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Malibu Boats Inc. (MBUU)
:MBUU

Malibu Boats (MBUU) AI Stock Analysis

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Malibu Boats

(NASDAQ:MBUU)

48Neutral
Malibu Boats is currently facing significant financial and market challenges, reflected in declining sales, profitability, and weak technical indicators. While the company has managed to generate strong cash flow and maintain a solid balance sheet, the negative P/E ratio and lack of a dividend yield present valuation challenges. Despite some positive developments in promotional events and sales strategies, the overall outlook remains cautious.
Positive Factors
Capital Flexibility
The company has capital flexibility with reduced capital expenditures and plans for buybacks and potential mergers and acquisitions in a fragmented market.
Financial Performance
1Q25 results exceed expectations with net sales of $172M surpassing both the internal estimate and the consensus estimate, driven by higher average selling prices.
Operational Strategy
Management has aligned production levels with current demand and successfully reduced inventories to historical averages, creating a more attractive setup for future demand pivots.
Negative Factors
Inventory Management
1Q25 net sales attributable to the Malibu segment decreased substantially, driven by lower wholesale shipments and dealers' desire to hold less inventory.
Market Challenges
Malibu Boats, Inc. highlighted weakness in its saltwater segment with declines in both units and average selling prices, heavily reliant on Florida, affected by a difficult hurricane season.
Sales Performance
MBUU reported a significant decrease in net sales driven primarily by decreased unit volumes across all segments, partially offset by a favorable model mix and inflation-driven price increases.

Malibu Boats (MBUU) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Malibu Boats Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMalibu Boats, Inc. engages in the design, engineering, manufacturing, marketing, and sale of a range of recreational powerboats. It operates through three segments: Malibu, Saltwater Fishing, and Cobalt. The company offers performance sport boats, and sterndrive and outboard boats under the Malibu, Axis, Pursuit, Maverick, Cobia, Pathfinder, Hewes, and Cobalt brands. Its products are used for a range of recreational boating activities, including water sports, such as water skiing, wakeboarding, and wake surfing, as well as general recreational boating and fishing. The company sells its products through independent dealers in North America, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, South America, South Africa, and Australia/New Zealand. Malibu Boats, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Loudon, Tennessee.
How the Company Makes MoneyMalibu Boats generates revenue through the sale of its powerboats, which are offered under its various brand names. The company's primary revenue stream comes from the direct sale of boats to a network of independent dealers who then sell to the end consumers. In addition to boat sales, Malibu Boats also earns from the sale of related parts and accessories, which support its core product offerings. Another significant source of revenue is through its premium service offerings, which include warranty services and maintenance packages. Malibu Boats' strategic partnerships with dealers and suppliers play a crucial role in its business operations, ensuring a widespread distribution network and access to high-quality materials for manufacturing. The company is also influenced by factors such as consumer preferences for water sports activities, economic conditions affecting discretionary spending, and technological advancements in boat design and manufacturing.

Malibu Boats Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Malibu Boats is facing substantial financial challenges, with declining profitability and cash flow metrics that suggest operational inefficiencies. The balance sheet remains relatively stable with low leverage, but declining asset and equity figures present potential future risks. Immediate strategic actions may be required to improve financial health and operational efficiency.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Malibu Boats has experienced a significant decline in both revenue and profitability in the TTM period. Gross Profit Margin and Net Profit Margin have turned negative due to operational challenges, as evidenced by negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. This reflects a concerning trend in operational efficiency and overall financial health compared to previous fiscal years.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a moderate level of stability. The Debt-to-Equity ratio remains low, indicating manageable leverage. However, there has been a decline in Stockholders' Equity and Total Assets, which could pose future risks if not addressed. Return on Equity has turned negative, reflecting recent profitability challenges.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Despite negative net income, Malibu Boats maintains a positive operating cash flow, suggesting effective cash management in operations. However, Free Cash Flow has decreased significantly compared to previous years, and the Free Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is unfavorable, highlighting cash flow challenges.
Breakdown
Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
829.03M1.39B1.21B926.51M653.16M
Gross Profit
147.09M351.30M310.05M236.49M149.27M
EBIT
-55.95M144.78M213.82M149.78M85.31M
EBITDA
-22.95M278.29M240.15M183.59M107.27M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-55.91M104.51M157.63M109.84M61.56M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
26.95M78.94M83.74M41.48M33.79M
Total Assets
739.62M925.92M851.33M742.78M477.35M
Total Debt
7.94M2.32M119.62M143.28M82.84M
Net Debt
-19.00M-76.61M35.87M101.80M49.05M
Total Liabilities
204.91M310.17M337.76M361.63M215.82M
Stockholders Equity
530.01M607.88M503.17M373.43M254.58M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-20.40M129.89M109.78M100.64M52.85M
Operating Cash Flow
55.56M184.73M164.85M131.31M94.14M
Investing Cash Flow
-75.84M-54.64M-61.62M-181.09M-40.39M
Financing Cash Flow
-31.70M-134.57M-60.38M57.35M-47.32M

Malibu Boats Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price29.05
Price Trends
50DMA
30.10
Negative
100DMA
34.06
Negative
200DMA
36.57
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.38
Negative
RSI
51.48
Neutral
STOCH
79.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MBUU, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 29.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.68, below the 50-day MA of 30.10, and below the 200-day MA of 36.57, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for MBUU.

Malibu Boats Risk Analysis

Malibu Boats disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Malibu Boats reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Malibu Boats Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
MPMPX
72
Outperform
$291.88M19.8710.33%6.67%-32.30%-58.15%
BCBC
64
Neutral
$3.04B38.345.16%3.67%-15.42%-77.50%
61
Neutral
$6.55B11.723.07%4.01%2.66%-21.27%
PIPII
60
Neutral
$1.95B48.843.09%7.80%-17.86%-89.55%
60
Neutral
$275.41M-1.53%-45.70%-115.77%
60
Neutral
$239.70M-2.97%-7.72%81.39%
48
Neutral
$570.41M-15.71%-39.56%-238.09%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MBUU
Malibu Boats
29.05
-3.59
-11.00%
BC
Brunswick
46.33
-33.17
-41.72%
MPX
Marine Products
8.35
-1.11
-11.73%
PII
Polaris
34.72
-45.88
-56.92%
MCFT
MasterCraft Boat Holdings
16.65
-3.40
-16.96%
ONEW
OneWater Marine
13.73
-8.95
-39.46%

Malibu Boats Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -24.47%|
Next Earnings Date:May 08, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a challenging quarter with several negative financial impacts, such as decreased net sales, unit volumes, and GAAP net income. Despite these challenges, the company managed to perform slightly better than expected, with strong cash generation and successful promotional events. The focus remains on maintaining dealer health and strategic inventory management.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Slightly Better Than Expected Q2 Results
The second fiscal quarter results came in slightly higher than expected, despite the traditionally slower time of year.
Malibu Axis Year-End Sales Event Success
The event saw higher overall retail sell-through and good participation compared to last year with moderating levels of promotional support.
Consolidated Net Sales Per Unit Increase
Net sales per unit increased 6.6% to $163.9 per unit, driven by favorable model mix and inflation-driven price increases.
Strong Balance Sheet
Generated over $28 million in cash from operations in the quarter with capital expenditures of $5.6 million and $10 million in stock repurchases.
Negative Updates
Net Sales and Unit Volume Decrease
Net sales decreased 5.1% year-over-year to $200.3 million and unit volume decreased by 11% to 1,222 units.
Challenging Retail Marine Market
The market is down low double digits year-to-date, influenced by sustained interest rate pressures and regional impacts from hurricane season.
Significant Decrease in GAAP Net Income
GAAP net income for the quarter decreased 76.1% versus the prior year to $2.4 million.
Adjusted EBITDA and Margins Drop
Adjusted EBITDA decreased 26.3% to $16.9 million, and adjusted EBITDA margin fell from 10.9% to 8.4%.
Increased G&A Expenses
General and administrative expenses increased 71.9%, driven by legal fees and compensation-related expenses.
Soft Saltwater Segment
Retail softness is particularly evident in the saltwater segment, especially in Florida, which affects more than 50% of Malibu Boats' saltwater business.
Company Guidance
During the Malibu Boats second quarter fiscal year 2025 conference call, management provided updated guidance in response to challenging market conditions. The company anticipated top-line sales to be flat to down low single digits for the year, adjusting from their original mid single-digit decline forecast. Adjusted EBITDA margins were expected to be around 10%. The company reported a 5.1% year-over-year decrease in net sales to $200.3 million, with unit volume down 11% to 1,222 units. Despite this, consolidated net sales per unit increased by 6.6% to $163.9 per unit, driven by favorable model mix and inflation-driven price increases. Adjusted EBITDA fell 26.3% to $16.9 million, reflecting an adjusted EBITDA margin decrease to 8.4% from 10.9% the prior year. Overall, Malibu Boats focused on disciplined production and dealer health to navigate the current market environment.

Malibu Boats Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Malibu Boats Announces CEO Steven Menneto as President
Neutral
Feb 12, 2025

Malibu Boats, Inc. announced that Steven D. Menneto, currently the CEO and director, will be taking on the additional role of President following Ritchie L. Anderson’s departure, effective February 7, 2025. This leadership change may impact the company’s strategic direction and operations as Mr. Menneto assumes a more significant role in guiding the company’s future.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.