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Betterware De Mexico, S.A. De C.V (BWMX)
NYSE:BWMX

Betterware de Mexico (BWMX) AI Stock Analysis

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BWMX

Betterware de Mexico

(NYSE:BWMX)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$20.50
▲(26.62% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance and favorable valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). Earnings-call updates add support via margin/EBITDA expansion and leverage reduction, while the technical setup is less supportive due to overbought momentum signals that raise near-term pullback risk.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow conversion
Consistently high free cash flow conversion (77% of EBITDA) provides durable internal funding for growth, debt paydown and dividends. Reliable FCF enhances financial flexibility, supports strategic investments or M&A, and reduces reliance on external financing over the medium term.
EBITDA growth and margin expansion
Sustained EBITDA growth and a 362bp margin improvement reflect scalable cost structure and operating leverage in direct-selling and brand portfolio management. Higher structural margins increase cash generation resilience and create room to reinvest in product innovation and digital selling capabilities.
Acquisition expands brands and footprint
Acquiring Tupperware LatAm and a perpetual regional license materially broadens Betterware's brand portfolio, manufacturing and distribution scale. This structural move can boost market share, cross-sell, and manufacturing synergies, improving long-term revenue diversification and competitive positioning in LatAm.
Negative Factors
High leverage on balance sheet
A materially leveraged balance sheet increases financial vulnerability to cyclical demand shocks and raises interest expense sensitivity. High long-term leverage limits strategic flexibility, constrains capital allocation choices, and heightens refinancing and covenant risk over the next several quarters.
Declining gross and net margins
Eroding gross and net margins suggest structural cost or pricing pressures that can reduce long-term profitability. Without sustainable cost control or pricing power improvements, margin compression will impair cash generation and returns, making it harder to fund growth and deleveraging initiatives.
Tupperware deal largely debt-financed
Financing most of the Tupperware LatAm acquisition with new debt will meaningfully raise leverage and near-term interest burdens. Integration execution risk and potential working capital needs could further strain liquidity, offsetting some strategic benefits and slowing balance sheet repair.

Betterware de Mexico (BWMX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Betterware de Mexico Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBetterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V. operates as a direct-to-consumer company in Mexico. It focuses on the home organization segment with a product portfolio, including home solutions, kitchen and food preservation, technology and mobility, bedroom, bathroom, laundry and cleaning, and other categories. The company sells its products through twelve catalogues. Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V. was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Zapopan, Mexico. Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V. is a subsidiary of Campalier, S.A. de C.V.
How the Company Makes MoneyBetterware de Mexico generates revenue primarily through its direct-selling model, where independent distributors purchase products at wholesale prices and sell them at retail prices to consumers. This model allows BWMX to maintain low overhead costs while leveraging a large sales force to reach customers directly. Key revenue streams include product sales and commissions from distributors based on their sales performance. Additionally, BWMX benefits from repeat purchases and customer loyalty, as many of its products are designed for everyday use. The company also engages in promotional campaigns and partnerships that enhance its brand visibility and drive sales, contributing to its overall earnings.

Betterware de Mexico Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance through EBITDA and free cash flow growth, successful international expansion, and debt reduction. However, challenges remain with Betterware's sales decline in Mexico and profitability issues in Jafra U.S. due to legal expenses.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
EBITDA and Margin Growth
EBITDA grew 22% year-over-year with the margin expanding 362 basis points to 21.4% EBITDA, demonstrating strong profitability.
Successful International Expansion
Betterware Ecuador exceeded expectations with revenue growing around 20% month-over-month and Betterware Guatemala sales grew 32% year-over-year.
Debt Reduction
Total debt reduced from MXN 6,700 million to MXN 5,200 million with net debt-to-EBITDA ratio falling from 3.1x to 1.8x.
Strong Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow conversion remained strong at 77% of EBITDA, with a 32.6% year-over-year increase.
Jafra Mexico Growth
Jafra Mexico saw an 8% increase in revenue and a 31% growth in EBITDA, reaching a margin of 24%.
Negative Updates
Betterware Sales Decline
Betterware experienced a 5.3% decline in sales year-over-year due to softer demand in Mexico.
Jafra U.S. Profitability Issues
Jafra U.S. incurred losses due to extraordinary legal expenses, although it demonstrated improvement in revenue with a 30% year-over-year growth in September.
Softer Consumer Environment
The consumer environment in Mexico and the U.S. remained soft, impacting discretionary spending and overall demand.
Company Guidance
During BeFra's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided updates on key financial metrics and strategic initiatives. Despite a softer consumer environment in Mexico and the U.S., BeFra reported revenue growth of 1.4% year-over-year and a significant 22% increase in EBITDA, with margins expanding by 362 basis points to reach 21.4% EBITDA. The company maintained a strong free cash flow conversion at 77% of EBITDA and reduced its net leverage ratio from 1.97x to 1.8x. BeFra emphasized its strategic focus on five pillars, including strengthening its leadership in the Mexican market where Betterware and Jafra hold around 4% market share, regional expansion in the U.S. and Latin America, and enhancing digital person-to-person selling. The company also highlighted the success of new product innovations, such as Betterware's limited edition collaboration with Mattel and Jafra's expanded BioLab dermo-cosmetic line. Looking ahead, BeFra plans to continue reducing inventories and leverage its financial strength for potential acquisitions and regional growth, particularly with the launch of Betterware in Colombia in early 2026.

Betterware de Mexico Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue and free-cash-flow growth support the score, but declining gross and net margins and a leveraged balance sheet (high debt-to-equity, low equity ratio) temper overall financial quality.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Betterware de Mexico has shown impressive revenue growth, particularly in the TTM period, with a staggering increase of over 6900%. However, the gross profit margin has decreased significantly from previous years, indicating potential cost management issues. The net profit margin has also declined, suggesting reduced profitability. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a positive EBIT and EBITDA margin, reflecting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage, which poses a risk in terms of financial stability. However, the return on equity is strong, suggesting that the company is effectively using its equity base to generate profits. The equity ratio is relatively low, highlighting a reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a healthy growth in free cash flow, particularly in the TTM period, which is a positive indicator of the company's ability to generate cash. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is lower than previous years, suggesting potential challenges in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains strong, indicating efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.22B14.10B13.01B11.51B10.07B7.24B
Gross Profit9.13B9.58B9.31B7.52B5.57B3.96B
EBITDA2.59B2.21B2.63B2.22B2.72B948.05M
Net Income1.03B711.73M1.05B872.56M1.75B298.44M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.10B10.45B11.09B11.33B5.19B4.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments333.52M296.56M549.73M815.64M1.18B649.82M
Total Debt5.22B5.17B5.50B6.44B1.53B654.25M
Total Liabilities8.81B9.29B9.62B10.24B3.99B3.48B
Stockholders Equity1.30B1.16B1.47B1.10B1.19B881.98M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.52B1.60B2.24B1.10B1.06B1.20B
Operating Cash Flow1.64B1.82B2.37B1.27B1.47B1.82B
Investing Cash Flow-20.27M-31.91M-65.33M-4.81B-320.38M-631.40M
Financing Cash Flow-1.56B-2.05B-2.57B3.06B-619.84M-754.73M

Betterware de Mexico Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.19
Price Trends
50DMA
15.37
Positive
100DMA
14.31
Positive
200DMA
12.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.98
Positive
RSI
62.30
Neutral
STOCH
53.18
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BWMX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.19 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.25, above the 50-day MA of 15.37, and above the 200-day MA of 12.12, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.98 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 62.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BWMX.

Betterware de Mexico Risk Analysis

Betterware de Mexico disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Betterware de Mexico reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
We are subject to anti-corruption, anti-bribery, anti-money laundering, and antitrust laws and regulations in Mexico. Q4, 2023
2.
If the Mexican government imposes exchange controls and/or other similar restrictions, the Mexican economy and our operations may be negatively affected. Q4, 2023
3.
Our business may be significantly affected by the Mexican economy's general condition, by the depreciation of the peso, inflation, and high-interest rates in Mexico. Q4, 2023

Betterware de Mexico Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$670.21M12.8079.76%8.47%-7.03%1.04%
71
Outperform
$1.50B8.0527.54%-0.42%31.64%
62
Neutral
$13.64B21.4922.49%5.46%-0.95%-48.28%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
53
Neutral
$4.46B6.704.16%-1.04%-20.88%
45
Neutral
$406.90M-2.10-72.72%-27.23%62.19%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BWMX
Betterware de Mexico
17.96
8.08
81.69%
BBY
Best Buy Co
65.10
-14.41
-18.12%
BBWI
Bath & Body Works
21.80
-15.00
-40.76%
BBBY
Bed Bath & Beyond
5.91
-1.35
-18.60%
SBH
Sally Beauty
15.22
4.72
44.95%

Betterware de Mexico Corporate Events

Betterware de México to Acquire Tupperware’s Latin American Operations in US$250 Million Deal
Jan 20, 2026

On January 19, 2026, Betterware de México’s parent BeFra signed a definitive agreement to acquire Tupperware’s operating assets in Latin America, mainly in Mexico and Brazil, for US$250 million and obtain a perpetual, royalty-free, exclusive license to the Tupperware brand across the region, with closing expected in the first half of 2026 subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals. The deal, financed largely with debt and partly with BeFra shares, is positioned as highly accretive, implying attractive valuation multiples and an expected 40% uplift in earnings per share, while modestly increasing leverage without altering the company’s dividend policy; strategically, it adds a third iconic direct-selling brand to BeFra’s platform, deepens its manufacturing and distribution footprint, and is intended to revive Tupperware LatAm’s sales and profitability through integration synergies, innovation and the management team’s prior experience with the Tupperware business.

The most recent analyst rating on (BWMX) stock is a Buy with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Betterware de Mexico stock, see the BWMX Stock Forecast page.

Betterware de México Reports Q3 2025 Financial Growth Amidst Market Challenges
Oct 23, 2025

In its third quarter of 2025, Betterware de México reported a 1.4% year-over-year increase in revenue despite challenging consumption trends in Mexico. The company achieved significant growth in profitability metrics, with EBITDA rising by 22% and EPS by 71%. While Betterware Mexico’s revenue fell by 5.3%, Jafra’s sales increased by 7.9%. Internationally, Betterware Ecuador and Jafra US showed promising growth, with plans to launch Betterware Colombia in early 2026. The company remains committed to its ‘Great Brands, One Essence’ strategy, focusing on profitability and financial discipline amidst macroeconomic challenges.

The most recent analyst rating on (BWMX) stock is a Hold with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Betterware de Mexico stock, see the BWMX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 21, 2026