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Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings (BJ)
NYSE:BJ
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Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings (BJ) AI Stock Analysis

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BJ

Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings

(NYSE:BJ)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$103.00
▲(5.05% Upside)
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings has a strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and profitability. The earnings call provided positive guidance and highlighted significant membership and digital growth. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and valuation is moderate with no dividend yield. These factors combined result in an overall stock score of 66.
Positive Factors
Membership Growth
The significant growth in membership base enhances recurring revenue from membership fees, strengthening BJ's long-term revenue stability and customer loyalty.
Digital Business Expansion
Strong digital growth reflects BJ's successful adaptation to e-commerce trends, increasing market reach and enhancing customer convenience, supporting future revenue growth.
Efficient Inventory Management
Efficient inventory management reduces costs and improves cash flow, contributing to margin sustainability and financial health over the long term.
Negative Factors
Leverage Concerns
While leverage has improved, reliance on debt can still pose risks to financial flexibility and increase vulnerability to interest rate changes.
Decline in Free Cash Flow Growth
A decline in free cash flow growth can limit BJ's ability to reinvest in business expansion and reduce financial resilience in challenging market conditions.
General Merchandise Sales Decline
A decline in general merchandise sales indicates potential challenges in product mix and consumer demand, impacting revenue diversification and growth potential.

Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings (BJ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates warehouse clubs on the east coast of the United States. It provides perishable, general merchandise, gasoline, and other ancillary services. The company sells its products through the websites BJs.com, BerkleyJensen.com, Wellsleyfarms.com, and Delivery.bjs.com as well as the mobile app. As of June 10, 2022, it operated 229 warehouse clubs and 160 gas locations in 17 states. The company was formerly known as Beacon Holding Inc. and changed its name to BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. in February 2018. BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Westborough, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyBJ's Wholesale Club generates revenue primarily through membership fees and the sale of merchandise. Membership fees are charged annually and are a significant source of recurring revenue, providing access to club locations and discounts on products. The company earns money through the sale of a wide range of products, including grocery items, electronics, furniture, and health and beauty products, typically at lower prices than traditional retail stores due to its bulk purchasing strategy. Additionally, BJ's Wholesale Club has embraced e-commerce, offering online shopping options that enhance customer convenience and drive sales. Strategic partnerships with suppliers and brands also contribute to its earnings, enabling exclusive offerings and promotions that attract members. Overall, the combination of membership fees, merchandise sales, and e-commerce initiatives forms the core of BJ's revenue model.

Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Store Count
Store Count
Counts the number of operational stores, indicating the company's physical presence and expansion strategy, which can impact market reach and sales potential.
Chart InsightsBJ's Wholesale Club Holdings has consistently expanded its store count, reaching 252 by early 2024. This growth aligns with strategic plans to open 25 to 30 new clubs over the next two years, supported by robust membership growth and strong digital sales. The company's expansion into new markets, such as Dallas-Fort Worth, is expected to drive further growth despite challenges like declining merchandise margins and tariff risks. The focus on perishables and digital sales positions BJ's well for sustained performance and market penetration.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 22, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
BJ's Wholesale Club reported a strong second quarter with significant growth in membership and digital business, as well as strong performance in perishables. However, challenges such as the decline in general merchandise sales, adverse weather conditions, and macroeconomic uncertainties related to tariffs were noted.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Membership Growth Milestone
BJ's Wholesale Club reached the 8 million member milestone this quarter, representing a 55% growth in its membership base since its IPO seven years ago.
Digital Business Expansion
The digital business grew 34% during the quarter and 56% on a 2-year stack, driven by robust BOPIC, same-day delivery expansion, and increasing penetration of ExpressPay.
Perishables and Sundries Division Performance
The Perishables Grocery and Sundries division led Q2 performance with a healthy 3% comp growth, with significant strength in categories like dairy, meat, and fresh produce.
Record Membership Fee Income
Membership fee income grew 9% to approximately $123.3 million in the second quarter, driven by strong membership acquisition and retention.
Gasoline Gallon Market Share Gains
BJ's gained gas market share, with total gas gallons up 7% year-over-year and comp gallons flat, significantly outpacing the industry.
Negative Updates
General Merchandise and Services Decline
The GM and services business declined 2.2% on a comp basis in the quarter, with higher-ticket discretionary categories experiencing double-digit declines in comp sales.
Weather Impact on Sales
Unseasonably wet and cold weather at the start of the quarter, particularly in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic, negatively impacted sales and traffic trends.
Tariff and Macro Environment Concerns
The ongoing tariff situation and its impact on the broader macro environment and consumer mindset are causing uncertainty, potentially limiting upside versus original expectations for the year.
Company Guidance
During BJ's Wholesale Club's Q2 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance indicating a focus on maintaining competitive pricing and value for members amid a dynamic economic environment. The call highlighted a comparable club sales increase of 2.3% excluding gas, and a 34% growth in the digital business. BJ's achieved a 55% growth in its membership base since its IPO, reaching 8 million members, with higher-tier membership penetration setting a record high of 41%. The company reported net sales of approximately $5.3 billion, a 3.2% year-over-year growth, and adjusted EBITDA rose by 8% to $303.9 million. Inventory levels were down 2% year-over-year, reflecting efficient management. BJ's maintained its full-year guidance for comp sales growth of 2% to 3.5%, and updated its adjusted EPS guidance to $4.20 to $4.35, signaling confidence despite macroeconomic uncertainties and anticipated tariff-related impacts.

Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings shows strong revenue growth and stable profitability with healthy margins. The balance sheet is stable but has some leverage concerns, and cash flow generation is adequate despite a decline in free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings demonstrates strong revenue growth with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue growth rate of 8.43%. The company maintains healthy margins, with a gross profit margin of 18.65% and a net profit margin of 2.77%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also solid at 3.95% and 5.27% respectively, indicating efficient operations. The consistent revenue growth and stable margins reflect a robust income statement.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.11, which is an improvement from previous years, indicating better financial leverage management. Return on equity is strong at 29.12%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting a higher reliance on debt financing. Overall, the balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with some leverage concerns.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a slight decline in free cash flow growth at -6.3%, which could be a concern if it persists. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.38, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.30, showing that a reasonable portion of net income is converted into free cash flow. While cash flow generation is adequate, the negative growth in free cash flow warrants attention.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.91B20.50B19.97B19.32B16.67B15.43B
Gross Profit3.90B3.76B3.64B3.43B3.08B2.98B
EBITDA1.10B1.03B1.03B933.26M788.68M796.35M
Net Income578.88M534.42M523.74M513.18M426.65M421.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.23B7.07B6.68B6.35B5.67B5.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments47.27M28.27M36.05M33.91M45.44M43.52M
Total Debt2.64B2.84B2.98B3.12B2.96B3.24B
Total Liabilities5.13B5.22B5.22B5.30B5.02B5.09B
Stockholders Equity2.10B1.85B1.46B1.05B648.11M319.33M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow285.20M312.89M251.81M417.63M527.14M650.21M
Operating Cash Flow936.63M900.87M718.88M788.16M831.65M868.55M
Investing Cash Flow-656.10M-589.57M-454.76M-747.06M-304.51M-192.44M
Financing Cash Flow-271.31M-319.08M-261.98M-52.63M-525.23M-662.79M

Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price98.05
Price Trends
50DMA
103.69
Negative
100DMA
108.44
Negative
200DMA
105.55
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.09
Negative
RSI
42.69
Neutral
STOCH
61.32
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BJ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 98.05 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 99.50, below the 50-day MA of 103.69, and below the 200-day MA of 105.55, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BJ.

Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings Risk Analysis

Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$427.65B54.2432.08%0.51%5.94%9.31%
76
Outperform
$8.07B38.1312.63%10.14%5.01%
75
Outperform
$818.41B37.8824.46%0.88%4.23%38.05%
69
Neutral
$23.20B19.7015.60%2.24%4.98%-15.98%
66
Neutral
$12.92B22.5130.84%2.48%9.41%
62
Neutral
$20.56B14.66-3.18%3.15%1.93%-6.58%
53
Neutral
$20.27B20.07%-29.67%-178.03%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BJ
Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings
98.46
17.89
22.20%
COST
Costco
964.32
61.09
6.76%
DG
Dollar General
104.40
20.88
25.00%
DLTR
Dollar Tree
99.39
27.48
38.21%
WMT
Walmart
103.49
23.71
29.72%
OLLI
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holding
131.53
32.35
32.62%

Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
BJ’s Wholesale Club Elects Directors and Approves Compensation
Neutral
Jun 20, 2025

At the annual meeting of BJ’s Wholesale Club Holdings held on April 28, 2025, shareholders elected ten directors to serve until the 2026 annual meeting. Additionally, they approved the compensation of the company’s named executive officers and ratified the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent accounting firm for fiscal year 2025. An officer exculpation amendment was also approved, but a proposal regarding a report on GHG emissions reduction efforts was not passed.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 26, 2025