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Sally Beauty Holdings (SBH)
NYSE:SBH
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Sally Beauty (SBH) AI Stock Analysis

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SBH

Sally Beauty

(NYSE:SBH)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$14.00
▼(-3.65% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/14/26
SBH scores as a balanced setup: improving financial performance (re-accelerating revenue and stronger free cash flow) and supportive valuation (low P/E) are the biggest positives, reinforced by a constructive earnings call with a slightly higher FY2026 EPS floor. The main offset is weak technical momentum (below key moving averages with negative MACD and low RSI/Stoch), alongside still-elevated leverage and modest net margins that add risk if demand softens.
Positive Factors
Revenue & Margin Recovery
Sharp TTM top‑line recovery combined with sustained gross (~52%) and operating (~8%) margins signals renewed product demand and stronger merchandising. This operating leverage supports durable profitability and cash generation capacity, bolstering resilience across a 2–6 month horizon.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
Leverage remains elevated for a discretionary retail business. Even with recent paydowns, higher debt amplifies earnings volatility, constrains capital flexibility, and raises refinancing and interest‑rate sensitivity, limiting the firm's ability to invest or weather a prolonged sales slowdown.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue & Margin Recovery
Sharp TTM top‑line recovery combined with sustained gross (~52%) and operating (~8%) margins signals renewed product demand and stronger merchandising. This operating leverage supports durable profitability and cash generation capacity, bolstering resilience across a 2–6 month horizon.
Read all positive factors

Sally Beauty Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Breaks down profit contribution from each business unit (e.g., Beauty Systems Group vs. Sally retail), revealing which parts of the company generate cash and which may be loss-making. Highlights margin strength, cost control, and whether growth is translating into sustainable earnings or being eroded by higher expenses.
Chart InsightsSally’s operating income has stabilized after mid‑cycle weakness and shows a clear inflection from 2024 driven more by margin recovery (color strength, ecommerce growth, store refreshes) than by broad comp gains; BSG is mid‑recovery as new brands and margin expansion lift profitability. Corporate & Other remains a recurring drag and more volatile—a temporary improvement in late 2024 gave way to higher overhead in 2025—so upside to consolidated operating profit will hinge on sustaining Fuel‑for‑Growth savings and containing SG&A/promotion pressures.
Data provided by:The Fly

Sally Beauty (SBH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sally Beauty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. operates as a specialty retailer and distributor of professional beauty supplies. The company operates through two segments, Sally Beauty Supply and Beauty Systems Group. The Sally Beauty Supply segment offers beauty pr...
How the Company Makes Money
SBH makes money primarily by selling beauty products at retail and through professional distribution channels. Its core revenue stream is merchandise sales (e.g., hair color, hair care, styling tools, nail and skincare products) through company-op...

Sally Beauty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 09, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented multiple clear operational and financial wins — EPS beat, margin expansion, strong cash flow, progress on the Fuel for Growth program, robust color and ecommerce performance, and strategic initiatives (fragrance roll-out, Sally Ignited) gaining traction. These positives were balanced by near-term headwinds: flat consolidated comps, weakness in the care category, slightly elevated promotions and SG&A pressures, modest sales impact from the Europe exit, and macro-driven softness (government shutdown, weather). Overall, the company demonstrated disciplined execution and provided a modestly improved full-year outlook, with the strategic initiatives positioned to drive future growth.
Positive Updates
Consolidated Sales and EPS Beat
Total net sales of $943 million, up 0.6% year-over-year; consolidated comparable sales flat to prior year. Adjusted diluted EPS of $0.48, up 12% year-over-year and above guidance.
Negative Updates
Overall Comp Sales Stagnation
Consolidated comparable sales were flat for the quarter, reflecting pockets of softness despite other gains; BSG comparable sales declined slightly by ~20 basis points.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Consolidated Sales and EPS Beat
Total net sales of $943 million, up 0.6% year-over-year; consolidated comparable sales flat to prior year. Adjusted diluted EPS of $0.48, up 12% year-over-year and above guidance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management raised the low end of fiscal 2026 EPS guidance after a strong Q1 and reiterated a full‑year outlook calling for consolidated net sales of $3.71–$3.77 billion (≈+50 bps FX benefit), comparable sales flat to +1%, adjusted operating earnings of $328–$342 million, adjusted diluted EPS of $2.02–$2.10 (up from a prior $2.00–$2.10 low end), capital expenditures of ≈$100 million, free cash flow of $200 million (with ~50% of FCF assumed for share repurchases), Fuel for Growth benefits of ~ $45 million in FY26 and cumulative run‑rate savings of ~$120 million by year‑end, and a roughly flat store count (≈40 openings, 40 closures, ~50 relocations); for Q2 FY26 they guided consolidated net sales of $895–$905 million (≈+100 bps FX), comparable sales +0.5% to +1.5%, adjusted operating earnings $68–$71 million, adjusted diluted EPS $0.39–$0.42, and SG&A dollars expected to be roughly consistent with Q1.

Sally Beauty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show improving momentum but with meaningful balance-sheet constraint. Revenue growth re-accelerated sharply in TTM (+54.6%) and profitability is solid (~52% gross margin, ~8% operating margin), while cash generation improved (TTM OCF $357M; FCF $229M). Offsetting this, leverage remains elevated (about 1.8x debt-to-equity) and net margins are modest (~4.9% TTM), limiting cushion in a discretionary retail model.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
66
Positive
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.73B3.70B3.72B3.73B3.82B3.87B
Gross Profit1.93B1.91B1.89B1.89B1.94B1.95B
EBITDA404.49M427.73M393.50M441.06M493.06M529.70M
Net Income183.91M195.88M153.41M184.60M183.55M239.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.85B2.87B2.79B2.73B2.58B2.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments157.40M149.16M107.96M123.00M70.56M400.96M
Total Debt1.52B1.56B1.60B1.68B1.73B1.94B
Total Liabilities2.02B2.08B2.16B2.22B2.28B2.57B
Stockholders Equity837.87M794.21M628.53M508.75M293.64M280.74M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow263.76M172.69M145.36M158.57M57.25M307.96M
Operating Cash Flow391.88M274.83M246.53M249.31M156.50M381.86M
Investing Cash Flow-127.46M-58.28M-108.91M-99.78M-102.42M-76.02M
Financing Cash Flow-166.02M-178.42M-153.73M-100.82M-373.68M-419.97M

Sally Beauty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price14.53
Price Trends
50DMA
13.62
Negative
100DMA
14.59
Negative
200DMA
14.72
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.32
Negative
RSI
51.10
Neutral
STOCH
91.02
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SBH, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 14.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.97, above the 50-day MA of 13.62, and below the 200-day MA of 14.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.02 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SBH.

Sally Beauty Risk Analysis

Sally Beauty disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sally Beauty reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sally Beauty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$22.10B20.2244.07%9.71%1.00%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
$1.27B6.9722.86%0.77%2.73%
56
Neutral
$1.38B-91.53-1.70%1.10%-221.08%
55
Neutral
$3.92B5.66-52.40%4.16%-1.40%-4.34%
52
Neutral
$273.14M-16.08-2.64%32.03%76.28%
50
Neutral
$8.67B39.7751.43%6.24%-41.25%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SBH
Sally Beauty
13.25
4.40
49.72%
BBWI
Bath & Body Works
20.36
-7.23
-26.19%
ULTA
Ulta Beauty
520.15
98.36
23.32%
CHWY
Chewy
21.38
-23.03
-51.86%
YSG
Yatsen Holding
3.43
-2.00
-36.83%
OLPX
Olaplex Holdings
2.05
0.73
55.30%

Sally Beauty Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Sally Beauty Reports Solid Q2 Results, Tightens 2026 Outlook
Positive
May 11, 2026
On May 11, 2026, Sally Beauty Holdings reported that second-quarter fiscal 2026 net sales rose 2.3% year over year to $903 million, with comparable sales up 1.3% and global e-commerce revenue advancing 13% to $108 million. The company expanded its...
Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Sally Beauty Announces CFO Transition and Interim Leadership
Neutral
Apr 2, 2026
On April 2, 2026, Sally Beauty Holdings announced that Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Marlo Cormier would step down effective April 11, 2026, after a mutual agreement reached on March 30, 2026, with her departure characterized a...
Executive/Board Changes
Sally Beauty Announces Immediate Resignation of Board Director
Neutral
Mar 17, 2026
On March 12, 2026, Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. announced that director Erin Nealy Cox resigned from its Board of Directors, effective immediately, as she transitions to a new role at Walmart, Inc. The company stated there was no disagreement under...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 14, 2026