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Sally Beauty Holdings (SBH)
NYSE:SBH

Sally Beauty (SBH) AI Stock Analysis

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Sally Beauty

(NYSE:SBH)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$11.50
▲(11.87%Upside)
Sally Beauty's overall stock score is driven by its strong valuation and positive technical indicators, despite challenges in revenue growth and sales declines. The company's strategic initiatives and corporate actions provide a solid foundation for future growth, although caution is warranted due to macroeconomic uncertainties.
Positive Factors
Cost Savings Initiatives
Despite macro uncertainty, Sally Beauty maintains strong expense control through their Fuel for Growth program on track to generate $70 million in cost savings.
Operational Efficiency
Sally Beauty Holdings reported a better-than-expected Adj. EBIT margin of 8.5%, indicating strong operational efficiency.
Product Expansion
Sally Beauty is adding fast-growing prestige coloring brand Madison Reed to their assortment, offering consumers increased choice with more premium beauty options.
Negative Factors
Consumer Demand
Sales were pressured by weak start due to poor weather and increased illness rates, impacting consumer demand and the BSG business.
Economic Environment
Management lowered FY25 operating margin guidance and comps due to macro concerns, reflecting challenges in the economic environment.
Revenue Outlook
Uncertain consumer trends could pressure topline growth, with a more muted topline outlook and uncertainty around further EBIT margin expansion.

Sally Beauty (SBH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sally Beauty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSally Beauty Holdings, Inc. (SBH) is a leading international specialty retailer and distributor of professional beauty supplies. The company operates primarily through two business segments: Sally Beauty Supply and Beauty Systems Group. Sally Beauty Supply offers a wide range of professional-grade beauty products directly to consumers and salon professionals, including hair color, hair care, skin care, and nail products. Beauty Systems Group provides exclusive professional beauty products to licensed salon professionals and salon owners through its network of stores and direct sales consultants.
How the Company Makes MoneySally Beauty Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of beauty products and supplies. The company's revenue streams are derived from its retail operations under the Sally Beauty Supply segment and distribution through the Beauty Systems Group segment. Sally Beauty Supply targets both retail consumers and professionals, selling products in physical stores and through e-commerce platforms. Beauty Systems Group focuses on exclusive distribution to licensed beauty professionals, offering products through professional-only stores and a dedicated sales force. Additionally, Sally Beauty may engage in strategic partnerships with beauty brands to enhance its product offerings and attract a broader customer base, further contributing to its revenue.

Sally Beauty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 25.83%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted solid financial management and strategic initiatives such as innovation and ecommerce growth. However, it also acknowledged significant challenges like sales declines in both the Sally and BSG segments due to external factors such as the flu season and macroeconomic uncertainty. The company remains cautious about the macro environment and adjusted its full-year guidance accordingly.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increase in Adjusted Operating Earnings
The company reported a 10% increase in adjusted operating earnings and 20% growth in adjusted earnings per share over the prior year.
Gross Margin Expansion
Adjusted operating margin expanded by 90 basis points supported by a gross margin of 52%.
Strong Free Cash Flow
The company continued to generate strong free cash flow, which was used to strengthen its balance sheet and return value to shareholders through share repurchases.
Ecommerce Growth
Ecommerce sales at Sally US and Canada increased by 29% compared to the previous year.
Product Innovation
Successful launches in BSG with brands like K18, Amika, Schwarzkopf, and Moroccan Oil, contributing to expanded distribution and innovation across categories.
Fuel for Growth Program
The program is on track to generate cumulative gross margin and SG&A benefits of approximately $70 million by the end of the year.
Negative Updates
Decline in Comparable Sales
Consolidated comparable sales declined by 1.3% due to a challenging macro environment and an unusually harsh flu season.
Sally Segment Challenges
Sally segment comparable sales dipped into negative territory, declining by 30 basis points.
BSG Segment Challenges
BSG segment saw a 2.7% decline in comparable sales due to external factors like a harsh flu season and macroeconomic uncertainty.
Reduced Full-Year Sales Outlook
The company adjusted its full-year sales guidance to reflect flat to down 1% comparable sales, down from flat to up 2%.
Company Guidance
During Sally Beauty Holdings' call discussing their second quarter fiscal 2025 results, the company provided guidance with several key metrics. Despite a challenging external environment, the company achieved a 10% increase in adjusted operating earnings and a 20% growth in adjusted earnings per share over the previous year. Adjusted operating margin expanded by 90 basis points, and gross margins were healthy at 52%. The Sally segment's comparable sales dipped slightly, declining by 30 basis points, while the BSG segment saw a 2.7% decline in comparable sales. Ecommerce sales at Sally US and Canada increased by 29% year-over-year. The company expects fiscal Q3 comparable sales to range from flat to down 2%, with an adjusted operating margin between 8% and 8.5%. For the full year, they anticipate comparable sales to be flat to down 1% and adjusted operating margins to range from 8% to 8.5%. Sally Beauty Holdings continues to focus on strategic initiatives such as digital marketplaces and product innovation to drive future growth.

Sally Beauty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sally Beauty demonstrates strong profitability with a healthy gross profit margin and effective use of equity. Despite a slight revenue decline, stable operating efficiency and robust cash flow metrics provide a solid financial foundation.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Sally Beauty's income statement shows strong profitability with a healthy Gross Profit Margin of 51.3% and Net Profit Margin of 5.0% for TTM. However, revenue has shown a slight decline of 0.5% on an annual basis, which could be a concern if this trend continues. The EBIT Margin at 8.8% and EBITDA Margin at 10.2% indicate stable operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a moderate risk profile with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.66 for TTM, indicating manageable leverage. The Return on Equity is strong at 26.6%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the Equity Ratio stands at 25.8%, suggesting a relatively lower proportion of equity financing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow metrics are stable with a Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of 14.5% and a robust Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.3 in TTM, indicating good cash generation relative to earnings. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.9, reflecting solid cash profitability.
BreakdownTTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.70B3.72B3.73B3.82B3.87B3.51B
Gross Profit1.90B1.89B1.89B1.92B1.95B1.72B
EBITDA378.45M392.47M441.06M365.22M423.05M272.79M
Net Income186.00M153.41M184.60M183.55M239.86M113.25M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.71B2.79B2.73B2.58B2.85B2.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments92.17M107.96M123.00M70.56M400.96M514.15M
Total Debt461.35M1.60B1.68B1.73B1.94B2.34B
Total Liabilities2.01B2.16B2.22B2.28B2.57B2.88B
Stockholders Equity699.82M628.53M508.75M293.64M280.74M15.44M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow166.50M145.36M158.57M57.25M307.96M316.03M
Operating Cash Flow243.09M246.53M249.31M156.50M381.86M426.89M
Investing Cash Flow-64.03M-108.91M-99.78M-102.42M-76.02M-123.78M
Financing Cash Flow-84.80M-153.73M-100.82M-373.68M-419.97M139.76M

Sally Beauty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.28
Price Trends
50DMA
8.78
Positive
100DMA
8.83
Positive
200DMA
10.60
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.28
Negative
RSI
71.11
Negative
STOCH
93.17
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SBH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.04, above the 50-day MA of 8.78, and below the 200-day MA of 10.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.11 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.17 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SBH.

Sally Beauty Risk Analysis

Sally Beauty disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sally Beauty reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sally Beauty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
SBSBH
76
Outperform
$1.04B5.8129.74%0.17%20.26%
73
Outperform
$756.17M30.7014.01%35.78%23.49%
70
Outperform
$325.87M11.2111.76%3.17%-5.46%-1.09%
LZLZB
68
Neutral
$1.62B16.839.84%2.22%3.04%-16.49%
65
Neutral
$1.05B86.341.41%-5.11%-74.90%
62
Neutral
C$5.24B11.0818.82%3.79%5.08%6.52%
WGWGO
46
Neutral
$883.80M-1.35%4.31%-9.32%-120.00%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SBH
Sally Beauty
10.28
-0.49
-4.55%
LZB
La-Z-Boy Incorporated
39.58
2.82
7.67%
LQDT
Liquidity Services
24.22
4.32
21.71%
WEYS
Weyco Group
34.02
7.12
26.47%
WGO
Winnebago Industries
31.53
-17.86
-36.16%
OLPX
Olaplex Holdings
1.58
0.11
7.48%

Sally Beauty Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sally Beauty Appoints Max Rangel to Board
Positive
Jun 18, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Sally Beauty Holdings appointed Max Rangel, a seasoned executive with extensive experience in the consumer products industry, to its Board of Directors. Mr. Rangel’s appointment is expected to bring valuable insights and expertise to the company as it continues to focus on strategic initiatives and profitable growth, enhancing its position in the beauty industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (SBH) stock is a Buy with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sally Beauty stock, see the SBH Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Sally Beauty Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
May 12, 2025

Sally Beauty Holdings reported its financial results for the second quarter of fiscal 2025, highlighting a third consecutive quarter of operating margin expansion despite a challenging macroeconomic environment. The company achieved a GAAP operating margin of 7.9% and an adjusted operating margin of 8.5%, supported by strong gross margin performance and cost control measures. Net sales decreased by 2.8% due to external factors, including unfavorable foreign currency impacts and reduced store operations. However, the company maintained strong cash flow, allowing for debt reduction and share repurchases. The Board of Directors approved a four-year extension to the share repurchase program, authorizing up to $501.1 million in stock repurchases.

The most recent analyst rating on (SBH) stock is a Buy with a $16.0000 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sally Beauty stock, see the SBH Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sally Beauty Extends Share Repurchase Program
Positive
May 12, 2025

Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. announced on May 6, 2025, that its Board of Directors has approved an extension of the company’s share repurchase program until September 30, 2029. This extension allows the company to repurchase up to $501.1 million of its common stock, continuing its strategy to enhance shareholder value. The repurchases will comply with U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission rules, including Rule 10b-18, and may involve Rule 10b5-1 plans to facilitate purchases during restricted periods.

The most recent analyst rating on (SBH) stock is a Buy with a $16.0000 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sally Beauty stock, see the SBH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 03, 2025