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Liquidity Services (LQDT)
NASDAQ:LQDT

Liquidity Services (LQDT) AI Stock Analysis

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LQDT

Liquidity Services

(NASDAQ:LQDT)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$30.00
▼(-4.79% Downside)
Liquidity Services' strong financial performance and positive earnings call results are the primary drivers of the stock's score. The bullish technical indicators are tempered by overbought signals, and the high P/E ratio suggests valuation concerns. The absence of corporate events and dividend yield are minor considerations.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective execution of business strategies, supporting long-term expansion.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong free cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, enabling reinvestment in growth opportunities and potential M&A activities.
Platform Expansion
Enhancing platform capabilities with new features can improve customer engagement and retention, driving sustained growth and competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
Retail Segment Challenges
Sequential revenue decline in the retail segment may indicate demand fluctuations, potentially impacting overall revenue stability and growth.
Lower Inventory Purchases
Reduced inventory purchases could limit sales opportunities, affecting revenue growth and market competitiveness in the near term.
Profitability Variability
Variability in profitability metrics suggests potential operational inefficiencies, which could affect long-term financial performance and investor confidence.

Liquidity Services (LQDT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Liquidity Services Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLiquidity Services, Inc. provides e-commerce marketplaces, self-directed auction listing tools, and value-added services. It operates through four segments: Retail Supply Chain Group, Capital Assets Group, GovDeals, and Machinio. The company's marketplaces include liquidation.com that enable corporations to sell surplus and salvage consumer goods and retail capital assets; GovDeals marketplace, which provides self-directed service solutions in which sellers list their own assets that enables local and state government entities, and commercial businesses located in the United States and Canada to sell surplus and salvage assets; and AllSurplus, a centralized marketplace that connects global buyer base with assets from across the network of marketplaces in a single destination. It also provides marketplace for corporations located in the North America, Europe, Australia, Asia, and Africa to sell manufacturing surplus, salvage capital assets, and scrap material, as well as offers a suite of services, including surplus management, asset valuation, asset sales, marketing, returns management, asset recovery, and ecommerce services. In addition, the company operates a global search engine platform for listing used equipment for sale in the construction, machine tool, transportation, printing, and agriculture sectors. It offers products from industry verticals, such as consumer electronics, general merchandise, apparel, scientific equipment, aerospace parts and equipment, technology hardware, real estate, energy equipment, industrial capital assets, heavy equipment, fleet and transportation equipment, and specialty equipment. Liquidity Services, Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.
How the Company Makes MoneyLiquidity Services generates revenue primarily through transaction fees earned from the sale of surplus assets on its online marketplace. The company charges sellers a commission based on the final sale price of the assets sold, as well as fees for services such as asset valuation, inventory management, and logistics support. Additionally, it may earn revenue from partnerships with government agencies and corporations that require specialized auction services for their surplus assets. Significant factors contributing to its earnings include the volume of assets sold, the diversity of its client base, and the effectiveness of its online platform in attracting buyers and sellers.

Liquidity Services Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 20, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements in GMV and revenue growth, profitability, and strategic expansions across various segments. However, there were some challenges in the retail segment with sequential revenue decline and lower expected inventory purchases.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record GMV and Revenue Growth
Achieved a record $1.57 billion in GMV in fiscal 2025, with revenues nearly $477 million, up 31% year over year.
EBITDA and Free Cash Flow Milestones
Adjusted EBITDA grew 25% to $60.8 million, the highest in eleven years, and generated $59 million in free cash flow.
Expansion of GovDeals Segment
GovDeals achieved a record $903 million of GMV, up 8% over the year, with a focus on new sellers and record vehicle sales volumes.
Retail Segment Growth
Retail segment grew GMV 30% year over year, with new recurring program flows and the launch of RetailRush.
Strong Employee Engagement
Sourced 51 new hires without external recruiting agencies, with 20% of hires being referrals.
Negative Updates
Sequential Revenue Decline in Retail Segment
Retail segment's revenue was down sequentially from the fiscal third quarter due to lower purchase volumes.
Lower Expected Inventory Purchases
Lower expected inventory purchase by retail segment may result in tempered year-over-year consolidated GMV and revenue.
Company Guidance
In the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, Liquidity Services, Inc. delivered impressive financial performance, surpassing its guidance metrics. The company achieved a 12% year-over-year growth in gross merchandise volume (GMV) to $404.5 million, with adjusted EBITDA increasing by 28% to $18.5 million and adjusted EPS rising by 16%. These results were driven by strong execution of their RISE strategy, focused on high-margin consignment and software solutions. For the full fiscal year, Liquidity Services achieved a record GMV of $1.57 billion, a 31% increase in revenue to $476.7 million, and an adjusted EBITDA of $60.8 million, marking a 25% growth. The company also reported a significant free cash flow of $59 million, supported by their asset-light business model and operational efficiencies, including the integration of AI-assisted technologies. Liquidity Services ended the fiscal year with $185.8 million in cash and no debt, positioning them well for sustainable long-term growth and potential M&A opportunities in the circular economy market. For fiscal year 2026, they expect GMV to range from $370 million to $405 million, with non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA estimated between $13.5 million and $16.5 million.

Liquidity Services Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Liquidity Services demonstrates solid financial health with consistent revenue growth and strong cash flow generation. The company has a low debt-to-equity ratio and a strong cash position, although profitability metrics show some variability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Liquidity Services has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase in the most recent year. The gross profit margin has been strong historically, although it was not reported in the latest year. Net profit margin has improved slightly, indicating better cost management. However, the EBIT margin has fluctuated, suggesting some operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating conservative leverage. Return on equity has decreased over the years, which may point to less efficient use of equity. The equity ratio remains healthy, suggesting a strong capital structure.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a positive trend, with significant growth in free cash flow in the latest year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates strong cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is robust, reflecting efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue476.67M476.67M363.32M314.46M280.05M257.53M
Gross Profit208.81M208.81M185.17M172.14M160.64M149.85M
EBITDA45.48M45.48M35.52M37.36M33.23M34.14M
Net Income28.09M28.09M19.99M20.98M40.32M50.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets375.10M375.10M346.89M306.02M306.81M255.58M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments185.82M185.82M155.54M118.17M97.94M106.33M
Total Debt14.12M14.12M14.44M10.91M14.55M14.60M
Total Liabilities171.86M171.86M164.33M144.49M152.27M120.56M
Stockholders Equity203.24M203.24M182.56M161.53M154.54M135.01M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow58.96M58.96M61.31M41.63M36.71M59.97M
Operating Cash Flow66.76M66.76M70.22M47.02M44.83M65.42M
Investing Cash Flow-22.98M-22.98M-16.11M-11.43M-21.08M-1.00M
Financing Cash Flow-21.81M-21.81M-11.17M-22.07M-31.94M-34.66M

Liquidity Services Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price31.51
Price Trends
50DMA
26.09
Positive
100DMA
26.19
Positive
200DMA
26.71
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.74
Negative
RSI
71.10
Negative
STOCH
78.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LQDT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 31.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.83, above the 50-day MA of 26.09, and above the 200-day MA of 26.71, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.74 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.10 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LQDT.

Liquidity Services Risk Analysis

Liquidity Services disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Liquidity Services reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Liquidity Services Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$980.78M36.3314.56%31.20%38.38%
71
Outperform
$1.15B33.357.42%27.84%
69
Neutral
$562.73M45.094.94%2.38%-12.61%-27.22%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
$1.14B
55
Neutral
$963.59M-24.48-35.37%-4.90%50.77%
41
Neutral
$774.53M-127.92%30.95%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LQDT
Liquidity Services
31.51
0.10
0.32%
NEGG
Newegg Commerce
53.80
44.89
503.82%
ARKO
ARKO Corp
5.04
-1.66
-24.78%
TDUP
thredUP
7.62
6.28
468.66%
RERE
ATRenew Inc. Sponsored ADR
5.38
2.63
95.64%
HEPS
D-Market
2.39
-0.89
-27.13%

Liquidity Services Corporate Events

Liquidity Services’ Financial Stability at Risk Due to Banking Dependence
Nov 21, 2025

Liquidity Services faces significant business risk due to its reliance on a limited number of banking partners for essential financial services. The stability and operational soundness of these banks are crucial, as any instability or failure could disrupt access to funds, delay payment processing, and increase costs. Changes in banking terms, such as reduced credit or increased collateral requirements, could further strain the company’s financial management. Such disruptions could materially and adversely impact Liquidity Services’ operations, financial condition, and overall results.

Liquidity Services Reports Strong Q4 2025 Results
Nov 21, 2025

Liquidity Services is a global leader in e-commerce marketplaces and software solutions, specializing in the circular economy by facilitating the sale of surplus assets. The company operates across various sectors, including industrial, retail, and government, providing a platform for buyers and sellers to connect efficiently.

Liquidity Services’ Earnings Call Highlights Robust Growth
Nov 21, 2025

Liquidity Services’ recent earnings call painted a picture of robust growth and strategic advancements, despite some hurdles in the retail segment. The company celebrated notable achievements in gross merchandise volume (GMV) and revenue, alongside profitability milestones. However, challenges such as a sequential revenue decline and lower expected inventory purchases in the retail sector were also acknowledged.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 25, 2025