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Casey's General (CASY)
NASDAQ:CASY
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Casey's General (CASY) AI Stock Analysis

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CASY

Casey's General

(NASDAQ:CASY)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$570.00
▲(6.83% Upside)
Casey's General Stores demonstrates strong financial performance and positive earnings call results, indicating robust operational efficiency and growth. However, technical analysis shows bearish signals, and the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation. The company's ability to manage increased operating expenses and debt levels will be crucial for future performance.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth highlights the company's ability to expand its market reach and enhance product offerings, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Cash Flow Generation
Robust cash flow generation ensures the company can fund operations, invest in growth opportunities, and maintain financial flexibility over time.
Market Share Growth
Gaining market share in the fuel segment strengthens Casey's competitive position and enhances its ability to drive future revenue growth.
Negative Factors
Rising Operating Expenses
Increasing operating expenses can pressure profit margins and may require strategic cost management to maintain long-term profitability.
Impact of Acquisitions on Margins
Acquisitions impacting margins could challenge the company's ability to maintain profitability unless synergies are realized efficiently.
Increased Interest Expenses
Rising interest expenses may strain financial resources, potentially limiting investment in growth initiatives and affecting long-term financial health.

Casey's General (CASY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Casey's General Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCasey's General Stores, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates convenience stores under the Casey's and Casey's General Store names. Its stores offer a selection of food, including freshly prepared foods, such as pizza, donuts, and sandwiches; beverages; tobacco and nicotine products; health and beauty aids; automotive products; and other nonfood items. The company's stores also provide motor fuel for sale on a self-service basis; and gasoline and diesel fuel. In addition, its stores offer various products, include soft drinks, energy, water, sports drinks, juices, coffee, and tea and dairy products; beer, wine, and spirits; snacks, candy, packaged bakery, and other food items; ice, ice cream, meals, and appetizers; health and beauty aids, electronic accessories, housewares, and pet supplies; and lotto/lottery and prepaid cards. Further, the company operates two stores that sells tobacco and nicotine products; one liquor store; and one grocery store. As of April 30, 2022, it operated 2,452 convenience stores. Casey's General Stores, Inc. was founded in 1959 and is headquartered in Ankeny, Iowa.
How the Company Makes MoneyCasey's General Stores generates revenue through several key streams: fuel sales, grocery and convenience store merchandise, and prepared food services. A significant portion of its earnings comes from fuel sales, where the company benefits from selling gasoline to customers at competitive prices. Additionally, the grocery and convenience store merchandise includes snacks, beverages, and household goods, which contribute to overall sales. Prepared food services, particularly its popular pizza offerings, have become a crucial revenue driver, appealing to customers seeking quick meal options. The company also engages in strategic partnerships with suppliers and vendors to enhance its product offerings and improve operational efficiencies, further supporting its revenue growth.

Casey's General Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue By Segment
Revenue By Segment
Chart InsightsCasey's General Stores is experiencing robust growth across its segments, with a notable surge in the 'Other' category, doubling its revenue in recent quarters. The earnings call highlights strong performance in prepared food and dispensed beverages, aligning with a 5.6% sales increase. Despite challenges from CEFCO store acquisitions impacting margins, the company maintains a solid balance sheet and liquidity. Fuel segment growth is evident with increased market share, while grocery sales also show resilience, reflecting strategic execution and effective cost management amid rising operating expenses.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Casey's General Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 08, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 15, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call indicates a strong start to the fiscal year with significant growth in EPS, net income, and EBITDA. Same-store sales and market share gains in fuel were notable positives. However, there are challenges related to increased operating expenses and the impact of the CEFCO stores on margins.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Increase in Diluted EPS
Diluted EPS finished at $5.77 per share, a 19% increase from the prior year.
Net Income and EBITDA Growth
The company generated $215 million in net income and $414 million in EBITDA, both of which are an increase of 20% from the prior year.
Same-Store Sales Growth
Inside same-store sales were up 4.3% for the first quarter or 6.7% on a 2-year stack basis.
Fuel Margin and Market Share
Fuel margin was $0.41 per gallon, up $0.03 from the prior year, with same-store gallons sold up 1.7%, indicating market share growth.
Inside Sales and Profit Margin
Total inside sales for the quarter were $1.68 billion, an increase of $210 million or 14.2% from the prior year. Inside gross profit margin was 41.9%, up 20 basis points from a year ago.
Cash Flow and Share Repurchases
The company generated $262 million of free cash flow and repurchased approximately $31 million in shares.
Negative Updates
Impact of CEFCO Stores
Margin was down approximately 30 basis points from the prior year due to the lower margin from the recently acquired CEFCO stores.
Increased Operating Expenses
Total operating expenses were up 14.6% and were $88.7 million for the quarter.
Net Interest Expense Increase
Net interest expense was $26.9 million in the quarter, up $12.8 million versus the prior year, primarily due to the financing associated with the Fikes transaction.
Company Guidance
The guidance provided in the call highlighted Casey's General Stores' strong performance for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, with several key metrics underscoring their success. Diluted EPS increased by 19% to $5.77 per share, while net income rose by 20% to $215 million and EBITDA reached $414 million, also a 20% increase from the prior year. The company experienced same-store sales growth of 4.3% with a margin of 41.9%, driven by a 5.6% increase in prepared food and dispensed beverage sales. Grocery and general merchandise sales were up 3.8%, with a margin increase to 35.9%. In the fuel segment, same-store gallons sold rose by 1.7% with a margin of $0.41 per gallon. Casey's also reported a robust balance sheet with total available liquidity of $1.4 billion and a debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 1.8x. The company noted successful management of operating expenses, which increased by 3% on a same-store basis, excluding credit card fees, and a decrease in same-store labor hours by 1%.

Casey's General Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Casey's General exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue growth, solid profit margins, and effective cash flow management. The company maintains a balanced leverage position, though increasing debt levels warrant attention. Continued focus on sustaining revenue growth and managing debt will be crucial for long-term stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Casey's General has shown consistent revenue growth with a 2.94% increase in the TTM period. The gross profit margin is healthy at 23.54%, and the net profit margin is stable at 3.43%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also solid at 4.99% and 7.53%, respectively, indicating strong operational efficiency. However, the revenue growth rate has slowed compared to previous years, which could be a concern if the trend continues.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.84, suggesting a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is strong at 16.28%, reflecting effective use of shareholder funds. However, the equity ratio is not provided, which limits a full assessment of financial stability. The increase in total debt over the years is a point to monitor for potential risk.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Casey's General has demonstrated robust cash flow management with a 13.95% growth in free cash flow in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, indicating efficient conversion of income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 53.59%, supporting the company's ability to fund operations and growth. However, fluctuations in free cash flow growth in previous years suggest potential volatility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.41B15.94B14.86B15.09B12.95B8.71B
Gross Profit3.80B3.75B3.35B3.07B2.76B2.36B
EBITDA1.27B1.20B1.06B952.46M801.24M719.24M
Net Income581.68M546.52M501.97M446.69M339.79M312.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.37B8.44B6.35B5.94B5.51B4.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments458.07M326.66M206.48M378.87M158.88M336.55M
Total Debt2.89B2.96B1.64B1.67B1.69B1.36B
Total Liabilities4.73B4.93B3.33B3.28B3.26B2.53B
Stockholders Equity3.64B3.51B3.02B2.66B2.24B1.93B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow666.21M584.63M370.95M405.38M462.27M362.84M
Operating Cash Flow1.18B1.09B892.95M881.95M788.74M804.09M
Investing Cash Flow-1.72B-1.73B-825.36M-545.03M-1.16B-444.34M
Financing Cash Flow687.89M755.99M-239.98M-116.93M191.59M-101.48M

Casey's General Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price533.57
Price Trends
50DMA
541.14
Negative
100DMA
527.17
Positive
200DMA
480.86
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-6.60
Positive
RSI
48.30
Neutral
STOCH
70.51
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CASY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 533.57 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 539.03, below the 50-day MA of 541.14, and above the 200-day MA of 480.86, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -6.60 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CASY.

Casey's General Risk Analysis

Casey's General disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Casey's General reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Casey's General Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$19.64B15.2937.37%2.16%2.70%4.58%
71
Outperform
$16.99B22.2926.72%4.80%-2.21%-37.30%
71
Outperform
$28.57B26.0345.46%1.68%4.26%0.73%
70
Outperform
$19.54B33.7517.10%0.41%8.74%13.37%
64
Neutral
$17.39B21.5417.05%3.23%3.26%-25.41%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
58
Neutral
$6.86B15.4368.48%0.50%-6.08%-2.40%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CASY
Casey's General
533.57
122.56
29.82%
BBY
Best Buy Co
79.03
-5.83
-6.87%
DKS
Dick's Sporting Goods
219.11
20.72
10.44%
GPC
Genuine Parts Company
126.66
8.08
6.81%
MUSA
Murphy USA
363.68
-152.69
-29.57%
TSCO
Tractor Supply
54.27
-2.51
-4.42%

Casey's General Corporate Events

Casey’s General Stores: Strong Earnings Amid Challenges
Sep 11, 2025

Casey’s General Stores Reports Strong Start to Fiscal Year Amidst Operational Challenges

Casey’s General Stores Reports Strong First Quarter Growth
Sep 10, 2025

Casey’s General Stores, Inc. is a leading convenience store chain in the United States, known for its extensive network of stores offering a variety of products including groceries, prepared foods, and fuel services.

Financial DisclosuresShareholder Meetings
Casey’s General Reports Strong Q1 Financial Results
Positive
Sep 8, 2025

On September 3, 2025, Casey’s General Stores held its annual shareholders’ meeting where eleven director nominees were elected, and several proposals were voted on, including the ratification of KPMG LLP as the independent accounting firm and the approval of the 2025 Stock Incentive Plan. Additionally, Casey’s announced its financial results for the first quarter ending July 31, 2025, reporting a 19.5% increase in net income to $215.4 million and a 19.8% rise in EBITDA to $414.3 million. The company experienced strong growth in both inside sales and fuel sales, attributed to effective merchandising strategies and an increase in store count, which positively impacted its financial performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (CASY) stock is a Buy with a $555.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Casey’s General stock, see the CASY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025