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Williams-Sonoma (WSM)
NYSE:WSM

Williams-Sonoma (WSM) AI Stock Analysis

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WSM

Williams-Sonoma

(NYSE:WSM)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$202.00
▲(8.94% Upside)
Williams-Sonoma's overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment. The company's robust profitability, effective cash management, and strategic AI initiatives are significant strengths. However, technical analysis indicates potential bearish momentum, and tariff challenges pose risks. The valuation is fair, supporting a balanced investment outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Williams-Sonoma's Q3 revenue exceeded expectations, indicating strong demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term growth.
Operating Margin
The expansion of operating margins demonstrates efficient cost management and pricing strategies, enhancing profitability over time.
AI Integration
Successful AI integration improves customer service efficiency and engagement, providing a competitive edge and supporting operational scalability.
Negative Factors
Tariff Challenges
Increased tariffs on key imports could pressure cost structures and margins, posing long-term challenges to profitability and competitiveness.
SG&A Expenses
Rising SG&A expenses may strain profitability if not managed effectively, impacting long-term financial performance and operational efficiency.
Volatile Tariff Environment
Ongoing tariff volatility introduces uncertainty in cost management and pricing strategies, potentially affecting long-term strategic planning.

Williams-Sonoma (WSM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Williams-Sonoma Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWilliams-Sonoma, Inc. operates as an omni-channel specialty retailer of various products for home. It offers cooking, dining, and entertaining products, such as cookware, tools, electrics, cutlery, tabletop and bar, outdoor, furniture, and a library of cookbooks under the Williams Sonoma Home brand, as well as home furnishings and decorative accessories under the Williams Sonoma lifestyle brand; and furniture, bedding, lighting, rugs, table essentials, and decorative accessories under the Pottery Barn brand. The company also provides home decor products under the West Elm brand; kids accessories under the Pottery Barn Kids brand; and an organic bedding to multi-purpose furniture under the Pottery Barn Teen brand. In addition, it offers made-to-order lighting, hardware, furniture, and home decors inspired by history under the Rejuvenation brand; and women's and men's accessories, travel, entertaining and bar, home décor, and seasonal items under the Mark and Graham brand, as well as operates a 3-D imaging and augmented reality platform for the home furnishings and décor industry. The company markets its products through e-commerce websites, direct-mail catalogs, and retail stores. It operates 544 stores comprising 502 stores in 41states, Washington, D.C., and Puerto Rico; 20 stores in Canada; 19 stores in Australia; 3 stores in the United Kingdom; and 139 franchised stores, as well as e-commerce websites in various countries in the Middle East, the Philippines, Mexico, South Korea, and India. Williams-Sonoma, Inc. was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyWilliams-Sonoma generates revenue primarily through the sale of its products across various channels, including retail stores, e-commerce platforms, and catalog sales. The company has a robust online presence, which contributes significantly to its sales, especially in recent years as consumer preferences have shifted towards online shopping. Key revenue streams include direct sales from its branded websites and physical stores, as well as wholesale distribution to third-party retailers. Additionally, the company benefits from substantial customer loyalty programs and membership initiatives that encourage repeat purchases. Strategic partnerships with designers and influencers, as well as collaborations with other brands, enhance its product offerings and market reach, further contributing to its earnings.

Williams-Sonoma Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 19, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a generally positive sentiment with strong sales growth, robust operating margins, and successful AI integration. However, challenges remain with the volatile tariff environment and slightly increased SG&A expenses.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Comparable Sales Growth
Williams-Sonoma, Inc. achieved a positive 4% comp in Q3, with all brands delivering positive comparable sales, driven by strong performance in both furniture and non-furniture categories.
Strong Operating Margin
The company reported an operating margin of 17%, which is a 10 basis point expansion compared to the previous year, despite substantial tariff headwinds.
Earnings Per Share Growth
Earnings per share grew by 5% year over year to $1.96, exceeding expectations.
AI Implementation and Impact
AI-powered chat experiences now resolve over 60% of customer service chats without human assistance, reducing handle times significantly. The launch of Olive, an AI culinary and shopping companion, also enhances customer engagement.
Retail Channel Success
The retail channel experienced an 8.5% comp increase in Q3, benefiting from improved in-store experiences and inventory availability.
Negative Updates
Tariff Impact and Challenges
The company faces challenges with tariffs, including a new tariff on some furniture items and an increase in the incremental tariff rate from 14% to 29%, affecting cost structures.
Higher SG&A Expenses
SG&A expenses were 60 basis points higher year over year, attributed to higher incentive compensation and increased advertising expenses.
Volatility in Tariff Landscape
The tariff environment remains volatile, with uncertainty about future changes and their impact on the company's margins and operations.
Company Guidance
During the Williams-Sonoma, Inc. Third Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided updated guidance reflecting their strong performance and future expectations. They reported a 4% comparable brand revenue growth in Q3, surpassing expectations, with an operating margin of 17% and earnings per share of $1.96, a 5% increase year over year. For fiscal 2025, they reiterated their full-year comparable brand revenue growth projection of 2% to 5% and raised their operating margin guidance to 17.8% to 18.1%. The company highlighted gains in market share and strong performance in the retail channel, with an 8.5% comp in Q3. Additionally, they noted a positive impact from their AI initiatives, which improved customer service and operational efficiencies. Despite facing tariff headwinds, they effectively managed these challenges through a six-point mitigation plan and continued to focus on growth, customer service, and earnings.

Williams-Sonoma Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Williams-Sonoma exhibits strong financial health with robust profitability and revenue growth. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage with high returns on equity, while cash flow statements confirm effective cash generation and management. Overall, the company is well-positioned in the specialty retail industry with a solid financial foundation.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Williams-Sonoma demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin around 45% and a net profit margin of approximately 14% in TTM. The company has shown resilience with a positive revenue growth rate of 1.05% in TTM, recovering from a slight decline in the previous year. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, indicating efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.71 in TTM, indicating moderate leverage. Return on equity is impressive at 51.88%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio remains healthy, suggesting a solid asset base.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals strong free cash flow growth of 7.71% in TTM, indicating effective cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.82, reflecting good cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.90 further underscores the company's ability to generate cash relative to its earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.91B7.71B7.75B8.67B8.25B6.78B
Gross Profit3.61B3.58B3.30B3.68B3.63B2.64B
EBITDA1.62B1.66B1.48B1.71B1.65B1.10B
Net Income1.11B1.13B949.76M1.13B1.13B680.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.31B5.30B5.27B4.66B4.63B4.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments884.66M1.21B1.26B367.34M850.34M1.20B
Total Debt1.47B1.35B1.39B1.44B1.28B1.53B
Total Liabilities3.24B3.16B3.15B2.96B2.96B3.01B
Stockholders Equity2.07B2.14B2.13B1.70B1.66B1.65B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.11B1.14B1.49B698.71M1.14B1.11B
Operating Cash Flow1.35B1.36B1.68B1.05B1.37B1.27B
Investing Cash Flow-246.89M-221.21M-188.26M-353.95M-226.25M-168.88M
Financing Cash Flow-1.05B-1.18B-598.31M-1.18B-1.49B-343.02M

Williams-Sonoma Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price185.43
Price Trends
50DMA
186.78
Negative
100DMA
191.93
Negative
200DMA
176.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.44
Negative
RSI
52.07
Neutral
STOCH
75.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WSM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 185.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 180.29, below the 50-day MA of 186.78, and above the 200-day MA of 176.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for WSM.

Williams-Sonoma Risk Analysis

Williams-Sonoma disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Williams-Sonoma reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Williams-Sonoma Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$22.39B20.6256.92%1.38%5.10%7.59%
62
Neutral
$15.39B24.2522.49%5.17%-0.95%-48.28%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
57
Neutral
$5.32B37.141.98%-20.98%
53
Neutral
$4.10B6.164.07%-1.04%-20.88%
52
Neutral
$12.68B-38.523.35%42.99%
47
Neutral
$3.04B29.509.74%55.13%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WSM
Williams-Sonoma
185.51
-9.73
-4.98%
BBY
Best Buy Co
72.89
-11.22
-13.34%
BBWI
Bath & Body Works
19.64
-17.81
-47.56%
RH
RH
163.67
-248.05
-60.25%
W
Wayfair
100.08
49.66
98.49%
ETSY
Etsy
53.75
-7.22
-11.84%

Williams-Sonoma Corporate Events

Williams-Sonoma Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 20, 2025

Williams-Sonoma, Inc. is a leading digital-first, design-led, and sustainable home retailer, operating a diverse portfolio of brands including Pottery Barn, West Elm, and Williams Sonoma, among others, across multiple countries. The company recently reported strong third-quarter results for 2025, showcasing a 4.0% increase in comparable brand revenue and an operating margin of 17.0%, alongside a diluted earnings per share of $1.96. Additionally, Williams-Sonoma announced a new $1 billion stock repurchase authorization and raised its operating margin outlook for the year.

Williams-Sonoma’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Nov 20, 2025

Williams-Sonoma’s recent earnings call conveyed a generally positive sentiment, highlighting strong sales growth and robust operating margins. The company has successfully integrated AI into its operations, enhancing customer service. However, challenges persist, particularly with the volatile tariff environment and slightly increased SG&A expenses.

Williams-Sonoma’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

The recent earnings call of Williams-Sonoma painted a picture of robust sales growth and profitability, buoyed by positive comparable sales across all brands, effective cost management, and strategic innovations like AI integration. Despite these achievements, the company faces significant challenges due to increased tariffs and macroeconomic uncertainties, which are impacting their ability to improve operating margins.

Williams-Sonoma Reports Strong Q2 2025 Performance
Aug 28, 2025

Williams-Sonoma, Inc. is a leading digital-first, design-led, and sustainable home retailer, known for its diverse portfolio of brands including Pottery Barn, West Elm, and Williams Sonoma, operating across various international markets.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 26, 2025