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ARKO Corp (ARKO)
NASDAQ:ARKO
US Market

ARKO Corp (ARKO) AI Stock Analysis

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ARKO

ARKO Corp

(NASDAQ:ARKO)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$5.50
▲(9.13% Upside)
ARKO's overall stock score reflects strong cash flow management and positive technical indicators, balanced by high leverage and valuation concerns. The company's strategic initiatives, including the dealerization strategy and corporate events, provide a positive outlook, though challenges in the retail segment and regional pressures remain.
Positive Factors
Loyalty Program Growth
The significant growth in the loyalty program indicates strong customer engagement and potential for increased sales, enhancing long-term revenue stability.
Dealerization Strategy
The dealerization strategy is likely to improve operational efficiency and profitability, contributing to sustainable growth and competitive advantage.
New CFO Appointment
The appointment of an experienced CFO is expected to strengthen financial leadership, aiding in strategic financial planning and execution.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses financial risks, potentially limiting financial flexibility and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns.
Decline in Same-Store Fuel Contribution
A decline in same-store fuel contribution suggests challenges in maintaining sales volume, impacting revenue and profitability.
Regional Market Pressure
Regional market pressures could hinder growth and profitability, reflecting broader economic challenges affecting consumer spending.

ARKO Corp (ARKO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ARKO Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionARKO Corp (ARKO) is a prominent player in the convenience retail sector, primarily operating a chain of gas stations and convenience stores across the United States. The company focuses on providing essential products and services, including fuel, snacks, beverages, and everyday consumer goods. ARKO is committed to enhancing customer experience through its extensive network of locations and innovative offerings, aiming to serve the needs of travelers and local communities alike.
How the Company Makes MoneyARKO generates revenue primarily through the sale of fuel and convenience store products. The company earns income from the direct sale of gasoline and diesel at its fueling stations, which constitutes a significant portion of its revenue. Additionally, ARKO profits from the sale of convenience items such as snacks, beverages, and household goods in its stores. The company has established strategic partnerships with various fuel suppliers and retail brands, which help optimize its supply chain and enhance its competitive position. These partnerships, combined with a focus on customer loyalty programs and promotional offers, contribute to increased sales and customer retention, further bolstering ARKO's financial performance.

ARKO Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in the company's dealerization strategy and loyalty program, along with improvements in wholesale segment performance. However, there were challenges in the retail segment and a decline in same-store fuel contribution, with regional market pressures noted. Overall, the highlights and lowlights are relatively balanced.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Dealerization Strategy Success
Since mid-2024, approximately 350 stores have been converted, with an additional 185 sites committed for future conversion. Expected annual operating income benefit of more than $20 million before G&A.
Loyalty Program Growth
fas REWARDS loyalty program grew 37% in the quarter. Added 35,000 new enrollees, reaching approximately 2.4 million total enrolled members.
Merchandise Margin Expansion
Same-store merchandise margin rate was up approximately 60 basis points versus the prior year, driven by promotions and vendor support.
Wholesale Segment Growth
Operating income was $24.1 million for the quarter, up from $20.3 million in the year-ago period. Gallons were up approximately 7.5%.
Negative Updates
Softer Retail Performance
Retail segment operating income was approximately $77.5 million, down from $85.1 million in the year-ago period. Same-store merchandise sales excluding cigarettes were down 0.9%.
Decline in Same-Store Fuel Contribution
Same-store fuel contribution was down approximately $1.3 million for the quarter, with a 4.7% decline in gallons.
Regional Market Pressure
Midwest and other select markets remain under pressure, reflecting broader regional differences in household budgets and fuel demand.
Company Guidance
During the Arko Corp. Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance for the remainder of the fiscal year. Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter is expected to be between $50 million and $60 million, while full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance was updated to a range of $233 million to $243 million. The company highlighted its dealerization strategy, which has converted approximately 350 stores since mid-2024, with an additional 185 sites committed for future conversion, aiming for a cumulative annualized operating income benefit of over $20 million before G&A. Arko's loyalty program, fas REWARDS, saw a 37% increase in average daily enrollment, reaching 2.4 million members, who spend 53% more monthly compared to non-members. The company also discussed its store remodel program and new-to-industry (NTI) store developments, emphasizing the positive impact on merchandise sales and food and beverage contributions. Arko remains focused on optimizing fuel performance and expanding its wholesale and fleet fueling segments, with specific growth expected in new cardlock locations in 2026.

ARKO Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ARKO Corp shows strengths in cash flow management and operational efficiency, but faces challenges with high leverage and low profitability margins. While revenue growth is inconsistent, the company maintains a stable financial position with a focus on improving cash conversion and supporting growth through healthy free cash flows.
Income Statement
72
Positive
ARKO's revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a recent decline in TTM compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin for TTM stands at 6.19%, showing a slight improvement. However, the net profit margin is low at 0.30%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate at 1.07% and 2.86% respectively, indicating stable operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is high at 7.22, suggesting significant leverage, which poses financial risk. However, the equity ratio of 9.86% indicates some level of equity backing. The return on equity is relatively low at 7.13%, reflecting modest returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
ARKO demonstrates strong cash flow management, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 30.09% in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 9.98, indicating efficient cash conversion. Free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 5.55, supporting future growth investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.84B8.73B9.41B9.14B7.42B4.01B
Gross Profit383.67M397.22M423.63M418.55M367.48M258.36M
EBITDA251.34M257.03M265.88M271.94M242.28M156.48M
Net Income18.59M20.84M34.37M71.75M59.20M13.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.59B3.62B3.65B3.26B2.94B2.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments332.02M267.09M222.01M300.93M310.95M311.43M
Total Debt2.59B2.58B2.53B2.26B2.08B2.01B
Total Liabilities3.21B3.24B3.27B2.87B2.59B2.45B
Stockholders Equity373.13M376.87M376.10M380.83M353.45M291.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow12.44M107.94M24.89M110.48M-67.26M129.17M
Operating Cash Flow121.31M221.86M136.09M209.26M159.19M173.84M
Investing Cash Flow-104.36M-114.86M-296.82M-175.49M-171.78M-407.55M
Financing Cash Flow-19.53M-56.00M85.36M10.55M-26.38M491.05M

ARKO Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.04
Price Trends
50DMA
4.50
Positive
100DMA
4.62
Positive
200DMA
4.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.15
Positive
RSI
58.18
Neutral
STOCH
58.34
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARKO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.04 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.85, above the 50-day MA of 4.50, and above the 200-day MA of 4.46, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ARKO.

ARKO Corp Risk Analysis

ARKO Corp disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ARKO Corp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ARKO Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$3.58B9.8118.34%0.97%-0.65%-10.35%
74
Outperform
$549.35M44.024.94%2.43%-12.61%-27.22%
69
Neutral
$17.45B21.6117.05%3.28%3.26%-25.41%
68
Neutral
$20.70B34.3516.99%0.39%13.33%13.33%
66
Neutral
$10.08B27.388.35%-12.13%426.82%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
48
Neutral
$2.42B-23.85%2.48%-19.41%-957.94%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARKO
ARKO Corp
4.93
-1.47
-22.97%
AAP
Advance Auto Parts
40.40
-2.38
-5.56%
CASY
Casey's General
558.49
160.71
40.40%
GME
GameStop
22.51
-8.39
-27.15%
GPC
Genuine Parts Company
125.46
12.90
11.46%
ASO
Academy Sports and Outdoors
53.70
-2.90
-5.12%

ARKO Corp Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
ARKO Subsidiary APC Files Registration for Planned IPO
Positive
Dec 19, 2025

On December 19, 2025, ARKO Corp. announced that its wholly owned subsidiary, ARKO Petroleum Corp. (APC), filed a registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission for a proposed initial public offering of its Class A common stock, consolidating ARKO’s wholesale, fleet fueling and GPM Petroleum segments under APC, which would handle wholesale fuel distribution to most of ARKO’s fuel-selling convenience stores. The company also disclosed that public warrants assumed in its December 22, 2020 business combination with Haymaker Acquisition Corp. II, exercisable at $11.50 per share and traded on Nasdaq under the symbol ARKOW, will expire at 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time on December 22, 2025, with trading already suspended as of December 18, 2025, while Nasdaq proceeds to delist and deregister the warrants; ARKO emphasized that the listing of its common stock on Nasdaq under the ticker ARKO remains unaffected, clarifying the capital structure for existing shareholders as it moves forward with the planned APC offering.

Executive/Board Changes
ARKO Corp Appoints Yona Fogel to Board
Neutral
Dec 16, 2025

On December 11, 2025, Steven Heyer resigned from the board of ARKO Corp due to health reasons, and on December 12, 2025, Yona Fogel was appointed as his replacement. Fogel, an experienced leader in Israel’s banking, energy, and industrial sectors, brings significant expertise to ARKO Corp, potentially enhancing its strategic initiatives and governance.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
ARKO Corp Appoints New CFO Galagher Jeff
Positive
Dec 1, 2025

ARKO Corp., a Delaware corporation, has announced the appointment of Galagher Jeff as its new Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective December 1, 2025. Jeff will succeed Jordan Mann, who will continue in a senior strategic role within the company. Jeff brings extensive experience from previous roles at Murphy USA, Dollar Tree, Advance Auto Parts, and Walmart. His appointment includes an executive employment agreement with a base salary of $650,000, subject to periodic review, and various incentive compensations. This strategic appointment is expected to enhance ARKO Corp.’s financial leadership and operational strategy.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
ARKO Corp Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

ARKO Corp. reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, showing a net income increase to $13.5 million from $9.7 million in the previous year, despite a decrease in adjusted EBITDA. The company continues its transformation plan by converting retail stores to dealer sites and remodeling stores to enhance customer experience. ARKO is expanding its network with new-to-industry locations and aims for significant operating income benefits and G&A savings through its dealerization program.

Executive/Board Changes
ARKO Corp Appoints Jordan Mann as Interim CFO
Neutral
Oct 9, 2025

On October 3, 2025, ARKO Corp., a Delaware corporation, announced the appointment of Jordan Mann as the interim Chief Financial Officer, effective October 10, 2025. Mann, who is also the Senior Vice President of Corporate Strategy, Capital Markets, and Investor Relations, will temporarily replace Robert Giammatteo. Mann’s compensation package includes a base salary of $350,000 and stock units vesting over three years, reflecting the company’s strategic approach to leadership transitions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025