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Walmart (WMT)
NYSE:WMT
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Walmart (WMT) AI Stock Analysis

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WMT

Walmart

(NYSE:WMT)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$108.00
▲(12.44% Upside)
Walmart's strong financial performance and strategic initiatives in e-commerce and technology are significant strengths. However, the high P/E ratio and modest dividend yield suggest valuation concerns. The earnings call provided a balanced view of growth prospects and challenges, contributing positively to the overall score.
Positive Factors
Earnings Growth
Walmart US profitability continued to increase, with fewer headwinds expected in the second half from the flow through of higher COGS on margin and earnings.
E-commerce Growth
E-commerce and membership growth remains exceptionally strong, with U.S. E-commerce poised to reach nearly ~$100B.
Market Position and Strategy
Walmart is well positioned to continue driving solid earnings growth, supported by market share gains given its compelling proposition for value and convenience.
Negative Factors
Cost Management
The company experienced a shortfall in EPS due to catch-up insurance claims and broader expense management challenges.
Profitability Challenges
Near-term unevenness in profitability will likely keep valuation range-bound at current elevated levels.
Valuation Concerns
Walmart’s valuation multiple is likely to remain range-bound until short-term headwinds on profitability, and the ultimate impact of tariff costs, abate.

Walmart (WMT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Walmart Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWalmart Inc. is a leading multinational retail corporation based in the United States, operating a chain of hypermarkets, discount department stores, and grocery stores. Founded in 1962 by Sam Walton, Walmart's core business sectors include retail, wholesale, and ecommerce, providing a wide range of products such as groceries, clothing, electronics, home goods, and health and beauty products. The company operates under various formats including Walmart Supercenters, Walmart Discount Stores, Sam's Club membership warehouses, and its online platform, Walmart.com, catering to customers across diverse demographics.
How the Company Makes MoneyWalmart generates revenue primarily through the sale of merchandise in its retail stores and online platforms. The company's revenue model is built on a low-cost leadership strategy, allowing it to offer competitive prices to attract a large customer base. Key revenue streams include sales from Walmart Supercenters, Discount Stores, and Sam's Club, which contribute significantly to its total sales volume. Additionally, Walmart has been expanding its ecommerce segment, which includes online sales and delivery services, contributing to revenue growth. The company also earns income from various services such as financial services, membership fees from Sam's Club, and advertising revenue from its online marketplace. Strategic partnerships with suppliers and logistics companies further enhance its operational efficiency and cost savings, ultimately bolstering its profitability.

Walmart Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
US Net Sales by Category
US Net Sales by Category
Breaks down sales within the U.S. across various product categories, offering insight into consumer preferences and the company’s competitive positioning in key retail sectors.
Chart InsightsWalmart's grocery and health and wellness segments continue to show robust growth, with health and wellness experiencing high-teens increases, bolstered by new pharmacy services. However, general merchandise sales face challenges, with softness in electronics and home products due to consumer pressure and deflation. The earnings call highlights eCommerce profitability and a 50% growth in advertising, indicating strategic shifts towards digital and advertising revenues. Despite tariff challenges, Walmart's operational efficiency and strategic initiatives, like enhanced delivery speed, position it well for sustained growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Walmart Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 21, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 20, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong sales growth, particularly in e-commerce and international markets, and significant advancements in AI and technology. However, profit growth was hindered by increased claims expenses and tariff-related cost pressures. Despite these challenges, the company remains optimistic about its strategic initiatives and future growth prospects.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line Growth
Sales increased by 5.6% in constant currency, with e-commerce sales growing 25% globally. Walmart US and Sam's Club US led with 26% growth in e-commerce sales.
Growth in International Sales
International sales grew by 10.5% in constant currency, led by China, Walmex, and Flipkart.
Advertising and Membership Growth
Global advertising grew by 46%, including Visio. Membership income increased by 15% globally.
Sam's Club US Performance
Sam's Club US delivered a strong comp of 5.9% driven by unit growth.
AI and Technology Initiatives
Introduction of AI roles, with a focus on accelerating AI integration in operations and customer interactions.
Improvement in E-commerce Delivery Speed
Approximately one-third of store deliveries were completed in under three hours, with 20% in thirty minutes or less.
Negative Updates
Lower Than Expected Profit Growth
Adjusted operating income grew only 0.4% in constant currency, below expectations, due to headwinds from general liability claims expenses.
Increased Claims Expenses
Additional $450 million in claims expenses were accrued, resulting in a headwind of 560 basis points to adjusted operating income growth.
Impact of Tariffs on Costs
Continued cost increases due to tariff-related pressures, particularly affecting middle and lower-income households.
Challenges in Inventory Management
Higher costs of imported goods and timing of receipts contributed to a 4% increase in global inventory.
Company Guidance
During Walmart Inc.'s Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 earnings call, the company reported strong top-line results, with global sales increasing by 5.6% in constant currency. E-commerce sales grew by 25% globally, and Walmart US and Sam's Club US led with 26% growth, driven by faster delivery speeds. International sales rose by 10.5%, with China, Walmex, and Flipkart contributing significantly. Sam's Club US achieved a 5.9% comp sales increase, while Walmart US saw 4.6% comp sales growth, driven by strong performance in categories like apparel and automotive. The company gained market share both in the US and internationally, with global advertising growth of 46% and membership income up 15%. Despite a headwind of 560 basis points from increased expenses related to general liability claims in the US, adjusted operating income grew by 0.4% in constant currency. Walmart Inc. aims to grow profit faster than sales throughout the fiscal year, with inventory up 3.8% globally and 2.2% in Walmart US. The company highlighted its focus on maintaining low prices amidst tariff-related cost pressures and leveraging artificial intelligence to enhance customer service and operational efficiency.

Walmart Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Walmart demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue and profit growth, efficient operations, and effective cost management. The balance sheet is solid, although rising liabilities require monitoring. Cash flow is strong, supporting ongoing operations and investments.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Walmart demonstrates strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue of $685.1B, showing a steady increase from previous years. Gross profit margin and net profit margin remain stable, indicating efficient cost management. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid, reflecting strong operational performance. However, the growth rate of these margins is moderate, suggesting potential areas for improvement.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a healthy equity ratio and controlled leverage. The debt-to-equity ratio is manageable, showing disciplined financial management. Return on equity is strong, indicating effective use of shareholder funds. However, the total liabilities have increased, which requires monitoring to maintain financial stability.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Walmart's cash flow position is strong. Operating cash flow has consistently increased, supporting ongoing operations and investments. Free cash flow growth is healthy, although capital expenditures have also risen. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates good cash conversion efficiency, supporting overall liquidity.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue680.99B648.13B611.29B572.75B559.15B
Gross Profit169.23B157.98B147.57B143.75B138.84B
EBITDA42.01B36.38B30.09B31.35B34.03B
Net Income19.44B15.51B11.68B13.67B13.51B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets260.82B252.40B243.20B244.86B252.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.04B9.87B8.63B14.76B17.74B
Total Debt60.11B61.32B58.92B57.32B63.25B
Total Liabilities163.13B161.83B159.21B152.97B164.97B
Stockholders Equity91.01B83.86B76.69B83.25B80.92B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow12.66B15.12B11.98B11.07B25.81B
Operating Cash Flow36.44B35.73B28.84B24.18B36.07B
Investing Cash Flow-21.38B-21.29B-17.72B-6.01B-11.92B
Financing Cash Flow-14.82B-13.41B-17.04B-22.83B-16.12B

Walmart Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price96.05
Price Trends
50DMA
97.78
Negative
100DMA
96.37
Negative
200DMA
94.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
38.89
Neutral
STOCH
3.21
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WMT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 96.05 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 100.06, below the 50-day MA of 97.78, and above the 200-day MA of 94.05, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.21 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WMT.

Walmart Risk Analysis

Walmart disclosed 11 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Walmart reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Walmart Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$417.57B54.3732.08%0.52%5.94%9.31%
74
Outperform
$24.72B21.4415.69%2.14%4.77%-23.73%
73
Outperform
$766.52B36.2024.46%0.95%4.23%38.05%
72
Outperform
$43.67B11.3326.32%4.68%-1.55%-11.41%
70
Outperform
$45.61B19.0624.06%1.90%-2.11%25.03%
63
Neutral
$20.46B14.51-3.60%3.15%2.60%-5.31%
60
Neutral
$23.37B19.25%-20.46%-202.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WMT
Walmart
96.05
20.71
27.49%
COST
Costco
941.34
57.82
6.54%
DG
Dollar General
110.50
-10.12
-8.39%
DLTR
Dollar Tree
111.98
17.52
18.55%
KR
Kroger Company
68.99
16.80
32.19%
TGT
Target
96.11
-54.92
-36.36%

Walmart Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Walmart Concludes Annual Shareholders’ Meeting with Key Decisions
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Walmart Inc. held its Annual Shareholders’ Meeting where shareholders elected all twelve nominated directors for one-year terms. They also approved the ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as independent accountants, the executive compensation plan, and the Walmart Inc. Stock Incentive Plan of 2025. However, several shareholder proposals, including those related to law enforcement information requests, plastic packaging policies, racial equity audits, and health and safety governance, were rejected.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 23, 2025