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OneWater Marine (ONEW)
NASDAQ:ONEW
US Market

OneWater Marine (ONEW) AI Stock Analysis

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ONEW

OneWater Marine

(NASDAQ:ONEW)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$15.50
▲(18.68% Upside)
OneWater Marine's overall score reflects strong revenue growth and effective inventory management, but is tempered by profitability challenges, high leverage, and a negative P/E ratio. The technical indicators suggest a neutral trend, while the earnings call provides cautious optimism with mixed results.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Despite industry declines, OneWater Marine's revenue growth and same-store sales increase indicate strong market positioning and resilience.
Inventory Management
Effective inventory management enhances operational efficiency, reduces holding costs, and aligns product offerings with market demand.
Pre-Owned Boat Sales
Strong growth in pre-owned boat sales suggests robust demand and effective sales strategies, contributing to revenue diversification.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses financial risk, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage economic downturns.
Gross Margin Pressure
Declining gross margins due to competitive pressures and product mix challenges may impact profitability and require strategic adjustments.
Increased Operating Expenses
Rising operating expenses, driven by personnel and inflation, could erode profit margins and necessitate cost management initiatives.

OneWater Marine (ONEW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

OneWater Marine Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOneWater Marine Inc. operates as a recreational boat retailer in the United States. The company offers new and pre-owned recreational boats and yachts, as well as related marine products, such as parts and accessories. It also provides boat repair and maintenance services. In addition, the company arranges boat financing and insurance; and other ancillary services, including indoor and outdoor storage, and marina, as well as rental of boats and personal watercraft. As of September 30, 2021, it operated 70 stores in 11 states, including Texas, Florida, Alabama, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, Ohio and New Jersey. OneWater Marine Inc. was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Buford, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyOneWater Marine generates revenue primarily through the sale of boats and marine products from its dealerships. Key revenue streams include new and used boat sales, accessories and parts sales, and service and maintenance offerings. Additionally, the company earns income from financing and insurance services provided to customers purchasing boats. The expansion of its dealership network and partnerships with leading boat manufacturers enhance its market presence and contribute to revenue growth. Seasonal sales fluctuations and promotional events also play a role in driving business during peak boating seasons.

OneWater Marine Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth and successful inventory management, signaling resilience and strategic progress despite challenging industry conditions. However, the significant net loss and decline in gross profit present concerns. The company remains optimistic about future growth and market stabilization.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth in Fiscal Q4 2025
Fiscal fourth quarter 2025 revenue increased by 22% to $460 million compared to $378 million in the prior year period.
Strong New and Pre-Owned Boat Sales
New boat sales were up 27% to $275 million in the fourth quarter, while pre-owned sales increased 25% to $91 million.
Same-Store Sales Growth
Delivered 6% same-store sales growth for the year, outperforming the broader industry, which saw a decline of over 13% in the categories where the company competes.
Improved Inventory Management
Exited the year with the cleanest inventory levels seen in years, a decrease to $540 million compared to $591 million in the prior year.
Positive Customer and Market Feedback
Positive feedback from early boat shows and strong customer interest in innovative features and new models.
Negative Updates
Significant Net Loss in Fiscal Q4 2025
Net loss for the fiscal fourth quarter totaled $113 million, largely due to non-cash goodwill and intangible asset impairments of $146 million.
Full-Year Gross Profit Decline
Full-year 2025 gross profit decreased 2% to $427 million, impacted by market dynamics and the exit from select brands.
Operating Loss in Fiscal Q4 2025
Fourth quarter operating loss was $130 million.
Company Guidance
During the OneWater Marine Inc. fiscal fourth quarter and full year 2025 earnings call, the company reported several key metrics and provided guidance for 2026. Fiscal fourth quarter revenue rose 22% to $460 million, with new boat sales increasing by 27% to $275 million, and pre-owned sales up by 25% to $91 million. Same-store sales grew by 6% for the year, outperforming industry declines. The company ended 2025 with a net loss of $116 million due to non-cash goodwill and intangible asset impairments but achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $70 million. Inventory levels were strategically reduced by 8.5% year over year. Looking ahead, OneWater anticipates flat same-store sales in 2026, with total sales projected between $1.83 billion and $1.93 billion, and adjusted EBITDA expected to range from $65 million to $85 million. The company remains optimistic about reduced discounting and lower interest rates as potential tailwinds, while emphasizing a disciplined approach to inventory and cost management.

OneWater Marine Financial Statement Overview

Summary
OneWater Marine shows strong revenue growth but struggles with profitability and financial stability. The high debt-to-equity ratio and negative return on equity are concerning, while cash flow improvements offer some optimism.
Income Statement
OneWater Marine's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a significant revenue growth rate of 58.6%, which is a positive sign. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -0.61% and declining gross profit margins over the years. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased compared to previous years, indicating challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.52 in the TTM period, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. The return on equity is negative, reflecting the company's inability to generate profits from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting limited financial stability.
Cash Flow
The cash flow statement shows improvement in free cash flow growth, with a notable increase in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating some ability to convert earnings into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is below 1, suggesting challenges in generating free cash flow relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.79B1.77B1.94B1.74B1.23B1.02B
Gross Profit414.78M435.06M535.13M553.65M357.45M235.52M
EBITDA77.13M86.99M43.90M252.13M158.41M75.78M
Net Income-10.87M-5.71M-38.59M130.94M79.06M17.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.54B1.59B1.69B1.50B720.61M458.07M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments70.15M16.85M84.65M42.07M62.61M66.09M
Total Debt990.17M1.01B1.08B835.02M318.78M213.43M
Total Liabilities1.15B1.20B1.28B1.05B465.78M284.78M
Stockholders Equity393.23M360.81M358.61M385.32M225.93M122.85M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow95.00M8.92M-153.83M-8.20M149.53M206.17M
Operating Cash Flow109.15M34.84M-129.76M7.45M159.42M212.48M
Investing Cash Flow-13.00M13.32M-51.60M-476.84M-117.13M-4.67M
Financing Cash Flow-66.11M-114.11M213.72M456.40M-36.50M-151.14M

OneWater Marine Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price13.06
Price Trends
50DMA
12.24
Positive
100DMA
14.10
Negative
200DMA
14.38
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.28
Negative
RSI
67.55
Neutral
STOCH
92.05
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ONEW, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 13.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.31, above the 50-day MA of 12.24, and below the 200-day MA of 14.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.05 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ONEW.

OneWater Marine Risk Analysis

OneWater Marine disclosed 63 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. OneWater Marine reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

OneWater Marine Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$334.59M24.8910.00%6.03%-12.30%-29.51%
65
Neutral
$628.52M33.453.72%11.54%
63
Neutral
$352.65M34.597.40%-12.17%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
50
Neutral
$216.35M-1.86-35.49%5.62%-1706.59%
46
Neutral
$3.71M-0.25-59.55%-34.70%36.13%
41
Neutral
$3.60M-66.16%78.81%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ONEW
OneWater Marine
13.20
-2.66
-16.77%
MPX
Marine Products
9.25
0.75
8.82%
MBUU
Malibu Boats
32.87
-2.34
-6.65%
MCFT
MasterCraft Boat Holdings
21.82
3.44
18.72%
VMAR
Vision Marine Technologies
0.14
-20.37
-99.34%
VEEE
Twin Vee PowerCats
1.67
-2.23
-57.18%

OneWater Marine Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
OneWater Marine Unveils Strategic Growth Plan
Positive
Dec 8, 2025

On December 8, 2025, OneWater Marine Inc. issued an investor presentation outlining its strategic growth and financial performance. The presentation highlighted the company’s diversified income streams and flexible operating model, which positions it to quickly adapt to market dynamics. OneWater’s growth is supported by a proven M&A strategy and an experienced leadership team. The company’s market positioning and operational strategies are designed to enhance its resilience against industry challenges, such as supply chain issues and economic fluctuations.

The most recent analyst rating on (ONEW) stock is a Hold with a $15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OneWater Marine stock, see the ONEW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
OneWater Marine Updates Credit and Financing Agreements
Neutral
Nov 21, 2025

On November 17, 2025, OneWater Marine Inc. executed Amendment No. 7 to its Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, which included modifications to definitions, covenants, terms, conditions, and the maturity date, now set for July 31, 2027. Additionally, the company adjusted its repayment schedule and interest rates. On the same date, OneWater Marine also entered into the Third Amendment to its Eighth Amended and Restated Inventory Financing Agreement, which altered definitions, covenants, terms, conditions, and the termination date to March 1, 2027. The amendment increased the maximum borrowing capacity to $497.1 million, with an additional $38.7 million available for overtrade capacity.

The most recent analyst rating on (ONEW) stock is a Hold with a $15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OneWater Marine stock, see the ONEW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
OneWater Marine Extends Credit Facilities for Growth
Positive
Nov 19, 2025

On November 19, 2025, OneWater Marine Inc. announced the extension of its senior secured term loan and floor plan credit facilities by one year, providing continued access to capital and flexibility for growth initiatives. This move highlights OneWater’s financial strength and strategic focus on expanding its dealership network and offerings, with the support of Truist Bank and Wells Fargo leading the financing.

The most recent analyst rating on (ONEW) stock is a Hold with a $15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OneWater Marine stock, see the ONEW Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025