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Williams-Sonoma (WSM)
NYSE:WSM

Williams-Sonoma (WSM) AI Stock Analysis

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Williams-Sonoma

(NYSE:WSM)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$184.00
▲(13.63%Upside)
Williams-Sonoma is well-positioned within the specialty retail sector, showing strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment. The technical analysis suggests a neutral trend, and the valuation metrics indicate a fair market price. Robust financial health and strategic growth initiatives support a positive outlook, although some caution is warranted due to revenue trends and external cost pressures.
Positive Factors
Market Position
WSM is well positioned in the increasingly 'winner-take-most' market.
Operational Efficiency
WSM is leveraging its strong free cash flow, pristine balance sheet, and prudent cost management to invest in technology and supply chain to widen its advantage.
Sales Performance
Williams-Sonoma reported a sequential improvement in comparable sales with all brands positive and business-to-business sales increasing by 8% year-over-year.
Negative Factors
Gross Margin
The gross margin declined due to lower merchandise margins driven by higher input costs such as increased ocean freight and tariff mitigation expenses.
Merchandise Margin
This merchandise margin erosion will likely overshadow what was a solid overall 1Q performance.
Tariff Uncertainty
The neutral rating is reiterated due to uncertainty in tariff and macroeconomic environments, despite market share gains and strong operating margins.

Williams-Sonoma (WSM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Williams-Sonoma Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWilliams-Sonoma, Inc. operates as an omni-channel specialty retailer of various products for home. It offers cooking, dining, and entertaining products, such as cookware, tools, electrics, cutlery, tabletop and bar, outdoor, furniture, and a library of cookbooks under the Williams Sonoma Home brand, as well as home furnishings and decorative accessories under the Williams Sonoma lifestyle brand; and furniture, bedding, lighting, rugs, table essentials, and decorative accessories under the Pottery Barn brand. The company also provides home decor products under the West Elm brand; kids accessories under the Pottery Barn Kids brand; and an organic bedding to multi-purpose furniture under the Pottery Barn Teen brand. In addition, it offers made-to-order lighting, hardware, furniture, and home decors inspired by history under the Rejuvenation brand; and women's and men's accessories, travel, entertaining and bar, home décor, and seasonal items under the Mark and Graham brand, as well as operates a 3-D imaging and augmented reality platform for the home furnishings and décor industry. The company markets its products through e-commerce websites, direct-mail catalogs, and retail stores. It operates 544 stores comprising 502 stores in 41states, Washington, D.C., and Puerto Rico; 20 stores in Canada; 19 stores in Australia; 3 stores in the United Kingdom; and 139 franchised stores, as well as e-commerce websites in various countries in the Middle East, the Philippines, Mexico, South Korea, and India. Williams-Sonoma, Inc. was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyWilliams-Sonoma, Inc. generates revenue primarily through the sale of its diverse range of home products across its multiple subsidiary brands. The company operates both brick-and-mortar retail locations and a robust e-commerce platform, which together form the backbone of its revenue model. Key revenue streams include direct-to-consumer sales through its online platforms and physical stores, as well as catalog sales. The company leverages its strong brand portfolio to target different segments of the home goods market, from affordable to luxury offerings. Additionally, Williams-Sonoma benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations that enhance its product offerings and expand its market reach. Its in-house design team and global supply chain operations also contribute significantly to maintaining competitive pricing and product availability, bolstering its overall earnings.

Williams-Sonoma Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 22, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.57%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 20, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive sentiment overall, with strong sales growth, effective cost management, and strategic initiatives driving performance across all brands. Despite challenges from increased tariffs and higher input costs, the company's strategic actions and robust financial health position it well for continued growth.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Comparable Sales Growth
Williams-Sonoma reported a positive 3.4% comparable sales growth in Q1 2025, exceeding expectations and outperforming the industry, which contracted by approximately 3%.
Strong Performance Across All Brands
All brands delivered positive comps in the quarter. Pottery Barn, Pottery Barn Kids, West Elm, and Williams-Sonoma showed significant year-over-year growth. Emerging brands like Rejuvenation and Mark and Graham also achieved double-digit growth.
B2B Segment Growth
The B2B segment grew 8% in Q1, marking a record-breaking quarter with significant projects in the hospitality and education sectors.
Supply Chain Efficiencies
Supply chain efficiencies delivered 120 basis points of savings in Q1, contributing to improved customer service and cost savings across manufacturing, warehousing, and delivery.
Strategic Collaborations
The company launched several successful collaborations across brands, driving sales and customer engagement. Notable collaborations included partnerships with designers and celebrities.
AI Integration
Williams-Sonoma is integrating AI across digital platforms, enhancing personalized customer experiences and improving sales performance and cost efficiency.
Strong Financial Health
The company ended the quarter with $1 billion in cash and no outstanding debt, reflecting strong financial health and enabling ongoing investments in growth.
Negative Updates
Merchandise Margin Decline
Merchandise margins declined by 220 basis points due to higher input costs, including increased ocean freight and tariff mitigation expenses.
Tariff Challenges
The company faced challenges from increased tariffs, including a 30% tariff on goods from China and a 10% global reciprocal tariff, impacting costs and requiring strategic mitigations.
Inventory Levels
Inventory levels increased by 10% year-over-year, partly due to strategic pull-forward of receipts to mitigate potential tariff impacts.
Company Guidance
During the Williams-Sonoma, Inc. First Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance for the fiscal year. The company delivered a positive 3.4% comp growth in Q1, with an operating margin of 16.8% and earnings per share of $1.85, representing an 8.8% EPS growth. All brands reported positive comps, with Pottery Barn running a 46.7% comp on a five-year basis, and Williams-Sonoma achieving a 7.3% comp in Q1. The B2B segment grew by 8%, contributing to another record-breaking quarter. The company reiterated its guidance for fiscal 2025, projecting comp brand revenue growth of flat to positive 3% and an operating margin between 17.4% and 17.8%. Williams-Sonoma also outlined a six-point plan to mitigate tariff impacts, which includes efforts like resourcing goods to lower-tariff countries and expanding their made-in-the-USA assortment. Additionally, the company emphasized its focus on growth drivers such as strategic collaborations, emerging brands, and customer service enhancements through AI and supply chain efficiencies.

Williams-Sonoma Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Williams-Sonoma shows strong profitability with high margins and effective cost management. The balance sheet is healthy with moderate leverage, though recent declines in revenue and assets pose potential risks. Overall, the company maintains solid financial health.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Williams-Sonoma has demonstrated strong profitability and revenue stability. The TTM Gross Profit Margin stands at 46.23%, and the Net Profit Margin is 14.35%, indicating efficient cost management and strong bottom-line performance. EBIT and EBITDA Margins are also solid at 18.39% and 20.90% respectively. However, revenue growth has been slightly inconsistent, with a negative trajectory in recent periods compared to the peak in 2023.
Balance Sheet
77
Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with an Equity Ratio of 41.92%, showcasing a strong equity position. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is 0.63, indicating moderate leverage. Return on Equity is impressive at 51.66%, signifying effective use of shareholders' equity to generate profits. However, total assets and stockholders' equity have slightly decreased over time, indicating potential future risks if the trend continues.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Williams-Sonoma exhibits robust cash flow management, with a Free Cash Flow of $1.01 billion in the TTM period. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.12, indicating strong alignment between cash generation and profitability. Although the Free Cash Flow Growth Rate has declined due to previous high levels, the company still maintains a positive cash flow trajectory, providing flexibility for future investments.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.78B7.71B7.75B8.67B8.25B6.78B
Gross Profit3.60B3.58B3.30B3.68B3.63B2.64B
EBITDA1.63B1.66B1.49B1.50B1.65B1.13B
Net Income1.12B1.13B949.76M1.13B1.13B680.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.16B5.30B5.27B4.66B4.63B4.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.05B1.21B1.26B367.34M850.34M1.20B
Total Debt1.37B1.35B1.39B1.44B1.28B1.53B
Total Liabilities3.00B3.16B3.15B2.96B2.96B3.01B
Stockholders Equity2.16B2.14B2.13B1.70B1.66B1.65B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.01B1.14B1.49B698.71M1.14B1.11B
Operating Cash Flow1.25B1.36B1.68B1.05B1.37B1.27B
Investing Cash Flow-239.95M-221.21M-188.26M-353.95M-226.25M-168.88M
Financing Cash Flow-1.22B-1.18B-598.31M-1.18B-1.49B-343.02M

Williams-Sonoma Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price161.93
Price Trends
50DMA
158.33
Positive
100DMA
168.81
Negative
200DMA
166.53
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.53
Negative
RSI
54.32
Neutral
STOCH
68.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WSM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 161.93 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 158.60, above the 50-day MA of 158.33, and below the 200-day MA of 166.53, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.53 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WSM.

Williams-Sonoma Risk Analysis

Williams-Sonoma disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Williams-Sonoma reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Williams-Sonoma Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
DKDKS
78
Outperform
$14.86B12.7440.22%2.61%3.33%15.47%
WSWSM
77
Outperform
$19.54B17.8751.10%1.66%1.64%8.57%
DGDG
77
Outperform
$24.82B21.5115.69%2.09%4.77%-23.73%
BBBBY
71
Outperform
$14.46B16.6230.21%5.59%-3.23%-28.11%
DPDPZ
66
Neutral
$15.52B25.98-14.74%1.53%4.28%13.76%
62
Neutral
$16.34B10.69-6.34%3.17%1.66%-24.46%
58
Neutral
$20.75B19.25%-20.46%-202.26%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WSM
Williams-Sonoma
161.93
22.92
16.49%
BBY
Best Buy Co
68.43
-12.02
-14.94%
DKS
Dick's Sporting Goods
195.88
-14.18
-6.75%
DG
Dollar General
112.63
-17.06
-13.15%
DLTR
Dollar Tree
99.44
-7.33
-6.87%
DPZ
Domino's Pizza
454.72
-53.97
-10.61%

Williams-Sonoma Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Williams-Sonoma Elects Directors at Annual Meeting
Positive
Jun 13, 2025

On June 11, 2025, Williams-Sonoma, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where all director nominees were elected, and proposals regarding executive compensation and the selection of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent accounting firm were approved. These decisions reflect the company’s continued commitment to strong governance and financial transparency, potentially impacting its operational strategies and stakeholder confidence positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (WSM) stock is a Buy with a $170.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Williams-Sonoma stock, see the WSM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 27, 2025