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Five Below Inc (FIVE)
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Five Below (FIVE) AI Stock Analysis

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FIVE

Five Below

(NASDAQ:FIVE)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$172.00
▲(14.48% Upside)
Five Below's strong financial performance and positive earnings call outlook are the most significant factors driving the score. The company's robust sales growth and effective cost management are offset by valuation concerns and potential margin pressures from tariffs and SG&A expenses. Technical indicators show a positive trend, but the stock's premium valuation may limit upside potential.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Achieving significant sales growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, reinforcing Five Below's position in the discount retail sector.
Store Expansion
Expanding into new geographic regions like the Pacific Northwest enhances market reach and customer base, supporting long-term growth and brand presence.
Leadership Enhancements
New leadership in key roles can drive strategic initiatives and operational efficiency, potentially leading to improved financial performance and competitive positioning.
Negative Factors
Tariff Challenges
Ongoing tariff-related costs can pressure margins, impacting profitability and potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth initiatives.
SG&A Pressures
Rising SG&A expenses can erode operating margins, affecting overall profitability and financial flexibility in the long term.
Moderate Leverage
Moderate leverage could pose a risk if not managed carefully, potentially impacting the company's ability to finance future growth and navigate economic downturns.

Five Below (FIVE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Five Below Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFive Below, Inc. operates as a specialty value retailer in the United States. The company offers range of accessories, which includes novelty socks, sunglasses, jewelry, scarves, gloves, hair accessories, athletic tops and bottoms, and t-shirts, as well as nail polish, lip gloss, fragrance, and branded cosmetics; and personalized living space products, such as lamps, posters, frames, fleece blankets, plush items, pillows, candles, incense, lighting, novelty décor, accent furniture, and related items, as well as provides storage options. It provides assortment of sports balls, team sports merchandise, and fitness accessories comprising hand weights, jump ropes, and gym balls; various games, such as board games, puzzles, collectibles, and toys, including remote control; and summer season sports, which includes pool, beach, and outdoor toys, as well as games and accessories. In addition, the company offers accessories for cell phones, tablets, audio, and computers, as well as cases, chargers, headphones, and other related items; and media products including books, video games, and DVDs. It also provides assortment of craft activity kits, and arts and crafts supplies, such as crayons, markers, and stickers; and school products comprising backpacks, fashion notebooks and journals, novelty pens and pencils, and locker accessories. Further, the company offers party products, which includes party goods, decorations, gag gifts, and greeting cards, as well as every day and special occasion merchandise; assortment of classic and novelty candy bars, movie-size box candy, seasonal-related candy, and gum and snack food products, as well as sells chilled drinks through coolers; and provides seasonally specific items used to celebrate and decorate for events. The company was formerly known as Cheap Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Five Below, Inc. in August 2002. Five Below, Inc. was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyFive Below generates revenue primarily through the sale of its merchandise, which is sourced from various suppliers and manufacturers. The company's pricing strategy allows it to attract budget-conscious consumers, with all items priced at $5 or below. Key revenue streams include in-store sales and online sales through its e-commerce platform. Additionally, Five Below benefits from seasonal promotions and exclusive product launches that drive traffic to its stores and website. The company has also expanded its offerings to include a selection of merchandise in the $1 to $5 range, which has helped to enhance its product mix and appeal. Strategic partnerships with popular brands and franchises, as well as the development of private label products, further contribute to its earnings by creating unique offerings that differentiate it from competitors.

Five Below Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 27, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 26, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook for Five Below, driven by record sales, strong comparable sales growth, and effective cost management. However, ongoing tariff-related challenges and SG&A pressures remain concerns. The company is leveraging its brand strength and customer-centric strategies to sustain growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Sales Achieved
Five Below achieved its first $1 billion sales quarter outside of Q4, demonstrating strong customer recognition and brand positioning as a destination for value-oriented shopping.
Significant Sales and EPS Growth
Total sales grew by nearly 24% to $1.027 billion with comparable sales increasing by 12.4%. Adjusted EPS increased by 50% to $0.81, driven by strong fixed cost leverage and disciplined expense management.
Successful Store Expansion
32 net new stores were opened across 21 states, contributing to an 11.5% increase in the store base compared to the second quarter last year.
Improved Gross Margin
Adjusted gross profit increased by 26% over the previous year, with adjusted gross margin increasing by approximately 70 basis points to 33.4% due to fixed cost leverage.
Positive Customer and Transaction Trends
Comparable transactions increased by 8.7%, indicating strong customer engagement and the success of new pricing and marketing strategies.
Negative Updates
Tariff Challenges Impacting Margins
Tariffs continue to affect gross margins, with an expected 160 basis points of unmitigated tariff-related costs projected for the third quarter.
Reduced New Store Openings
The number of new store openings decreased to 32 from 62 in the second quarter of the previous year, highlighting a slower pace of expansion.
SG&A Pressures
Despite leveraging fixed costs, SG&A expenses are expected to rise due to higher incentive compensation and investments in store labor, impacting operating margins in the upcoming quarters.
Company Guidance
During the Five Below Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call held on August 27, CEO Winnie Park and COO Ken Bull announced several key performance metrics and provided guidance for the upcoming quarters. The company achieved a milestone with its first $1 billion sales quarter outside of Q4, marking a 23.7% year-over-year increase in total sales. Comparable sales rose by 12.4%, driven by an 8.7% increase in transactions and a 3.4% increase in ticket size. The adjusted EPS surged by 50% to $0.81. Five Below opened 32 net new stores, bringing the total to 1,858, and plans to open approximately 50 more in Q3. For Q3, the company expects sales between $950 million and $970 million, with a comparable sales increase of 5-7%. Adjusted operating margin is anticipated to decline to 1% due to tariff-related costs and higher incentive compensation. For the full year, sales are projected between $4.44 billion and $4.52 billion, with an operating margin of approximately 7.9%. The company highlighted its strategic focus on product assortment, pricing simplification, and marketing initiatives, anticipating strong performance heading into the holiday season.

Five Below Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Five Below demonstrates solid financial health with consistent revenue growth and strong cash flow generation. While profitability margins have slightly declined, they remain healthy. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage, which should be monitored to ensure financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Five Below has shown consistent revenue growth with a TTM growth rate of 4.88% and a strong historical trend. The gross profit margin is stable at around 34%, and the net profit margin is healthy at 6.45%. However, there is a slight decline in margins compared to previous years, indicating potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is slightly above 1, indicating moderate leverage. Return on equity is solid at 15.19%, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a balanced asset structure, but the rising debt levels could pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Five Below's cash flow is strong, with a significant 30.48% growth in free cash flow in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating good cash generation relative to profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also robust, suggesting efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.23B3.88B3.56B3.08B2.85B1.96B
Gross Profit1.44B1.35B1.27B1.10B1.03B652.33M
EBITDA537.96M491.26M516.32M450.66M464.71M224.15M
Net Income273.05M253.61M301.11M261.53M278.81M123.36M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.61B4.34B3.87B3.32B2.88B2.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments670.16M528.79M460.09M399.17M342.11M409.71M
Total Debt2.02B1.98B1.74B1.50B1.30B1.11B
Total Liabilities2.70B2.53B2.29B1.96B1.76B1.43B
Stockholders Equity1.91B1.81B1.58B1.36B1.12B881.89M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow345.16M106.65M164.57M62.97M39.74M165.78M
Operating Cash Flow558.61M430.65M499.62M314.93M327.91M365.97M
Investing Cash Flow-202.19M-232.94M-556.34M-3.94M-465.60M-286.89M
Financing Cash Flow-2.72M-45.74M-95.86M-43.63M-66.13M-12.78M

Five Below Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price150.24
Price Trends
50DMA
152.53
Negative
100DMA
143.87
Positive
200DMA
116.64
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.84
Positive
RSI
47.21
Neutral
STOCH
21.59
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FIVE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 150.24 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 155.18, below the 50-day MA of 152.53, and above the 200-day MA of 116.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.84 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for FIVE.

Five Below Risk Analysis

Five Below disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Five Below reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Five Below Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$6.49B19.5822.92%2.98%10.93%-10.89%
75
Outperform
$8.29B30.8115.54%13.88%-2.64%
71
Outperform
$1.58B27.3912.19%9.24%35.68%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
$4.67B6.743.49%-0.18%-18.95%
53
Neutral
$9.86B29.197.58%-15.48%528.37%
52
Neutral
$994.88M-35.37%-4.90%50.77%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FIVE
Five Below
152.28
69.28
83.47%
GME
GameStop
21.50
-5.76
-21.13%
BBWI
Bath & Body Works
22.91
-7.79
-25.37%
RVLV
Revolve Group
21.40
-12.17
-36.25%
MNSO
MINISO Group Holding
20.68
2.22
12.03%
TDUP
thredUP
7.91
6.97
741.49%

Five Below Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Five Below Appoints New CFO and CMO
Positive
Oct 2, 2025

On October 1, 2025, Five Below announced the appointment of Daniel Sullivan as Chief Financial Officer and Michelle Israel as Chief Merchandising Officer, effective October 6, 2025. Sullivan, with extensive experience in finance and operations, will oversee financial operations and related strategies, while Israel will manage merchandising and product development. These appointments are expected to strengthen Five Below’s executive team and support its growth objectives, enhancing its market position as a trend-right, extreme-value retailer.

The most recent analyst rating on (FIVE) stock is a Hold with a $160.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Five Below stock, see the FIVE Stock Forecast page.

Five Below Inc. Reports Record Sales and Growth
Sep 1, 2025

Five Below Inc. recently held its earnings call, presenting a generally positive outlook driven by record sales, strong comparable sales growth, and effective cost management. Despite these positive notes, the company acknowledged ongoing challenges related to tariffs and SG&A pressures. However, Five Below is leveraging its brand strength and customer-centric strategies to sustain growth.

Five Below Reports Strong Q2 Growth and Expansion
Aug 28, 2025

Five Below, Inc. is a high-growth value retailer offering a wide range of trend-right, high-quality products primarily priced between $1 and $5, catering to tweens, teens, and beyond, with over 1,850 stores across 44 states.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025