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Walmart (WMT)
NYSE:WMT
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Walmart (WMT) AI Stock Analysis

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WM

Walmart

(NYSE:WMT)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$106.00
▲(11.47%Upside)
Walmart's stock score is primarily driven by its robust financial performance and strong earnings call highlights. While technical indicators suggest stability, the high P/E ratio reflects a premium valuation, which could limit upside potential. Strategic initiatives and eCommerce growth are significant positives, positioning Walmart well for future growth.
Positive Factors
Digital Transformation
WMT’s ability to drive growth and profitability through digital transformation, membership expansion, and disciplined execution enables it to navigate industry and economic headwinds.
Market Share
WMT's dominant position as the world’s largest retailer, cost advantages, and powerful technology-driven omnichannel infrastructure will drive sustainable market share gains, revenue and cash flow growth.
Profitability Contributions
The scaling of advertising and third-party marketplace is expected to provide significant profitability contributions to Walmart's US segment.
Negative Factors
E-commerce Losses
Walmart is currently under-earning due to e-commerce losses, but improvements are expected in the coming years.
Operating Margin Pressures
Walmart is expected to see growth in higher-margin general merchandise categories, which will contribute to operating margin expansion, but current pressures remain.

Walmart (WMT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Walmart Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWalmart Inc. engages in the operation of retail, wholesale, other units, and eCommerce worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club. It operates supercenters, supermarkets, hypermarkets, warehouse clubs, cash and carry stores, and discount stores under Walmart and Walmart Neighborhood Market brands; membership-only warehouse clubs; ecommerce websites, such as walmart.com.mx, walmart.ca, flipkart.com, PhonePe and other sites; and mobile commerce applications. The company offers grocery and consumables, including dairy, meat, bakery, deli, produce, dry, chilled or frozen packaged foods, alcoholic and nonalcoholic beverages, floral, snack foods, candy, other grocery items, health and beauty aids, paper goods, laundry and home care, baby care, pet supplies, and other consumable items; fuel, tobacco and other categories. It is also involved in the provision of health and wellness products covering pharmacy, optical and hearing services, and over-the-counter drugs and other medical products; and home and apparel including home improvement, outdoor living, gardening, furniture, apparel, jewelry, tools and power equipment, housewares, toys, seasonal items, mattresses and tire and battery centers. In addition, the company offers consumer electronics and accessories, software, video games, office supplies, appliances, and third-party gift cards. Further, it operates digital payment platforms; and offers financial services and related products, including money transfers, bill payments, money orders, check cashing, prepaid access, co-branded credit cards, installment lending, and earned wage access. Additionally, the company markets lines of merchandise under private brands, including Allswell, Athletic Works, Equate, and Free Assembly. The company was formerly known as Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. and changed its name to Walmart Inc. in February 2018. Walmart Inc. was founded in 1945 and is based in Bentonville, Arkansas.
How the Company Makes MoneyWalmart makes money primarily through its retail operations, which consist of selling a diverse range of products in its physical stores and via its online platforms. Key revenue streams include grocery sales, general merchandise, and health and wellness products. Walmart's revenue model is supported by its extensive supply chain, economies of scale, and strategic pricing. Additionally, the company's financial services, membership programs such as Walmart+, and advertising services contribute to its earnings. Partnerships with suppliers, technology investments, and international operations also play significant roles in enhancing Walmart's revenue and market reach.

Walmart Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
US Net Sales by Category
US Net Sales by Category
Breaks down sales within the U.S. across various product categories, offering insight into consumer preferences and the company’s competitive positioning in key retail sectors.
Chart InsightsWalmart's grocery and health and wellness segments continue to show robust growth, with health and wellness experiencing high-teens increases, bolstered by new pharmacy services. However, general merchandise sales face challenges, with softness in electronics and home products due to consumer pressure and deflation. The earnings call highlights eCommerce profitability and a 50% growth in advertising, indicating strategic shifts towards digital and advertising revenues. Despite tariff challenges, Walmart's operational efficiency and strategic initiatives, like enhanced delivery speed, position it well for sustained growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Walmart Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 15, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: -1.80%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 21, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Walmart achieved strong performance in Q1 2026 with significant growth in sales, eCommerce profitability, and advertising and membership income. However, the company faces challenges from tariffs and softness in general merchandise and certain international markets. Despite these challenges, the company's strong operational efficiency and strategic initiatives position it well for future growth.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q1 Performance and Growth
Walmart grew sales by 4% and profit by 3% in constant currency. International sales increased by 7.8%, with eCommerce growing 22% globally. Significant growth in the Walmart U.S. and Sam's Club U.S. segments with comps of 4.5% and 6.7% respectively.
eCommerce Profitability Milestone
For the first time, Walmart achieved profitability in its eCommerce business on both a U.S. and global enterprise basis, driven by network densification, reduced delivery costs, and increased customer willingness to pay for expedited delivery.
Advertising and Membership Growth
Walmart's advertising business grew by 50%, with Walmart Connect in the U.S. growing 31%. Membership fee income increased nearly 15% across the enterprise, with strong growth in member counts and renewal rates.
Operational Efficiency and Inventory Management
Consolidated gross margin increased due to disciplined inventory management and business mix improvements. Inventory levels were well-managed, up only 3.8%, aiding in navigating tariff impacts.
Strong Health and Wellness Segment
Health and wellness sales increased by high-teens, with over 10% growth in prescription volumes. New pharmacy delivery service launched, contributing to digital user growth.
Negative Updates
Impact of Tariffs
The immediate challenge is navigating the impact of tariffs, particularly from China, which creates cost pressure and potential for higher prices. Elevated tariffs could have short-term negative effects on financial performance.
General Merchandise Sales Challenges
General merchandise sales declined slightly with softness in electronics, home products, and sporting goods due to ongoing consumer pressure and deflation in these categories.
International Market Softness in Mexico and Canada
Slightly softer sales in Mexico due to the Easter shift and a weaker macro environment. Canada also faced challenges, impacting overall international performance.
Company Guidance
During Walmart's First Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings Call, the company reported a 4% increase in sales and a 3% rise in profit in constant currency. International sales grew by 7.8%, with significant contributions from eCommerce, which saw a 22% growth globally. Walmart U.S. comp sales rose by 4.5%, while Sam's Club U.S. comp sales, excluding fuel, increased by 6.7%. The company achieved profitability in eCommerce for the first time, indicating a positive shift in its business model. Walmart's advertising business grew by 50%, and membership fee income saw a near 15% increase across the enterprise. Despite facing challenges such as tariffs and cost pressures, Walmart expressed confidence in navigating these issues while maintaining its long-term growth strategy. The company also highlighted its focus on enhancing delivery speed, aiming to reach 95% of the U.S. population with delivery options of three hours or less.

Walmart Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Walmart shows strong revenue and profit growth, supported by efficient operations and effective cost management. The balance sheet is robust, but rising liabilities require attention. Cash flow is strong, underscored by consistent operating cash flow increases.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Walmart demonstrates strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue of $685.1B, showing a steady increase from previous years. Gross profit margin and net profit margin remain stable, indicating efficient cost management. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid, reflecting strong operational performance. However, the growth rate of these margins is moderate, suggesting potential areas for improvement.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a healthy equity ratio and controlled leverage. The debt-to-equity ratio is manageable, showing disciplined financial management. Return on equity is strong, indicating effective use of shareholder funds. However, the total liabilities have increased, which requires monitoring to maintain financial stability.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Walmart's cash flow position is strong. Operating cash flow has consistently increased, supporting ongoing operations and investments. Free cash flow growth is healthy, although capital expenditures have also risen. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates good cash conversion efficiency, supporting overall liquidity.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue680.99B648.13B611.29B572.75B559.15B
Gross Profit169.23B157.98B147.57B143.75B138.84B
EBITDA29.35B38.87B30.09B36.60B34.03B
Net Income19.44B15.51B11.68B13.67B13.51B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets260.82B252.40B243.20B244.86B252.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.04B9.87B8.63B14.76B17.74B
Total Debt60.11B61.32B58.92B57.32B63.25B
Total Liabilities163.13B161.83B159.21B152.97B164.97B
Stockholders Equity91.01B83.86B76.69B83.25B80.92B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow12.66B15.12B11.98B11.07B25.81B
Operating Cash Flow36.44B35.73B28.84B24.18B36.07B
Investing Cash Flow-21.38B-21.29B-17.72B-6.01B-10.07B
Financing Cash Flow-14.82B-13.41B-16.21B-22.83B-16.12B

Walmart Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price95.09
Price Trends
50DMA
96.93
Negative
100DMA
93.84
Positive
200DMA
91.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.38
Positive
RSI
43.69
Neutral
STOCH
19.14
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WMT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 95.09 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 96.68, below the 50-day MA of 96.93, and above the 200-day MA of 91.68, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.38 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.14 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for WMT.

Walmart Risk Analysis

Walmart disclosed 11 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Walmart reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Walmart Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (70)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
DGDG
77
Outperform
$24.77B20.8315.69%2.10%4.77%-23.73%
WMWMT
74
Outperform
$761.25B40.9222.80%0.99%4.22%-0.17%
KRKR
73
Outperform
$47.54B19.6324.06%1.78%-2.11%25.03%
71
Outperform
$429.14B54.8932.08%0.55%5.94%9.31%
70
Neutral
€2.74B17.138.89%3.58%5.47%-7.07%
TGTGT
66
Neutral
$46.44B11.2329.08%4.42%-0.69%2.03%
60
Neutral
$22.24B19.25%-20.46%-202.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WMT
Walmart
95.09
25.06
35.78%
COST
Costco
953.91
119.01
14.25%
DG
Dollar General
109.23
-10.01
-8.39%
DLTR
Dollar Tree
108.15
1.59
1.49%
KR
Kroger Company
72.22
18.86
35.34%
TGT
Target
103.65
-40.95
-28.32%

Walmart Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Walmart Concludes Annual Shareholders’ Meeting with Key Decisions
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Walmart Inc. held its Annual Shareholders’ Meeting where shareholders elected all twelve nominated directors for one-year terms. They also approved the ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as independent accountants, the executive compensation plan, and the Walmart Inc. Stock Incentive Plan of 2025. However, several shareholder proposals, including those related to law enforcement information requests, plastic packaging policies, racial equity audits, and health and safety governance, were rejected.

The most recent analyst rating on (WMT) stock is a Buy with a $115.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Walmart stock, see the WMT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Walmart Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 15, 2025

On May 15, 2025, Walmart announced its first-quarter results, highlighting a revenue growth of 2.5% and an operating income increase of 4.3%. The company reported a 22% rise in global eCommerce sales and issued guidance for the second quarter with expected net sales growth of 3.5% to 4.5%. Walmart also moved its corporate headquarters to 1 Customer Drive, Bentonville, AR, reflecting its strategic initiatives to adapt to a dynamic market environment and continue its long-term growth investments.

The most recent analyst rating on (WMT) stock is a Buy with a $100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Walmart stock, see the WMT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 11, 2025