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Winnebago Industries (WGO)
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Winnebago Industries (WGO) AI Stock Analysis

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WGO

Winnebago Industries

(NYSE:WGO)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$35.00
▲(1.45% Upside)
Winnebago Industries' overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance, which is under pressure due to declining revenue and profitability. Technical analysis provides a neutral outlook, while valuation metrics raise concerns with a negative P/E ratio. The earnings call adds to the cautious sentiment with reduced guidance and operational challenges.
Positive Factors
Product Innovation
The introduction of new products like Newmar's Freedom Aire and the Thrive travel trailer demonstrates Winnebago's commitment to innovation, potentially enhancing its competitive position and attracting new customers in the RV market.
Market Share Gains
Gaining market share in key segments like Class A gas and Class C enterprise shares indicates strong competitive positioning, which can lead to sustained revenue growth and improved brand recognition in the long term.
Corporate Responsibility Recognition
Recognition for corporate responsibility can enhance brand reputation, attract socially conscious consumers, and improve employee morale, contributing to long-term business sustainability and stakeholder trust.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A substantial revenue decline indicates challenges in market demand or competitive pressures, which can impact profitability and limit the company's ability to invest in growth initiatives over the long term.
Negative Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow suggests operational inefficiencies and cash management issues, which can strain financial resources and limit the company's ability to fund strategic initiatives or respond to market changes.
Retail Sales Decline
A decline in retail sales reflects weakening consumer demand, possibly due to economic headwinds, which can pressure revenue and profitability, affecting the company's long-term growth prospects.

Winnebago Industries (WGO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Winnebago Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWinnebago Industries, Inc. manufactures and sells recreation vehicles and marine products primarily for use in leisure travel and outdoor recreation activities. The company operates in six segments: Grand Design Towables, Winnebago Towables, Winnebago Motorhomes, Newmar motorhomes, Chris-Craft Marine, and Winnebago Specialty Vehicles. It provides towable products that are non-motorized vehicles to be towed by automobiles, pickup trucks, SUVs, or vans for use as temporary living quarters for recreational travel, such as conventional travel trailers, fifth wheels, folding camper trailers, and truck campers under the Winnebago and Grand Design brand names. The company also offers motorhomes, which are self-propelled mobile dwellings used primarily as temporary living quarters during vacation and camping trips, or to support active and mobile lifestyles under the Winnebago and Newmar brand names. In addition, it offers other specialty commercial vehicles for law enforcement command centers, mobile medical clinics, and mobile office spaces; commercial vehicles as bare shells to third-party up fitters; and boats in the recreational powerboat industry under the Chris-Craft and Barletta brand names. Further, the company is involved in the original equipment manufacturing of parts for other manufacturers and commercial vehicles. The company sells its products primarily through independent dealers in the United States, Canada, and internationally. Winnebago Industries, Inc. was incorporated in 1958 and is based in Forest City, Iowa.
How the Company Makes MoneyWinnebago Industries generates revenue through multiple streams primarily centered around the sale of RVs and related products. Their core revenue comes from the manufacturing and distribution of motorhomes and towable RVs, which they sell through a network of independent dealers across North America. In addition to vehicle sales, Winnebago also earns money through the sale of parts and accessories, as well as service and warranty programs for their RVs. Seasonal demand, particularly during the spring and summer months, significantly impacts sales. The company has established partnerships with various suppliers and dealers, enhancing its distribution capabilities and contributing to its revenue growth. Furthermore, Winnebago has been expanding its product offerings and entering new markets, which can lead to increased sales and diversification of income sources.

Winnebago Industries Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 25, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture, with several new product launches and market share gains serving as positive highlights. However, these were offset by significant challenges in the Motorhome segment, declining retail sales, negative cash flow, and a reduction in full-year guidance, which paint a more concerning outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
New Product Launches Across Brands
Winnebago Industries introduced several new products, including Newmar's Freedom Aire in the Motorhome RV lineup and the Thrive travel trailer in the Towables segment. Additionally, Barletta introduced new helm redesigns and digital resources, while Chris-Craft launched the Catalina 31.
Market Share Gains
Winnebago gained market share in several core product segments, including Class A gas, Class A diesel, and Class C enterprise shares. Barletta increased its share of the U.S. aluminum pontoon market from 8.8% to 9.2%.
Recognition for Corporate Responsibility
Winnebago Industries was recognized by Newsweek as one of America's most trustworthy companies and one of the most responsible companies in America for 2025.
Negative Updates
Decline in Motorhome Segment
Net revenues in the Motorhome segment were down due to lower unit volumes. The Winnebago-branded Motorhome business faced significant operational inefficiencies and higher discounts, leading to a 14.8% decline in total Motorhome RV volume.
Retail Sales Decline
North America RV retail sales declined by 8.2% in April, marking the third consecutive month of decline by more than 8%, driven by economic headwinds and higher borrowing costs.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow was negative $81.7 million for the 9-month period, primarily due to operational inefficiencies in Winnebago-branded Motorhomes and strategic investments in the Grand Design Motorhome business.
Lower Full-Year Guidance
Winnebago reduced its full-year fiscal 2025 guidance, expecting adjusted EPS in the range of $1.20 to $1.70 per diluted share and consolidated revenue between $2.7 billion to $2.8 billion.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 fiscal 2025 earnings call, Winnebago Industries provided a detailed guidance update, highlighting an adjusted EPS range of $1.20 to $1.70 per diluted share and consolidated revenue expectations between $2.7 billion and $2.8 billion for the year. The company reported a negative free cash flow of $81.7 million for the nine-month period, with a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 4.8x, focusing on deleveraging and enhancing working capital for fiscal 2026. They shared a cautious outlook for the RV market with a forecasted industry shipment range of 315,000 to 335,000 units for calendar 2025. Additionally, Winnebago emphasized ongoing strategic efforts, including a margin recapture plan for the Winnebago Motorhome segment, targeting operational efficiency and improved product value, while also addressing tariff-related cost pressures, which could pose a net risk of $0.50 to $0.75 to diluted EPS for fiscal 2026.

Winnebago Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Winnebago Industries is experiencing financial headwinds with declining revenue and profitability, which is negatively impacting its income statement. Although it has improved its debt-to-equity ratio, challenges remain in cash flow management with negative operating cash flow and reduced free cash flow, necessitating revenue growth and profitability restoration.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Winnebago Industries has experienced significant revenue decline, with a drop from $4.96 billion in 2022 to $2.74 billion in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). This led to a negative net income, reflected by a net profit margin of -0.62% in TTM. The gross profit margin also decreased, signaling challenges in maintaining profitability. The company faces a downturn in core revenue metrics, with a substantial drop in EBIT and EBITDA margins to 0.70% and 1.71% respectively.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio improved significantly due to reduced total debt, showing prudent debt management. However, equity has decreased alongside total assets, impacting the equity ratio, which stands at 57.02%. The balance sheet remains relatively stable, but there is potential risk from reduced total assets and equity figures.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow metrics indicate stress, with operating cash flow turning negative and free cash flow significantly decreasing in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative due to losses, and free cash flow growth turned negative compared to 2024, indicating cash management issues.
BreakdownSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.97B3.49B4.96B3.63B2.36B
Gross Profit433.50M586.10M929.34M650.36M312.93M
EBITDA118.10M346.60M609.69M440.70M152.84M
Net Income13.00M215.90M390.60M281.90M61.44M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.38B2.43B2.42B2.06B1.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments330.90M309.90M282.17M434.56M292.57M
Total Debt741.80M634.40M586.28M555.30M539.68M
Total Liabilities1.11B1.06B1.15B1.01B886.23M
Stockholders Equity1.27B1.37B1.26B1.06B827.47M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow98.90M211.30M312.65M192.39M238.06M
Operating Cash Flow143.90M294.50M400.62M237.28M270.43M
Investing Cash Flow-45.90M-170.00M-315.67M-33.01M-293.08M
Financing Cash Flow-77.00M-96.80M-237.34M-62.28M277.79M

Winnebago Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price34.50
Price Trends
50DMA
33.07
Positive
100DMA
32.71
Positive
200DMA
36.42
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Positive
RSI
53.12
Neutral
STOCH
63.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WGO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 34.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.39, above the 50-day MA of 33.07, and below the 200-day MA of 36.42, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WGO.

Winnebago Industries Risk Analysis

Winnebago Industries disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Winnebago Industries reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Winnebago Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
4.16B97.640.72%2.69%-11.58%-87.27%
67
Neutral
5.60B21.856.03%1.88%-4.62%-2.29%
67
Neutral
3.50B14.567.34%2.47%-24.81%-60.65%
66
Neutral
2.30B15.7610.99%4.84%1.36%25.97%
60
Neutral
3.31B-31.22-9.10%4.53%-16.63%-132.70%
53
Neutral
$969.86M-1.35%4.09%-9.32%-120.00%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WGO
Winnebago Industries
34.50
-21.51
-38.40%
BC
Brunswick
63.61
-18.67
-22.69%
LCII
LCI Industries
95.05
-19.71
-17.17%
HOG
Harley-Davidson
28.82
-9.57
-24.93%
PII
Polaris
58.93
-21.57
-26.80%
THO
Thor Industries
106.33
-1.16
-1.08%

Winnebago Industries Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Winnebago Industries Announces Board Member Resignation
Neutral
Aug 8, 2025

On August 4, 2025, Winnebago Industries, Inc. announced the resignation of Jacqueline D. Woods from the Board of Directors, effective immediately. Her resignation was in line with the company’s Corporate Governance Policy due to a change in her principal employment.

The most recent analyst rating on (WGO) stock is a Hold with a $32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Winnebago Industries stock, see the WGO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 25, 2025