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Genuine Parts Company (GPC)
NYSE:GPC

Genuine Parts Company (GPC) AI Stock Analysis

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Genuine Parts Company

(NYSE:GPC)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$132.00
▲(3.60%Upside)
Genuine Parts Company's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance with solid revenue growth and strategic initiatives underpinning future prospects. However, technical analysis indicates mixed momentum, and valuation suggests the stock is fairly priced. The earnings call underscores both opportunities and challenges, particularly in cash flow generation.
Positive Factors
Market Conditions
Expectations for improvements in both segments benefiting from harsh winter weather and higher same SKU inflation for Auto, and higher production activity for Industrial.
Political Influence
A Republican win could benefit both of GPC’s segments with same SKU inflation for Auto and more on-shoring activity for Industrial.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Both end markets haven’t recovered as much as anticipated and, when combined with higher-than-expected cost pressures, earnings have now been reset sharply lower for future years.
Market Share
Despite self-help initiatives, GPC seems to be losing market share due to significant deceleration and underperformance relative to leading peers.

Genuine Parts Company (GPC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Genuine Parts Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGenuine Parts Company distributes automotive replacement parts, and industrial parts and materials. It operates through Automotive Parts Group and Industrial Parts Group segments. The company distributes automotive replacement parts for hybrid and electric vehicles, trucks, SUVs, buses, motorcycles, recreational vehicles, farm vehicles, small engines, farm equipment, marine equipment, and heavy duty equipment; and accessory and supply items used by various automotive aftermarket customers, such as repair shops, service stations, fleet operators, automobile and truck dealers, leasing companies, bus and truck lines, mass merchandisers, farms, industrial concerns, and individuals. It also distributes industrial replacement parts and related supplies, such as bearings, mechanical and electrical power transmission products, industrial automation and robotics, hoses, hydraulic and pneumatic components, industrial and safety supplies, and material handling products for original equipment manufacturer, as well as maintenance, repair, and operation customers in equipment and machinery, food and beverage, forest product, primary metal, pulp and paper, mining, automotive, oil and gas, petrochemical, pharmaceutical, power generation, alternative energy, governments, transportation, ports, and other industries. In addition, the company provides various services and repairs comprising gearbox and fluid power and process pump assembly and repair, hydraulic drive shaft repair, electrical panel assembly and repair, hose and gasket manufacture and assembly, and other value-added services. It operates in the United States, Canada, France, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Germany, Poland, the Netherlands, Belgium, Australia, New Zealand, Mexico, Indonesia, and Singapore. The company was incorporated in 1928 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyGenuine Parts Company generates revenue primarily through the sale of automotive and industrial replacement parts. The company's key revenue streams include its NAPA Auto Parts stores, which sell a wide array of vehicle parts and accessories to both professional repair shops and do-it-yourself customers. Additionally, GPC's Motion Industries segment provides industrial parts and services to a diverse range of industries, including manufacturing, food and beverage, and pharmaceuticals. The company benefits from strategic partnerships with manufacturers and suppliers, ensuring a steady supply of products to meet customer demands. GPC's earnings are further bolstered by its focus on operational efficiency and a robust supply chain, enabling it to offer competitive pricing and reliable service.

Genuine Parts Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 22, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 14.88%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with some positive developments such as overall sales growth, gross margin expansion, and strong performance in the Asia Pacific and Canadian markets. However, these were offset by declines in adjusted EPS, pressure in the global automotive segment, and challenges in the industrial segment. Additionally, there was a notable decline in free cash flow.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Total GPC Sales Growth
GPC reported total sales of $5.9 billion, up 1.4% from the previous year, driven primarily by acquisitions and improved sales in the industrial business.
Gross Margin Expansion
Gross margin expanded by 120 basis points from the previous year, reflecting benefits from acquisitions and strategic pricing and sourcing initiatives.
NAPA ProLink Platform
The modernized e-commerce platform, NAPA ProLink, was launched and is receiving positive customer feedback, with B2B e-sales growing mid-single-digits.
Expansion in Asia Pacific
Asia Pacific region delivered another quarter of double-digit growth in local currency, with total sales increasing approximately 12%.
Canadian Sales Increase
In Canada, total sales increased approximately 5% in local currency from the previous year, with comparable sales up approximately 4%.
Strategic Acquisitions
The integration of recent acquisitions, including MPEC and Walker, is progressing well and contributing positively to NAPA's EBITDA margin.
Negative Updates
Decline in Adjusted EPS
Adjusted EPS for the first quarter was $1.75, down 21% from the prior year, due to one less selling day, lower pension income, higher depreciation and interest expense, and foreign currency headwinds.
Global Automotive Segment Pressure
Global Automotive segment EBITDA decreased by 110 basis points from the previous year due to softer organic sales in the U.S. and Europe and one less selling day.
U.S. Automotive Comparable Sales Decline
U.S. comparable sales declined approximately 3%, impacted by one less selling day and softer market conditions.
Industrial Segment Challenges
Global industrial sales remained flat, with comparable sales decreasing less than 1%, affected by sluggish market conditions and the one less selling day.
Free Cash Flow Decline
Free cash flow was down approximately $160 million, with investments in inventory and acquisitions creating timing headwinds in working capital.
Company Guidance
During the Genuine Parts Company's First Quarter 2025 earnings call, a comprehensive financial overview and future outlook were provided. The company reported total sales of $5.9 billion, a 1.4% increase from the previous year, primarily driven by acquisitions and improvements in the industrial segment, despite facing a 110 basis point negative impact due to one less selling day. Gross margin expanded by 120 basis points, attributed to strategic pricing and sourcing initiatives. Segment-wise, global industrial sales remained flat at $2.2 billion, while the global automotive segment saw a 2.5% sales increase. The company maintained its 2025 outlook, predicting total sales growth between 2% and 4% and adjusted EPS in the range of $7.75 to $8.25. Challenges such as tariffs, inflation, and geopolitical factors were acknowledged, but the company emphasized its strategic initiatives, including a modernized e-commerce platform, to navigate these uncertainties.

Genuine Parts Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Genuine Parts Company exhibits strong revenue growth and stable margins, supported by a manageable balance sheet despite increased leverage. Profitability has declined slightly, with challenges in cash flow generation that highlight opportunities for improvement.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Genuine Parts Company shows a solid performance in the income statement with a steady revenue growth from $16.5 billion in 2020 to $23.6 billion TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Gross profit margin has remained consistently strong, indicating effective cost management. The net profit margin decreased from 5.72% in 2023 to 3.60% TTM, highlighting a dip in profitability. However, EBITDA margin remains stable at around 7%. Revenue growth has been robust, reflecting strong market presence.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate risk profile with a debt-to-equity ratio that increased to 1.37 TTM from 1.32 in 2024, suggesting higher leverage. The equity ratio stands at 22.45%, indicating a reasonable level of assets financed by equity. Return on equity (ROE) decreased from 20.04% in 2023 to 19.10% TTM, reflecting a dip in profitability relative to equity. Overall, the company maintains a stable financial position with manageable debt levels.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis indicates challenges in cash generation with a decline in free cash flow from $683.9 million in 2024 to $320.6 million TTM, showing a negative growth trend. The operating cash flow to net income ratio decreased to 1.05 TTM from 1.38 in 2024, suggesting less efficiency in converting income to cash. Despite these challenges, the company maintains positive cash flows, indicating resilience amidst fluctuating cash performance.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue23.57B23.49B23.09B22.10B18.87B16.54B
Gross Profit8.52B8.52B8.29B7.74B6.63B5.65B
EBITDA1.65B1.68B2.16B1.99B1.55B1.27B
Net Income849.57M904.08M1.32B1.18B898.79M163.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.82B19.28B17.97B16.50B14.35B13.44B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments420.45M479.99M1.10B653.46M714.70M990.17M
Total Debt6.10B5.74B4.89B4.16B3.20B3.47B
Total Liabilities15.35B14.93B13.55B12.69B10.85B10.22B
Stockholders Equity4.45B4.34B4.40B3.79B3.49B3.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow320.63M683.91M922.93M1.13B992.15M1.87B
Operating Cash Flow892.12M1.25B1.44B1.47B1.26B2.02B
Investing Cash Flow-1.48B-1.51B-705.79M-1.68B-506.16M171.64M
Financing Cash Flow-29.97M-333.94M-292.16M205.10M-989.53M-1.51B

Genuine Parts Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price127.41
Price Trends
50DMA
121.86
Positive
100DMA
120.23
Positive
200DMA
121.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.59
Negative
RSI
63.96
Neutral
STOCH
93.60
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GPC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 127.41 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 122.42, above the 50-day MA of 121.86, and above the 200-day MA of 121.05, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.59 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.60 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GPC.

Genuine Parts Company Risk Analysis

Genuine Parts Company disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Genuine Parts Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Genuine Parts Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$76.35B32.83-174.09%4.90%3.28%
AZAZO
68
Neutral
$61.65B24.94-14.95%5.15%1.99%
GPGPC
67
Neutral
$17.68B20.9319.19%3.23%1.99%-32.18%
61
Neutral
$8.36B17.8465.24%0.48%-6.43%-0.81%
56
Neutral
$3.37B4.05-1.30%6.64%0.16%-63.79%
AAAAP
55
Neutral
$3.09B59.62-23.77%2.04%-16.55%-941.57%
48
Neutral
$44.27M-54.32%-14.49%-210.54%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GPC
Genuine Parts Company
127.41
-1.31
-1.02%
AAP
Advance Auto Parts
51.62
-6.27
-10.83%
AZO
AutoZone
3,769.26
932.86
32.89%
MUSA
Murphy USA
423.01
-34.52
-7.54%
ORLY
O'Reilly Auto
91.33
23.14
33.93%
PRTS
US Auto Parts Network
0.76
-0.38
-33.33%

Genuine Parts Company Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Genuine Parts Announces Leadership Change in North America
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 9, 2025, Genuine Parts Company announced that Randy Breaux will retire as Group President, GPC North America, effective August 1, 2025, but will remain as a strategic advisor until the end of the year to ensure a smooth transition. Alain Masse, previously President of UAP Inc., will take on the newly created role of President, North American Automotive, overseeing the company’s automotive business across the region. This leadership change is part of the company’s strategic succession planning, aiming to build on the momentum in its North American automotive business and create new commercial opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (GPC) stock is a Buy with a $135.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Genuine Parts Company stock, see the GPC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsDividends
Genuine Parts Company Elects New Director at Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
Apr 29, 2025

Genuine Parts Company announced the election of Ms. Laurie Schupmann as a new director following the retirement of four board members at the 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders held on April 28, 2025. The meeting also saw the approval of executive compensation, amendments to the company’s articles of incorporation, and the ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as auditors, while a proposal on diversity efforts was rejected. Additionally, the board declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $1.03 per share, payable on July 2, 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 01, 2025