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Rh (RH)
NYSE:RH
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RH (RH) AI Stock Analysis

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RH

RH

(NYSE:RH)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$161.00
▲(14.15% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/12/26
The score is held back primarily by weak recent financial performance and a highly leveraged balance sheet with a thin equity cushion, partially offset by improved recent cash generation. Offsetting positives include constructive technical momentum and an earnings call that featured a beat and raised FY26 guidance, though near-term margin headwinds and execution/macro risks remain. Valuation appears demanding (P/E ~29) given the recent downturn.
Positive Factors
Exclusive assortment & intellectual property
RH's protected product designs, targeted acquisitions (Dmitriy & Co., Joseph Jeup) and exclusive sourcing create a durable product differentiation. This structural moat supports pricing power, higher average order values and repeat luxury demand over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Extremely high leverage and thin equity
The very high leverage and historically negative equity materially constrain financial flexibility. This structural capital structure risk elevates refinancing and covenant exposure and forces reliance on asset sales and operating gains to repair the balance sheet over multiple years.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Exclusive assortment & intellectual property
RH's protected product designs, targeted acquisitions (Dmitriy & Co., Joseph Jeup) and exclusive sourcing create a durable product differentiation. This structural moat supports pricing power, higher average order values and repeat luxury demand over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

RH Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Store Count
Store Count
Indicates the total number of retail locations, providing insight into the company’s market presence and expansion strategy.
Chart InsightsRH has shifted from a steady small-footprint to a clear expansion phase, adding larger-format galleries and hospitality venues to drive experiential, higher‑margin revenue tied to the RH Estates rollout. Rising store counts validate management’s growth blueprint but explain peak 2025 capex and the conservative 2026 outlook; the thesis depends on execution, same‑store economics and planned real‑estate monetization. Investors should reward progress if FCF and margins continue improving, but monitor rollout timing, tariff/supply disruptions and asset‑sale execution.
Data provided by:The Fly

RH (RH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

RH Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
RH, along with its various associated businesses, functions as a prominent retailer specializing in home furnishings. Its extensive product portfolio spans categories such as furniture, lighting, textiles, bathware, decor, outdoor and garden essen...
How the Company Makes Money
RH primarily makes money by selling luxury home furnishings and related products directly to consumers. Its core revenue stream is product sales across major categories such as furniture, lighting, textiles, rugs, bath, décor, and outdoor furnishi...

RH Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 11, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call mixed a clear operating beat and an upgraded FY26 outlook with an ambitious strategic push (RH Estates and major European galleries) and a concrete plan to convert backorders and drive H2 acceleration. However, material near-term margin headwinds from international preopening/start-up costs (hundreds of basis points), elevated backorders (~$75M), post‑COVID capital cost inflation, and macro weakness temper the optimism. Management emphasized long-term upside (IP, unique product assortment, trade program, and deleveraging actions) while acknowledging short-term execution and cost pressures.
Positive Updates
Q1 Revenue and EBITDA Beat
Reported first quarter revenue of $800.3 million and adjusted EBITDA margin of 7.1%, both exceeding the high end of company expectations.
Negative Updates
Elevated Backorders and Tariff-Related Supply Issues
Backorder and special order balances were approximately $75 million higher year-over-year (about 4.5% of revenue), driven primarily by tariff-related resourcing and logistics; management confirmed forward guidance does not assume additional tariff refunds.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Q1 Revenue and EBITDA Beat
Reported first quarter revenue of $800.3 million and adjusted EBITDA margin of 7.1%, both exceeding the high end of company expectations.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
RH reported Q1 FY26 revenue of $800.3 million and adjusted EBITDA margin of 7.1% (above the high end of expectations) and raised its FY26 outlook to revenue growth of +4.5%–8%, adjusted EBITDA margin of 14.2%–16% and adjusted free cash flow of $300–$400 million (the full‑year outlook includes an estimated -270 basis‑point EBITDA drag from international pre‑opening/start‑up costs). Q2 guidance is revenue growth of +0.5%–2.5% and adjusted EBITDA margin of 11.5%–13% (including an approximate -380 bps pre‑opening/start‑up impact). Management noted backorder/special‑order balances are roughly $75 million higher year over year, expects a 4.5‑percentage‑point H2 benefit from backlog reduction plus 2.5 ppts from new‑store growth and 5 ppts from RH Estates (supporting a move from roughly flat H1 to +12% in H2), guidance does not assume any further tariff refunds, and the company targets ~$200–$250 million of asset sales per year and a goal of being debt‑free by 2029.

RH Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating performance has deteriorated materially (TTM revenue about -39.6% and net margin ~3% vs. prior double-digit levels). While gross margin remains relatively solid and TTM net income is still positive, the balance sheet is a major constraint with extremely high debt-to-equity and a thin equity cushion. Cash flow is a partial offset with positive TTM operating cash flow (~$410M) and free cash flow (~$221M), but volatility and declining TTM FCF growth keep risk elevated.
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownTTMJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.43B3.44B3.18B3.03B3.59B3.76B
Gross Profit1.49B1.52B1.41B1.39B1.81B1.86B
EBITDA519.86M540.82M453.28M523.59M774.84M1.07B
Net Income103.05M124.79M72.41M127.56M528.64M688.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.95B4.84B4.55B4.14B5.31B5.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments53.80M41.19M30.41M123.69M1.51B2.18B
Total Debt3.85B3.97B3.94B3.72B3.75B3.43B
Total Liabilities4.89B4.78B4.72B4.44B4.52B4.37B
Stockholders Equity56.93M60.60M-163.59M-297.39M784.66M1.17B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow220.92M252.40M-213.69M-67.14M230.04M476.73M
Operating Cash Flow410.19M452.24M17.09M202.21M403.69M662.11M
Investing Cash Flow-209.96M-223.69M-240.41M-307.43M-171.07M-194.35M
Financing Cash Flow-192.98M-219.40M130.59M-1.28B-902.48M1.61B

RH Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price141.04
Price Trends
50DMA
136.49
Positive
100DMA
152.48
Negative
200DMA
170.69
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
4.35
Positive
RSI
52.69
Neutral
STOCH
36.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RH, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 141.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 146.06, above the 50-day MA of 136.49, and below the 200-day MA of 170.69, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 4.35 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for RH.

RH Risk Analysis

RH disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. RH reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

RH Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$26.29B24.7153.29%1.37%1.30%1.14%
67
Neutral
$6.85B24.79-25.47%1.78%75.71%
65
Neutral
$3.05B8.2918.07%1.04%3.77%4.71%
63
Neutral
$3.92B5.85-52.38%4.16%-1.40%-4.34%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
52
Neutral
$2.80B26.87-569.01%4.84%21.25%
52
Neutral
$10.95B-35.7210.98%6.80%18.24%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RH
RH
146.91
-35.78
-19.59%
BBWI
Bath & Body Works
21.07
-5.02
-19.24%
WSM
Williams-Sonoma
227.18
72.52
46.89%
W
Wayfair
83.16
34.87
72.21%
ETSY
Etsy
73.34
18.81
34.49%
ASO
Academy Sports and Outdoors
49.34
4.92
11.09%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 12, 2026