate level of equity financing relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Petco's cash flow statement indicates some positive trends, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 120.89% in the TTM, suggesting improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.17, indicating that cash flow from operations is covering net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.31, showing that the company is generating cash despite net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.00B6.12B6.26B6.04B5.81B4.92B
Gross Profit2.26B2.32B2.35B2.43B2.43B2.11B
EBITDA309.21M7.05M-971.83M407.75M452.22M352.36M
Net Income-2.20M-101.82M-1.28B90.80M164.42M-26.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.21B5.19B5.36B6.61B6.50B6.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments237.41M165.76M125.43M201.90M211.60M111.40M
Total Debt1.39B2.96B3.04B3.13B3.05B3.00B
Total Liabilities4.05B4.08B4.18B4.23B4.24B4.02B
Stockholders Equity1.16B1.11B1.18B2.38B2.27B2.07B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow129.61M49.68M-9.88M67.98M119.11M109.06M
Operating Cash Flow256.52M177.67M215.72M346.00M358.21M268.62M
Investing Cash Flow-121.82M-123.90M-207.44M-320.32M-237.08M-157.19M
Financing Cash Flow-6.30M-8.75M-85.35M-33.84M-18.78M-146.61M

Petco Health and Wellness Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.60
Price Trends
50DMA
2.96
Negative
100DMA
3.19
Negative
200DMA
3.20
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.09
Positive
RSI
33.52
Neutral
STOCH
14.30
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WOOF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.88, below the 50-day MA of 2.96, and below the 200-day MA of 3.20, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.30 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WOOF.

Petco Health and Wellness Company Risk Analysis

Petco Health and Wellness Company disclosed 69 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Petco Health and Wellness Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Petco Health and Wellness Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
$11.44B56.9159.58%9.80%-46.84%
51
Neutral
$734.05M-241.67-0.19%-3.85%97.87%
51
Neutral
$598.18M-15.35-35.37%-4.90%50.77%
50
Neutral
$262.67M-1.22-67.22%-8.07%-2206.16%
50
Neutral
$143.85M-4.10-33.59%-7.61%-18.41%
48
Neutral
$46.05M-52.15-0.38%25.20%-5.07%-115.50%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WOOF
Petco Health and Wellness Company
2.61
-0.70
-21.15%
FLWS
1-800 Flowers
4.10
-3.92
-48.88%
NHTC
Natural Health Trends
4.00
-0.58
-12.66%
CHWY
Chewy
27.56
-10.95
-28.43%
BARK
BARK Inc Class A
0.84
-1.12
-57.24%
TDUP
thredUP
4.78
2.15
81.75%

Petco Health and Wellness Company Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Petco Completes Debt Refinancing, Strengthens Financial Flexibility
Positive
Feb 2, 2026

On January 30, 2026, Petco’s board appointed Executive Chairman Glenn Murphy to serve as non‑employee Chairman of the Board effective February 1, 2026, with Murphy receiving a small statutory lump-sum payment tied to his prior offer letter and remaining eligible for a fiscal 2025 bonus. In a February 2, 2026 press release, the company also announced the successful closing of its previously disclosed long‑term debt refinancing, which management said has strengthened Petco’s economic model, improved profitability and cash flow, and is expected to reduce leverage and provide greater financial flexibility, reinforcing the retailer’s efforts to reset its capital structure and board leadership as it pursues its next phase of growth under CEO Joel Anderson and Murphy in his new governance-focused role.

The most recent analyst rating on (WOOF) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petco Health and Wellness Company stock, see the WOOF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Petco restructures debt with new loans and notes
Neutral
Feb 2, 2026

On February 2, 2026, Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. amended its first lien credit agreement to obtain $900 million in new refinancing term loans, which, together with cash on hand and the proceeds of a concurrent $600 million issuance of 8.250% senior secured notes due 2031, were designated to repay its existing term loan facility and adjust its capital structure. The new term loans, bearing interest at a margin of 4.25% over a term benchmark rate (or an alternative base rate plus 3.25%), include a six‑month 1% soft call premium, 1% annual amortization, and a five‑year maturity, while the newly issued notes are governed by an indenture that imposes restrictive covenants on additional indebtedness, dividends, asset sales, liens, affiliate transactions, and certain corporate restructurings, with defined redemption options and change‑of‑control protections, collectively reshaping the company’s debt profile and tightening operating and financing flexibility for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (WOOF) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petco Health and Wellness Company stock, see the WOOF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Petco Prices $600 Million Senior Secured Notes Offering
Positive
Jan 23, 2026

On January 22, 2026, Petco Health and Wellness Company announced it had priced a $600 million offering of senior secured notes due February 1, 2031, carrying an interest rate of 8.25%, with the transaction expected to close on February 2, 2026 subject to customary conditions. The notes, guaranteed by Petco’s credit-facility guarantor subsidiaries and secured by first-lien interests in fixed assets and second-lien interests in current assets, will rank ahead of the company’s unsecured and junior-lien debt to the extent of the collateral, while remaining effectively subordinated to certain other secured obligations, and the proceeds, alongside a new term loan and cash on hand, are earmarked to refinance Petco’s existing term loan facility, cover related fees and bolster general corporate liquidity, signaling a significant move to reprofile its capital structure and manage its debt obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (WOOF) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petco Health and Wellness Company stock, see the WOOF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Petco Launches $650 Million Senior Secured Notes Offering
Positive
Jan 21, 2026

On January 21, 2026, Petco announced it had commenced an offering of $650 million in senior secured notes due 2031, guaranteed by subsidiaries that back its credit facilities and secured by first-lien interests on fixed assets and second-lien interests on current assets. The company plans to use the proceeds, together with borrowings under a new term loan and cash on hand, to fully repay its existing term loan facility, cover related fees and expenses, and fund general corporate purposes, a move that is set to reshape its debt profile by replacing existing financing with a new mix of secured notes and loan funding aimed at strengthening its capital structure and financial flexibility for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (WOOF) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petco Health and Wellness Company stock, see the WOOF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Petco Launches Major Debt Refinancing, Reaffirms 2025 Outlook
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

On January 12, 2026, Petco announced the launch of a debt refinancing transaction aimed at extending the maturities on $1.5 billion of its existing term loan, following a $50 million voluntary prepayment made in December 2025 and with the option to make further prepayments under a $100 million board authorization, signaling an effort to optimize its capital structure amid ongoing market uncertainty. In connection with the refinancing, the company reaffirmed its guidance for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2025 ending January 31, 2026, projecting net sales to decline 2.5%–2.8% for the year with low single-digit declines in the fourth quarter and forecasting Adjusted EBITDA of $395 million–$397 million for fiscal 2025 and $93 million–$95 million for the quarter, underscoring management’s confidence in operational performance and category resilience despite softer top-line trends.

The most recent analyst rating on (WOOF) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petco Health and Wellness Company stock, see the WOOF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Petco Revises Fiscal 2025 Earnings Outlook Upward
Positive
Nov 25, 2025

On November 25, 2025, Petco announced its third-quarter financial results, reporting a 3.1% year-over-year decrease in net sales to $1.5 billion, in line with its outlook. Despite the sales decline, Petco improved its gross profit margin and operating income, and increased its adjusted EBITDA. The company revised its fiscal 2025 earnings outlook upward, indicating a strengthened economic model and setting the stage for growth in 2026. Petco’s strategic focus on profitability and operational transformation is expected to enhance its competitive positioning and stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (WOOF) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petco Health and Wellness Company stock, see the WOOF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 03, 2026