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Genuine Parts Company (GPC)
NYSE:GPC

Genuine Parts Company (GPC) AI Stock Analysis

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GPC

Genuine Parts Company

(NYSE:GPC)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$143.00
▲(13.95% Upside)
Genuine Parts Company shows resilience with steady revenue growth and efficient cost management, but faces challenges in profitability and cash flow stability. The earnings call provided a mixed sentiment with solid sales growth but highlighted market challenges. The stock's valuation is moderate with an attractive dividend yield, and technical indicators suggest a neutral trend.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
International Expansion
International expansion enhances market reach and diversifies revenue streams, reducing reliance on domestic markets.
Gross Margin Expansion
Improved gross margins reflect efficient cost management and pricing strategies, bolstering profitability over the long term.
Negative Factors
Increased Leverage
Higher leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth.
Cash Flow Challenges
Reduced cash flow limits the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives, posing a risk to financial stability.
Profitability Pressure
Declining profit margins suggest challenges in maintaining profitability, which could affect long-term financial health.

Genuine Parts Company (GPC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Genuine Parts Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGenuine Parts Company distributes automotive replacement parts, and industrial parts and materials. It operates through Automotive Parts Group and Industrial Parts Group segments. The company distributes automotive replacement parts for hybrid and electric vehicles, trucks, SUVs, buses, motorcycles, recreational vehicles, farm vehicles, small engines, farm equipment, marine equipment, and heavy duty equipment; and accessory and supply items used by various automotive aftermarket customers, such as repair shops, service stations, fleet operators, automobile and truck dealers, leasing companies, bus and truck lines, mass merchandisers, farms, industrial concerns, and individuals. It also distributes industrial replacement parts and related supplies, such as bearings, mechanical and electrical power transmission products, industrial automation and robotics, hoses, hydraulic and pneumatic components, industrial and safety supplies, and material handling products for original equipment manufacturer, as well as maintenance, repair, and operation customers in equipment and machinery, food and beverage, forest product, primary metal, pulp and paper, mining, automotive, oil and gas, petrochemical, pharmaceutical, power generation, alternative energy, governments, transportation, ports, and other industries. In addition, the company provides various services and repairs comprising gearbox and fluid power and process pump assembly and repair, hydraulic drive shaft repair, electrical panel assembly and repair, hose and gasket manufacture and assembly, and other value-added services. It operates in the United States, Canada, France, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Germany, Poland, the Netherlands, Belgium, Australia, New Zealand, Mexico, Indonesia, and Singapore. The company was incorporated in 1928 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyGenuine Parts Company generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling automotive parts and industrial components to repair shops, manufacturers, and retailers. The company's largest revenue segment comes from its automotive division, which supplies a vast range of parts to both professional and DIY customers. Additionally, GPC earns income through its industrial and office products segments, which include a variety of maintenance, repair, and operational supplies. The company benefits from strategic partnerships with numerous leading manufacturers, allowing it to distribute high-demand products. Furthermore, GPC's extensive distribution network and logistics capabilities enable efficient delivery, enhancing customer satisfaction and repeat business, which are crucial for sustaining its revenue growth.

Genuine Parts Company Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Number of Locations
Number of Locations
Counts the total outlets or branches, reflecting the company's market presence and potential for customer reach and service delivery.
Chart InsightsGenuine Parts Company is experiencing a strategic shift in its distribution and service center locations. While distribution centers have seen a decline, branches and service centers are stabilizing after previous fluctuations. Retail locations continue to grow steadily, reflecting a focus on expanding retail presence. The earnings call highlights challenges such as tariffs and cost pressures, which may influence future location strategies. Despite these hurdles, the company remains committed to strategic initiatives, including leveraging e-commerce growth, which could offset some physical location pressures.
Data provided by:The Fly

Genuine Parts Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 21, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted solid growth in sales and EBITDA, with significant achievements in international expansion and cost management. However, challenges remain in certain markets, particularly in Europe, and due to inflation and tariff uncertainties. The sentiment is mixed with an overall cautious outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Sales and EBITDA Growth
Total GPC sales were $6.3 billion, an increase of approximately 5% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA was up 10% year-over-year with improved EBITDA margins in both Automotive and Industrial segments.
Gross Margin Expansion
The gross margin expanded by 60 basis points from the previous year, driven by strategic pricing and sourcing initiatives.
U.S. Automotive and Motion Segment Improvements
Sequential improvement in comparable sales growth in U.S. Automotive and Motion segments.
International Expansion
Double-digit growth in Asia Pacific and a definitive agreement to acquire Benson Auto Parts in Canada.
High Corporate Account Renewal Rate
In 2025, corporate account customer renewal rate was 98% with 30 new contracts won year-to-date.
Negative Updates
Challenging Market Conditions in Europe
Total sales in Europe were flat in local currency with comparable sales down approximately 2%, below expectations.
Inflationary Pressures and Tariff Uncertainties
Persistent inflationary cost pressures from wages, rent, and tariffs. Tariff environment remains fluid, impacting costs.
Softer Demand in Certain Industrial Markets
Soft demand was noted in pulp and paper, lumber and wood, and oil and gas sectors.
Independent Store Inventory Levels
Independent owners are cautious about inventory replenishment due to elevated interest rates, impacting sales dynamics.
Company Guidance
During the Genuine Parts Company's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a 5% increase in total sales to $6.3 billion, with a gross margin expansion of 60 basis points. Adjusted EBITDA rose by 10% year-over-year, and adjusted diluted earnings per share reached $1.98, marking a 5% increase from the previous year. The Global Industrial segment saw sales grow by 5% to $2.3 billion, with comparable sales up 4%, while the Global Automotive segment experienced a 5% sales increase with a 2% rise in comparable sales. The company highlighted ongoing challenges such as tariffs, elevated interest rates, and cautious consumer behavior, but noted resilience and strategic initiatives as drivers of performance. Looking ahead, Genuine Parts Company updated its 2025 guidance, narrowing the adjusted diluted earnings per share range to $7.50 to $7.75, with expectations of continued sales growth and gross margin expansion. The company is also focused on managing costs and leveraging strategic investments to drive long-term growth.

Genuine Parts Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Genuine Parts Company shows steady revenue growth and efficient cost management, but faces challenges in maintaining profitability and cash flow stability. The balance sheet remains stable, though leverage has increased.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Genuine Parts Company shows a consistent revenue growth trend, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.22%. The gross profit margin has slightly improved to 37.03% in TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 3.36% from 3.85% in the previous year, reflecting potential challenges in maintaining profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also slightly declined, suggesting pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 1.34 in TTM, indicating a moderate level of leverage. Return on equity has decreased to 17.69% from 20.84% in the previous year, showing a decline in profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio remains stable, reflecting a balanced capital structure. Overall, the balance sheet shows stability but with increased leverage risk.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Free cash flow has significantly decreased by 46.92% in TTM, indicating potential liquidity challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.07, suggesting limited cash generation from operations relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio has also declined, reflecting reduced cash conversion efficiency. These factors highlight potential risks in cash flow sustainability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue24.06B23.49B23.09B22.10B18.87B16.54B
Gross Profit8.91B8.52B8.29B7.74B6.63B5.65B
EBITDA1.67B1.68B2.16B1.99B1.55B743.26M
Net Income808.50M904.08M1.32B1.18B898.79M-29.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.69B19.28B17.97B16.50B14.35B13.44B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments431.36M479.99M1.10B653.46M714.70M990.17M
Total Debt6.40B5.74B4.89B4.16B3.20B3.47B
Total Liabilities15.89B14.93B13.55B12.69B10.85B10.22B
Stockholders Equity4.79B4.34B4.40B3.79B3.49B3.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow133.52M683.91M922.93M1.13B992.15M1.87B
Operating Cash Flow665.72M1.25B1.44B1.47B1.26B2.02B
Investing Cash Flow-750.28M-1.51B-705.79M-1.68B-506.16M171.64M
Financing Cash Flow-552.48M-333.94M-292.16M205.10M-989.53M-1.51B

Genuine Parts Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price125.49
Price Trends
50DMA
127.91
Negative
100DMA
131.89
Negative
200DMA
125.82
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.69
Positive
RSI
43.89
Neutral
STOCH
9.49
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GPC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 125.49 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 128.50, below the 50-day MA of 127.91, and below the 200-day MA of 125.82, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.69 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.49 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GPC.

Genuine Parts Company Risk Analysis

Genuine Parts Company disclosed 18 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Genuine Parts Company reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Genuine Parts Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$27.29B24.9345.46%1.80%4.26%0.73%
69
Neutral
$17.46B21.6217.05%3.33%3.26%-25.41%
68
Neutral
$7.69B17.3068.48%0.53%-6.08%-2.40%
66
Neutral
$78.00B32.016.19%6.98%
63
Neutral
$57.26B24.103.81%-4.26%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
48
Neutral
$2.47B-6.51-23.85%2.53%-19.41%-957.94%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GPC
Genuine Parts Company
125.49
12.18
10.75%
AAP
Advance Auto Parts
41.12
-1.96
-4.55%
AZO
AutoZone
3,456.02
214.40
6.61%
MUSA
Murphy USA
410.29
-92.25
-18.36%
ORLY
O'Reilly Auto
92.40
12.58
15.76%
TSCO
Tractor Supply
51.65
-2.01
-3.75%

Genuine Parts Company Corporate Events

Dividends
Genuine Parts Declares Quarterly Dividend of $1.03
Positive
Nov 17, 2025

On November 17, 2025, Genuine Parts Company announced that its Board of Directors declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $1.03 per share on the company’s common stock, payable on January 5, 2026, to shareholders of record on December 5, 2025. This announcement underscores the company’s commitment to providing consistent returns to its shareholders and may positively impact its market positioning by reinforcing investor confidence.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025