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MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc (MCFT)
NASDAQ:MCFT

MasterCraft Boat Holdings (MCFT) AI Stock Analysis

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MCFT

MasterCraft Boat Holdings

(NASDAQ:MCFT)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$25.00
▲(8.13% Upside)
MCFT’s score is driven primarily by resilient financial footing (no debt, strong liquidity) and improving operating momentum supported by a positive earnings update and raised guidance. Technicals are also constructive with the stock trading above major moving averages. Offsetting these positives, the valuation is high (P/E ~36.7) and near-term risks include demand uncertainty and execution/integration costs.
Positive Factors
Very strong balance sheet / no debt
A zero-debt capital structure with sizable equity provides durable financial flexibility: supports capex, working capital swings and M&A, lowers refinancing risk, and cushions cyclical downturns in discretionary boat demand over the next several quarters.
Improving revenue and margin momentum
Meaningful year-over-year revenue growth combined with ~480 bps EBITDA margin expansion shows improving product mix, pricing and cost control. Sustained operational leverage and raised guidance indicate these improvements can persist if dealer demand and redesigned models continue to drive mix.
Scale-building acquisition expands portfolio & dealers
The Marine Products combination materially broadens brand portfolio, model range and dealer coverage, creating cross-sell and manufacturing scale opportunities. Larger scale can lower per-unit costs and improve distribution resilience over a multi-quarter horizon.
Negative Factors
End-market demand uncertainty
Because MasterCraft's topline is driven by unit volumes and discretionary consumer spending, a structural softening or slower-than-expected retail recovery would pressure revenue, mix and margins for multiple quarters and limit the durability of recent margin gains.
Integration and synergy execution risk
Realizing projected synergies requires complex operational integration across plants, sourcing and independent dealer networks; execution shortfalls could delay cost savings, raise integration expenses, and reduce the transaction's accretive impact over 2-6 months.
Volatile cash flow and earnings vs prior-cycle peak
While FCF is positive TTM, historic volatility and a material step-down from FY2023 earnings power make cash generation sensitive to working-capital swings and demand cycles; this increases risk to funding growth, buybacks or elevated M&A costs if conditions worsen.

MasterCraft Boat Holdings (MCFT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MasterCraft Boat Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and markets recreational powerboats. It operates through three segments: MasterCraft, NauticStar, and Crest. The MasterCraft segment produces recreational performance sport boats and luxury day boats under the MasterCraft and Aviara brands, which are used for water skiing, wakeboarding, and wake surfing, as well as general recreational boating. The NauticStar segment offers boats that are primarily used for saltwater fishing and general recreational boating. The Crest segment produces pontoon boats for use in general recreational boating. The company also offers ski/wake, outboard, and sterndrive boats, as well as various accessories, including trailers and aftermarket parts. It sells its boats under the MasterCraft, NauticStar, Crest, and Aviara brands through a network of independent dealers in North America and internationally. The company was formerly known as MCBC Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. in November 2018. MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1968 and is based in Vonore, Tennessee.
How the Company Makes MoneyMasterCraft Boat Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of its recreational powerboats. The company operates through a network of independent dealers who distribute its products across the United States and internationally. Key revenue streams include the sale of new boats, parts, and accessories. Additionally, MasterCraft offers financing and insurance services to customers, enhancing its revenue potential. Strategic partnerships with marine retailers and strong brand recognition contribute significantly to its earnings, along with a focus on innovation and customer satisfaction driving repeat business and enhancing market share.

MasterCraft Boat Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 05, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a mostly positive operational and financial picture: strong Q2 revenue growth (+13.2%), meaningful margin expansion (+≈480 bps adjusted EBITDA margin), improved liquidity and a raised full-year guidance. Management emphasized product momentum and dealer engagement while announcing a strategic, scale-building acquisition expected to be accretive and to deliver near-term cost savings (~$6M) and longer-term synergies. Key near-term concerns include elevated operating costs tied to ERP and transaction activities, continued uncertainty in end-market retail demand (company still modeling retail down 5%–10%), and execution risks around realizing broader synergies and market-by-market dealer expansion. On balance, the highlights (growth, margin improvement, raised guidance, no debt and strategic M&A) outweigh the lowlights, though integration and demand execution will be important to monitor.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Quarterly Revenue and Profit Growth
Q2 net sales of $71.8M, up $8.4M or 13.2% year-over-year; adjusted net income $4.7M ($0.29/diluted share) vs $1.7M ($0.10) prior year.
Strong Margin Expansion
Adjusted EBITDA rose to $7.5M from $3.5M a year ago; adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 10.4% from 5.6% (≈+480 bps). Gross margin improved to 21.6%, up ≈440 basis points year-over-year.
Raised Full-Year Guidance
Updated fiscal 2026 guidance: consolidated net sales now expected $300M–$310M, adjusted EBITDA $36M–$39M, adjusted EPS $1.45–$1.60; capital expenditures expected ≈$9M for the year.
Strong Balance Sheet and Liquidity
Entered the quarter with $81.4M of cash and short-term investments and no debt. Pro forma at close of the announced transaction expected to maintain no debt with ~$40M–$60M cash and ~$115M–$135M liquidity.
Strategic Combination with Marine Products Corporation
Definitive agreement announced to combine with Marine Products (Chaparral and Robalo): implied transaction value ~$232.2M (~7.2x expected EBITDA), consideration of 0.232 MasterCraft shares + $2.43 cash per Marine Products share, pro forma ownership MasterCraft ~66.5% / Marine Products ~33.5%. Transaction expected to be accretive to adjusted EPS in FY2027.
Expected Near-Term Cost Synergies
Identified approximately $6M in annual run-rate savings from elimination of public company costs and corporate overhead; additional sourcing, manufacturing and innovation synergies highlighted as opportunity areas.
Expanded Distribution, Portfolio and Manufacturing Scale
Combined company will represent 5 brands, ~65 models (16–36 ft) and more than 500 dealers globally, with nearly 2 million sq ft of production capacity across Tennessee, Michigan and Georgia—broadening market reach and dealer coverage.
Product Momentum and Dealer/Consumer Engagement
Positive early boat show engagement (Salt Lake City, Atlanta, Toronto, Cincinnati, Kansas City) and product lineup momentum driven by redesigned X24 and Xstar, new X22, and Belize's new Halo model—expected to improve mix and support back-half performance.
Negative Updates
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses were $12.8M for the quarter, up $2.1M year-over-year driven by ERP implementation costs, business development and M&A consulting fees, and increased selling and marketing spend.
Consumer Demand Uncertainty
Management has not seen a sustained breakout in consumer demand. Company maintains a full-year retail assumption of retail being down 5%–10% (though current trends are tracking toward the better end for MasterCraft).
Inventory/Destocking Limits
Pipeline inventory levels improved ~25% year-over-year and management indicated destocking is largely over, which limits further near-term gains from inventory normalization.
Synergy and Integration Execution Risk
Beyond the near-term $6M public company cost savings, other revenue and cost synergies remain early-stage and dependent on execution (manufacturing commonization, sourcing, dealer cross-penetration and innovation platform integration). Management acknowledged market-by-market complexity for dealer expansion.
Transaction Valuation and Bridge Questions
Analysts questioned the pro forma EBITDA bridge: Marine Products reported roughly $17M of recent EBITDA while pro forma expectations imply a larger contribution (company cites adjustments, timing, and immediate elimination of public company costs). The deal price implied per-share value is below Marine Products' prior close; transaction remains subject to customary closing conditions and shareholder/regulatory approvals.
Higher Effective Tax Rate
Effective tax rate for fiscal 2026 used in adjusted net income calculation was 23% vs 20% in the prior year period, modestly dampening net income growth on a comparable basis.
Company Guidance
MasterCraft said Q2 performance (net sales $71.8M, +$8.4M/+13.2% Y/Y; gross margin 21.6%, +440 bps Y/Y; adjusted EBITDA $7.5M vs $3.5M prior; adjusted EBITDA margin 10.4% vs 5.6%, +480 bps; adjusted net income $4.7M or $0.29/share vs $1.7M/$0.10; effective tax rate 23% vs 20%; cash & short‑term investments $81.4M; no debt; dealer pipeline inventories ~25% improved Y/Y) has supported an upward revision to fiscal 2026 guidance: consolidated net sales of $300–310M, adjusted EBITDA of $36–39M, adjusted EPS of $1.45–1.60, and ~ $9M of capital expenditures; they also forecast the upcoming period at roughly $75M of net sales, ~$9M of adjusted EBITDA and ~$0.35 of adjusted EPS, and noted that all guidance excludes any impact from the proposed Marine Products transaction.

MasterCraft Boat Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are supported by a very strong balance sheet (no debt, sizable equity) and a return to positive operating/free cash flow. However, operating performance remains well below FY2023 peak levels and cash flow has been volatile, keeping the score in the moderate range.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is up (+1.282%), and profitability improved meaningfully versus FY2025 (net margin ~5.5% TTM vs ~2.5% FY2025). However, the bigger picture shows a sharp step-down from FY2023: revenue has fallen materially from FY2023 levels, and margins are far below the prior-cycle peak (FY2023 net margin ~10.4% vs ~5.5% TTM). Overall, earnings power is recovering but remains volatile and well off prior highs.
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
The balance sheet is a clear strength: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and FY2025 show zero total debt and a sizable equity base (~$186M TTM) supporting assets (~$259M). This is a major improvement from earlier years when leverage was moderate-to-high (debt-to-equity ~0.86 in FY2021). Return on equity is positive but currently modest (~8.7% TTM), reflecting lower profitability despite the strong capital structure.
Cash Flow
63
Positive
Cash generation is positive in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) with operating cash flow of ~$26.4M and free cash flow of ~$16.3M, and free cash flow remains a solid share of net income (~74%). The main weakness is volatility: free cash flow declined sharply (TTM growth -38.3%) and was negative in FY2024, indicating sensitivity to operating conditions and/or working-capital swings. Still, cash flow quality looks healthier than the FY2024 trough.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue287.85M284.20M366.59M609.90M641.61M465.96M
Gross Profit60.46M56.87M67.10M168.74M168.19M125.13M
EBITDA26.60M24.28M24.60M133.18M125.93M86.28M
Net Income15.82M7.04M7.80M68.94M58.21M56.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets259.31M259.95M317.98M353.98M297.05M276.46M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments31.76M79.44M86.24M111.38M34.20M39.25M
Total Debt0.000.0049.26M53.68M56.55M93.14M
Total Liabilities73.58M76.36M134.10M161.89M153.40M168.67M
Stockholders Equity185.73M183.39M183.68M191.97M143.65M107.79M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow16.28M26.39M-3.86M109.63M61.02M40.68M
Operating Cash Flow26.35M35.59M12.50M134.20M73.31M68.54M
Investing Cash Flow49.73M46.04M-1.78M-121.43M-15.82M-27.83M
Financing Cash Flow-58.49M-60.10M-23.14M-27.15M-62.54M-17.77M

MasterCraft Boat Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price23.12
Price Trends
50DMA
20.19
Positive
100DMA
20.44
Positive
200DMA
19.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.75
Negative
RSI
74.59
Negative
STOCH
77.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MCFT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 23.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.96, above the 50-day MA of 20.19, and above the 200-day MA of 19.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.75 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.59 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MCFT.

MasterCraft Boat Holdings Risk Analysis

MasterCraft Boat Holdings disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. MasterCraft Boat Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

MasterCraft Boat Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$376.60M26.037.40%-12.17%
70
Outperform
$347.89M30.5310.00%6.03%-12.30%-29.51%
68
Neutral
$665.43M41.803.72%11.54%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
47
Neutral
$233.25M-1.98-35.49%5.62%-1706.59%
47
Neutral
$3.53M-0.20-59.55%-34.70%36.13%
42
Neutral
$3.27M-66.16%78.81%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MCFT
MasterCraft Boat Holdings
23.12
1.94
9.16%
MPX
Marine Products
9.94
1.08
12.19%
MBUU
Malibu Boats
34.61
-4.65
-11.84%
ONEW
OneWater Marine
13.33
-5.46
-29.06%
VMAR
Vision Marine Technologies
2.99
-485.01
-99.39%
VEEE
Twin Vee PowerCats
1.35
-2.95
-68.60%

MasterCraft Boat Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
MasterCraft Boat to Acquire Marine Products in Merger
Positive
Feb 5, 2026

On February 5, 2026, MasterCraft Boat Holdings agreed to acquire Marine Products Corporation in a stock-and-cash transaction that will make Marine Products a wholly owned subsidiary through a two-step merger structure. Marine Products shareholders will receive 0.232 shares of MasterCraft common stock plus $2.43 in cash for each Marine Products share, with restricted stock and performance stock units generally vesting and converting into the same mix of consideration, and certain 2026 restricted awards rolling into MasterCraft equity. The deal will expand MasterCraft’s scale in the marine sector and comes with governance changes, including enlarging MasterCraft’s board from seven to ten members to add three Marine Products-linked directors and giving key Marine Products shareholders nomination rights for up to two directors for as long as they hold specified voting stakes. Voting, stockholder and registration rights agreements signed concurrently with the merger pact lock up a controlling Marine Products shareholder bloc that holds about 69.1% of voting power, restrict post-closing share sales, impose standstill and voting commitments, and grant significant registration and liquidity rights, including underwritten shelf offerings that MasterCraft may pre-empt by purchasing the shares itself. The merger is subject to customary conditions, such as approvals from both companies’ shareholders, antitrust clearance, SEC registration effectiveness, Nasdaq listing of the new shares, and absence of a material adverse effect, and includes mutual termination rights with a $11.6 million fee payable by either party in certain deal-failure scenarios. To support the transaction and enhance financial flexibility, MasterCraft on February 5, 2026 amended its credit facility, extending revolver maturity to 2031, trimming commitments to $75 million, increasing accordion capacity to up to $100 million, revising key leverage and interest coverage covenants, and loosening certain restricted-payment and indebtedness baskets. Separately, on February 4, 2026, MasterCraft adopted an Executive Severance Plan that provides its CEO and other named executives with enhanced cash, equity-vesting and benefits protections in the event of qualifying terminations, particularly during the two-year period following a change in control, aligning leadership incentives and retention with the pending merger.

The most recent analyst rating on (MCFT) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MasterCraft Boat Holdings stock, see the MCFT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
MasterCraft Boat to Acquire Marine Products, Boosts Outlook
Positive
Feb 5, 2026

On February 5, 2026, MasterCraft Boat Holdings reported that fiscal 2026 second-quarter results for the period ended December 28, 2025, showed a sharp rebound in performance, with net sales rising 13.2% year on year to $71.8 million and income from continuing operations climbing to $2.5 million, alongside stronger adjusted earnings and EBITDA and an $81.4 million cash and investments position, driven by favorable mix, higher unit volumes, pricing and tighter cost control. On the same day the company unveiled a definitive agreement to acquire Marine Products Corporation, a major recreational and sport fishing powerboat manufacturer, and disclosed an expanded $75 million revolving credit facility maturing in 2031, moves that, combined with raised full-year 2026 guidance and ongoing investment in innovation and operational efficiency, signal a bid to broaden its portfolio, strengthen dealer networks and manufacturing capabilities, and reinforce its competitive position in the powerboat market, although the upgraded outlook excludes the impact of the pending Marine Products combination.

The most recent analyst rating on (MCFT) stock is a Hold with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MasterCraft Boat Holdings stock, see the MCFT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 05, 2026