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Barnes & Noble Education (BNED)
NYSE:BNED

Barnes & Noble Education (BNED) AI Stock Analysis

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BNED

Barnes & Noble Education

(NYSE:BNED)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$9.50
▲(9.07% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance—continued net losses and a sharp 2025 cash burn outweigh balance-sheet improvement. Technicals provide partial support with price trading above key moving averages and positive MACD, while valuation signals are constrained by a loss-driven negative P/E and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Despite financial challenges, the company shows modest revenue growth, indicating potential for market expansion and product adoption.
Equity Improvements
Improvement in stockholders' equity suggests better financial health and potential for increased investor confidence in the long term.
Digital Solutions Potential
The Digital Student Solutions segment offers growth potential through digital learning tools, aligning with increasing demand for online education.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses a risk to financial stability, limiting flexibility and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns.
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues hinder the company's ability to reinvest in growth and improve shareholder value, impacting long-term viability.
Cash Flow Issues
Negative cash flow indicates liquidity challenges, necessitating external financing and potentially affecting operational sustainability.

Barnes & Noble Education (BNED) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Barnes & Noble Education Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBarnes & Noble Education, Inc. operates bookstores for college and university campuses, and K-12 institutions in the United States. It operates through three segments: Retail, Wholesale, and Digital Student Solutions. The company sells and rents new and used print textbooks, digital textbooks, and publisher hosted digital courseware through physical and virtual bookstores, as well as directly to students through Textbooks.com. It also offers First Day and First Day Complete access programs; BNC OER+, a turnkey solution for colleges and universities, that offers digital content, such as videos, activities, and auto-graded practice assessments; and general merchandise, including collegiate and athletic apparel, school spirit products, lifestyle products, technology products, supplies, graduation products, and convenience items. In addition, the company sources, sells, and distributes new and used textbooks; and sells hardware and a software suite of applications that provides inventory management and point-of-sale solutions to approximately 350 college bookstores. Further, it offers direct-to-student subscription-based writing services; and bartleby, a direct-to-student subscription-based offering that includes textbook solutions, expert questions and answers, and writing and tutoring services. The company operates 805 physical college and university bookstores; 622 virtual bookstores; 8 True Spirit e-commerce websites; pop-up retail locations; 73 customized cafés and 11 stand-alone convenience stores; and a media channel for brands targeting the college demographic. Barnes & Noble Education, Inc. was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Basking Ridge, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyBarnes & Noble Education generates revenue through various streams. The Retail segment, which includes the operation of campus bookstores, is a significant revenue driver, providing both physical and digital educational materials to students and faculty. BNED also earns from its Wholesale segment, which involves the distribution of textbooks to a variety of customers. Additionally, the Digital Student Solutions segment contributes to the company's earnings by offering digital learning solutions and tools that support online education. Key partnerships with educational institutions and technology providers help expand BNED's market reach and enhance its revenue potential.

Barnes & Noble Education Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue By Segment
Revenue By Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Barnes & Noble Education Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 06, 2023
(Q2-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a period of solid growth and strategic progress for BNED, particularly in its First Day Complete and subscription-like revenue models, which have led to significant EBITDA growth and operational efficiencies. Despite some challenges in general merchandise sales and retail gross margin, the overall sentiment of the call is positive due to the successful implementation of cost-saving measures and the strategic transition to more predictable revenue streams.
Q2-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Growth in First Day Complete Revenue
First Day Complete revenue increased 52% year-over-year to $136 million. Combined First Day programs revenue reached $199 million, marking a 39% growth.
Significant Increase in Adjusted EBITDA
Consolidated adjusted EBITDA increased by 28% to $50.3 million, driven by a $13 million decrease in S&A expenses.
Cost Savings Achieved
Achieved planned $30 million to $35 million of annualized cost savings, contributing to improved profitability.
Positive Transition to Subscription Model
First Day and First Day Complete revenues are approaching 50% of course material revenue, offsetting declines in the à la carte model by $30 million on a year-to-date basis.
Retail Segment Performance
Retail adjusted EBITDA increased by 23% with course material comparable store sales growth of 5.8%.
Negative Updates
Decline in General Merchandise Sales
Comparable store sales for general merchandise declined by 1.7%, primarily due to declines in trade books and cafe and convenience items.
Retail Gross Margin Decline
Retail gross margin decreased by 70 basis points to 20.9%, due to higher markdowns and a higher percentage of lower-margin digital course material sales.
Company Guidance
During the Barnes & Noble Education (BNED) Fiscal 2024 2nd Quarter Earnings Call, the company provided several key metrics and insights into its performance and future guidance. The highlight of the quarter was the significant growth in the First Day Complete (FDC) program, which saw a 52% year-over-year revenue increase to $136 million, contributing to a total First Day programs revenue of $199 million. This growth helped offset declines in traditional à la carte courseware sales, with the First Day Complete and First Day revenues approaching 50% of the total course material revenue. This strategic shift has led to improved revenue visibility and operational efficiency, despite the company operating 128 fewer stores. The quarter's total revenue reached $610.4 million, marking a slight increase of 0.3% from the previous year, while consolidated adjusted EBITDA rose by 28.3% to $50.3 million, driven by a $13 million reduction in selling and administrative expenses. Looking ahead, BNED maintains its fiscal 2024 adjusted EBITDA guidance of approximately $40 million, expecting continued growth from its retail segment and ongoing cost reduction initiatives.

Barnes & Noble Education Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Barnes & Noble Education faces significant financial headwinds, with persistent losses and high leverage. While there are signs of slight improvements in some metrics, such as revenue growth and equity improvements, profitability and cash flow remain major areas of concern. The company's financial stability is under pressure, demanding strategic actions to enhance operational efficiency and financial structure.
Income Statement
34
Negative
The income statement reveals substantial challenges with profitability, indicated by negative EBIT and net income over recent periods. Despite slight revenue growth in some periods, the company has struggled to achieve positive profit margins. The TTM data shows a slight improvement in EBIT margin, but overall profitability remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a high level of debt relative to equity, resulting in a concerning debt-to-equity ratio. Although stockholders' equity has improved in the latest TTM, it still poses financial stability risks. The equity ratio indicates a moderate level of equity financing, but leverage remains a critical issue.
Cash Flow
27
Negative
Cash flow analysis highlights negative operating and free cash flow, indicating liquidity challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is weak, and the company has not consistently generated positive free cash flow, which is crucial for sustaining operations without external financing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.61B1.61B1.57B1.54B1.50B1.41B
Gross Profit337.80M337.80M356.78M349.44M342.83M230.34M
EBITDA-6.18M-6.18M18.63M-24.26M-18.11M-88.69M
Net Income-65.83M-65.83M-63.21M-101.86M-68.86M-131.79M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets790.28M790.28M905.08M980.78M1.07B1.04B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.06M9.06M10.46M14.22M10.39M8.02M
Total Debt283.12M180.02M440.74M466.88M542.44M454.89M
Total Liabilities518.10M518.10M834.50M850.03M843.18M737.38M
Stockholders Equity272.19M272.19M70.58M130.75M228.37M301.03M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-98.31M-98.31M-19.19M66.58M-41.47M-4.34M
Operating Cash Flow-85.41M-85.41M-5.12M91.67M1.16M32.88M
Investing Cash Flow-12.10M-12.10M7.40M-31.04M-42.66M-36.88M
Financing Cash Flow97.67M97.67M-5.70M-49.67M45.72M11.80M

Barnes & Noble Education Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.71
Price Trends
50DMA
8.49
Positive
100DMA
8.81
Positive
200DMA
9.55
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
52.04
Neutral
STOCH
62.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BNED, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.71 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.82, above the 50-day MA of 8.49, and below the 200-day MA of 9.55, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BNED.

Barnes & Noble Education Risk Analysis

Barnes & Noble Education disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Barnes & Noble Education reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Barnes & Noble Education Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$969.75M36.7014.56%31.20%38.38%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
53
Neutral
$457.96M42.735.17%-8.47%
51
Neutral
$283.32M-1.35-67.22%-8.07%-2206.16%
49
Neutral
$301.38M-1.501.38%63.65%
48
Neutral
$168.65M-0.66-219.20%-6.32%28.82%
45
Neutral
$469.55M-2.56-72.72%-27.23%62.19%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BNED
Barnes & Noble Education
8.94
-2.22
-19.89%
FLWS
1-800 Flowers
4.66
-3.48
-42.75%
LQDT
Liquidity Services
31.83
-2.73
-7.90%
BBBY
Bed Bath & Beyond
7.20
1.32
22.45%
LE
Lands' End
15.88
2.83
21.69%
CHPT
ChargePoint Holdings
6.89
-14.71
-68.10%

Barnes & Noble Education Corporate Events

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Barnes & Noble Education Concludes Financial Investigation
Neutral
Nov 25, 2025

Barnes & Noble Education‘s Audit Committee concluded an investigation into improper financial reporting practices by a former employee, who made unsupported journal entries to reduce the cost of sales for fiscal years 2024 and 2025. The investigation found no evidence of financial gain by the employee, and the company also addressed revenue recognition issues for the third fiscal quarter of 2025, which were corrected in the fourth quarter.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025