tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Brunswick (BC)
NYSE:BC

Brunswick (BC) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
584 Followers

Top Page

BC

Brunswick

(NYSE:BC)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$84.00
▼(-4.78% Downside)
The score reflects weakened earnings and a 2025 net loss as the biggest constraint, partially offset by solid cash generation and a materially improved leverage profile. Technicals are mixed (longer-term trend positive but near-term momentum soft), valuation is pressured by negative earnings despite a modest dividend yield, and the latest earnings call supports the outlook with improving 2026 guidance but notable tariff and near-term headwinds.
Positive Factors
Material Debt Reduction
A sharp decline in total debt materially reduces financial risk, lowers interest obligations and increases strategic optionality. Sustained lower leverage should allow the company to prioritize reinvestment, product programs and targeted capital returns over the next several quarters.
Strong Cash Generation
Robust free cash flow, even during a loss year, demonstrates resilience of operations and recurring revenue. Consistent FCF enables capex for product development, debt paydown and shareholder returns while buffering cyclical downturns common in recreational markets.
Market Leadership & Product Momentum
Clear outboard market leadership and recent share gains signal durable competitive advantage. Strong brand, award-winning product launches and share momentum support pricing power, healthier mix toward premium offerings and longer-term margin sustainability.
Negative Factors
2025 Net Loss and Margin Deterioration
A swing to a net loss erodes earnings capacity, reduces retained earnings and weakens the firm's ability to self-fund growth. If margin pressure persists, equity erosion and constrained reinvestment could impair long-term competitive positioning and recovery timelines.
Sustained Tariff Headwinds
Ongoing tariff costs are a structural headwind that raise production costs and squeeze margins unless fully mitigated by pricing or sourcing changes. Continued tariff volatility complicates long-term planning, reduces competitiveness in price-sensitive segments and pressures EPS recovery.
Weak Retail Demand & Dealer Pipelines
Sustained retail weakness and thinner dealer pipelines lengthen the recovery of wholesale replenishment and constrain revenue visibility. Prolonged demand softness can force higher discounting, depress margins and delay normalization of margins despite operational fixes.

Brunswick (BC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Brunswick Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBrunswick Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets recreation products worldwide. It operates through Propulsion; Parts & Accessories; and Boat segments. The Propulsion segment provides outboard, sterndrive, and inboard engines for independent boat builders and governments through marine dealers and distributors, specialty marine retailers, and marine service centers; and propulsion-related controls, rigging, and propellers to original equipment manufacturers and aftermarket retailers, distributors, and distribution businesses. This segment offers its products under the Mercury, Mercury MerCruiser, Mariner, Mercury Racing, and Mercury Diesel brands. The Parts & Accessories segment provides engine parts and consumables, electrical products, boat parts and systems, engine oils and lubricants, marine electronics and control systems, instruments, trolling motors, fuel systems, and electrical systems, as well as specialty vehicle, mobile, and transportation aftermarket products for aftermarket retailers, distributors, and distribution businesses, as well for as for the original equipment manufacturers in marine and non-marine markets; and supplies parts and accessories. This segment offers its products under the under the Mercury, Mercury Precision Parts, Quicksilver, and Seachoice brands. The Boat segment provides Sea Ray sport boats and cruisers; Bayliner sport cruisers, runabouts and Heyday wake; Boston Whaler fiberglass offshore boats; Lund fiberglass fishing boats; Crestliner, Cypress Cay, Harris, Lowe, Lund, Princecraft aluminum fishing, utility, pontoon, and deck boats; and Thunder Jet heavy-gauge aluminum boats, as well as the freedom boat club, dealer services, and technology to the marine industry through dealers and distributors. Brunswick Corporation was founded in 1845 and is headquartered in Mettawa, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyBrunswick generates revenue primarily through the sale of its marine products, including boats and engines, as well as fitness equipment. Key revenue streams include direct sales to consumers, wholesale distribution to retailers, and partnerships with dealers and distributors globally. The company also benefits from after-sales services, which include maintenance, repairs, and parts sales. Significant partnerships with retailers and dealers enhance market reach and customer accessibility, contributing to consistent revenue generation. Additionally, Brunswick invests in research and development to innovate and expand its product offerings, which helps to capture new market segments and increase sales.

Brunswick Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 29, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Overall the call conveys a broadly positive outlook: Brunswick finished 2025 ahead of recent expectations with revenue growth, strong free cash flow ($442M, +56% YoY), margin expansion in several segments, market-share gains (notably Mercury), product momentum and tangible capital deployment (debt retirement, buybacks, dividend increase). Key near-term negatives are tariff-related costs (~$75M in 2025 and an incremental $35–45M expected in 2026), the reinstatement timing of variable compensation (>$100M cash paid in 2026), and lingering first-half 2025 retail volatility and industry inventory pockets. Management’s 2026 guidance, product pipeline, low dealer inventories, and anticipated rate tailwinds support a positive stance despite tariff and near-term investment headwinds.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Full-Year Revenue Growth
Net sales of $5.4 billion in 2025, up 2% year-over-year, marking full-year sales growth for the first time in three years.
Strong Free Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Actions
Generated $442 million of free cash flow in 2025 (up 56% YoY), repurchased $80 million of shares, increased the dividend, retired approximately $240 million of debt, and ended the year with $1.3 billion in liquidity.
Q4 Consolidated Outperformance
Fourth-quarter consolidated sales up 16% and Q4 earnings improved 41% versus prior year, with all segments growing revenue in the quarter.
Propulsion and Outboard Leadership
Propulsion sales up ~23% in the quarter (outboard up as much as 26% called out later), Mercury finished the year with ~47% U.S. retail outboard share, gained 70 basis points in H2, and recorded wholesale share acceleration (up over 400 bps in the quarter and ~900 bps in December).
Recurring Revenue and Aftermarket Strength
Engine parts & accessories (P&A) sales up 15% in Q4; recurring revenue businesses represented ~60% of earnings for the year, helping drive cash generation and resilience.
Boat Segment Recovery and Margin Expansion
Boat segment Q4 sales up 11% with adjusted operating margin expansion of ~290 basis points in the quarter; discounting levels improved ~100 basis points year-over-year.
Navico Group Improvement
Navico Group revenue up 4% in Q4 with operating margin expansion of ~180 basis points due to product refresh and cost actions; launched Connected Solutions and SIMRAD AutoCaptain integrations.
Dealer Pipelines and Order Backlog
Global boat pipelines reduced by ~2,200 units year-over-year; U.S. outboard pipelines down ~10%; year-end global boat order backlog at 79% of Q1 wholesale forecast, up 13 percentage points versus prior year.
2026 Guidance and Capital Priorities
Initial 2026 guidance: revenue $5.6–$5.8 billion, adjusted EPS $3.8–$4.4, expected adjusted operating margin improvement, free cash flow > $350 million (≥125% conversion), and planned debt retirements of at least $160 million in 2026 (total ~$400M across 2025–26).
Product & Market Recognition
Multiple product launches and awards (Mercury 808 concept, Sea Ray SLX360 at CES, SIMRAD AutoCaptain CES pick award, Fort Lauderdale premium brand revenue +15% at show, Mercury outboard share 61% at Fort Lauderdale, multiple boat model awards, and named to Forbes America's Best Companies list).
Negative Updates
Tariff Headwinds
Net incremental tariff impact of approximately $75 million in 2025 despite mitigation (offset >50% of gross exposure); expect further incremental tariffs of ~$35–$45 million in 2026 net of mitigation, with the majority burden falling in Q1 2026.
Adjusted EPS Impact and Compensation Timing
Adjusted EPS in 2025 ($3.27) was below the prior year and impacted materially by tariffs and the reinstatement of variable compensation; over $100 million cash impact of 2025 variable compensation will be paid in 2026, pressuring near-term cash/earnings.
U.S. Retail Market Weakness
U.S. industry retail units finished 2025 down roughly 9% for the year; Brunswick global retail unit sales down ~5%, with notable weakness in value products during the year.
First-Half Volatility
Challenging first half of 2025 due primarily to tariff-induced economic uncertainty, which depressed early-year retail and contributed to year-over-year headwinds.
Margin Pressure in Engine P&A Distribution Mix
Engine P&A operating margin was down slightly in the quarter due to stronger growth in the lower-margin distribution side of the business (mix impact).
Ongoing Trade & Regulatory Uncertainty
Supreme Court decision re: AIP tariffs remains pending, creating uncertainty; tariffs and dynamic geopolitical/trade environment pose ongoing risk to cost and competitive positioning.
Q1 Burden and Investment Timing
Q1 2026 EPS expected to be burdened (guidance $0.35–$0.45) by the bulk of incremental tariff costs and front-loaded investments in critical product programs, creating near-term earnings pressure despite full-year optimism.
Industry Inventory Pockets Outside Brunswick
While Brunswick reports very low and fresh inventories, management acknowledged pockets of stubbornly high inventories elsewhere in the industry which could slow broader replenishment dynamics.
Company Guidance
Brunswick’s 2026 guidance calls for revenue of $5.6–$5.8 billion (assuming a flat to slightly up U.S. retail market and wholesale more closely matching retail), adjusted EPS of $3.80–$4.40 (midpoint $4.10, roughly 25% above 2025) and adjusted operating margins around the mid‑7% area (guidance documentation cites ~7.5%), with Q1 adjusted EPS expected at $0.35–$0.45. The company expects strong cash generation — free cash flow in excess of $350 million (at least 125% free cash flow conversion), roughly $50 million of net working capital improvement, and capex/depreciation roughly flat to 2025 — and plans to retire no less than $160 million of debt in 2026 (≈$400 million total retirements across 2025–26) to target net leverage ≤2.5x, while returning capital via a modest dividend increase and about $50 million of share repurchases. Key assumptions and headwinds included in the outlook are a tariff-related incremental cash cost of ~$35–$45 million (≈$0.60 EPS) net of mitigation, the cash impact of reinstated variable compensation of over $100 million paid in 2026, continued low dealer pipelines (global boat backlog at ~79% of Q1 wholesale forecast, pipelines down ~2,200 units and U.S. outboard pipelines down ~10%), and benefits from pricing, lower discounting and a mix shift toward premium products.

Brunswick Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement trends are the main drag: revenue softened after the 2021–2022 peak and profitability deteriorated to a net loss in 2025. Offsetting this, cash flow improved in 2025 (higher operating cash flow and solid free cash flow despite losses) and leverage appears to have improved sharply with materially lower debt, supporting liquidity and flexibility.
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Revenue has been volatile: strong expansion in 2021–2022, followed by contraction in 2023–2024 and only a modest rebound in 2025. Profitability has also deteriorated meaningfully—net income fell from strong profits in 2021–2024 to a net loss in 2025, signaling margin pressure and/or elevated costs. Gross profit dollars were relatively stable, but the swing to losses and a weaker earnings profile versus prior years weigh on the score.
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Leverage improved sharply in 2025, with total debt dropping to ~$0.30B from ~$2.5–2.6B in 2022–2024, which reduces financial risk and improves flexibility. However, equity has trended down from 2023 to 2025, and total assets also declined versus the 2022–2023 period—suggesting a smaller capital base and potentially less cushion if profitability remains weak. Overall, the balance sheet looks healthier on leverage, but with some erosion in equity.
Cash Flow
66
Positive
Cash generation is a relative bright spot: operating cash flow rose to ~$0.59B in 2025 from ~$0.43B in 2024, and free cash flow improved to ~$0.42B from ~$0.26B. The main weakness is volatility—free cash flow has swung materially year to year (including sizable declines in 2021–2022 and again in 2024–2025), which is typical of a cyclical business but still a risk. Notably, 2025 free cash flow remained solid despite net losses, supporting liquidity.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.36B5.24B6.40B6.81B5.85B
Gross Profit1.33B1.35B1.79B1.95B1.67B
EBITDA268.50M618.70M1.01B1.18B980.40M
Net Income-137.30M130.10M420.40M677.00M593.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.31B5.68B6.23B6.32B5.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments257.60M269.80M468.60M600.10M355.30M
Total Debt295.40M2.51B2.59B2.63B1.92B
Total Liabilities3.69B3.79B4.14B4.28B3.51B
Stockholders Equity1.63B1.89B2.09B2.04B1.91B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow396.30M264.00M444.30M197.80M306.90M
Operating Cash Flow562.10M431.40M733.60M586.10M574.00M
Investing Cash Flow-141.60M-168.90M-378.90M-443.20M-1.35B
Financing Cash Flow-441.30M-442.70M-487.00M110.80M621.80M

Brunswick Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price88.22
Price Trends
50DMA
78.38
Positive
100DMA
71.22
Positive
200DMA
63.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.82
Positive
RSI
58.72
Neutral
STOCH
78.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 88.22 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 85.97, above the 50-day MA of 78.38, and above the 200-day MA of 63.69, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.82 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BC.

Brunswick Risk Analysis

Brunswick disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Brunswick reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Brunswick Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$3.73B21.5412.89%3.72%5.74%39.40%
70
Outperform
$376.60M26.037.40%-12.17%
68
Neutral
$665.43M41.803.72%11.54%
67
Neutral
$347.89M30.5310.00%6.03%-12.30%-29.51%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
58
Neutral
$5.74B-41.35-7.73%2.27%-4.78%-189.89%
47
Neutral
$233.25M-1.98-35.49%5.62%-1706.59%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BC
Brunswick
86.69
22.18
34.38%
LCII
LCI Industries
152.75
55.97
57.83%
MPX
Marine Products
8.25
-0.61
-6.88%
MBUU
Malibu Boats
30.71
-8.55
-21.78%
MCFT
MasterCraft Boat Holdings
24.61
3.43
16.19%
ONEW
OneWater Marine
13.33
-5.46
-29.06%

Brunswick Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Brunswick Announces Early Tender Results for Notes
Neutral
Nov 26, 2025

On November 26, 2025, Brunswick Corporation announced the early tender results for its tender offer to purchase $300 million of its 5.100% Senior Notes due 2052. The company increased the tender cap from $50 million to $100 million, and by the early tender deadline, $111 million of notes were tendered. Due to oversubscription, Brunswick will only accept $100 million worth of notes, applying a proration rate of 90.2%. The settlement is expected on December 1, 2025, and no further notes will be accepted after the early tender deadline.

The most recent analyst rating on (BC) stock is a Hold with a $60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brunswick stock, see the BC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Brunswick Announces Tender Offer for Senior Notes
Neutral
Nov 12, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Brunswick Corporation announced the commencement of a tender offer to purchase up to $50 million of its outstanding $300 million 5.100% Senior Notes due 2052. This move is part of Brunswick’s financial strategy to manage its long-term debt obligations, potentially impacting its financial flexibility and market positioning. The tender offer is set to expire on December 11, 2025, with specific conditions and deadlines for noteholders to consider.

The most recent analyst rating on (BC) stock is a Hold with a $66.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brunswick stock, see the BC Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Brunswick Announces Redemption of Senior Notes
Neutral
Oct 31, 2025

On October 31, 2025, Brunswick Corporation announced the full redemption of its 6.500% Senior Notes due 2048 and a partial redemption of its 6.375% Senior Notes due 2049, both set for December 1, 2025. This financial maneuver will result in the redemption of $185 million of the 2048 Notes and $15 million of the 2049 Notes, with an aggregate redemption price of $201.7 million, leaving no 2048 Notes and $215 million of 2049 Notes outstanding.

The most recent analyst rating on (BC) stock is a Buy with a $79.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brunswick stock, see the BC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 30, 2026