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RH (RH)
NYSE:RH

RH (RH) AI Stock Analysis

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RH

RH

(NYSE:RH)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$201.00
▲(1.09% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial quality—sharp profitability compression, cash flow deterioration, and very high leverage. This is partially offset by strong technical momentum and a generally upbeat earnings outlook and guidance, but valuation remains expensive and tariff/margin and debt risks are material.
Positive Factors
Multi-channel premium retail model
RH's integrated showroom, e-commerce and membership model creates durable customer engagement and higher average transaction values. The gallery-style showrooms plus digital channels deepen brand loyalty and recurring spend, supporting stable revenue streams and resilience across cycles.
Stable gross margin
A consistent ~44.5% gross margin indicates enduring product pricing power and cost structure control in the luxury furnishings segment. This structural margin buffer helps absorb operating cost shocks and supports long-term profitability despite periodic tariff or SG&A fluctuations.
Sustained revenue and market share gains
Double-digit two-year growth and sizable market share gains show the brand is expanding within the premium home market. Such durable top-line momentum and share capture suggest the company can convert brand strength into sustained sales growth and scale benefits over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Extremely high financial leverage
Very high leverage materially reduces financial flexibility, raises refinancing and interest risk, and limits capacity to invest or withstand demand downturns. Over a multi-month horizon, elevated debt amplifies downside from slower cash generation or rising rates, constraining strategy.
Severe free cash flow deterioration
A dramatic drop in free cash flow undermines the company's ability to deleverage, fund expansion, or absorb shocks without external financing. Persistently weak cash conversion erodes strategic optionality and increases reliance on debt markets, heightening medium-term solvency risk.
Tariff-driven supply chain and margin risk
Ongoing tariff volatility creates structural cost and timing uncertainty, increasing input costs and causing delays. Such persistent trade-policy risk compresses operating margins, complicates sourcing strategies and inventory planning, and can erode competitive advantage over time.

RH (RH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

RH Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRH, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a retailer in the home furnishings. It offers products in various categories, including furniture, lighting, textiles, bathware, decor, outdoor and garden, and child and teen furnishings. The company provides its products through its retail galleries; and Source Books, a series of catalogs, as well as online through rh.com, rhbabyandchild.com, rhteen.com, and rhmodern.com, as well as waterworks.com. As of January 29, 2022, it operated a total of 67 RH Galleries and 38 RH outlet stores in 30 states in the District of Columbia and Canada, as well as 14 Waterworks showrooms throughout the United States and the United Kingdom. The company was formerly known as Restoration Hardware Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to RH in January 2017. RH was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Corte Madera, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyRH generates revenue primarily through the sale of its home furnishings and decor products. The company operates a multi-channel retail model, which includes a combination of physical showrooms, an e-commerce platform, and a catalog business. Key revenue streams include direct sales from showrooms, online sales, and membership-based services such as the RH Members program, which offers exclusive access to products and events. Additionally, RH has partnered with various brands and designers to expand its product offerings and enhance its market presence, contributing to its overall earnings. The company also benefits from a strong brand reputation and customer loyalty, which drive repeat business and higher average transaction values.

RH Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Store Count
Store Count
Indicates the total number of retail locations, providing insight into the company’s market presence and expansion strategy.
Chart InsightsRH's store count has shown a modest increase, reflecting strategic global expansion efforts, notably in Europe. The recent opening of RH Paris has exceeded expectations, contributing to this growth. However, the company faces challenges from tariff uncertainties, which have led to delays in product launches and revised fiscal guidance. Despite these hurdles, RH's international expansion and strong demand growth suggest a positive long-term trajectory, with a projected revenue increase of 9% to 11% for fiscal 2025.
Data provided by:The Fly

RH Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 11, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a robust growth trajectory with strong revenue and market share gains, despite significant challenges from tariffs and operational costs impacting margins. The company remains optimistic about its strategic investments, particularly in international markets, but faces difficulties from a high debt load and unpredictable tariff impacts.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Revenue increased by 9% in the third quarter and up 18% on a two-year basis, demonstrating strong brand performance despite challenging market conditions.
Free Cash Flow
Generated $83 million of free cash flow in Q3, with year-to-date free cash flow reaching $198 million, on track for a range of $250 to $300 million for the year.
Market Share Gains
Significant market share gains on a two-year basis, ranging from a low of 12 points to a high of 28 points, primarily from high-end design showrooms and national brands.
International Expansion
Opened RH Paris, described as one of the most beautiful retail experiences, and preparing for RH Milan and RH London openings.
Negative Updates
Operating Margin Impact
Adjusted operating margin of 11.6% was below guidance due to higher than forecasted tariff expenses.
Tariff Challenges
Tariffs have disrupted supply chains, caused product delays, and increased prices, with 16 different tariff announcements over the past ten months.
High Debt Levels
Net debt at the end of the quarter was $2.427 billion, posing a potential risk to financial stability in uncertain markets.
Company Guidance
In the RH Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported a 9% increase in revenue for the third quarter, with a two-year growth rate of 18%, despite challenges in the housing market and tariff impacts. The adjusted operating margin was 11.6%, slightly below the 12.5% midpoint of guidance due to higher tariff expenses. Adjusted EBITDA margin stood at 17.6%, and free cash flow for Q3 was $83 million, contributing to a year-to-date free cash flow of $198 million. The company aims to achieve a full-year free cash flow between $250 million and $300 million. Additionally, RH reduced its inventory by 11% compared to the previous year and decreased net debt by $85 million from the second quarter, ending Q3 with net debt of $2.427 billion. The company projects fourth-quarter revenue growth of 7% to 8%, with an adjusted operating margin of 12.5% to 13.5% and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 18.7% to 19.6%. For the fiscal year 2025, RH expects revenue growth of 9% to 9.2%, an adjusted operating margin of 11.6% to 11.9%, and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 17.6% to 18%.

RH Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability has deteriorated (net margin 3.22% TTM vs. 14.72% in 2023) and free cash flow growth is sharply negative (-351.69% TTM). Balance sheet risk is elevated with extremely high leverage (debt-to-equity 412.42 TTM) and negative ROE (-1.41% TTM), despite stable gross margin (~44.5%).
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a modest revenue growth rate of 2.16% TTM, but a declining trend in profitability with a net profit margin of 3.22% TTM, down from 14.72% in 2023. Gross profit margin remains stable at around 44.5%, indicating consistent cost management. However, the declining EBIT and EBITDA margins suggest pressure on operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant financial leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 412.42 TTM, indicating high reliance on debt financing. The negative return on equity of -1.41% TTM highlights challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is low, reflecting potential financial instability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows a concerning decline in free cash flow growth at -351.69% TTM, indicating cash generation issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.36 TTM suggests moderate cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.38 TTM indicates limited cash available after capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.41B3.18B3.03B3.59B3.76B2.85B
Gross Profit1.52B1.41B1.39B1.81B1.86B1.33B
EBITDA507.43M453.28M523.59M774.84M1.07B612.12M
Net Income109.93M72.41M127.56M528.64M688.55M271.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.79B4.55B4.14B5.31B5.54B2.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments43.09M30.41M123.69M1.51B2.18B100.45M
Total Debt3.97B3.94B3.72B3.75B3.43B1.62B
Total Liabilities4.79B4.72B4.44B4.52B4.37B2.45B
Stockholders Equity3.35M-163.59M-297.39M784.66M1.17B447.03M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow128.12M-213.69M-67.14M230.04M476.73M389.64M
Operating Cash Flow337.40M17.09M202.21M403.69M662.11M500.77M
Investing Cash Flow-232.95M-240.41M-307.43M-171.07M-194.35M-197.60M
Financing Cash Flow-148.82M130.59M-1.28B-902.48M1.61B-243.91M

RH Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price198.83
Price Trends
50DMA
184.33
Positive
100DMA
187.58
Positive
200DMA
194.37
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
6.29
Positive
RSI
45.70
Neutral
STOCH
8.74
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RH, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 198.83 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 215.02, above the 50-day MA of 184.33, and above the 200-day MA of 194.37, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 6.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.74 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for RH.

RH Risk Analysis

RH disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. RH reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

RH Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$24.43B22.5056.92%1.37%5.10%7.59%
67
Neutral
$3.67B10.0518.34%1.04%-0.65%-10.35%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
58
Neutral
$13.49B3.35%42.99%
57
Neutral
$5.23B37.021.98%-20.98%
53
Neutral
$4.46B6.704.16%-1.04%-20.88%
52
Neutral
$3.73B35.849.74%55.13%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RH
RH
198.83
-196.31
-49.68%
BBWI
Bath & Body Works
21.80
-15.00
-40.76%
WSM
Williams-Sonoma
204.65
3.29
1.63%
W
Wayfair
103.49
57.57
125.37%
ETSY
Etsy
52.96
-1.85
-3.38%
ASO
Academy Sports and Outdoors
55.01
4.62
9.17%

RH Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
RH Announces Leadership Transition in Gallery Operations
Neutral
Jan 26, 2026

On January 20, 2026, RH announced that it had reached a mutual understanding with Chief Gallery & Customer Officer Stefan Duban for his departure from the company, effective January 26, 2026, under the terms of his existing employment arrangements. The company reassigned his responsibilities to other senior leaders immediately, signaling a continuity-focused leadership transition in its gallery operations and customer strategy without indicating broader structural changes.

The most recent analyst rating on (RH) stock is a Buy with a $265.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on RH stock, see the RH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 18, 2026