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Five Below (FIVE)
NASDAQ:FIVE
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Five Below (FIVE) AI Stock Analysis

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FIVE

Five Below

(NASDAQ:FIVE)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$170.00
▲(10.82% Upside)
Five Below's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights, highlighting record sales and strategic growth initiatives. Technical indicators show bullish momentum, although valuation concerns due to a high P/E ratio and no dividend yield slightly temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
FIVE reported 2Q25 adjusted EPS of $0.81, above the consensus estimates, indicating strong financial performance.
Guidance and Forecasts
Management raised their FY25 guidance, incorporating the first half beat and expecting continued acceleration in the second half.
Sales Growth
Sales increased by 23.7% to $1026.8 million, showcasing the company's robust growth.
Negative Factors
Earnings Growth
Below-average EPS growth in '26e would slow the stock's ascent.
Profitability Challenges
Five Below Inc faces margin headwinds due to labor investment and executive compensation, which may constrain profitability.
Tariff Impact
Tariff headwinds will weigh on profitability over the coming months and into '26e.

Five Below (FIVE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Five Below Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFive Below, Inc. is a leading retail chain in the United States that specializes in selling a wide variety of products for teenagers and pre-teens, all priced at $5 or below. The company operates in the discount retail sector, offering an extensive range of merchandise including toys, games, electronics, fashion accessories, beauty products, and seasonal items. With a focus on fun and trendy products, Five Below aims to create an engaging shopping experience for its target demographic, which primarily includes young consumers looking for affordable goods.
How the Company Makes MoneyFive Below generates revenue primarily through the sale of its merchandise, which is sourced from various suppliers and manufacturers. The company's pricing strategy allows it to attract budget-conscious consumers, with all items priced at $5 or below. Key revenue streams include in-store sales and online sales through its e-commerce platform. Additionally, Five Below benefits from seasonal promotions and exclusive product launches that drive traffic to its stores and website. The company has also expanded its offerings to include a selection of merchandise in the $1 to $5 range, which has helped to enhance its product mix and appeal. Strategic partnerships with popular brands and franchises, as well as the development of private label products, further contribute to its earnings by creating unique offerings that differentiate it from competitors.

Five Below Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 27, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 26, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook for Five Below, driven by record sales, strong comparable sales growth, and effective cost management. However, ongoing tariff-related challenges and SG&A pressures remain concerns. The company is leveraging its brand strength and customer-centric strategies to sustain growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Sales Achieved
Five Below achieved its first $1 billion sales quarter outside of Q4, demonstrating strong customer recognition and brand positioning as a destination for value-oriented shopping.
Significant Sales and EPS Growth
Total sales grew by nearly 24% to $1.027 billion with comparable sales increasing by 12.4%. Adjusted EPS increased by 50% to $0.81, driven by strong fixed cost leverage and disciplined expense management.
Successful Store Expansion
32 net new stores were opened across 21 states, contributing to an 11.5% increase in the store base compared to the second quarter last year.
Improved Gross Margin
Adjusted gross profit increased by 26% over the previous year, with adjusted gross margin increasing by approximately 70 basis points to 33.4% due to fixed cost leverage.
Positive Customer and Transaction Trends
Comparable transactions increased by 8.7%, indicating strong customer engagement and the success of new pricing and marketing strategies.
Negative Updates
Tariff Challenges Impacting Margins
Tariffs continue to affect gross margins, with an expected 160 basis points of unmitigated tariff-related costs projected for the third quarter.
Reduced New Store Openings
The number of new store openings decreased to 32 from 62 in the second quarter of the previous year, highlighting a slower pace of expansion.
SG&A Pressures
Despite leveraging fixed costs, SG&A expenses are expected to rise due to higher incentive compensation and investments in store labor, impacting operating margins in the upcoming quarters.
Company Guidance
During the Five Below Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call held on August 27, CEO Winnie Park and COO Ken Bull announced several key performance metrics and provided guidance for the upcoming quarters. The company achieved a milestone with its first $1 billion sales quarter outside of Q4, marking a 23.7% year-over-year increase in total sales. Comparable sales rose by 12.4%, driven by an 8.7% increase in transactions and a 3.4% increase in ticket size. The adjusted EPS surged by 50% to $0.81. Five Below opened 32 net new stores, bringing the total to 1,858, and plans to open approximately 50 more in Q3. For Q3, the company expects sales between $950 million and $970 million, with a comparable sales increase of 5-7%. Adjusted operating margin is anticipated to decline to 1% due to tariff-related costs and higher incentive compensation. For the full year, sales are projected between $4.44 billion and $4.52 billion, with an operating margin of approximately 7.9%. The company highlighted its strategic focus on product assortment, pricing simplification, and marketing initiatives, anticipating strong performance heading into the holiday season.

Five Below Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Five Below demonstrates solid financial health with consistent revenue growth and strong cash flow generation. While profitability margins have slightly declined, they remain healthy. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage, which should be monitored to ensure financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Five Below has shown consistent revenue growth with a TTM growth rate of 4.88% and a strong historical trend. The gross profit margin is stable at around 34%, and the net profit margin is healthy at 6.45%. However, there is a slight decline in margins compared to previous years, indicating potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is slightly above 1, indicating moderate leverage. Return on equity is solid at 15.19%, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a balanced asset structure, but the rising debt levels could pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Five Below's cash flow is strong, with a significant 30.48% growth in free cash flow in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating good cash generation relative to profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also robust, suggesting efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.23B3.88B3.56B3.08B2.85B1.96B
Gross Profit1.44B1.35B1.27B1.10B1.03B652.33M
EBITDA537.96M491.26M516.32M450.66M464.71M224.15M
Net Income273.05M253.61M301.11M261.53M278.81M123.36M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.61B4.34B3.87B3.32B2.88B2.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments670.16M528.79M460.09M399.17M342.11M409.71M
Total Debt2.02B1.98B1.74B1.50B1.30B1.11B
Total Liabilities2.70B2.53B2.29B1.96B1.76B1.43B
Stockholders Equity1.91B1.81B1.58B1.36B1.12B881.89M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow345.16M106.65M164.57M62.97M39.74M165.78M
Operating Cash Flow558.61M430.65M499.62M314.93M327.91M365.97M
Investing Cash Flow-202.19M-232.94M-556.34M-3.94M-465.60M-286.89M
Financing Cash Flow-2.72M-45.74M-95.86M-43.63M-66.13M-12.78M

Five Below Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price153.40
Price Trends
50DMA
137.80
Positive
100DMA
119.62
Positive
200DMA
104.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.43
Negative
RSI
68.13
Neutral
STOCH
85.77
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FIVE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 153.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 142.32, above the 50-day MA of 137.80, and above the 200-day MA of 104.69, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.43 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.77 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FIVE.

Five Below Risk Analysis

Five Below disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Five Below reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Five Below Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$804.67M13.6542.13%1.30%8.10%25.56%
77
Outperform
$8.43B30.9115.54%13.88%-2.64%
72
Outperform
$1.40B7.8228.94%-0.38%35.78%
72
Outperform
$3.33B9.3218.42%0.94%-2.20%-17.95%
61
Neutral
$17.97B12.87-5.30%2.97%1.26%-14.45%
57
Neutral
$5.17B43.23-39.97%2.38%-38.88%
48
Neutral
$3.60B59.62-24.78%1.65%-22.50%-35219.23%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FIVE
Five Below
153.40
69.33
82.47%
AAP
Advance Auto Parts
60.44
22.65
59.94%
BBW
BuildABear Workshop
64.62
34.09
111.66%
SBH
Sally Beauty
14.51
2.82
24.12%
ETSY
Etsy
54.06
1.71
3.27%
ASO
Academy Sports and Outdoors
50.86
-1.30
-2.49%

Five Below Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Five Below Holds Annual Shareholders Meeting on June 12
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Five Below, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where key decisions were made, including the election of ten directors and the ratification of KPMG LLP as the independent accounting firm. The shareholders also approved executive compensation and decided to hold annual advisory votes on this matter, reflecting the company’s commitment to governance and accountability.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Five Below Announces CFO Transition Amid Strong Q1 Results
Positive
Jun 4, 2025

Five Below, Inc. announced a transition in its executive team, with Kristy Chipman stepping down as Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer, effective June 6, 2025, and Kenneth R. Bull appointed as interim CFO. This change is not due to any disagreements with the company, and Chipman will assist in the transition for 90 days. Additionally, co-founder Thomas Vellios will cease employment on June 12, 2025, but will continue to provide consulting services until the end of the year. The company also reported strong financial results for the first quarter of fiscal 2025, with a 19.5% increase in net sales and a 7.1% rise in comparable sales, reflecting the effectiveness of its customer-centric strategy.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2025