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Genuine Parts Company (GPC)
NYSE:GPC
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Genuine Parts Company (GPC) AI Stock Analysis

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GPC

Genuine Parts Company

(NYSE:GPC)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$125.00
▲(0.64% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/21/26
The score is held back primarily by weak recent profitability and elevated leverage metrics despite solid revenue growth and improved TTM free cash flow. Technicals are a clear positive with the stock in an uptrend, while valuation is a major drag due to an extremely high P/E (partly offset by a ~3.4% dividend). Earnings call commentary is moderately constructive on guidance and operational progress but includes notable cost and geopolitical headwinds.
Positive Factors
Scale & Distribution Network
GPC’s vast, multi-regional distribution footprint and large employee base create a durable competitive advantage for procurement, assortment breadth, and fast fulfillment. Scale supports supplier terms, recurring B2B relationships and resilience across automotive and industrial end markets.
Negative Factors
Compressed Profitability
Earnings have eroded to razor-thin margins, undermining the firm’s ability to self-fund growth and returns. Persistently low net margins reduce buffers against cyclical downturns, impair ROE recovery, and limit the payoff from scale absent sustained margin restoration.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Scale & Distribution Network
GPC’s vast, multi-regional distribution footprint and large employee base create a durable competitive advantage for procurement, assortment breadth, and fast fulfillment. Scale supports supplier terms, recurring B2B relationships and resilience across automotive and industrial end markets.
Read all positive factors

Genuine Parts Company Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Number of Locations
Number of Locations
Counts the total outlets or branches, reflecting the company's market presence and potential for customer reach and service delivery.
Chart InsightsGPC is reshaping its footprint—expanding NAPA retail while steadily pruning branches and trimming distribution centers— a deliberate shift toward a leaner, retail‑led network backed by supply‑chain and IT CapEx and the company's transformation program. That should support higher gross margins and comp growth if execution holds, but watch for short‑term service/distribution strain, separation-related run‑rate costs and freight/tariff exposure (and the ~$10–$20M near‑term geopolitical hit) which could pressure margins during the transition.
Data provided by:The Fly

Genuine Parts Company (GPC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Genuine Parts Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Genuine Parts Company, established in Atlanta, Georgia in 1928, functions as a prominent global distributor specializing in automotive and industrial replacement parts, alongside associated materials. The company’s operations are segmented into it...
How the Company Makes Money
GPC makes money primarily by purchasing replacement parts and related products from manufacturers and other suppliers and reselling them at a markup through its distribution network and service platform. Its key revenue streams are (1) Automotive ...

Genuine Parts Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 21, 2026
(Q2-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 15, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a predominately constructive operational and financial picture: company-wide sales growth (~6%), segment-level EBITDA growth across all businesses, gross margin expansion, improved industrial momentum, and clear progress toward the planned separation. These positives were tempered by ongoing inflationary pressures, expense growth (SG&A, healthcare, freight, rent), a measurable but contained Iran-related EBITDA headwind (~$16M in Q2 with $20–$30M expected for the remainder of the year), and modest moderation in Global Automotive demand and independent-owner performance. Management reaffirmed adjusted EPS guidance while incorporating prudent second-half assumptions and outlined estimated post-separation corporate cost allocations. Overall the highlights (broad-based sales and EBITDA growth, margin progress, cash generation, and separation progress) outweigh the lowlights (inflation, conflict-related costs, and some margin/owner-performance pressures), supporting a positive near-term outlook but with clear operational risks to monitor.
Positive Updates
Total Company Sales Growth
Total GPC sales of $6.5 billion in Q2 2026, up approximately $400 million or ~6% versus Q2 2025, driven by higher sales across all segments and a 340 basis point improvement in comparable sales.
Negative Updates
Inflationary and Iran Conflict Headwinds
Iran conflict contributed an estimated $16 million negative impact to Q2 EBITDA (in line with prior guidance); company now expects $20–$30 million of incremental costs for the remainder of the year tied to the conflict (higher fuel, freight, and other operating expenses).
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Total Company Sales Growth
Total GPC sales of $6.5 billion in Q2 2026, up approximately $400 million or ~6% versus Q2 2025, driven by higher sales across all segments and a 340 basis point improvement in comparable sales.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
GPC reaffirmed 2026 adjusted diluted EPS guidance of $7.50–$8.00 (about +5% at the midpoint vs. 2025) while expecting reported diluted EPS including restructuring and separation costs of $5.90–$6.40; full‑year sales are projected to grow 3.0%–5.5% with roughly a 2% benefit from pricing/tariffs/inflation, about 1 point from M&A carryover, ~1 point from strategic initiatives and ~1 point from FX, and management is modeling low‑single‑digit inflation across revenue, COGS and SG&A. Transformation expenses are expected to be $225–$250 million with $100–$125 million of 2026 savings; depreciation and interest are expected to reduce EPS by roughly $0.30, and management now assumes $20–$30 million of incremental Iran‑related costs in H2 (Q2 impact ≈$16 million to EBITDA). Year‑to‑date restructuring costs were $134 million with $55 million of savings realized (≈$30 million in Q2, a $0.16/share benefit); 2025 corporate costs were ≈$360 million, with $210–$230 million allocated to Global Automotive (including ≈$20 million asbestos) plus $25–$40 million dis‑synergies (≈$250 million total) and pro‑forma incremental costs for Global Industrial of ≈$100 million, while ≈$50 million of AR financing fees remain under review.

Genuine Parts Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue growth is solid over the multi-year period, but profitability has deteriorated sharply with net margins near zero in 2025 and TTM 2026. Leverage remains meaningful (debt above equity, though improving), and ROE has collapsed. Cash flow is the bright spot with a strong TTM free cash flow rebound, but volatility and the disconnect versus very thin reported earnings keep the score below average.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
44
Neutral
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue25.07B24.30B23.49B23.09B22.10B18.87B
Gross Profit9.08B8.40B8.52B8.29B7.74B6.63B
EBITDA736.59M753.70M1.68B2.16B1.99B1.55B
Net Income32.77M65.94M904.08M1.32B1.18B898.79M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets21.06B20.80B19.28B17.97B16.50B14.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments559.12M477.18M479.99M1.10B653.46M714.70M
Total Debt6.65B8.27B5.74B4.89B4.16B3.48B
Total Liabilities16.51B16.36B14.93B13.55B12.69B10.85B
Stockholders Equity4.53B4.42B4.34B4.40B3.79B3.49B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow759.35M420.92M683.91M922.93M1.13B992.15M
Operating Cash Flow1.19B890.76M1.25B1.44B1.47B1.26B
Investing Cash Flow-621.64M-711.59M-1.51B-705.79M-1.68B-506.16M
Financing Cash Flow-435.94M-209.25M-333.94M-292.16M205.10M-989.53M

Genuine Parts Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price124.21
Price Trends
50DMA
112.40
Positive
100DMA
108.08
Positive
200DMA
117.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.30
Positive
RSI
59.69
Neutral
STOCH
65.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GPC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 124.21 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 124.59, above the 50-day MA of 112.40, and above the 200-day MA of 117.34, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 3.30 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GPC.

Genuine Parts Company Risk Analysis

Genuine Parts Company disclosed 19 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Genuine Parts Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Genuine Parts Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$74.05B28.19-232.45%8.47%12.39%
64
Neutral
$11.23B20.7889.51%0.40%-1.25%21.59%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
$49.24B20.22-80.35%5.74%-1.73%
59
Neutral
$16.14B16.0339.30%3.03%3.98%-5.90%
58
Neutral
$3.35B75.742.00%1.79%-8.26%
55
Neutral
$17.15B478.350.72%3.37%5.47%-95.54%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GPC
Genuine Parts Company
124.37
-2.35
-1.85%
AAP
Advance Auto Parts
55.54
3.06
5.84%
AZO
AutoZone
3,016.25
-951.51
-23.98%
MUSA
Murphy USA
607.76
243.75
66.96%
ORLY
O'Reilly Auto
89.35
-12.02
-11.86%
TSCO
Tractor Supply
30.77
-27.51
-47.21%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 21, 2026