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Marinemax (HZO)
NYSE:HZO

Marinemax (HZO) AI Stock Analysis

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HZO

Marinemax

(NYSE:HZO)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$26.00
▲(6.12% Upside)
MarineMax's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, with declining revenue and profitability being the most impactful factors. Technical analysis shows some short-term bullish momentum, but valuation remains a concern due to negative earnings. Recent corporate events and strategic initiatives provide some optimism for future growth, but macroeconomic pressures and liquidity concerns weigh heavily on the overall outlook.
Positive Factors
Diversified Business Model
MarineMax's focus on diversified revenue streams like finance, insurance, and marina operations supports margin stability and resilience.
Strategic Leadership Changes
Leadership changes aim to enhance growth in the yacht market, strengthening MarineMax's market presence and client relationships.
Technology and Digital Initiatives
Strong growth in the Boatyard platform highlights MarineMax's technology leadership, supporting long-term expansion and customer engagement.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Revenue decline indicates challenges in maintaining sales growth, necessitating strategic adjustments to stabilize financial performance.
High Leverage
High leverage can strain financial flexibility, posing risks to cash flow and limiting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Low Boat Margins
Persistently low boat margins due to inventory levels and retail challenges can impact profitability and require strategic pricing adjustments.

Marinemax (HZO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Marinemax Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMarineMax, Inc. operates as a recreational boat and yacht retailer and superyacht services company in the United States. It operates through two segments, Retail Operations and Product Manufacturing. The company sells new and used recreational boats, including pleasure and fishing boats, mega-yachts, yachts, sport cruisers, motor yachts, pontoon boats, ski boats, jet boats, and other recreational boats. It also offers marine parts and accessories comprising marine electronics; dock and anchoring products that include boat fenders, lines, and anchors; boat covers; trailer parts; water sport accessories, which comprise tubes, lines, wakeboards, and skis; engine parts; oils; lubricants; steering and control systems; corrosion control products and service products; high-performance accessories, including propellers and instruments; and a line of boating accessories, such as life jackets, inflatables, and water sports equipment. In addition, the company provides novelty items, such as shirts, caps, and license plates; marine engines and equipment; maintenance, repair, and slip and storage accommodation services; and boat or yacht brokerage services, as well as charters yachts and power catamarans. Further, it offers new or used boat finance services; arranges insurance coverage, including boat property, disability, undercoating, gel sealant, fabric protection, and casualty insurance coverage; and manufactures and sells sport yachts and yachts. Additionally, the company operates vacations in Tortola, British Virgin Islands. It also markets and sells its products through offsite locations and print catalog. The company has 79 retail locations in Alabama, California, Connecticut, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Texas, Washington, and Wisconsin. MarineMax, Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is based in Clearwater, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyMarineMax generates revenue primarily through the sale of boats, including popular brands such as Sea Ray, Boston Whaler, and Scout. The company earns significant income from the sale of marine accessories and related products, as well as from financing and insurance services for boat purchases. Additionally, MarineMax has a robust service department that provides maintenance and repair services, contributing to its recurring revenue streams. The company also benefits from partnerships with various manufacturers and finance companies, which enhance its product offerings and customer financing options.

Marinemax Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with significant achievements in technology and strategic initiatives, but also faced challenges with revenue decline and low boat margins due to macroeconomic headwinds. Despite strong same-store sales growth and gross margin expansion, the overall performance was tempered by a net loss and industry-wide pressures.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Same-Store Sales Growth
MarineMax achieved same-store sales growth of more than 2% in Q4, driven by growth in used boat revenue, finance and insurance, parts and service, and contributions from superyacht services and marina operations.
Gross Margin Expansion
Despite pressures, gross margins expanded to 34.7% in Q4, supported by a diversified business model focusing on higher-margin businesses such as finance and insurance, parts and service, superyacht services, and marina operations.
Boatyard Platform Success
The Boatyard platform saw active subscriber growth increase by more than 160% over the past twelve months, highlighting MarineMax's technology leadership and potential for continued expansion.
Successful Presence at Fort Lauderdale International Boat Show
MarineMax had a significant presence at the Boat Show, setting post-COVID records in terms of units and dollars, and showcasing new, innovative models.
Strategic Board Appointments
MarineMax added two distinguished new members to its board of directors, Odilon Almeda and Dan Shiapa, both with proven track records in driving innovation and scaling complex global operations.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
For fiscal 2025, revenue was $2.31 billion, reflecting a same-store sales decline of just over 2% due to a challenging industry environment, and overall revenue declined 5% due to strategic store and brand optimization efforts.
Net Loss in Q4
MarineMax reported a net loss of just under $1 million or $0.04 per share in Q4, consistent with the adjusted loss per share.
Low Boat Margins
Boat margins are at historically low levels, second lowest in 27 years, with margins down by 300 to 350 basis points below normal due to elevated inventory levels and a challenging retail environment.
Challenging Macroeconomic Conditions
Elevated interest rates, persistent inflation, and geopolitical tensions have led to many consumers deferring boat purchases, impacting MarineMax's financial performance.
Company Guidance
During the MarineMax Fiscal 2025 Fourth Quarter and Full Year Conference Call, the company provided guidance for fiscal 2026, projecting adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $110 million to $125 million, with adjusted net income expected between $0.40 and $0.95 per diluted share. The guidance assumes slight variations in industry units and anticipates continued pressure on retail margins through the fiscal second quarter due to elevated inventory levels. However, margins are expected to stabilize in the latter half of the year. Same-store sales growth is projected to be flat to slightly positive, supported by the company's strategic focus on higher-margin businesses and diversified revenue streams such as finance and insurance, parts and service, and marina operations. The company also plans to maintain annual consolidated gross margins in the low 30s, leveraging its diversified business model to navigate macroeconomic challenges. The outlook excludes potential impacts from large acquisitions or unforeseen economic developments.

Marinemax Financial Statement Overview

Summary
MarineMax is facing financial headwinds with declining revenue and profitability, high leverage, and cash flow challenges. The company needs to focus on improving operational efficiency, managing debt levels, and enhancing cash flow generation to stabilize its financial position and support future growth.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Marinemax's income statement shows a concerning trend with declining revenue and profitability. The revenue growth rate has turned negative, and the net profit margin has decreased significantly, resulting in a net loss for the latest period. The gross profit margin remains relatively stable, but the EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, indicating operational challenges. These factors suggest a need for strategic adjustments to improve financial performance.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a moderate level of financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved slightly, indicating better leverage management, but remains relatively high. Return on equity has turned negative, reflecting the recent net loss. The equity ratio shows a reasonable level of equity financing, but overall, the balance sheet suggests a need for cautious financial management to mitigate risks associated with high leverage.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals significant challenges, with a substantial decline in free cash flow growth and operating cash flow coverage. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating inefficiencies in converting income to cash. While the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, the overall cash flow situation suggests liquidity concerns that need to be addressed to ensure sustainable operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.32B2.31B2.43B2.39B2.31B
Gross Profit751.98M750.23M801.20M835.33M805.75M
EBITDA132.57M83.34M169.68M244.21M290.42M
Net Income-26.78M-31.63M38.07M109.28M197.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.49B2.47B2.61B2.42B1.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments151.02M170.35M224.33M201.46M228.27M
Total Debt1.27B1.25B1.23B1.09B279.56M
Total Liabilities1.54B1.52B1.62B1.50B570.11M
Stockholders Equity940.53M937.19M975.79M915.84M782.67M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-53.58M11.94M-86.08M-287.64M18.14M
Operating Cash Flow10.57M72.81M-25.66M-222.24M76.59M
Investing Cash Flow-58.59M-55.62M-81.35M-576.37M-140.45M
Financing Cash Flow-44.72M-71.98M128.51M770.40M73.06M

Marinemax Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price24.50
Price Trends
50DMA
24.52
Negative
100DMA
25.09
Negative
200DMA
24.04
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.18
Positive
RSI
50.18
Neutral
STOCH
17.81
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HZO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 24.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.53, below the 50-day MA of 24.52, and above the 200-day MA of 24.04, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.81 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HZO.

Marinemax Risk Analysis

Marinemax disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Marinemax reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Marinemax Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$746.97M13.2641.18%1.52%6.16%15.74%
73
Outperform
$515.71M9.8579.76%8.47%-7.03%1.04%
72
Outperform
$948.91M35.7114.56%31.20%38.38%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
0.60%-8.92%
51
Neutral
$535.80M-15.81-3.31%-5.01%-188.86%
50
Neutral
$324.87M-1.611.38%63.65%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HZO
Marinemax
24.50
-4.16
-14.52%
BBW
BuildABear Workshop
57.70
10.58
22.45%
LQDT
Liquidity Services
30.97
-1.60
-4.91%
ODP
ODP
28.00
4.74
20.38%
BNED
Barnes & Noble Education
9.54
-0.87
-8.36%
BWMX
Betterware de Mexico
13.82
3.98
40.45%

Marinemax Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
MarineMax Announces Leadership Transition for Global Yacht Sales
Positive
Oct 9, 2025

On October 9, 2025, MarineMax announced the transition of Charles A. Cashman from Chief Revenue Officer to Senior Vice President of Global Yacht Sales. This strategic leadership change aims to accelerate growth in the yacht and superyacht market, with Mr. Cashman focusing on sales strategy and execution. His extensive experience and leadership are expected to enhance MarineMax’s market presence and strengthen client relationships worldwide.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
MarineMax Appoints Daniel Schiappa to Board
Positive
Sep 30, 2025

On September 25, 2025, MarineMax announced that Michael H. McLamb resigned from the Board of Directors but will continue as the company’s Chief Financial Officer. On the same day, Daniel Schiappa was appointed to the Board and the Audit Committee, bringing extensive experience in technology and cybersecurity to support MarineMax’s strategic digital initiatives. This change is part of the company’s ongoing board refreshment process, aimed at aligning the board’s expertise with its long-term strategic priorities. The appointment of Mr. Schiappa underscores MarineMax’s commitment to digital transformation in the recreational marine industry, with a focus on technology investments and expanding digital capabilities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025