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eBay (EBAY)
NASDAQ:EBAY
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eBay (EBAY) AI Stock Analysis

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EBAY

eBay

(NASDAQ:EBAY)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$117.00
▲(11.80% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/30/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong profitability and cash generation, tempered by meaningful leverage and some earnings variability) and strong technical uptrend signals. Earnings-call commentary and guidance are broadly positive but acknowledge near-term headwinds and modest acquisition dilution, while valuation appears reasonable rather than compelling.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
eBay's re-accelerating free cash flow (Q1 $898M and TTM improvement) provides durable capacity to fund dividends, buybacks, debt service, and product investment. Reliable cash generation underpins capital allocation flexibility and cushions strategic initiatives amid cyclical revenue swings.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
A debt-heavy capital structure (debt above equity and material gross debt) reduces balance-sheet flexibility and increases sensitivity to rising rates. Higher interest expense and concurrent capital returns can constrain room for large M&A, heavier investment, or cushioning during downturns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
eBay's re-accelerating free cash flow (Q1 $898M and TTM improvement) provides durable capacity to fund dividends, buybacks, debt service, and product investment. Reliable cash generation underpins capital allocation flexibility and cushions strategic initiatives amid cyclical revenue swings.
Read all positive factors

eBay (EBAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

eBay Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
eBay Inc. operates marketplace platforms that connect buyers and sellers in the United States and internationally. The company's Marketplace platform includes its online marketplace at ebay.com and the eBay suite of mobile apps. Its platforms enab...
How the Company Makes Money
eBay primarily makes money by charging fees tied to transactions that occur on its marketplace. The company’s main revenue stream is marketplace revenue, which generally includes (1) transaction-based fees charged to sellers for listing and sellin...

eBay Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Active Buyers
Active Buyers
Measures the number of unique buyers who have made a purchase on eBay, indicating the platform's reach, customer engagement, and potential for sales growth.
Chart InsightsActive buyers spiked during the pandemic, then settled to a lower, multi-year plateau with a modest rebound in 2024–25. That pattern implies eBay’s near-term upside is less about rapidly growing the user count and more about extracting more value from the existing base—higher GMV per buyer, better engagement, and improved monetization. For investors, prioritize take-rate, GMV and seller health metrics; absent renewed user expansion, upside depends on better monetization and competitive resilience.
Data provided by:The Fly

eBay Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a strong quarter with robust top-line and profit growth driven by broad-based momentum (notably in U.S. GMV, focus categories, collectibles, AI-enabled seller tools, eBay Live, and advertising). Management also provided measured guidance that reflects normalization of some transient tailwinds, slower international trends, initial losses from shipping initiatives, and modest near-term dilution from the Depop acquisition. The operational and financial positives materially outweigh the cited near-term headwinds and FX sensitivities.
Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line Growth
GMV rose 14% year over year to $22.2 billion and revenue increased 17% to $3.09 billion in Q1 2026, both on an organic FX-neutral basis.
Negative Updates
Slower International Growth
International GMV grew just over 2% on an organic FX-neutral basis, with macroeconomic headwinds in major international markets; foreign exchange provided significant tailwinds to reported international spot growth (770 basis points).
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Top-Line Growth
GMV rose 14% year over year to $22.2 billion and revenue increased 17% to $3.09 billion in Q1 2026, both on an organic FX-neutral basis.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
eBay’s guidance for Q2 calls for GMV of $21.3–$21.7 billion (FX‑neutral growth 8–10% YoY; FX roughly a +100 bps tailwind to spot GMV), revenue of $2.97–$3.03 billion (FX‑neutral growth 8–10%; FX roughly +120 bps to spot), non‑GAAP operating income growth of 6–10% (implying a non‑GAAP operating margin of 27.6–28.1%), and non‑GAAP EPS of $1.46–$1.51 (7–11% YoY); the Q2 guide explicitly contemplates lapping effects from lower‑funnel marketing and the U.S. Klarna partnership and the expected reversion of gold/silver bullion volumes. For full‑year 2026 (ex‑Depop), management now plans FX‑neutral GMV growth of 7.0–7.5%, revenue to be in line with or slightly ahead of GMV, non‑GAAP operating income growth of 9–11%, a non‑GAAP tax rate of 17.5%, capital expenditures of 4–5% of revenue, a target of roughly $2 billion of share repurchases, and a quarterly cash dividend of $0.31; the pending Depop deal (expected to close by end‑Q3 2026) is projected to add ~1 percentage point to 2026 GMV but to be a low‑single‑digit headwind to operating income growth and dilute EPS by low single digits (EPS impact modestly higher due to foregone interest).

eBay Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and solid free cash flow support a healthy core profile, with TTM improvement in growth and cash generation. Offsetting this, leverage remains meaningful (debt above equity) and results show notable year-to-year volatility (especially 2021–2022), reducing “fortress” balance-sheet confidence.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
72
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.60B11.10B10.28B10.11B9.79B10.42B
Gross Profit8.36B7.93B7.40B7.28B7.12B7.77B
EBITDA2.81B2.85B2.86B4.37B-924.00M1.17B
Net Income2.04B2.03B1.98B2.77B-1.27B13.61B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.89B17.61B19.36B21.62B20.85B26.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.86B2.92B6.22B9.02B7.51B7.32B
Total Debt7.08B7.38B7.86B8.23B9.42B9.43B
Total Liabilities13.48B12.99B14.21B15.22B15.70B16.85B
Stockholders Equity4.41B4.62B5.16B6.40B5.15B9.78B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.69B1.66B1.96B1.97B1.80B2.21B
Operating Cash Flow2.14B2.19B2.41B2.43B2.25B2.66B
Investing Cash Flow897.00M1.19B2.21B240.00M2.46B3.66B
Financing Cash Flow-2.97B-3.66B-3.81B-2.45B-3.79B-6.53B

eBay Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price104.65
Price Trends
50DMA
90.46
Positive
100DMA
88.90
Positive
200DMA
88.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.17
Negative
RSI
74.00
Negative
STOCH
89.51
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EBAY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 104.65 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 94.39, above the 50-day MA of 90.46, and above the 200-day MA of 88.43, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.00 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.51 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EBAY.

eBay Risk Analysis

eBay disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. eBay reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

eBay Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$46.21B19.9144.12%1.38%13.15%5.89%
70
Outperform
$93.79B51.1433.73%39.06%4.50%
66
Neutral
$5.99B7.82-33.00%1.78%75.71%
64
Neutral
$40.70B14.558.57%3.37%13.13%-51.27%
64
Neutral
$52.67B48.1015.34%36.38%245.29%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
53
Neutral
$37.64B206.194.52%14.09%34.31%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EBAY
eBay
104.07
34.74
50.10%
MELI
Mercadolibre
1,850.05
-396.49
-17.65%
JD
JD
29.96
-2.95
-8.96%
ETSY
Etsy
63.17
18.09
40.13%
SE
Sea
86.20
-56.30
-39.51%
CPNG
Coupang
20.59
-3.40
-14.17%

eBay Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
eBay Adds Tech Marketplace Veteran to Strengthen Board
Positive
Mar 24, 2026
On March 19, 2026, eBay’s board expanded to 12 members and appointed technology veteran Brian H. Sharples as an independent director, effective March 20, 2026, with his term running until the 2026 annual shareholders’ meeting. Followin...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 30, 2026