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Pricesmart (PSMT)
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Pricesmart (PSMT) AI Stock Analysis

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PSMT

Pricesmart

(NASDAQ:PSMT)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$128.00
▲(4.94% Upside)
Pricesmart's overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance and positive earnings call, highlighting robust sales growth and strategic expansion plans. Technical analysis supports a positive trend, though valuation metrics suggest moderate pricing. Challenges such as currency conversion issues and increased expenses slightly temper the outlook.

Pricesmart (PSMT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Pricesmart Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPriceSmart, Inc. operates as a membership-based warehouse club, primarily serving customers in Central America and the Caribbean. The company offers a wide range of products including groceries, electronics, home goods, and clothing, focusing on providing quality merchandise at competitive prices. With its business model centered around bulk purchasing and membership fees, PriceSmart caters to both individual consumers and businesses, aiming to deliver value through cost savings and a diverse product selection.
How the Company Makes MoneyPriceSmart generates revenue primarily through membership fees and the sale of merchandise. Customers pay an annual fee to become members, which grants them access to the club's discounted pricing on a wide array of products. The bulk purchasing model allows PriceSmart to negotiate favorable terms with suppliers, leading to lower costs that can be passed on to members. Additionally, the company benefits from high volume sales, which enhance its purchasing power and margin efficiency. Significant partnerships with various manufacturers and suppliers contribute to its ability to maintain a diverse inventory and competitive pricing. Furthermore, PriceSmart's expansion into new markets and its focus on enhancing the shopping experience through improved store layouts and online services also play a crucial role in driving sales and sustaining revenue growth.

Pricesmart Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 14, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
PriceSmart showcased strong financial performance with significant sales growth, expansion plans, and digital channel progress. However, challenges included operational disruptions due to a hurricane, increased SG&A expenses, and currency conversion issues in certain markets.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Net merchandise sales and total revenue both exceeded $1.3 billion in the fourth quarter. Net merchandise sales increased by 9.2%, and comparable net merchandise sales increased by 7.5% in both U.S. dollars and constant currency.
Expansion and Growth Initiatives
Opened the seventh warehouse club in Guatemala, purchased land for new clubs in the Dominican Republic and Jamaica, and advanced plans to enter the Chile market.
Digital Channel Growth
Digital channel sales reached $306.7 million in fiscal year 2025, up 21.6% year-over-year, representing 6% of total net merchandise sales.
Membership Growth
Membership accounts grew 6.2% year-over-year to over 2 million, with Platinum membership rising to 17.9% of the total base.
Private Label Sales Increase
Private label sales represented 28.1% of total merchandise sales, up 50 basis points from fiscal year 2024.
Negative Updates
Impact of Hurricane Melissa
Operations in Jamaica were affected by Hurricane Melissa, resulting in the closure of clubs for a couple of days.
Increase in SG&A Expenses
Total SG&A expenses increased to 13.5% of total revenues for the fourth quarter and to 12.9% for the full fiscal year 2025, primarily due to investments in technology.
Currency Challenges
Trinidad had $59.7 million of cash that could not be readily converted into U.S. dollars, and similar challenges were faced in Honduras.
Company Guidance
During PriceSmart Inc.'s earnings call for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, the company highlighted several key metrics and strategic initiatives. Total net merchandise sales for the fiscal year reached nearly $5.2 billion, marking a 7.7% increase, while total revenues amounted to almost $5.3 billion. The company also reported a strong 9.2% growth in net merchandise sales for the quarter. Membership income rose by 14.9% to $22.6 million, driven by a 6.2% increase in membership accounts, which surpassed 2 million, and a rise in Platinum membership penetration. Digital channel sales grew by 21.6% year-over-year, reaching $306.7 million, which represented 6% of total net merchandise sales. The company announced plans to expand its footprint with new warehouse clubs in the Dominican Republic, Jamaica, and Chile, aiming for a total of 59 clubs after these projects are completed. Additionally, PriceSmart plans to enhance its supply chain and technological capabilities, including the implementation of new systems like RELEX for inventory management and ELERA for point-of-sale operations, to further boost operational efficiency and member experience.

Pricesmart Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pricesmart exhibits a solid financial position with consistent revenue growth, strong profitability margins, and a stable balance sheet with low leverage. The significant improvement in cash flow metrics further strengthens its financial health, making it well-positioned to capitalize on future opportunities in the discount retail sector.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Pricesmart demonstrates strong revenue growth with a 5.1% increase in TTM compared to the previous period. Gross Profit Margin stands at 37.43%, showing a well-maintained level of profitability. Net Profit Margin improved slightly to 2.82%. EBIT Margin is stable at 4.43%, and EBITDA Margin is robust at 5.46%. Overall, Pricesmart's income statement reflects consistent growth and solid profitability margins.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a conservative Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.13, indicating low leverage. Return on Equity is modest at 11.98%, highlighting effective use of equity in generating profits. The Equity Ratio is strong at 56.61%, suggesting a solid equity base compared to total assets. Pricesmart's balance sheet demonstrates financial stability with low debt levels and ample equity.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Free Cash Flow grew significantly by 137.54% in the TTM, reflecting improved cash generation. Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is strong at 1.52, indicating healthy cash flow relative to net income. Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio also improved to 0.64, showcasing effective cash management. Pricesmart's cash flow position highlights its capability to generate and manage cash effectively.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.17B5.27B4.91B4.41B4.07B3.62B
Gross Profit1.93B0.00846.92M759.33M681.15M644.53M
EBITDA300.11M218.01M297.00M278.25M235.94M223.80M
Net Income145.41M147.89M138.88M109.20M104.53M97.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.14B2.27B2.02B2.01B1.81B1.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments262.37M314.21M225.53M331.06M248.87M252.29M
Total Debt161.90M181.13M249.63M278.18M281.36M267.29M
Total Liabilities930.25M1.02B899.73M898.57M817.33M789.58M
Stockholders Equity1.21B1.25B1.12B1.11B991.07M915.35M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow92.74M261.31M39.04M114.82M1.17M13.99M
Operating Cash Flow221.00M261.31M207.59M257.33M121.83M127.17M
Investing Cash Flow-121.86M-128.88M-175.45M-222.08M-74.76M-116.72M
Financing Cash Flow-67.64M14.20M-150.03M-41.05M-12.21M-95.14M

Pricesmart Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price121.98
Price Trends
50DMA
119.19
Negative
100DMA
113.62
Positive
200DMA
104.50
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.07
Positive
RSI
43.34
Neutral
STOCH
29.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PSMT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 121.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 118.65, above the 50-day MA of 119.19, and above the 200-day MA of 104.50, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PSMT.

Pricesmart Risk Analysis

Pricesmart disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Pricesmart reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Pricesmart Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$3.58B24.0412.22%1.09%7.25%5.42%
75
Outperform
$820.80B38.8424.46%0.90%4.23%38.05%
73
Outperform
$22.96B19.2915.60%2.28%4.98%-15.98%
71
Outperform
$12.21B20.9330.84%2.48%9.41%
68
Neutral
$404.44B50.1230.69%0.57%8.17%9.92%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
59
Neutral
$21.15B20.07%-29.67%-178.03%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PSMT
Pricesmart
116.05
29.45
34.01%
COST
Costco
890.60
-32.66
-3.54%
DG
Dollar General
99.65
28.21
39.49%
DLTR
Dollar Tree
99.95
36.77
58.20%
WMT
Walmart
101.39
15.05
17.43%
BJ
Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings
91.13
5.43
6.34%

Pricesmart Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
PriceSmart Appoints New CFO Amid Leadership Transition
Positive
May 9, 2025

PriceSmart announced the appointment of Gualberto Hernandez as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective June 1, 2025, following the resignation of Michael McCleary, who will continue as an Executive Vice President until September 30, 2025, and then provide consulting support. Hernandez, with a strong background in finance and strategy from his tenure at Estée Lauder and Sephora, is expected to bring valuable expertise to PriceSmart. The transition is part of a broader strategy to maintain growth and operational efficiency, with McCleary expressing confidence in the company’s future under new leadership.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025