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ARKO Corp (ARKO)
NASDAQ:ARKO
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ARKO Corp (ARKO) AI Stock Analysis

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ARKO

ARKO Corp

(NASDAQ:ARKO)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▲(4.65% Upside)
ARKO's overall stock score is driven by strong cash flow management and operational efficiency, despite challenges with high leverage and low profitability margins. The technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, while the valuation suggests the stock is relatively expensive. The earnings call provided a balanced view, with growth in strategic areas offset by retail challenges.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Management
Strong cash flow management enhances ARKO's ability to invest in growth opportunities and sustain operations, providing a solid financial foundation.
Dealerization Strategy
The dealerization strategy boosts operational efficiency and profitability, positioning ARKO for long-term growth in its retail network.
Loyalty Program Growth
The expanding loyalty program enhances customer retention and spending, driving sustained revenue growth and competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses financial risk, potentially limiting ARKO's ability to invest in growth and manage economic downturns effectively.
Inconsistent Revenue Growth
Inconsistent revenue growth challenges ARKO's ability to maintain market position and could impact long-term financial stability.
Softer Retail Performance
Declining retail performance indicates challenges in maintaining competitive edge and profitability in the core business segment.

ARKO Corp (ARKO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ARKO Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArko Corp. operates convenience stores in the United States. It operates through three segments: Retail, Wholesale, and GPM Petroleum. The Retail segment engages in the sale of fuel and merchandise to retail consumers. The Wholesale segment supplies fuel to third-party dealers and consignment agents. The GPM Petroleum segment supplies fuel to independent dealers, and bulk and spot purchasers. It operates approximately 3,000 locations comprising approximately 1,400 company-operated stores and approximately 1,650 dealer sites. The company is based in Richmond, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyARKO Corp generates revenue primarily through the sale of fuel and convenience store merchandise. The company operates a vast network of convenience stores that sell a variety of products including groceries, snacks, beverages, and prepared food items. Fuel sales contribute significantly to ARKO's revenue, with a pricing strategy that reflects market conditions. Additionally, ARKO has established partnerships with various brands for exclusive product offerings and promotions, enhancing its appeal to customers. The company's revenue is bolstered by its ability to optimize operational efficiencies and leverage economies of scale through its extensive store network and ongoing acquisitions.

ARKO Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in the company's dealerization strategy and loyalty program, along with improvements in wholesale segment performance. However, there were challenges in the retail segment and a decline in same-store fuel contribution, with regional market pressures noted. Overall, the highlights and lowlights are relatively balanced.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Dealerization Strategy Success
Since mid-2024, approximately 350 stores have been converted, with an additional 185 sites committed for future conversion. Expected annual operating income benefit of more than $20 million before G&A.
Loyalty Program Growth
fas REWARDS loyalty program grew 37% in the quarter. Added 35,000 new enrollees, reaching approximately 2.4 million total enrolled members.
Merchandise Margin Expansion
Same-store merchandise margin rate was up approximately 60 basis points versus the prior year, driven by promotions and vendor support.
Wholesale Segment Growth
Operating income was $24.1 million for the quarter, up from $20.3 million in the year-ago period. Gallons were up approximately 7.5%.
Negative Updates
Softer Retail Performance
Retail segment operating income was approximately $77.5 million, down from $85.1 million in the year-ago period. Same-store merchandise sales excluding cigarettes were down 0.9%.
Decline in Same-Store Fuel Contribution
Same-store fuel contribution was down approximately $1.3 million for the quarter, with a 4.7% decline in gallons.
Regional Market Pressure
Midwest and other select markets remain under pressure, reflecting broader regional differences in household budgets and fuel demand.
Company Guidance
During the Arko Corp. Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance for the remainder of the fiscal year. Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter is expected to be between $50 million and $60 million, while full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance was updated to a range of $233 million to $243 million. The company highlighted its dealerization strategy, which has converted approximately 350 stores since mid-2024, with an additional 185 sites committed for future conversion, aiming for a cumulative annualized operating income benefit of over $20 million before G&A. Arko's loyalty program, fas REWARDS, saw a 37% increase in average daily enrollment, reaching 2.4 million members, who spend 53% more monthly compared to non-members. The company also discussed its store remodel program and new-to-industry (NTI) store developments, emphasizing the positive impact on merchandise sales and food and beverage contributions. Arko remains focused on optimizing fuel performance and expanding its wholesale and fleet fueling segments, with specific growth expected in new cardlock locations in 2026.

ARKO Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ARKO Corp shows strengths in cash flow management and operational efficiency, but faces challenges with high leverage and low profitability margins. While revenue growth is inconsistent, the company maintains a stable financial position with a focus on improving cash conversion and supporting growth through healthy free cash flows.
Income Statement
72
Positive
ARKO's revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a recent decline in TTM compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin for TTM stands at 6.19%, showing a slight improvement. However, the net profit margin is low at 0.30%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate at 1.07% and 2.86% respectively, indicating stable operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is high at 7.22, suggesting significant leverage, which poses financial risk. However, the equity ratio of 9.86% indicates some level of equity backing. The return on equity is relatively low at 7.13%, reflecting modest returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
ARKO demonstrates strong cash flow management, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 30.09% in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 9.98, indicating efficient cash conversion. Free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 5.55, supporting future growth investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.84B8.73B9.41B9.14B7.42B3.91B
Gross Profit405.14M397.22M423.63M418.55M367.48M258.36M
EBITDA197.99M256.63M265.88M269.51M235.68M155.68M
Net Income17.12M20.84M34.37M71.75M59.20M31.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.59B3.62B3.65B3.26B2.94B2.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments313.23M267.09M222.01M300.93M310.95M293.67M
Total Debt113.60M2.58B2.53B2.26B2.08B2.01B
Total Liabilities3.21B3.24B3.27B2.87B2.59B2.42B
Stockholders Equity273.13M376.87M376.10M380.83M353.45M318.04M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow12.44M107.94M24.89M110.48M-67.26M129.17M
Operating Cash Flow121.31M221.86M136.09M209.26M159.19M173.84M
Investing Cash Flow-104.36M-114.86M-296.82M-175.49M-171.78M-407.55M
Financing Cash Flow-19.53M-56.00M85.36M10.55M-26.38M491.05M

ARKO Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.30
Price Trends
50DMA
4.53
Negative
100DMA
4.55
Negative
200DMA
4.72
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Negative
RSI
48.37
Neutral
STOCH
51.29
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARKO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.26, below the 50-day MA of 4.53, and below the 200-day MA of 4.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ARKO.

ARKO Corp Risk Analysis

ARKO Corp disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ARKO Corp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ARKO Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$3.07B8.6318.42%1.09%-2.20%-17.95%
70
Outperform
$19.54B33.7517.10%0.40%8.74%13.37%
65
Neutral
$498.32M56.964.94%3.00%-12.61%-27.22%
64
Neutral
$17.39B21.5417.05%3.23%3.26%-25.41%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
53
Neutral
$9.86B29.197.58%-15.48%528.37%
41
Neutral
$2.92B-23.85%1.97%-19.41%-957.94%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARKO
ARKO Corp
4.30
-2.15
-33.33%
AAP
Advance Auto Parts
48.67
11.61
31.33%
CASY
Casey's General
533.57
122.56
29.82%
GME
GameStop
21.50
-3.38
-13.59%
GPC
Genuine Parts Company
126.66
8.08
6.81%
ASO
Academy Sports and Outdoors
45.77
-5.09
-10.01%

ARKO Corp Corporate Events

Arko Corp’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 7, 2025

Arko Corp’s recent earnings call presented a balanced sentiment, highlighting both achievements and challenges. The company reported significant growth in its dealerization strategy and loyalty program, alongside improvements in the wholesale segment. However, it also faced hurdles in the retail segment and a decline in same-store fuel contributions, with regional market pressures affecting performance.

Arko Corp Reports Stable Q3 2025 Earnings
Nov 6, 2025

Arko Corp, a Delaware-based company, operates in the retail and wholesale fuel industry, managing convenience stores and supplying fuel to gas stations across the United States. In its latest earnings report for the third quarter of 2025, Arko Corp reported a slight decrease in total revenues to $2.02 billion, compared to $2.28 billion in the same period last year. The company experienced a decline in fuel and merchandise revenues, which was partially offset by an increase in other revenues. Despite the revenue drop, Arko Corp managed to maintain a stable operating income of $35.9 million, slightly down from $41.6 million in the previous year. The company’s net income attributable to common shareholders rose to $12 million, up from $8.2 million in the third quarter of 2024, reflecting effective cost management and strategic initiatives. Looking ahead, Arko Corp remains focused on executing its growth strategies and managing operational efficiencies to navigate the competitive landscape of the fuel and convenience store market.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
ARKO Corp Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

ARKO Corp. reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, showing a net income increase to $13.5 million from $9.7 million in the previous year, despite a decrease in adjusted EBITDA. The company continues its transformation plan by converting retail stores to dealer sites and remodeling stores to enhance customer experience. ARKO is expanding its network with new-to-industry locations and aims for significant operating income benefits and G&A savings through its dealerization program.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARKO) stock is a Hold with a $4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ARKO Corp stock, see the ARKO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
ARKO Corp Appoints Jordan Mann as Interim CFO
Neutral
Oct 9, 2025

On October 3, 2025, ARKO Corp., a Delaware corporation, announced the appointment of Jordan Mann as the interim Chief Financial Officer, effective October 10, 2025. Mann, who is also the Senior Vice President of Corporate Strategy, Capital Markets, and Investor Relations, will temporarily replace Robert Giammatteo. Mann’s compensation package includes a base salary of $350,000 and stock units vesting over three years, reflecting the company’s strategic approach to leadership transitions.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARKO) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ARKO Corp stock, see the ARKO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
ARKO Corp CFO Departure Announcement on August 12
Neutral
Aug 18, 2025

On August 12, 2025, ARKO Corp. announced that its Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Robert (Robb) Giammatteo, will be leaving the company on October 10, 2025, to pursue another opportunity. Giammatteo has assured a smooth transition and clarified that his departure is not due to any disagreements with the company regarding financial, operational, or policy matters.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARKO) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ARKO Corp stock, see the ARKO Stock Forecast page.

Arko Corp’s Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiment Amid Growth
Aug 8, 2025

Arko Corp’s recent earnings call presented a balanced sentiment, highlighting both positive developments and challenges. The company reported improved same-store sales trends and strong fuel margin performance, alongside successful progress in their dealerization program. However, these positive aspects were counterbalanced by declines in retail segment operating income and same-store sales, painting a mixed outlook for the company.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025