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Marinemax (HZO)
NYSE:HZO
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Marinemax (HZO) AI Stock Analysis

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HZO

Marinemax

(NYSE:HZO)

Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$24.50
▼(-3.43% Downside)
MarineMax's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance, characterized by declining revenue, negative profitability margins, and high leverage. Technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, further weighing on the score. Valuation concerns due to a negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield also contribute to the low score. Despite some positive aspects from the earnings call, such as cost-cutting and resilience in certain sectors, these are overshadowed by broader financial challenges.
Positive Factors
Earnings
HZO beat 2Q25 expectations, with the stock up nearly 10% at the open.
Financial Performance
Comps rose 11% - a positive surprise and a new quarterly record.
Gross Margins
Gross margins are staying above 30% as its SYD and non-traditional dealers’ services are increasingly integrated into its ecosystem.
Negative Factors
Guidance
HZO is reducing its guidance citing increased uncertainty from tariffs and shifts in retail trends.
Retail Environment
Disruptions from Hurricanes Helene and Milton compounded an already soft retail environment in a -11% same-store comp.
Stock Performance
The stock is down -37% YTD.

Marinemax (HZO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Marinemax Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMarineMax, Inc. (HZO) is a leading recreational boat and yacht retailer in the United States, specializing in the sale of new and used boats, yachts, and marine products. The company operates through a network of retail locations across the country and offers a wide range of services, including boat financing, insurance, and maintenance. MarineMax is known for its strong portfolio of premium brands, including Sea Ray, Boston Whaler, and Grady-White, catering to both recreational boaters and luxury yacht consumers.
How the Company Makes MoneyMarineMax generates revenue primarily through the sale of new and used boats, which constitutes the bulk of its income. The company also earns significant revenue from parts and accessories sales, as well as from service and maintenance offerings provided at its retail locations. In addition, MarineMax has established partnerships with financing and insurance companies, allowing it to facilitate customer financing and insurance solutions, which further contributes to its earnings. Seasonal demand, customer loyalty programs, and a strong online presence also play crucial roles in enhancing the company's revenue streams.

Marinemax Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.87%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call highlighted strong resilience in higher-margin sectors and successful cost-cutting efforts. However, significant challenges remain, including decreased revenue, margin pressures, and economic uncertainty leading to revised financial guidance.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Resilience in Higher-Margin Businesses
Despite challenges, the company maintained a gross margin above 30% thanks to strong performance in Finance and Insurance, Superyacht Services, and Marina operations.
Cost-Cutting Initiatives
Adjusted SG&A expenses were reduced by nearly $11 million year-to-date, with a 4% decrease in the third quarter alone.
Growth in Newcoast Financial
The finance and insurance operation saw growth through technology use and expanded partnerships.
Successful Marina Developments
IGY celebrated the opening of the Savannah Harbor Marina and will manage the Wynn Al Marjan Island Marina in UAE.
Record Number of New Models
Intrepid and Cruisers are set to launch a record number of new models in the coming months.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Revenue and Sales
Third quarter revenue fell short at $657 million with same-store sales down 9%, largely due to lower new boat sales.
Gross Margin Pressure
New boat margins are near historic lows, with gross margins on boats as low as seen since the financial crisis.
Noncash Goodwill Impairment Charge
A noncash goodwill impairment charge of over $69 million was recorded due to macroeconomic uncertainty.
Revised Full-Year Guidance
Full-year adjusted net income guidance was revised to $0.45 to $0.95 per diluted share, with adjusted EBITDA expected between $105 million and $120 million.
Ongoing Tariff-Related Uncertainty
Tariff-related volatility continues to affect consumer confidence and retail activity.
Impact of Economic Uncertainty
Economic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions have led to soft retail demand and delayed purchases.
Company Guidance
During the MarineMax fiscal 2025 third-quarter conference call, management revised their guidance for the full fiscal year due to a challenging economic environment. The company now anticipates adjusted net income in the range of $0.45 to $0.95 per diluted share and adjusted EBITDA between $105 million and $120 million. The quarter's revenue fell short of expectations at $657 million, with same-store sales down 9%. Despite these challenges, MarineMax maintained a gross margin above 30% due to the strong performance of their higher-margin businesses. The company reported a noncash goodwill impairment charge of over $69 million, impacting their GAAP net loss. They also highlighted cost reduction efforts, which resulted in adjusted SG&A expenses decreasing by about 4%. Looking ahead, MarineMax remains focused on disciplined execution and investing in higher-margin businesses to enhance future profitability.

Marinemax Financial Statement Overview

Summary
MarineMax is facing significant financial headwinds, with declining revenue and profitability margins turning negative. High leverage in the balance sheet raises concerns about the company's financial stability, especially with negative free cash flow and net income. While operating cash flow showed some improvement, overall financial health needs careful management to navigate potential risks and improve financial stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company experienced a decline in revenue from the previous year, with a negative revenue growth rate of approximately -4.56% in the TTM. The gross profit margin stands at 32.41%, showing a decrease compared to previous years, while the net profit margin turned negative at -1.15%, indicating a concerning drop in profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins also declined, reflecting challenges in operational efficiency and profitability.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 0.93, indicating significant leverage, which could pose a risk if revenue trends continue to decline. The equity ratio is at 37.80%, showing a moderate level of equity financing. Return on equity is negative at -2.85%, highlighting a loss in generating returns for shareholders in the TTM.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Operating cash flow improved to $10.57 million in the TTM, but free cash flow remains negative at -$53.58 million. The free cash flow to net income ratio is concerning, as net income has turned negative. This poses potential liquidity challenges, impacting the company's flexibility in managing its financial commitments and investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.32B2.43B2.39B2.31B2.06B1.51B
Gross Profit751.98M801.20M835.33M805.75M659.43M398.71M
EBITDA70.62M172.71M241.83M284.62M225.06M119.49M
Net Income-26.78M38.07M109.28M197.99M154.98M74.63M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.49B2.61B2.42B1.35B1.01B775.32M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments151.02M224.33M201.46M228.27M222.19M155.49M
Total Debt873.12M1.23B1.09B279.56M182.55M192.06M
Total Liabilities1.54B1.62B1.50B570.11M412.93M319.92M
Stockholders Equity940.53M975.79M915.84M782.67M594.89M455.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-53.58M-86.08M-287.64M18.14M347.76M291.87M
Operating Cash Flow10.57M-25.66M-222.24M76.59M373.88M304.68M
Investing Cash Flow-58.59M-81.35M-576.37M-140.45M-161.13M-30.11M
Financing Cash Flow-44.72M128.51M770.40M73.06M-145.74M-158.13M

Marinemax Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price25.37
Price Trends
50DMA
24.83
Positive
100DMA
23.06
Positive
200DMA
25.85
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Negative
RSI
56.07
Neutral
STOCH
85.43
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HZO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 25.37 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.82, above the 50-day MA of 24.83, and below the 200-day MA of 25.85, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.43 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HZO.

Marinemax Risk Analysis

Marinemax disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Marinemax reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Marinemax Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$17.85B15.9240.22%2.08%3.33%15.47%
75
Outperform
$6.13B17.8024.98%3.05%9.80%-6.33%
72
Outperform
$16.17B43.6276.24%7.64%369.79%
72
Outperform
$3.64B10.1020.14%0.88%-3.57%-17.43%
69
Neutral
$15.16B17.5330.21%5.28%-3.23%-28.11%
61
Neutral
$17.23B11.51-5.97%3.09%1.47%-15.79%
46
Neutral
$553.12M11.13-2.81%-5.78%-158.53%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HZO
Marinemax
25.37
-5.50
-17.82%
BBY
Best Buy Co
71.63
-9.73
-11.96%
DKS
Dick's Sporting Goods
223.97
4.34
1.98%
CHWY
Chewy
40.49
13.39
49.41%
ASO
Academy Sports and Outdoors
54.02
-0.12
-0.22%
MNSO
MINISO Group Holding
19.73
4.70
31.27%

Marinemax Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
MarineMax Appoints Odilon Almeida to Board
Neutral
Aug 6, 2025

On August 4, 2025, Clint Moore and Evelyn Follit resigned from the MarineMax Board of Directors, and Odilon Almeida was appointed as a new independent director and member of the Audit Committee. Almeida brings over 40 years of international business expertise and will support MarineMax’s strategic growth initiatives. The board now consists of eight directors, six of whom are independent, reflecting a continued focus on strong corporate governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (HZO) stock is a Buy with a $44.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Marinemax stock, see the HZO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 13, 2025