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Odp Corporation (ODP)
:ODP
US Market

ODP (ODP) AI Stock Analysis

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ODP

ODP

(ODP)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$29.00
▲(4.32% Upside)
ODP's overall stock score reflects a mixed outlook. The company's financial performance is under pressure due to declining revenues and profitability issues, but technical indicators show positive momentum. The valuation appears stretched, and while the acquisition by Atlas Holdings is a positive development, legal challenges pose risks. The strategic pivot towards B2B and supply chain services offers potential for future growth.
Positive Factors
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition by Atlas Holdings provides strategic focus on core businesses, potentially leading to sustainable growth and enhanced market position.
Cash Flow Management
Improved cash generation indicates strong cash management, enhancing financial stability and providing flexibility for future investments.
Business Model Diversification
Diversified revenue streams through e-commerce and business solutions strengthen financial performance and reduce dependency on any single market segment.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Continued revenue decline poses a challenge to financial health, requiring strategic initiatives to reverse the trend and sustain growth.
High Leverage
High leverage can strain financial flexibility, increasing risk and potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Profitability Challenges
Persistent profitability issues highlight operational inefficiencies, necessitating cost control measures to improve margins and shareholder value.

ODP (ODP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ODP Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
How the Company Makes MoneyODP generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of office supplies, furniture, and technology products. The company operates a robust e-commerce platform that contributes significantly to its sales, allowing customers to purchase products online. Additionally, ODP benefits from its Business Solutions segment, which provides customized solutions and services to businesses, including procurement and supply chain management. Partnerships with various vendors and manufacturers enhance its product offerings and pricing strategy. The company also realizes income from its print and marketing services, further diversifying its revenue streams and strengthening its financial performance.

ODP Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Breaks down profit from different business areas, revealing which segments drive earnings and where there might be challenges or opportunities.
Chart InsightsODP's Retail segment has seen a significant decline since 2022, aligning with the earnings call's report of a 10% sales drop due to store closures and reduced traffic. Meanwhile, Business Solutions shows a downward trend, but Veyer is a bright spot with substantial third-party revenue growth, reflecting strategic success in the supply chain sector. The company's focus on B2B and hospitality markets is paying off, despite overall revenue challenges, suggesting a potential pivot towards more profitable segments.
Data provided by:The Fly

ODP Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong strategic execution and cash flow improvements, particularly in new market segments like hospitality, alongside challenges such as overall revenue decline and retail segment struggles. The company's positive trends in B2B and liquidity improvements were overshadowed by declines in traditional revenue streams.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Performance and Strategic Execution
The company reported an improvement in year-over-year trends in its B2B and consumer segments, with stronger revenue trends and significantly higher adjusted free cash flow, surpassing average external expectations.
Strong Cash Flow and Liquidity Position
ODP generated $47 million in EBITDA and $13 million in free cash flow for the second quarter, with cash conversion remaining strong. The company also paid down approximately $35 million in debt, further strengthening its balance sheet.
Progress in Hospitality Market
ODP entered the $16 billion hospitality segment, making significant progress with strategic partnerships, onboarding about 1,000 new hotel properties, and seeing robust month-over-month growth.
Veyer's Revenue Growth
Veyer, the supply chain segment, achieved 90% year-over-year revenue growth from third-party customers, with a 32% increase in EBITDA from third-party customers.
Negative Updates
Overall Revenue Decline
Total revenue for the quarter was $1.6 billion, an 8% decrease compared to the second quarter of last year, primarily driven by 60 fewer stores in operation, reduced consumer traffic, and lower enterprise sales.
Retail Segment Challenges
Office Depot reported a 10% decrease in sales compared to the prior year, impacted by store closures and lower traffic, although the decline was mitigated by higher average order volumes.
Operating Income Decline
Adjusted operating income for the second quarter was $25 million compared to $33 million in last year's second quarter, with adjusted EBITDA at $47 million compared to $57 million in the prior year.
Company Guidance
During the ODP Corporation's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, several key metrics were highlighted to demonstrate the company's progress and financial health. The firm reported $1.6 billion in total revenue, marking an 8% year-over-year decrease, largely due to fewer retail locations and reduced consumer traffic. Despite this, the company achieved $47 million in adjusted EBITDA and $13 million in free cash flow, exceeding expectations and indicating strong cash generation. The B2B distribution segment showed improvement with revenue trends improving by approximately 200 basis points both sequentially and year-over-year. The company's expansion into the hospitality sector is gaining traction, contributing to a low double-digit percentage increase in sales among hospitality customers. Additionally, Veyer, their supply chain business, reported a 90% increase in year-over-year third-party customer revenue. The firm expects adjusted free cash flow to exceed $150 million for the full year, reflecting a robust cash management strategy.

ODP Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ODP faces a challenging financial landscape with revenue declines and profitability pressures. While cash flow management shows resilience with improved free cash flow, the high leverage and negative net income in TTM are concerning. The company needs to focus on boosting revenue and controlling costs to enhance financial health and shareholder value.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
ODP has experienced fluctuating financial performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data shows a Gross Profit Margin of 20.48% and a negative Net Profit Margin of -0.69%, indicating profitability challenges. Revenue has been on a declining trend, with a noticeable drop from $9.71 billion in 2020 to $6.82 billion in TTM. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a positive EBITDA Margin of 2.77% in TTM, although it has reduced from previous years.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects moderate financial stability. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is 1.27 in TTM, indicating a high leverage compared to equity. The Equity Ratio stands at 22.61%, showing a relatively low equity base compared to total assets. The Return on Equity (ROE) is negative in TTM due to net losses, which raises concerns about shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
ODP's cash flow analysis reveals some strengths and weaknesses. The Free Cash Flow has grown to $65 million in TTM, up from $32 million in 2024, highlighting improved cash generation. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is positive, suggesting strong cash conversion despite net losses. However, the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is less favorable due to negative earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.53B6.99B7.82B8.48B8.46B8.87B
Gross Profit1.33B1.45B1.76B1.84B1.86B1.95B
EBITDA139.00M266.00M448.00M439.00M405.00M161.00M
Net Income-9.00M-3.00M139.00M166.00M-208.00M-319.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.28B3.53B3.89B4.15B4.87B5.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments182.00M166.00M392.00M403.00M514.00M729.00M
Total Debt789.00M1.06B963.00M881.00M1.00B1.31B
Total Liabilities2.46B2.72B2.79B2.86B3.43B3.73B
Stockholders Equity823.00M807.00M1.10B1.29B1.44B1.88B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow120.00M32.00M226.00M138.00M273.00M417.00M
Operating Cash Flow191.00M130.00M331.00M237.00M346.00M485.00M
Investing Cash Flow-45.00M-126.00M-2.00M-10.00M-79.00M736.00M
Financing Cash Flow-155.00M-225.00M-340.00M-355.00M-459.00M-1.19B

ODP Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price27.80
Price Trends
50DMA
27.87
Positive
100DMA
24.86
Positive
200DMA
20.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Positive
RSI
69.41
Neutral
STOCH
100.00
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ODP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 27.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.96, below the 50-day MA of 27.87, and above the 200-day MA of 20.49, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 69.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 100.00 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ODP.

ODP Risk Analysis

ODP disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ODP reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ODP Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$15.05B23.7122.49%5.29%-0.95%-48.28%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
0.60%-8.92%
54
Neutral
$13.47B67.0259.58%9.80%-46.84%
53
Neutral
$102.81M-0.03-7.21%-1200.27%
50
Neutral
$292.18M1.38%63.65%
44
Neutral
$414.47M-72.72%-27.23%62.19%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ODP
ODP
28.00
3.76
15.51%
BBY
Best Buy Co
71.83
-9.14
-11.29%
QVCGA
QVC Group
12.49
-5.01
-28.63%
BBBY
Bed Bath & Beyond
6.02
1.16
23.87%
BNED
Barnes & Noble Education
8.58
-1.34
-13.51%
CHWY
Chewy
32.46
-2.45
-7.02%

ODP Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesExecutive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Atlas Holdings Completes Acquisition of ODP Corporation
Positive
Dec 10, 2025

On December 10, 2025, Atlas Holdings completed the acquisition of The ODP Corporation in an all-cash transaction valued at approximately $1 billion. Following the merger, ODP’s common stock was delisted from NASDAQ, and the company became a private entity. Craig Gunckel was appointed as the new CEO, succeeding Gerry P. Smith, and will lead ODP’s retail and B2B distribution network in North America. The acquisition marks a new chapter for ODP, with a focus on its core businesses and a strategy aimed at sustainable, profitable growth under Atlas Holdings’ ownership.

Delistings and Listing ChangesM&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
ODP Stockholders Approve Merger with ACR Ocean Resources
Neutral
Dec 5, 2025

On December 5, 2025, ODP Corporation held a special meeting where stockholders approved the merger agreement with ACR Ocean Resources LLC and Vail Holdings 1, Inc. The merger will result in ODP becoming a wholly owned subsidiary of ACR Ocean Resources. The merger is expected to close on December 10, 2025, leading to the delisting of ODP’s common stock from the Nasdaq Global Select Market.

M&A TransactionsLegal ProceedingsShareholder Meetings
ODP Faces Lawsuits Over Merger Proxy Statement
Negative
Nov 21, 2025

On September 22, 2025, The ODP Corporation entered into a merger agreement with ACR Ocean Resources LLC and Vail Holdings 1, Inc., with the merger set to make ODP a wholly owned subsidiary of ACR Ocean Resources. This merger is backed by investment funds managed by Atlas Holdings LLC. However, following the filing of a definitive proxy statement with the SEC on October 27, 2025, two lawsuits were filed by ODP stockholders in New York, alleging that the proxy statement was incomplete and misleading. These legal actions seek to block the merger until the alleged disclosure issues are addressed. In response, ODP has issued supplemental disclosures to the proxy statement, although it denies any deficiencies in the original document. The company aims to resolve these matters to allow stockholders to vote on the merger at a special meeting scheduled for December 5, 2025.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
ODP Awaits Stockholder Approval for Atlas Merger
Neutral
Nov 7, 2025

On September 22, 2025, The ODP Corporation, a Delaware corporation, entered into a merger agreement with ACR Ocean Resources LLC and Vail Holdings 1, Inc., both affiliated with Atlas Holdings LLC. The merger’s completion is contingent upon several conditions, including the expiration of the Hart-Scott-Rodino Antitrust Improvements Act waiting period, which concluded on November 6, 2025. The merger’s closing is still subject to approval by the majority of the company’s stockholders and other customary conditions.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
ODP Announces Merger Agreement with ACR Ocean Resources
Neutral
Sep 22, 2025

On September 22, 2025, The ODP Corporation entered into a Merger Agreement with ACR Ocean Resources LLC and Vail Holdings 1, Inc., which will result in ODP becoming a wholly owned subsidiary of ACR Ocean Resources. The merger, unanimously approved by ODP’s Board of Directors, will see each share of ODP’s common stock converted into $28.00 in cash. The agreement includes various conditions and covenants, such as conducting business as usual until the merger’s effective time and holding a special meeting for stockholders to vote on the merger. Termination rights and fees are outlined, including a $36,560,000 termination fee under certain conditions. The merger is subject to regulatory approvals and other customary conditions, with an anticipated completion by June 22, 2026, extendable to December 22, 2026, if necessary.

Delistings and Listing ChangesM&A Transactions
ODP Corporation to be Acquired by Atlas Holdings
Positive
Sep 22, 2025

On September 22, 2025, The ODP Corporation announced it will be acquired by an affiliate of Atlas Holdings in an all-cash transaction valued at approximately $1 billion. Shareholders will receive $28 per share, a 34% premium over the closing stock price on September 19, 2025. The acquisition, which has been unanimously approved by ODP’s Board of Directors, will result in the company becoming privately held and delisted from NASDAQ. This move is expected to enhance ODP’s growth initiatives and strengthen its market position, with Atlas Holdings providing the necessary operational expertise and resources.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025