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Petco Health and Wellness Company (WOOF)
NASDAQ:WOOF
US Market

Petco Health and Wellness Company (WOOF) AI Stock Analysis

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Petco Health and Wellness Company

(NASDAQ:WOOF)

Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
Petco's overall stock score reflects significant challenges in financial performance, highlighted by negative net income and high leverage. While technical indicators suggest some upward momentum, the valuation remains unattractive due to a negative P/E ratio. The earnings call outlines both strategic initiatives and operational challenges, contributing to a balanced but cautious outlook.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Petco's 3Q results were slightly ahead of expectations, indicating positive performance.
Management and Strategy
A fresh management team is moving with speed to optimize the business and realize efficiencies.
Market Opportunities
The Pet category is vibrant with significant growth potential for both product and services, suggesting a strong market opportunity.
Negative Factors
Competitive Landscape
The category is intensely competitive, and big box retailers have struggled to consistently capture market share.
Financial Challenges
The debt burden remains an overhang, and will likely continue to weigh on shares.
Sales and Growth
Sales down 7% with continued margin improvement slightly ahead of Street.

Petco Health and Wellness Company (WOOF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Petco Health and Wellness Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPetco Health and Wellness Company, Inc., a health and wellness company, focuses on enhancing the lives of pets, pet parents, and its Petco partners. The company provides veterinary care, grooming, training, tele-health, and Vital Care and pet health insurance services, as well as veterinary services through Vetco mobile clinics. It also offers pet consumables, supplies, and services through its petco.com, petcoach.co, petinsurancequotes.com, and pupbox.com websites. As of March 23, 2022, the company operated approximately 1,500 Petco locations in the United States, Mexico, and Puerto Rico that included a network of approximately 200 in-store veterinary hospitals. Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyPetco Health and Wellness Company generates revenue through multiple streams. The primary source of income is the sale of pet food, supplies, and accessories, which are available both in-store and online. In addition to retail sales, Petco earns income from its grooming services, veterinary care, and training sessions offered at its physical locations. The company also benefits from various partnerships with pet product manufacturers and service providers, enhancing its product offerings and customer reach. These revenue streams are supported by a strong brand presence and a loyal customer base, driving consistent earnings for the company.

Petco Health and Wellness Company Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue from different business segments, highlighting which areas drive growth and profitability, and indicating strategic focus and market positioning.
Chart InsightsPetco's Consumables segment shows resilience with a steady upward trend, while Supplies and Companion Animals face persistent declines. Services and Other experienced a sharp spike in late 2023, possibly due to data error, but otherwise maintain moderate growth. The earnings call highlights strategic efforts to stabilize profitability and expand services, despite a projected revenue decline in 2025. Store closures and increased SG&A costs pose challenges, but leadership changes and a focus on operational efficiencies aim to drive long-term growth and improve margins.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Petco Health and Wellness Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Petco faces challenges in profitability and financial stability, with negative net income and high leverage. Despite stalled revenue growth, positive operating cash flows provide a foundation for recovery. Strategic focus on improving margins and reducing debt could enhance overall financial performance.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Petco Health and Wellness Company has shown fluctuating revenue patterns, with a recent decline in total revenue. The gross profit margin remains relatively stable, but the net profit margin is negative due to consistent net losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also deteriorated, which indicates challenges in operational efficiency and profitability.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage. The return on equity is negative, reflecting consistent net losses, while the equity ratio has decreased, showing reduced financial stability. These factors suggest financial risk but also potential for improvement if liabilities are managed effectively.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Operating cash flow has been positive, indicating some capacity to generate cash from core operations. However, free cash flow has been inconsistent, with recent improvements. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is relatively strong, but the free cash flow to net income ratio suggests volatility. Attention to cash management could enhance financial health.
Breakdown
Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
6.12B6.26B6.04B5.81B4.92B
Gross Profit
2.32B2.35B2.43B2.43B2.11B
EBIT
7.05M-1.18B225.56M266.07M194.40M
EBITDA
7.05M-971.83M407.75M464.20M383.76M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-101.82M-1.28B90.80M164.42M-38.30M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
165.76M125.43M201.90M211.60M111.40M
Total Assets
5.19B5.36B6.61B6.50B6.08B
Total Debt
2.94B3.04B3.11B3.02B2.99B
Net Debt
2.77B2.92B2.91B2.81B2.88B
Total Liabilities
4.08B4.18B4.23B4.24B4.02B
Stockholders Equity
1.11B1.18B2.38B2.27B2.07B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
49.68M-9.88M67.98M119.11M109.06M
Operating Cash Flow
177.67M215.72M346.00M358.21M268.62M
Investing Cash Flow
-123.90M-207.44M-320.32M-237.08M-157.19M
Financing Cash Flow
-8.75M-85.35M-33.84M-18.78M-146.61M

Petco Health and Wellness Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.65
Price Trends
50DMA
3.00
Positive
100DMA
3.18
Positive
200DMA
3.64
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.15
Negative
RSI
64.44
Neutral
STOCH
84.96
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WOOF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.65 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.22, above the 50-day MA of 3.00, and above the 200-day MA of 3.64, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.96 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WOOF.

Petco Health and Wellness Company Risk Analysis

Petco Health and Wellness Company disclosed 67 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Petco Health and Wellness Company reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Petco Health and Wellness Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$33.38B17.3136.48%1.51%2.04%-15.61%
75
Outperform
$18.25B48.45101.78%6.40%891.13%
GPGPC
71
Outperform
$17.92B21.2019.19%3.15%1.99%-32.18%
BBBBY
69
Neutral
$15.06B16.6231.63%5.30%-4.43%-24.58%
62
Neutral
$6.97B11.362.77%3.91%2.66%-22.00%
GMGME
54
Neutral
$12.75B105.614.19%-27.50%1150.23%
53
Neutral
$1.07B-8.86%-2.22%92.17%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WOOF
Petco Health and Wellness Company
3.65
0.77
26.74%
BBY
Best Buy Co
70.15
2.61
3.86%
EBAY
eBay
71.58
19.74
38.08%
GME
GameStop
28.05
6.93
32.81%
GPC
Genuine Parts Company
125.09
-20.00
-13.78%
CHWY
Chewy
43.57
27.19
166.00%

Petco Health and Wellness Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 26, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 49.59%|
Next Earnings Date:Jun 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc.'s earnings call presents a mixed picture with strong EBITDA performance and strategic leadership changes aimed at long-term growth. However, challenges such as net store closures, SG&A increases, and a modest sales outlook suggest underlying issues that need to be addressed. The sentiment balances positive strategic initiatives and operational improvements against current market challenges.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and EBITDA Performance
Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. delivered a revenue of $1.55 billion in Q4, in line with prior outlook, and adjusted EBITDA of $96.1 million, exceeding expectations. The company expects to deliver double-digit growth on adjusted EBITDA year over year in 2025.
Gross Margin Improvement
Q4 gross margin increased by 180 basis points to 38%, driven by lapsing an inventory and impairment charge from the previous year and progress in margin management.
Positive Cash Flow and Cash Balance
In 2024, Petco achieved $50 million of positive free cash flow and improved its cash balance to $182 million.
Leadership and Strategic Vision
Petco restructured its leadership team with new appointments, focusing on retail fundamentals, cost control, and long-term growth to reinvigorate the brand.
Expansion in Pet Services
Petco is leveraging its leadership in services, the fastest-growing area of the pet category, including grooming and vet locations.
Negative Updates
Net Store Closures
Petco closed 25 net locations in 2024 and plans to close 20 to 30 more in 2025, reflecting challenges in optimizing its store fleet.
SG&A Increase
Total SG&A increased by approximately 60 basis points to 36.8% of net sales due to consulting fees and incentive compensation related to ongoing transformation efforts.
Flat Comparable Sales
Q4 comparable sales were up only 50 basis points year over year, indicating a challenging sales environment.
Downward Sales Outlook
Petco expects overall net sales to be down low single digits in 2025, excluding any potential tariff impacts.
Company Guidance
During the Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. earnings call for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, key financial metrics were discussed, including a fourth-quarter revenue of $1.55 billion and an adjusted EBITDA of $96.1 million, which surpassed expectations. The company emphasized its commitment to improving profitability and outlined a strategic plan consisting of three phases: stabilizing profitability, implementing operational efficiencies, and preparing for long-term growth. For 2025, Petco projects a revenue decline in the low single digits and an adjusted EBITDA between $375 and $390 million. The company also aims to expand gross margin rates each quarter and leverage SG&A to enhance earnings power. Additionally, Petco plans to close 20 to 30 locations in 2025 and targets a debt-to-EBITDA leverage ratio below two times.

Petco Health and Wellness Company Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Petco Reports Decrease in Revenue, Improves Cash Flow
Neutral
Mar 26, 2025

Petco Health and Wellness Company reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, showing a decrease in net revenue and gross profit compared to the previous year. Despite these declines, the company reduced its GAAP net loss significantly and improved its free cash flow. CEO Joel Anderson expressed confidence in the new leadership team’s ability to drive double-digit adjusted EBITDA growth in 2025, positioning the company for sustainable profitable growth.

Executive/Board Changes
Petco Announces New CFO Sabrina Simmons
Neutral
Feb 24, 2025

On February 18, 2025, Petco Health and Wellness Company announced a leadership change with Sabrina Simmons succeeding Brian LaRose as Chief Financial Officer, effective February 17, 2025. Mr. LaRose transitioned to a non-officer role and will remain with the company until April 30, 2025, to assist with the transition. He entered into a transition and separation agreement, receiving a lump sum payment and other benefits as part of his departure package.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.