tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Five Below Inc (FIVE)
NASDAQ:FIVE

Five Below (FIVE) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,758 Followers

Top Page

FIVE

Five Below

(NASDAQ:FIVE)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$221.00
▲(12.36% Upside)
The score is driven by strong earnings momentum and upbeat guidance, supported by solid financial performance and a strong uptrend in the chart. These positives are tempered by a premium valuation and signs of stretched technical momentum, plus some cash-flow and leverage watch items.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand and effective sales strategies, enhancing Five Below's market position and long-term viability.
Store Expansion
Continued store expansion strengthens Five Below's physical presence and customer reach, supporting sustained revenue growth and market penetration.
Executive Appointments
New leadership in key roles is expected to bolster strategic direction and operational efficiency, enhancing Five Below's competitive edge and growth potential.
Negative Factors
Rising Debt Levels
Increasing debt levels could strain financial flexibility and cash flow, posing risks to long-term stability if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow Challenges
Declining free cash flow may hinder Five Below's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt, impacting future financial health.
Tariff Headwinds
Tariff challenges can erode profit margins, affecting Five Below's cost structure and competitiveness in the discount retail market.

Five Below (FIVE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Five Below Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFive Below, Inc. operates as a specialty value retailer in the United States. The company offers range of accessories, which includes novelty socks, sunglasses, jewelry, scarves, gloves, hair accessories, athletic tops and bottoms, and t-shirts, as well as nail polish, lip gloss, fragrance, and branded cosmetics; and personalized living space products, such as lamps, posters, frames, fleece blankets, plush items, pillows, candles, incense, lighting, novelty décor, accent furniture, and related items, as well as provides storage options. It provides assortment of sports balls, team sports merchandise, and fitness accessories comprising hand weights, jump ropes, and gym balls; various games, such as board games, puzzles, collectibles, and toys, including remote control; and summer season sports, which includes pool, beach, and outdoor toys, as well as games and accessories. In addition, the company offers accessories for cell phones, tablets, audio, and computers, as well as cases, chargers, headphones, and other related items; and media products including books, video games, and DVDs. It also provides assortment of craft activity kits, and arts and crafts supplies, such as crayons, markers, and stickers; and school products comprising backpacks, fashion notebooks and journals, novelty pens and pencils, and locker accessories. Further, the company offers party products, which includes party goods, decorations, gag gifts, and greeting cards, as well as every day and special occasion merchandise; assortment of classic and novelty candy bars, movie-size box candy, seasonal-related candy, and gum and snack food products, as well as sells chilled drinks through coolers; and provides seasonally specific items used to celebrate and decorate for events. The company was formerly known as Cheap Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Five Below, Inc. in August 2002. Five Below, Inc. was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyFive Below generates revenue primarily through the sale of its wide range of products, all priced at $5 or below. The company's revenue model is based on high-volume sales of affordable merchandise, which allows it to attract cost-conscious consumers. Key revenue streams include in-store sales, e-commerce transactions, and seasonal promotions that drive traffic to both physical and online stores. Additionally, Five Below benefits from strategic partnerships with various suppliers and brands to offer exclusive merchandise that resonates with its target audience. The company also leverages its ability to quickly adapt to changing trends, which helps maintain customer interest and drive repeat business.

Five Below Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Five Below's earnings call highlighted significant sales and earnings growth, successful store expansion, and improved inventory management, indicating strong operational performance. Although challenges like shrink and tariff headwinds persist, the overall positive customer reception and strategic marketing efforts contribute to a strong outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Sales and Growth
In Q3, Five Below delivered its second consecutive quarter of over $1 billion in sales and double-digit comparable sales growth. Net sales grew 23% with comparable sales growth of over 14%, driven equally by transactions and ticket.
Significant Earnings Growth
With disciplined expense management, adjusted diluted earnings per share grew 62% over last year to $0.68.
Successful Store Expansion
Store growth continued to be strong at 9% over last year with 49 net new stores opened. The company ended the quarter with over 1,900 stores, including record-setting grand openings in the Pacific Northwest.
Improved Inventory Management
Operational execution improved with better inventory flow and in-stock positions. The inventory was approximately $1.1 billion, with average inventory per store increasing nearly 25%.
Positive Customer Reception
The company's focus on a customer-centric strategy showed results, with broad-based growth across merchandising departments and increased traffic driven by effective marketing strategies.
Negative Updates
Shrink Challenges
While there was some improvement in shrink results, this remains a focus area for the company, reflecting the ongoing challenges in mitigating shrink entirely.
Tariff Headwinds
The company faced headwinds from unmitigated tariffs impacting adjusted gross margins, although these were slightly less than initially projected.
Selective Departmental Declines
A few departments intentionally comped negative due to downtrending consumer interest and tariff impacts.
Company Guidance
During the Five Below Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported outstanding results, surpassing their expectations with over $1 billion in sales and a 23% net sales growth. Comparable sales increased by more than 14%, fueled by both transaction and ticket gains. The disciplined expense management led to a 62% increase in adjusted diluted earnings per share, reaching $0.68. Store growth was robust, with a 9% increase over the previous year, adding 49 net new stores and ending the quarter with over 1,900 locations. The company's strategic initiatives, including a customer-centric approach and the effective use of social media marketing, contributed to the impressive performance. Looking ahead, Five Below raised its outlook for the fourth quarter, expecting total sales between $1.58 to $1.61 billion and a 6-8% increase in comparable sales. For the full year, sales are projected to be in the range of $4.62 to $4.65 billion, with a 9.4% to 10.1% rise in comparable sales.

Five Below Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Five Below demonstrates solid financial health with consistent revenue growth and strong cash flow generation. While profitability margins have slightly declined, they remain healthy. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage, which should be monitored to ensure financial stability. Overall, the company is well-positioned in the specialty retail industry, with a strong cash flow foundation and effective equity utilization.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Five Below has shown consistent revenue growth with a TTM growth rate of 4.88% and a strong historical trend. The gross profit margin is stable at around 34%, and the net profit margin is healthy at 6.45%. However, there is a slight decline in margins compared to previous years, indicating potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is slightly above 1, indicating moderate leverage. Return on equity is solid at 15.19%, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a balanced asset structure, but the rising debt levels could pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Five Below's cash flow is strong, with a significant 30.48% growth in free cash flow in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating good cash generation relative to profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also robust, suggesting efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.43B3.88B3.56B3.08B2.85B1.96B
Gross Profit1.48B1.35B1.27B1.10B1.03B652.33M
EBITDA593.28M491.26M516.32M450.66M464.71M224.15M
Net Income307.87M253.61M301.11M261.53M278.81M123.36M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.79B4.34B3.87B3.32B2.88B2.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments524.50M528.79M460.09M399.17M342.11M409.71M
Total Debt2.01B1.98B1.74B1.50B1.30B1.11B
Total Liabilities2.84B2.53B2.29B1.96B1.76B1.43B
Stockholders Equity1.95B1.81B1.58B1.36B1.12B881.89M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow322.97M106.65M164.57M62.97M39.74M165.78M
Operating Cash Flow509.07M430.65M499.62M314.93M327.91M365.97M
Investing Cash Flow-323.93M-232.94M-556.34M-3.94M-465.60M-286.89M
Financing Cash Flow-3.85M-45.74M-95.86M-43.63M-66.13M-12.78M

Five Below Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price196.69
Price Trends
50DMA
174.58
Positive
100DMA
163.33
Positive
200DMA
138.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
6.78
Positive
RSI
61.00
Neutral
STOCH
46.30
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FIVE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 196.69 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 193.32, above the 50-day MA of 174.58, and above the 200-day MA of 138.02, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 6.78 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 61.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FIVE.

Five Below Risk Analysis

Five Below disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Five Below reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Five Below Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$2.21B39.4412.19%9.24%35.68%
73
Outperform
$10.92B35.3217.27%15.78%14.99%
72
Outperform
$6.13B20.2720.83%3.10%13.37%-19.37%
62
Neutral
$9.57B25.678.35%-12.13%426.82%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
54
Neutral
$710.81M-17.92-35.37%-4.90%50.77%
53
Neutral
$4.79B7.194.16%-1.04%-20.88%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FIVE
Five Below
196.69
100.83
105.18%
GME
GameStop
21.10
-6.37
-23.19%
BBWI
Bath & Body Works
23.27
-12.84
-35.56%
RVLV
Revolve Group
30.37
-0.63
-2.03%
MNSO
MINISO Group Holding
19.29
-3.88
-16.75%
TDUP
thredUP
5.58
3.32
146.90%

Five Below Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Five Below lifts 2025 outlook after strong holiday sales
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

On January 12, 2026, Five Below reported strong holiday trading, with net sales for the nine-week period from November 2, 2025 through January 3, 2026 rising 23.2% to $1.47 billion and comparable sales up 14.5% versus the prior-year holiday stretch. Buoyed by the broad-based performance, the company raised its fiscal 2025 guidance, now projecting fourth-quarter net sales of about $1.71 billion with comparable sales growth of roughly 14.5%, and full-year net sales of approximately $4.75 billion with comparable sales up about 12.5%, alongside higher expected diluted and adjusted diluted earnings per share, underscoring continued momentum in its strategy and a stronger earnings outlook for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (FIVE) stock is a Buy with a $223.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Five Below stock, see the FIVE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026