QVC Group (QVCGA) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $81.83M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 105.25K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.08
• Revenue Growth: -7.21%
• EPS Growth: -1200.27%
• Country: US
• Employees: 18,984
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Specialty Retail
• EPS (TTM): -9.92
• Shares Outstanding: 7,886,235
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 82,619
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 105,246
• PEG Ratio: >-0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): -0.16
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.02
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.53
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 74.46
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.64
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 1.87
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 6.79
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 41 Neutral
• Price Target: $8.00 ▼(-1.84% Downside)

The score is primarily driven by weak financial performance—sharp losses, declining revenue, and negative equity/high leverage. Technical indicators also lean bearish (below key moving averages and negative MACD), with only an oversold signal offering limited offset. Valuation is constrained by negative earnings and the absence of a dividend yield.

Positive Factors

Diversified sales channels

QVC's mix of live TV, online e-commerce, subscription services and partner revenue creates multi-channel distribution. This durable model broadens customer reach, smooths demand cycles across channels, and enables cross-selling that supports revenue resilience over months.

Brand and influencer partnerships

Established partnerships and influencer relationships supply exclusive products, co-marketing and revenue-sharing that differentiate offerings. These structural ties enhance product supply, customer acquisition and conversion efficiency versus purely commodity retailing over the medium term.

Improving free cash flow growth

A large year-over-year improvement in free cash flow suggests better cash conversion or working capital management. Sustained FCF growth can fund operations, deleveraging or strategic investments, improving financial flexibility if the trend continues beyond short-term adjustments.

Negative Factors

Declining revenue trend

Persistently falling revenue undermines scale economics and makes recovery harder in retail. Structural top-line weakness limits margins, reduces bargaining power with suppliers and constrains reinvestment capacity, making multi-quarter operational turnarounds more challenging.

Deep negative profitability

Very large negative margins indicate the core business does not cover operating costs. Continued deep losses erode capital, force cost cuts or asset sales, and make sustainable reinvestment or growth unlikely without significant structural changes or margin improvement.

Stressed balance sheet and leverage

Negative equity and high leverage materially constrain financial flexibility, raising refinancing and covenant risk. This structural weakness limits the company's ability to invest, pursue M&A, or withstand prolonged downturns without external capital or deleveraging.

QVC Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

QVC Group Inc. is a media and e-commerce company that owns and operates a portfolio of retail brands, including QVC, HSN, and Zulily. The company specializes in video commerce, leveraging television, digital streaming, and online platforms to engage consumers and drive sales. QVC Group Inc. focuses on interactive shopping experiences, offering a wide range of products across fashion, home, electronics, and beauty categories.

How the Company Makes Money

QVC Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of products featured during its televised broadcasts and online platforms. The company earns money from direct product sales, where customers purchase items showcased by hosts and guest experts. Additionally, QVC benefits from subscription-based services and exclusive partnerships with various brands, which often include revenue-sharing agreements. The company also leverages its e-commerce capabilities to attract online shoppers, further enhancing its revenue streams. Significant partnerships with well-known brands and influencers help drive consumer interest and sales, contributing to QVC's overall earnings.

QVC Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary

QVC Group is facing significant financial challenges, with declining revenues, negative profitability, and high leverage. The income statement shows substantial losses, and the balance sheet indicates financial instability with negative equity. Although there is some improvement in cash flow, the overall financial health remains weak.

Income Statement

QVC Group's income statement reveals significant challenges. The company has experienced declining revenues over the past few years, with a negative revenue growth rate of -1.36% in the TTM. Margins are under pressure, with a negative net profit margin of -37.71% and EBIT margin of -35.54% in the TTM, indicating substantial losses. The gross profit margin has also decreased from previous years, reflecting reduced profitability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a concerning financial structure, with a negative stockholders' equity and a high debt-to-equity ratio of -2.28 in the TTM. This indicates significant leverage and financial instability. Return on equity is positive at 320.26% due to negative equity, but this is misleading as it reflects losses rather than profitability. The equity ratio is also negative, highlighting the company's financial distress.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows some improvement, with a free cash flow growth rate of 42.86% in the TTM. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.16, indicating limited cash generation relative to net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also low at 5.43%, suggesting challenges in converting earnings into cash flow.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	9.50B	10.04B	10.91B	12.11B	14.04B	14.18B
Gross Profit	3.27B	3.51B	3.69B	3.69B	4.81B	4.89B
EBITDA	897.00M	1.07B	931.00M	1.08B	1.99B	2.02B
Net Income	-3.69B	-1.29B	-145.00M	-2.59B	340.00M	1.20B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	7.56B	9.24B	11.37B	12.57B	16.20B	17.00B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.86B	905.00M	1.12B	1.27B	587.00M	806.00M
Total Debt	7.75B	5.57B	5.96B	6.87B	7.29B	7.49B
Total Liabilities	10.54B	10.13B	10.88B	12.05B	13.22B	13.27B
Stockholders Equity	-3.07B	-971.00M	385.00M	412.00M	2.85B	3.60B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	20.00M	289.00M	576.00M	-119.00M	794.00M	2.14B
Operating Cash Flow	242.00M	525.00M	919.00M	194.00M	1.23B	2.46B
Investing Cash Flow	-279.00M	-225.00M	-54.00M	601.00M	-501.00M	-161.00M
Financing Cash Flow	1.01B	-498.00M	-1.01B	-72.00M	-914.00M	-2.18B

QVC Group Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 8.15
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For QVCGA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.15 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.44, below the 50-day MA of 9.41, and above the 200-day MA of 7.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for QVCGA.

QVC Group Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ASO	67 Neutral	$3.88B	10.62	18.34%	1.04%	-0.65%	-10.35%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
BBWI	53 Neutral	$4.79B	7.19	―	4.16%	-1.04%	-20.88%
FLWS	51 Neutral	$296.69M	―	-67.22%	―	-8.07%	-2206.16%
BNED	49 Neutral	$304.44M	-1.47	―	―	1.38%	63.65%
CHPT	48 Neutral	$162.97M	-0.67	-219.20%	―	-6.32%	28.82%
QVCGA	41 Neutral	$81.83M	-0.02	―	―	-7.21%	-1200.27%