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Mogu
(NYSE:MOGU)
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Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▲(0.00% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/09/26
The score is weighed down primarily by weak financial performance—especially persistent negative operating/free cash flow and structurally unprofitable operations despite a recent revenue rebound and low leverage. Technicals add modest pressure with the stock trading below key longer-term moving averages and negative MACD. Valuation further constrains the score due to a high P/E and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Very low leverage and a large equity cushion materially reduce refinancing and solvency risk, giving management runway to invest in strategy shifts or endure continued losses. This conservatism supports long-term optionality and lowers bankruptcy risk while cash burn is addressed.
Negative Factors
Persistent cash burn
Consistent negative operating and free cash flows indicate the business is not self‑funding and will need external financing or asset actions to sustain operations. Continued cash burn narrows strategic flexibility and raises solvency risk if revenue and margin recovery stall.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Very low leverage and a large equity cushion materially reduce refinancing and solvency risk, giving management runway to invest in strategy shifts or endure continued losses. This conservatism supports long-term optionality and lowers bankruptcy risk while cash burn is addressed.
Read all positive factors
Mogu Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down Mogu's sales across its business lines (for example marketplace transactions, live commerce, advertising, and membership services). Reveals which segments drive growth, which generate higher margins, and which are most exposed to volatility or promotional pressure. Trending segment mixes indicate whether revenue gains are sustainable, concentrated among a few sellers, or reliant on less profitable channels — key for judging future profitability and risk.
Breaks down Mogu's sales across its business lines (for example marketplace transactions, live commerce, advertising, and membership services). Reveals which segments drive growth, which generate higher margins, and which are most exposed to volatility or promotional pressure. Trending segment mixes indicate whether revenue gains are sustainable, concentrated among a few sellers, or reliant on less profitable channels — key for judging future profitability and risk.
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The Fly
The FlyMogu (MOGU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$15.53M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)2.47M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.49
Revenue Growth-9.81%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees347
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustrySpecialty Retail
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-2.85
Shares Outstanding7,162,861
10 Day Avg. Volume16,482
30 Day Avg. Volume2,470,702
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.71
Price to Book (P/B)0.25
Price to Sales (P/S)1.03
P/FCF Ratio-2.65
Enterprise Value/Market Cap-0.41
Enterprise Value/Revenue-0.07
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit-0.27
Enterprise Value/Ebitda0.13
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Mogu Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
MOGU Inc., through its various subsidiaries, manages a significant online fashion and lifestyle e-commerce platform catering to consumers across the People's Republic of China. This digital marketplace features an extensive array of products, enco...
How the Company Makes Money
Mogu primarily makes money by monetizing activity on its fashion e-commerce platform. Its key revenue streams are: (1) Marketing services: fees paid by merchants and brands for advertising, traffic acquisition, and promotional placements on Mogu’s...
Mogu Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
28
Negative
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
21
Negative
| Breakdown | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 121.54M | 141.23M | 160.34M | 232.08M | 337.47M |
| Gross Profit | 34.57M | 56.47M | 69.15M | 118.19M | 177.87M |
| EBITDA | -66.45M | -43.69M | -51.42M | -114.76M | -322.80M |
| Net Income | 1.78M | -62.56M | -59.28M | -177.98M | -639.80M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 823.82M | 858.23M | 938.36M | 1.01B | 1.17B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 294.54M | 379.59M | 420.10M | 562.04M | 635.46M |
| Total Debt | 765.12K | 972.00K | 2.66M | 3.41M | 10.06M |
| Total Liabilities | 317.60M | 321.23M | 323.91M | 339.79M | 334.82M |
| Stockholders Equity | 506.23M | 508.95M | 588.39M | 644.04M | 789.74M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -47.42M | -78.00M | -134.62M | -65.64M | -169.55M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -47.42M | -67.92M | -40.46M | -10.09M | -114.41M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 99.33M | -207.93M | -19.77M | 608.00K | 13.95M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 8.00K | -822.00K | 0.00 | -12.06M | 450.00K |
Mogu Technical Analysis
Negative
2.00
Price Trends
2.03
Negative
2.17
Negative
2.40
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.03
Negative
47.14
Neutral
62.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MOGU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.91, below the 50-day MA of 2.03, and below the 200-day MA of 2.40, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MOGU.
Mogu Risk Analysis
Mogu disclosed 86 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mogu reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Mogu Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
58 Neutral | $57.52M | 3.35 | -151.13% | ― | -0.60% | 548.86% | |
49 Neutral | $4.44M | -0.71 | ― | ― | 24.08% | 21.73% | |
44 Neutral | $15.53M | -2.54 | -9.51% | ― | -9.81% | ― | |
44 Neutral | $4.11M | -0.04 | 1386.52% | ― | -3.05% | 83.08% | |
| ― | $86.89M | -0.04 | -34.49% | ― | 4368.01% | -109.28% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
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Mogu Corporate Events
MOGU Posts Lower Revenue but Narrower Operating Loss as MCN Business Gains in FY 2026
Jun 22, 2026
MOGU Inc., a KOL-driven online fashion and lifestyle platform in China, reported unaudited results for the six months ended March 31, 2026 and for fiscal year 2026 on June 22, 2026. The company’s core live-streaming and e-commerce operations...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.