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ARKO Corp (ARKO)
NASDAQ:ARKO
US Market
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ARKO Corp (ARKO) AI Stock Analysis

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ARKO

ARKO Corp

(NASDAQ:ARKO)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$5.50
▲(10.89% Upside)
ARKO's overall stock score reflects a balance of strengths in cash flow management and operational initiatives against challenges in valuation and profitability. The company's strategic initiatives and positive corporate events provide a promising outlook, but high leverage and valuation concerns temper the score.
Positive Factors
Expectations
Expectations, although low, have stabilized which is a positive for ARKO.
Guidance
Management reiterated 2025 guidance, suggesting a stabilization of ARKO trends and expectations.
Profitability
Merch and Fuel profitability came largely in line, with upside to our model due to better expense management.
Negative Factors
Dealerization
There is a risk that ARKO's dealerization benefits may deteriorate over time.
Strategy
Lack of visibility from ARKO's continually evolving strategy justifies continued caution.
Valuation
There is a risk that ARKO's valuation remains subdued relative to peers if volumes, particularly retail fuel volumes and same-store merchandise sales, remain weaker than peers and industry data.

ARKO Corp (ARKO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ARKO Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArko Corp. operates convenience stores in the United States. It operates through three segments: Retail, Wholesale, and GPM Petroleum. The Retail segment engages in the sale of fuel and merchandise to retail consumers. The Wholesale segment supplies fuel to third-party dealers and consignment agents. The GPM Petroleum segment supplies fuel to independent dealers, and bulk and spot purchasers. It operates approximately 3,000 locations comprising approximately 1,400 company-operated stores and approximately 1,650 dealer sites. The company is based in Richmond, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyARKO Corp generates revenue primarily through the sale of fuel and convenience store merchandise. The company operates a vast network of convenience stores that sell a variety of products including groceries, snacks, beverages, and prepared food items. Fuel sales contribute significantly to ARKO's revenue, with a pricing strategy that reflects market conditions. Additionally, ARKO has established partnerships with various brands for exclusive product offerings and promotions, enhancing its appeal to customers. The company's revenue is bolstered by its ability to optimize operational efficiencies and leverage economies of scale through its extensive store network and ongoing acquisitions.

ARKO Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed picture with notable progress in transformation initiatives, loyalty program growth, and strong fuel margins. However, it also highlighted challenges such as decreased adjusted EBITDA and declines in same-store sales. The positive aspects, especially the July performance improvement and dealerization progress, are promising but balanced by significant lowlights.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improvement in July Performance
Same-store sales growth for July, excluding cigarettes, was up slightly year-over-year. Total merchandise same-store sales trend for July was 3 percentage points better than for the second quarter, marking the best comp performance in the last 18 months.
Dealerization Program Progress
Since launching the dealerization program, more than 300 stores have been converted, with 200 additional sites expected to convert. The program aims to deliver more than $20 million in annualized operating income benefits before G&A.
New Store Formats and Food Service Concept
Arko introduced new store formats, including a remodel and new food and beverage concept, Fas Craves. Early results show outperformance in key categories and improved customer experience.
Loyalty Program Growth
The Fas Rewards program added over 38,000 new members, bringing total enrollment to approximately 2.35 million members, a 10% increase from the previous year.
Strong Fuel Margins
Fuel margin was strong at $0.45 per gallon for the quarter, with consecutive improvement from May to June and continuing into July.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA was $76.9 million for the quarter compared to $80.1 million in the previous year, primarily due to lower retail merchandise contribution.
Decline in Same-Store Merchandise Sales
Same-store merchandise sales, excluding cigarettes, were down 3% year-over-year, while total same-store merchandise sales were down 4.2%.
Challenges in Retail Segment
Retail segment operating income was approximately $80.4 million, down from $87.9 million in the previous year.
Soft Industry-Wide Fuel Demand
National retail fuel volumes were down approximately 4%, affecting Arko's volumes.
Company Guidance
During Arko Corp.'s second quarter 2025 earnings call, management provided guidance indicating several key metrics. The company reported an adjusted EBITDA of $76.9 million, which was above the midpoint of their guidance. For the third quarter, they projected adjusted EBITDA between $70 million and $80 million and maintained their full-year guidance in the range of $233 million to $253 million. Same-store sales in July showed improvement, with total merchandise same-store sales up by 3 percentage points compared to the second quarter. Arko's dealerization program, expected to deliver over $20 million in annualized operating income benefits before G&A, continues with over 300 stores converted and approximately 200 additional sites in the pipeline. The company also highlighted the success of their loyalty program, with membership growing to 2.35 million, up 10% from the previous year, and substantial increases in member spending and visit frequency.

ARKO Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ARKO Corp shows strengths in cash flow management and operational efficiency, but faces challenges with high leverage and low profitability margins. While revenue growth is inconsistent, the company maintains a stable financial position with a focus on improving cash conversion and supporting growth through healthy free cash flows.
Income Statement
72
Positive
ARKO's revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a recent decline in TTM compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin for TTM stands at 6.19%, showing a slight improvement. However, the net profit margin is low at 0.30%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate at 1.07% and 2.86% respectively, indicating stable operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is high at 7.22, suggesting significant leverage, which poses financial risk. However, the equity ratio of 9.86% indicates some level of equity backing. The return on equity is relatively low at 7.13%, reflecting modest returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
ARKO demonstrates strong cash flow management, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 30.09% in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 9.98, indicating efficient cash conversion. Free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 5.55, supporting future growth investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.10B8.73B9.41B9.14B7.42B3.91B
Gross Profit519.63M397.22M423.63M418.55M367.48M258.36M
EBITDA256.72M256.63M265.88M269.51M235.68M155.68M
Net Income31.35M20.84M34.37M71.75M59.20M31.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.61B3.62B3.65B3.26B2.94B2.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments299.66M267.09M222.01M300.93M310.95M293.67M
Total Debt2.61B2.58B2.53B2.26B2.08B2.01B
Total Liabilities3.24B3.24B3.27B2.87B2.59B2.42B
Stockholders Equity364.83M376.87M376.10M380.83M353.45M318.04M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow82.49M107.94M24.89M110.48M-67.26M129.17M
Operating Cash Flow175.29M221.86M136.09M209.26M159.19M173.84M
Investing Cash Flow-89.11M-114.86M-296.82M-175.49M-171.78M-407.55M
Financing Cash Flow-47.70M-56.00M85.36M10.55M-26.38M491.05M

ARKO Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.96
Price Trends
50DMA
4.62
Positive
100DMA
4.52
Positive
200DMA
5.21
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Positive
RSI
54.82
Neutral
STOCH
24.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARKO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.96 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.98, above the 50-day MA of 4.62, and below the 200-day MA of 5.21, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ARKO.

ARKO Corp Risk Analysis

ARKO Corp disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ARKO Corp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ARKO Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$18.52B34.0416.75%0.41%7.25%9.12%
72
Outperform
$3.33B9.3218.42%0.94%-2.20%-17.95%
67
Neutral
$550.18M62.634.01%2.42%-13.05%-68.59%
67
Neutral
$19.65B24.3317.50%2.93%2.65%-32.91%
61
Neutral
$17.97B12.87-5.30%2.97%1.26%-14.45%
54
Neutral
$10.01B48.506.62%-25.30%479.26%
48
Neutral
$3.60B59.62-24.78%1.65%-22.50%-35219.23%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARKO
ARKO Corp
4.96
-0.81
-14.04%
AAP
Advance Auto Parts
60.44
22.65
59.94%
CASY
Casey's General
505.64
140.37
38.43%
GME
GameStop
22.61
-1.64
-6.76%
GPC
Genuine Parts Company
139.50
7.16
5.41%
ASO
Academy Sports and Outdoors
50.86
-1.30
-2.49%

ARKO Corp Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
ARKO Corp CFO Departure Announcement on August 12
Neutral
Aug 18, 2025

On August 12, 2025, ARKO Corp. announced that its Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Robert (Robb) Giammatteo, will be leaving the company on October 10, 2025, to pursue another opportunity. Giammatteo has assured a smooth transition and clarified that his departure is not due to any disagreements with the company regarding financial, operational, or policy matters.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
ARKO Corp Reports Q2 2025 Net Income Increase
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

In the second quarter of 2025, ARKO Corp. reported a net income increase to $20.1 million and a merchandise margin rise to 33.6%, despite a decrease in adjusted EBITDA and merchandise contribution compared to the previous year. The company continued its transformation plan by converting 70 retail stores to dealer sites and opening new format stores to enhance customer experience, aiming for significant operational income benefits and structural savings.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2025