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Genuine Parts Company (GPC)
NYSE:GPC
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Genuine Parts Company (GPC) AI Stock Analysis

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GPC

Genuine Parts Company

(NYSE:GPC)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$148.00
▲(4.78% Upside)
Genuine Parts Company receives a score of 67, reflecting solid financial performance and strategic corporate initiatives. However, high valuation and mixed technical indicators, along with challenges highlighted in the earnings call, temper the overall outlook.
Positive Factors
Market Conditions
Expectations for improvements in both segments benefiting from harsh winter weather and higher same SKU inflation for Auto, and higher production activity for Industrial.
Political Influence
A Republican win could benefit both of GPC’s segments with same SKU inflation for Auto and more on-shoring activity for Industrial.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Both end markets haven’t recovered as much as anticipated and, when combined with higher-than-expected cost pressures, earnings have now been reset sharply lower for future years.
Market Share
Despite self-help initiatives, GPC seems to be losing market share due to significant deceleration and underperformance relative to leading peers.

Genuine Parts Company (GPC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Genuine Parts Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGenuine Parts Company distributes automotive replacement parts, and industrial parts and materials. It operates through Automotive Parts Group and Industrial Parts Group segments. The company distributes automotive replacement parts for hybrid and electric vehicles, trucks, SUVs, buses, motorcycles, recreational vehicles, farm vehicles, small engines, farm equipment, marine equipment, and heavy duty equipment; and accessory and supply items used by various automotive aftermarket customers, such as repair shops, service stations, fleet operators, automobile and truck dealers, leasing companies, bus and truck lines, mass merchandisers, farms, industrial concerns, and individuals. It also distributes industrial replacement parts and related supplies, such as bearings, mechanical and electrical power transmission products, industrial automation and robotics, hoses, hydraulic and pneumatic components, industrial and safety supplies, and material handling products for original equipment manufacturer, as well as maintenance, repair, and operation customers in equipment and machinery, food and beverage, forest product, primary metal, pulp and paper, mining, automotive, oil and gas, petrochemical, pharmaceutical, power generation, alternative energy, governments, transportation, ports, and other industries. In addition, the company provides various services and repairs comprising gearbox and fluid power and process pump assembly and repair, hydraulic drive shaft repair, electrical panel assembly and repair, hose and gasket manufacture and assembly, and other value-added services. It operates in the United States, Canada, France, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Germany, Poland, the Netherlands, Belgium, Australia, New Zealand, Mexico, Indonesia, and Singapore. The company was incorporated in 1928 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyGenuine Parts Company generates revenue primarily through the sale of automotive and industrial replacement parts. Its Automotive Parts segment contributes a significant portion of its earnings, driven by sales to repair shops, retailers, and consumers. The Industrial Parts segment provides another critical revenue stream, focusing on various industries such as manufacturing and construction. GPC also benefits from strategic partnerships with manufacturers and suppliers, allowing it to offer a wide range of high-quality products. Additionally, the company leverages its extensive distribution network to ensure efficient delivery and inventory management, which enhances customer satisfaction and leads to repeat business. Overall, GPC's revenue model is supported by its focus on customer service, product availability, and a strong brand reputation in the marketplace.

Genuine Parts Company Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Sales by Segment
Net Sales by Segment
Shows revenue generated from each business segment, highlighting which areas are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsGenuine Parts Company's automotive segment shows steady growth, with recent quarters reflecting resilience despite cost pressures. The industrial segment, after a period of stagnation, has started to recover, supported by strategic pricing and sourcing initiatives. However, the earnings call highlights challenges such as tariff impacts and a decline in global automotive EBITDA margins. The company remains focused on strategic initiatives, including e-commerce growth and Asia Pacific expansion, but revised its earnings outlook downward due to persistent market uncertainties and cost pressures.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Genuine Parts Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 22, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While there were several positive developments, such as an increase in total sales and improvements in gross margin, the company faces significant challenges. These include tariff and market uncertainties, a decrease in automotive segment margins, and increased SG&A costs, leading to a downward revision of full-year earnings guidance.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Total GPC Sales Increase
Total GPC sales for the second quarter were $6.2 billion, up 3.4% compared to the same period in the prior year.
Gross Margin Improvement
Gross margin expanded by 110 basis points versus the same period last year, reflecting strategic pricing and sourcing initiatives.
E-commerce Growth
E-commerce sales at Motion are now 40% of total sales, up over 10% versus the start of 2024, driven by digital integration leveraging Gen AI.
Asia Pacific Growth
Total sales in the Asia Pacific region increased approximately 13%, with comparable sales growth of approximately 5%.
Consistent US Automotive Performance
Total sales for the US automotive market were up 4%, with notable strength and sequential improvement in auto care and major accounts.
Negative Updates
Global Automotive Segment Margin Decrease
Global Automotive segment EBITDA for the second quarter was 8.6% of sales, representing a 110 basis point decrease from the same period last year.
Tariff and Market Uncertainty
Ongoing trade and tariff uncertainty, high interest rates, and cautious consumer behavior have negatively impacted market conditions.
Lowered Full Year Earnings Guidance
Revised full-year adjusted diluted earnings per share guidance to $7.50 to $8.00, down from the previous range of $7.75 to $8.25.
Industrial Segment Challenges
The global industrial segment saw only a 1% increase in sales, with comparable sales essentially flat and ongoing challenges in markets like iron and steel, automotive, and oil and gas.
SG&A Cost Increase
Adjusted SG&A as a percentage of sales for the second quarter was 28.7%, up 150 basis points year over year, driven by salaries, wages, rent, and freight expenses.
Company Guidance
During the Genuine Parts Company's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance for the remainder of the year. Total GPC sales reached $6.2 billion, marking a 3.4% increase compared to the same period last year, driven by strategic pricing and sourcing initiatives, as well as benefits from acquisitions. The gross margin improved by 110 basis points year-over-year. However, the company revised its 2025 full-year guidance due to ongoing tariff impacts and market conditions, with expected diluted earnings per share now between $6.55 and $7.05, down from the previous outlook. Adjusted diluted EPS is anticipated to range from $7.50 to $8.00. The automotive segment is projected to see 1.5% to 3.5% total sales growth, while the industrial segment is expected to grow 1% to 3%. The company continues to focus on controlling costs, managing tariff challenges, and executing strategic initiatives to drive long-term value, with anticipated free cash flow between $700 million and $900 million for the year.

Genuine Parts Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Genuine Parts Company shows solid financial performance with steady revenue growth and strong gross margins. However, challenges include a decline in net profit margin and free cash flow, highlighting difficulties in maintaining profitability amidst rising costs. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, but the decrease in return on equity indicates challenges in generating returns.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Genuine Parts Company has demonstrated consistent revenue growth with a 2.88% increase in TTM revenue compared to the previous annual period. The gross profit margin stands at a healthy 36.88%, indicating effective cost management. Net profit margin, however, shows a decline to 3.40% in TTM from 3.85%, reflecting pressure on profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, though slightly lower compared to historical performance, reflecting resilient operational efficiency despite increased cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.37, suggesting a balanced leverage position. Stockholders' equity has been growing, supporting a stable equity ratio of 23.01%. The return on equity has decreased to 17.20% in TTM from previous levels, indicating some challenges in generating returns from equity investments. Overall, the company maintains a solid asset base with prudent leverage.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow metrics are mixed, with a significant decline in free cash flow by 63.23% in TTM, pointing to increased capital expenditures or reduced cash inflows. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 1.00, indicating effective cash conversion from operations. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has decreased to 0.31, reflecting pressure on free cash generation due to higher capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue23.77B23.49B23.09B22.10B18.87B16.54B
Gross Profit8.77B8.52B8.29B7.74B6.63B5.65B
EBITDA1.65B1.68B2.16B1.99B1.55B743.26M
Net Income808.91M904.08M1.32B1.18B898.79M-29.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.43B19.28B17.97B16.50B14.35B13.44B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments457.99M479.99M1.10B653.46M714.70M990.17M
Total Debt6.42B5.74B4.89B4.16B3.20B3.47B
Total Liabilities15.71B14.93B13.55B12.69B10.85B10.22B
Stockholders Equity4.70B4.34B4.40B3.79B3.49B3.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow251.53M683.91M922.93M1.13B992.15M1.87B
Operating Cash Flow808.45M1.25B1.44B1.47B1.26B2.02B
Investing Cash Flow-1.06B-1.51B-705.79M-1.68B-506.16M171.64M
Financing Cash Flow150.92M-333.94M-292.16M205.10M-989.53M-1.51B

Genuine Parts Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price141.25
Price Trends
50DMA
131.27
Positive
100DMA
125.88
Positive
200DMA
122.19
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.13
Positive
RSI
64.27
Neutral
STOCH
36.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GPC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 141.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 137.38, above the 50-day MA of 131.27, and above the 200-day MA of 122.19, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 64.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GPC.

Genuine Parts Company Risk Analysis

Genuine Parts Company disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Genuine Parts Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Genuine Parts Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$32.60B30.2645.34%1.50%2.96%-2.02%
78
Outperform
$69.92B28.35-14.95%5.15%1.99%
70
Neutral
$89.13B37.57-174.09%5.15%5.33%
67
Neutral
$19.65B23.4717.50%2.90%2.65%-32.91%
61
Neutral
$17.96B13.14-5.29%3.00%1.25%-13.95%
59
Neutral
$7.21B15.3767.31%0.54%-7.95%-2.60%
48
Neutral
$3.57B59.62-24.78%1.67%-22.50%-35219.23%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GPC
Genuine Parts Company
141.25
10.20
7.78%
AAP
Advance Auto Parts
60.44
21.63
55.73%
AZO
AutoZone
4,219.41
1,126.85
36.44%
MUSA
Murphy USA
387.35
-118.53
-23.43%
ORLY
O'Reilly Auto
104.84
30.23
40.52%
TSCO
Tractor Supply
60.64
7.40
13.90%

Genuine Parts Company Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Genuine Parts Company Announces Cooperation Agreement with Elliott
Positive
Sep 4, 2025

On September 4, 2025, Genuine Parts Company announced a Cooperation Agreement with Elliott Investment Management, leading to the appointment of two new independent directors, Matthew A. Carey and Court D. Carruthers, to its Board. This strategic move is part of the company’s ongoing board refreshment program aimed at enhancing operational performance and shareholder value. Concurrently, the company announced the retirement of long-serving directors John R. Holder and Robin C. Loudermilk, Jr. Additionally, retention awards and a new Severance Agreement were approved for key executives to ensure continuity during organizational changes. These developments reflect Genuine Parts Company’s commitment to advancing its long-term growth objectives and responding to shareholder interests.

Dividends
Genuine Parts Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Aug 12, 2025

On August 12, 2025, Genuine Parts Company announced that its Board of Directors declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $1.03 per share on the company’s common stock. This dividend, payable on October 2, 2025, to shareholders of record on September 5, 2025, reflects the company’s commitment to providing consistent returns to its investors, reinforcing its stable financial position in the automotive and industrial parts industry.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Genuine Parts Announces Leadership Change in North America
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 9, 2025, Genuine Parts Company announced that Randy Breaux will retire as Group President, GPC North America, effective August 1, 2025, but will remain as a strategic advisor until the end of the year to ensure a smooth transition. Alain Masse, previously President of UAP Inc., will take on the newly created role of President, North American Automotive, overseeing the company’s automotive business across the region. This leadership change is part of the company’s strategic succession planning, aiming to build on the momentum in its North American automotive business and create new commercial opportunities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 04, 2025