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Genuine Parts Company (GPC)
NYSE:GPC
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Genuine Parts Company (GPC) AI Stock Analysis

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GPC

Genuine Parts Company

(NYSE:GPC)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$107.00
▼(-5.97% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/29/26
The score is held down primarily by weakened financial performance (sharp profitability/ROE decline alongside higher leverage) and a bearish technical setup (price below major moving averages). Partially offsetting these are a supportive dividend and a reaffirmed outlook with expected margin improvement, though separation costs and inflation/geopolitical risks limit upside.
Positive Factors
Diversified distribution model (Automotive NAPA & Industrial Motion)
GPC’s two-pronged business model—NAPA-branded automotive distribution and Motion industrial MRO—provides structural revenue diversification across end markets and geographies. This durable footprint supports recurring demand, procurement scale and cross-segment resilience through cyclical variability.
Negative Factors
Elevated financial leverage
Leverage nearly doubled versus earlier years, which constrains balance-sheet flexibility and increases interest-rate and refinancing sensitivity. Higher debt levels reduce capacity for opportunistic M&A, buybacks or cushioning operating shocks over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified distribution model (Automotive NAPA & Industrial Motion)
GPC’s two-pronged business model—NAPA-branded automotive distribution and Motion industrial MRO—provides structural revenue diversification across end markets and geographies. This durable footprint supports recurring demand, procurement scale and cross-segment resilience through cyclical variability.
Read all positive factors

Genuine Parts Company (GPC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Genuine Parts Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Genuine Parts Company distributes automotive replacement parts, and industrial parts and materials. It operates through Automotive Parts Group and Industrial Parts Group segments. The company distributes automotive replacement parts for hybrid and...
How the Company Makes Money
GPC makes money primarily by distributing replacement parts and related products to business and retail customers at a markup over its purchase cost, with revenues recognized from the sale of goods through its Automotive and Industrial segments. ...

Genuine Parts Company Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Number of Locations
Number of Locations
Counts the total outlets or branches, reflecting the company's market presence and potential for customer reach and service delivery.
Chart InsightsGPC is actively shrinking and consolidating its physical distribution and branch footprint while keeping its retail partner network largely intact—a deliberate shift toward fewer, larger fulfillment points and digital channels. Management’s restructuring and booming e‑commerce penetration support efficiency gains from fewer DCs/branches, and the planned separation could accelerate network rationalization. However, stable retail counts mask softer demand per independent owner and Europe weakness, so per-store volume trends (not location counts) will determine whether margin improvement materializes or if headwinds persist.
Data provided by:The Fly

Genuine Parts Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 21, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a constructive operational and financial picture: solid top-line growth (~+6.8% YoY), sequential improvement across all segments, industrial margin expansion and reaffirmed full-year guidance. Management also reported progress on restructuring and the planned separation, with separation costs in line with prior expectations. Offsetting these positives are persistent inflationary pressures (labor, freight, rent, healthcare), SG&A increases, margin compression at the consolidated level, and near-term geopolitical risk (estimated $10–$20M EBITDA Q2 hit) plus meaningful run-rate separation costs of $100–$150M. On balance, the company appears to be executing well, managing cost actions, and maintaining guidance despite headwinds.
Positive Updates
Consolidated Sales Growth
Total GPC sales of $6.3 billion, an increase of approximately $400 million or ~6.8%–7% year-over-year; each of the three business segments showed sequential improvement.
Negative Updates
Geopolitical Risk and Near-Term EBITDA Headwind
Conflict in the Middle East/Iran introduces supply-chain disruption and inflationary pressures; company estimates a near-term negative EBITDA impact of approximately $10–$20 million for Q2 driven by higher COGS and operating expenses (freight/fuel).
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Consolidated Sales Growth
Total GPC sales of $6.3 billion, an increase of approximately $400 million or ~6.8%–7% year-over-year; each of the three business segments showed sequential improvement.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
GPC reaffirmed full-year 2026 guidance calling for diluted EPS of $6.10–$6.60 (which includes restructuring) and adjusted diluted EPS of $7.50–$8.00 (up ~5% at the midpoint vs. 2025), with total company sales growth expected in the range of 3.0%–5.5%; assumptions include roughly 2 points of pricing (inflation/tariffs), ~1 point from M&A carryover, ~1 point from strategic initiatives, and ~1 point from foreign exchange. Management reiterated expectations for 40–60 basis points of gross margin expansion, continues to plan transformation & cost-action expenses of $225–$250 million with an expected $100–$125 million benefit in 2026, and forecasted a depreciation/interest headwind of about $0.30 to EPS; they also estimated the near-term net EBITDA downside from the Iran-related conflict at roughly $10–$20 million (Q2-focused), noted freight is ~3% of revenue and exposure to Middle East–sourced products is <0.5% of purchases, and confirmed separation-related run-rate dis-synergies and stand‑alone costs of $100–$150 million (excluding one‑time legal/banking fees).

Genuine Parts Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: revenue has been stable to modestly growing and free cash flow remains solid (with a TTM rebound), but profitability and returns have deteriorated sharply to near break-even levels while leverage has risen (debt-to-equity ~1.9), reducing flexibility.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue24.70B24.30B23.49B23.09B22.10B18.87B
Gross Profit8.93B8.40B8.52B8.29B7.74B6.63B
EBITDA760.95M753.70M1.68B2.16B1.99B1.55B
Net Income60.09M65.94M904.08M1.32B1.18B898.79M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.98B20.80B19.28B17.97B16.50B14.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments500.02M477.18M479.99M1.10B653.46M714.70M
Total Debt6.71B8.27B5.74B4.89B4.16B3.20B
Total Liabilities16.48B16.36B14.93B13.55B12.69B10.85B
Stockholders Equity4.48B4.42B4.34B4.40B3.79B3.49B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow547.96M420.92M683.91M922.93M1.13B992.15M
Operating Cash Flow995.50M890.76M1.25B1.44B1.47B1.26B
Investing Cash Flow-649.68M-711.59M-1.51B-705.79M-1.68B-506.16M
Financing Cash Flow-281.28M-209.25M-333.94M-292.16M205.10M-989.53M

Genuine Parts Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price113.79
Price Trends
50DMA
114.70
Negative
100DMA
122.13
Negative
200DMA
126.16
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Negative
RSI
61.12
Neutral
STOCH
91.61
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GPC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 113.79 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 106.11, below the 50-day MA of 114.70, and below the 200-day MA of 126.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.61 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GPC.

Genuine Parts Company Risk Analysis

Genuine Parts Company disclosed 19 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Genuine Parts Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Genuine Parts Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$76.72B30.60-263.22%6.42%9.32%
62
Neutral
$9.52B16.5589.51%0.53%-4.25%<0.01%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
$18.29B35.8942.57%1.80%4.64%1.15%
55
Neutral
$58.06B34.26-72.31%5.02%-4.34%
50
Neutral
$14.21B19.301.31%3.33%4.79%-92.77%
50
Neutral
$3.36B52.942.00%2.53%-15.94%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GPC
Genuine Parts Company
107.23
-6.02
-5.32%
AAP
Advance Auto Parts
59.51
27.18
84.06%
AZO
AutoZone
3,704.03
-28.89
-0.77%
MUSA
Murphy USA
588.00
92.41
18.65%
ORLY
O'Reilly Auto
99.40
5.56
5.92%
TSCO
Tractor Supply
35.10
-14.39
-29.08%

Genuine Parts Company Corporate Events

DividendsPrivate Placements and FinancingShareholder Meetings
Genuine Parts Expands Credit Facility and Confirms Dividend
Positive
Apr 28, 2026
Genuine Parts Company, founded in 1928 and listed on the NYSE as GPC, is a leading global service provider of automotive and industrial replacement parts and value-added solutions. Its Automotive Parts Group operates across North America, Europe a...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Genuine Parts Plans Automotive-Industrial Business Separation for 2026
Positive
Feb 17, 2026
On February 17, 2026, Genuine Parts Company reported fourth-quarter 2025 sales of $6.0 billion, up 4.1% year over year, but booked a net loss of $609 million due largely to a one-time, non-cash pension settlement charge, while adjusted earnings re...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 29, 2026