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Natural Health Trends (NHTC)
NASDAQ:NHTC

Natural Health Trends (NHTC) AI Stock Analysis

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Natural Health Trends

(NASDAQ:NHTC)

50Neutral
Natural Health Trends' stock score is primarily affected by its strong gross margins but challenged by declining revenue and cash flow issues. The technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, while the high P/E ratio points to potential overvaluation despite a high dividend yield. Neutral sentiment from the earnings call further supports a cautious outlook.

Natural Health Trends (NHTC) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Natural Health Trends Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNatural Health Trends Corp., a direct-selling and e-commerce company, provides personal care, wellness, and lifestyle products under the NHT Global brand. The company offers wellness products, including liquid, encapsulated, tableted, and powder dietary and nutritional supplements, as well as vitamins and minerals; and herbal products comprising herbal supplements. It also provides beauty products, such as age-defying and hydrating cleansers, creams, lotions, serums, and toners; and lifestyle products, which include weight management and energy enhancing supplements. In addition, the company offers home appliances; daily products, such as oral care, hair care, and body care; and home appliances products. It sells its products directly to consumers, as well as through an e-commerce retail platform in the United States, Canada, Cayman Islands, Mexico, Peru, Hong Kong, Taiwan, China, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam, South Korea, Japan, India, Russia, Kazakhstan, and Europe. The company was formerly known as Florida Institute of Massage Therapy, Inc. and changed its name to Natural Health Trends Corp. in June 1993. Natural Health Trends Corp. was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Tsim Sha Tsui, Hong Kong.
How the Company Makes MoneyNatural Health Trends generates revenue through its direct-selling business model, where independent distributors sell their health and wellness products directly to consumers. These distributors, who are part of a multi-level marketing network, earn commissions on their sales and the sales made by their recruited team members. NHTC's revenue streams are significantly influenced by the number of active distributors and the volume of product sales they achieve. The company also leverages e-commerce platforms to expand its reach and facilitate product sales. Additionally, strategic partnerships and international market expansions contribute to its financial performance, allowing NHTC to tap into new consumer bases and diversify its revenue sources.

Natural Health Trends Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Natural Health Trends has strong gross margins but is challenged by declining revenue and negative cash flows. The balance sheet shows stability with low leverage, but declining equity and assets raise concerns. Operational inefficiencies and cash flow issues need addressing to improve financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Natural Health Trends' revenue has been on a declining trend from $62 million in 2020 to $42.7 million in the TTM. The gross profit margin remains strong at 73.9% for TTM, but declining revenues are a concern. Net profit margin improved slightly to 1.2% in TTM; however, EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, indicating operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows stability with a high equity ratio of 58.1% in TTM, reflecting a solid financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.08, indicating minimal leverage. However, stockholders' equity has decreased over time, and declining total assets may pose long-term risks.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Free cash flow is negative, and there's a concerning trend of negative operating cash flows, which were -$3.43 million in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow issues. However, free cash flow has improved slightly, showing a minor positive trajectory.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
42.75M42.96M43.92M49.13M60.01M62.07M
Gross Profit
31.62M31.79M32.75M36.47M44.99M45.08M
EBIT
-1.28M-1.30M-1.67M-270.00K1.57M669.00K
EBITDA
-1.18M-1.30M-1.51M-66.00K1.87M1.08M
Net Income Common Stockholders
506.00K572.00K568.00K313.00K1.08M843.00K
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
41.90M43.94M56.18M69.67M83.84M92.37M
Total Assets
53.18M55.36M69.09M82.82M98.36M105.94M
Total Debt
2.50M2.64M3.46M4.12M3.17M3.94M
Net Debt
-19.19M-10.89M-52.71M-65.54M-80.68M-88.43M
Total Liabilities
22.30M22.49M27.49M32.67M38.87M38.24M
Stockholders Equity
30.88M32.87M41.60M50.15M59.49M67.70M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-3.49M-3.42M-4.32M-5.00M791.00K1.67M
Operating Cash Flow
-3.43M-3.37M-4.28M-4.85M1.02M1.89M
Investing Cash Flow
8.42M-30.07M-46.00K-143.00K-225.00K-211.00K
Financing Cash Flow
-9.21M-9.21M-9.21M-9.14M-9.14M-9.14M

Natural Health Trends Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.47
Price Trends
50DMA
4.80
Negative
100DMA
4.69
Negative
200DMA
5.05
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Positive
RSI
38.86
Neutral
STOCH
26.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NHTC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.47 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.75, below the 50-day MA of 4.80, and below the 200-day MA of 5.05, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NHTC.

Natural Health Trends Risk Analysis

Natural Health Trends disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Natural Health Trends reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Natural Health Trends Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$6.98B11.382.86%3.90%2.64%-22.07%
50
Neutral
$52.95M104.301.44%17.39%-0.62%1.15%
OCOCG
50
Neutral
$106.57M-5.10%-21.59%-0.32%
44
Neutral
$119.68M-45.59%
43
Neutral
$22.07M15.19114.41%-58.19%
40
Underperform
$88.90M
-7.66%-735.19%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NHTC
Natural Health Trends
4.47
-1.68
-27.32%
NEGG
Newegg Commerce
6.20
-15.20
-71.03%
QVCGA
QVC Group
0.10
-0.60
-85.71%
LITB
LightInTheBox
1.19
-3.03
-71.80%
MI
NFT
2.61
-2.93
-52.89%
OCG
Oriental Culture Holding
5.51
3.81
224.12%

Natural Health Trends Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -5.70%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive developments, such as new product launches and expansion into Colombia, against a backdrop of challenges like revenue and membership declines. While the company is taking strategic actions to address these challenges, the balance of good and bad news results in a neutral sentiment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Sequential Order Increase
Orders taken increased by 9% over the fourth quarter of 2024, demonstrating sustained interest in products.
New Product Launch Success
Introduction of Twin Slim Coffee and Twin Slim Tomato Soup received strong feedback from customers and field leaders.
Incentive Trip to Paris
Hosted nearly 200 qualifiers on an incentive trip to Paris, enhancing team camaraderie.
Expansion in Colombia
Opened a new office in Bogotá, Colombia, serving as a central hub for the newest market.
Gross Profit Margin Increase
Gross profit margin increased slightly to 73.6% from 73.4% in the first quarter last year.
Dividend Announcement
Declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.20 per share, payable on May 23.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Revenue decreased by 2% to $10.7 million compared to $11 million in the first quarter of 2024.
Active Member Base Decline
Active member base decreased to 30,180 from 30,870 at December 31, a 5% decline from March 31 last year.
Operating Loss
Operating loss for the quarter was $345,000 compared to $365,000 in the first quarter last year.
Net Income Decline
Net income for the first quarter was $122,000 or $0.01 per diluted share, down from $188,000 or $0.02 per diluted share in the first quarter of 2024.
Cash and Marketable Securities Decrease
Total cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities decreased to $41.9 million from $43.9 million at December 31, 2024.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Natural Health Trends reported revenue of $10.7 million, a 2% decrease compared to the same period in 2024, attributed to adjustments in their incentive calendars. Despite this, the company saw a 9% increase in orders from the fourth quarter of 2024. The active member base decreased slightly to 30,180 from 30,870 at the end of 2024, marking a 5% decline year-over-year. Gross profit margin rose slightly to 73.6% from 73.4% in the previous year. Commissions expense increased to 41.8% of total revenue from 41% due to higher member commissions. Selling, general, and administrative expenses were reduced by $156,000 to $3.8 million, resulting in an operating loss of $345,000, improved from a $365,000 loss last year. Net income was $122,000, or $0.01 per diluted share, down from $188,000, or $0.02 per diluted share. Cash and marketable securities totaled $41.9 million at the end of March, reflecting a decrease due to dividend payments, with another quarterly dividend of $0.20 per share declared for May. The company is prioritizing supply chain optimization in response to international trade changes.

Natural Health Trends Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Natural Health Trends Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 6, 2025

On May 6, 2025, Natural Health Trends held its annual meeting of stockholders in Rowland Heights, California, with 72.9% of shares represented. During the meeting, Yiu T. Chan, Randall A. Mason, Lucy N. Nduati, Chris T. Sharng, and Ching C. Wong were elected as directors, and the appointment of CBIZ CPAs P.C. as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, was ratified.

Spark’s Take on NHTC Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, NHTC is a Neutral.

Natural Health Trends’ overall stock score reflects a mix of positive and negative factors. Strong gross margins and a high dividend yield are notable strengths, but declining revenue, negative cash flows, and high P/E ratio pose risks. Technical indicators and earnings call sentiment are mixed, contributing to a balanced outlook. The company must address operational and cash flow challenges to improve its stock performance.

To see Spark’s full report on NHTC stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Natural Health Trends Approves Phantom Share Awards
Neutral
Apr 2, 2025

On April 1, 2025, Natural Health Trends Corp. announced the approval of phantom share awards under its Phantom Equity Plan. The awards, which include 124,850 shares for President Chris T. Sharng and 41,788 shares for CFO Timothy S. Davidson, have a two-year vesting period with conditions tied to the company’s financial performance and stock appreciation. These awards aim to incentivize key executives and directors, potentially impacting the company’s operational focus and aligning stakeholder interests with performance metrics.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.