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Malibu Boats (MBUU)
NASDAQ:MBUU
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Malibu Boats (MBUU) AI Stock Analysis

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MBUU

Malibu Boats

(NASDAQ:MBUU)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$34.00
▲(1.01% Upside)
Malibu Boats' overall stock score reflects a stable financial position and strategic board appointment, but is tempered by high valuation concerns and a cautious outlook due to macroeconomic challenges. Technical indicators suggest potential for a trend reversal, but current bearish signals persist.
Positive Factors
Capital Flexibility
The company has capital flexibility with reduced capital expenditures and plans for buybacks and potential mergers and acquisitions in a fragmented market.
Financial Strategy
Malibu Boats, Inc. has a net cash balance sheet and a highly variable cost structure, which should help it preserve margins relative to peers in a downcycle.
Negative Factors
Equity Performance
The stock is down 30% year-to-date, indicating a significant decline in equity performance.
Market Segment Weakness
Malibu Boats, Inc. highlighted weakness in its saltwater segment with declines in both units and average selling prices, heavily reliant on Florida, affected by a difficult hurricane season.
Revised Guidance
FY25 guidance was cut from flat-to-low-single-digit growth to flat-to-low-single-digit decline for the year, reflecting a conservative outlook due to challenges in the ski/wake category.

Malibu Boats (MBUU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Malibu Boats Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMalibu Boats, Inc. (MBUU) is a leading manufacturer of high-performance recreational boats, specializing in wake sports and water skiing. The company operates primarily in the marine industry and offers a diverse range of products, including wakeboard boats, ski boats, and surf boats. Malibu Boats is known for its innovation in design and technology, focusing on enhancing the experience of water sports enthusiasts. The company markets its products under several brand names, including Malibu and Axis, catering to both high-end and entry-level customers.
How the Company Makes MoneyMalibu Boats generates revenue primarily through the sale of its boats and related accessories. The company's key revenue streams include new boat sales, which account for the majority of its earnings, as well as parts and accessories sales, which provide additional income. Additionally, Malibu Boats benefits from a network of dealerships that sell its products, contributing to revenue through dealer margins. The company also engages in financing and insurance services for its customers, further enhancing its revenue model. Strategic partnerships with suppliers and participation in various boat shows and events help to promote its brand and expand its market reach, ultimately contributing to its financial performance.

Malibu Boats Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 28, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance in Q4 with significant sales growth and new product introductions. However, these positives were balanced by challenges in the retail environment, elevated dealer inventory levels, and tariff impacts on costs. The call reflected a cautious outlook for fiscal 2026 due to macroeconomic uncertainties.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Net Sales Increase
Net sales increased 30.4% to $207 million in Q4, driven by increased unit volumes and decreased promotional costs.
Strong Free Cash Flow
Generated $14.3 million of free cash flow in Q4 and $28.9 million for the fiscal year, demonstrating resilience of the business model.
New Product Innovations
Introduction of 11 new model year '26 boats, including Cobia 245 center console and Malibu 22 LSV, aimed at driving market share.
Increased Gross Profit
Gross profit increased 162.1% to $32.7 million with a gross margin of 15.8%, up from 7.9% in the prior year period.
Shareholder Returns
Executed capital allocation strategy by returning $36 million to shareholders through share repurchases.
Negative Updates
Retail Environment Challenges
The marine industry faced a difficult retail environment and heightened tariff uncertainty, leading to softer retail data and market declines.
Dealer Inventory Concerns
Elevated interest rates and macroeconomic uncertainty led to higher-than-anticipated dealer inventory levels at year-end.
Tariff Impacts on Costs
Tariffs expected to modestly impact fiscal 2026 cost structure, estimated between 1.5% to 3% of cost of sales.
Decline in Full Year Metrics
Fiscal 2025 net sales decreased 2.6% to $807.6 million, and unit volume decreased 9% to 4,898 boats.
Reduced Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA for fiscal 2025 decreased 9.1% to $74.8 million, and adjusted EBITDA margin decreased by 60 basis points to 9.3%.
Company Guidance
During the Malibu Boats conference call discussing fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2025 results, management provided various metrics and guidance for the upcoming year. Net sales increased by 30.4% in Q4 to $207 million, with unit volume rising by 16.8% to 1,221 boats. The company achieved a gross profit increase of 162.1% to $32.7 million, with gross margins improving to 15.8% from 7.9% in the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 increased to $19.7 million, with a margin improvement of 1,210 basis points to 9.5%. For fiscal year 2025, net sales decreased by 2.6% to $807.6 million, and unit volume dropped by 9% to 4,898 boats. The company returned $36 million to shareholders via share repurchases, ending the year with $19 million in net cash. Looking ahead to fiscal year 2026, Malibu Boats anticipates net sales to be flat to down mid-single-digit percentage points, with adjusted EBITDA margins projected between 8% to 9%. The company remains cautious due to ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties and elevated dealer inventory levels, with tariffs potentially impacting the cost structure by 1.5% to 3% of sales.

Malibu Boats Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Malibu Boats shows a stable financial position with a strong balance sheet and improving cash flow. However, the income statement reveals challenges in maintaining consistent profitability and growth, indicating moderate growth potential with some profitability concerns.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Malibu Boats has shown a mixed performance in recent years. The company experienced a revenue decline in 2024, followed by a modest recovery in 2025. Gross profit margins have remained relatively stable, but net profit margins have been volatile, with a significant loss in 2024. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also fluctuated, reflecting operational challenges. Overall, the income statement indicates moderate growth potential with some profitability concerns.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet of Malibu Boats is strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio indicating conservative leverage. The equity ratio is healthy, and the return on equity has been positive, though it declined in 2025. The company's financial stability is supported by a solid equity base, but the declining ROE suggests potential challenges in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a positive trend in free cash flow growth in 2025, recovering from a negative position in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating good cash generation relative to earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio suggests variability in cash flow management. Overall, cash flow performance is stable with room for improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue807.56M807.56M829.03M1.39B1.21B926.51M
Gross Profit144.09M144.09M147.09M351.30M310.05M236.49M
EBITDA60.74M60.74M-22.95M278.29M240.15M183.59M
Net Income14.88M14.88M-55.91M104.51M157.63M109.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets734.58M734.58M739.62M925.92M851.33M742.78M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments37.00M37.00M26.95M78.94M83.74M41.48M
Total Debt20.41M20.41M7.94M2.32M119.62M143.28M
Total Liabilities214.75M214.75M204.91M310.17M337.76M361.63M
Stockholders Equity515.46M515.46M530.01M607.88M503.17M373.43M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow28.59M28.59M-20.40M129.89M109.78M100.64M
Operating Cash Flow56.51M56.51M55.56M184.73M164.85M131.31M
Investing Cash Flow-27.37M-27.37M-75.84M-54.64M-61.62M-181.09M
Financing Cash Flow-18.82M-18.82M-31.70M-134.57M-60.38M57.35M

Malibu Boats Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price33.66
Price Trends
50DMA
34.52
Negative
100DMA
32.43
Positive
200DMA
34.20
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.29
Positive
RSI
46.30
Neutral
STOCH
26.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MBUU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 33.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.36, below the 50-day MA of 34.52, and below the 200-day MA of 34.20, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MBUU.

Malibu Boats Risk Analysis

Malibu Boats disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Malibu Boats reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Malibu Boats Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$4.28B103.512.85%2.57%-11.58%-87.27%
72
Outperform
$323.36M23.4110.54%6.16%-21.97%-46.09%
71
Outperform
$368.69M75.235.84%-22.47%-29.30%
64
Neutral
$638.93M43.292.85%-2.59%
62
Neutral
$267.00M-2.85%-3.02%87.87%
61
Neutral
$17.97B12.87-5.30%2.97%1.26%-14.45%
60
Neutral
$3.26B69.60-8.54%4.51%-16.63%-132.70%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MBUU
Malibu Boats
33.66
-1.97
-5.53%
BC
Brunswick
66.61
-7.03
-9.55%
MPX
Marine Products
9.09
0.63
7.45%
PII
Polaris
59.16
-15.56
-20.82%
MCFT
MasterCraft Boat Holdings
23.08
5.86
34.03%
ONEW
OneWater Marine
16.82
-5.13
-23.37%

Malibu Boats Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Malibu Boats Appoints Melanie Cook to Board
Positive
Jun 24, 2025

On June 24, 2025, Malibu Boats, Inc. announced the appointment of Melanie K. Cook to its Board of Directors, effective immediately. Ms. Cook, with extensive experience in operational leadership and global manufacturing, previously served as Chief Operating Officer of GE Appliances. Her appointment is seen as a strategic move to strengthen Malibu’s board and advance its long-term strategy. This change comes ahead of John Stokely’s retirement from the board in October 2025, after serving since February 2014.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 03, 2025