Burlington Stores Inc (BURL)
NYSE:BURL
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Burlington Stores
(NYSE:BURL)
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Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$353.00
▲(1.65% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/30/26
The score is driven primarily by improved operating performance and a notably upbeat, guidance-raising earnings call, offset by balance-sheet leverage and a relatively high P/E without dividend support. Technical signals are mixed, adding only modest support.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth & Scale
Sustained top-line growth and meaningful scale expand sourcing leverage and fixed-cost absorption. A larger revenue base supports merchandising cadence, vendor access and operating leverage, making earnings less reliant on short-term promotions and strengthening durable competitive positioning.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
Material leverage constrains financial flexibility and increases sensitivity to margin or sales shocks. Though improved from prior years, the still-large debt load raises refinancing and interest-rate risk, limiting capacity for opportunistic investments or rapid balance-sheet responses in downturns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth & Scale
Sustained top-line growth and meaningful scale expand sourcing leverage and fixed-cost absorption. A larger revenue base supports merchandising cadence, vendor access and operating leverage, making earnings less reliant on short-term promotions and strengthening durable competitive positioning.
Read all positive factors
Burlington Stores Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down sales across different business units, highlighting which segments are driving growth and profitability, and where the company might focus future strategic efforts.
Breaks down sales across different business units, highlighting which segments are driving growth and profitability, and where the company might focus future strategic efforts.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyBurlington Stores (BURL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$18.88B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)773.42K
Price to Earnings (P/E)33.3
Beta (1Y)0.63
Revenue Growth10.60%
EPS Growth19.47%
CountryUS
Employees17,057
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryApparel - Retail
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)9.75
Shares Outstanding62,830,273
10 Day Avg. Volume1,181,298
30 Day Avg. Volume773,425
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.54
Price to Book (P/B)10.50
Price to Sales (P/S)1.64
P/FCF Ratio110.57
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.25
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.98
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit4.50
Enterprise Value/Ebitda17.77
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$373.64Price Target Upside7.60% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering16
EPS Forecast (FY)11.75
Revenue Forecast (FY)$12.81B
Burlington Stores Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Burlington Stores, Inc. operates as a retailer of branded apparel products in the United States. The company provides fashion-focused merchandise, including women's ready-to-wear apparel, menswear, youth apparel, footwear, accessories, toys, gifts...
How the Company Makes Money
Burlington primarily makes money by buying branded merchandise from manufacturers, brands, and other suppliers—often opportunistically (e.g., excess inventory, canceled orders, closeouts, or seasonal overages)—and reselling it through its stores a...
Burlington Stores Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 28, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong top-line growth (Q1 total sales +14%, comps +6%) and notable margin and EPS outperformance (Q1 EPS +26%, operating margin +20 bps), supported by supply chain productivity, improved allocation/localization, accelerated store growth and healthy liquidity. Management raised full-year sales and EPS guidance and signaled continued store productivity upside and rollout of Store Experience 2.0. Key risks discussed include higher freight/fuel costs, inventory build (11% comp inventory increase), regional dispersion, uncertainty around tariff refunds, and macro pressures (higher gas prices, geopolitical risk). Overall, the positive operational execution, margin expansion and upgraded guidance materially outweigh the manageable risks discussed.Positive Updates
Strong Earnings Growth
Adjusted EPS of $2.10 in Q1, up 26% year-over-year; marks the 14th consecutive quarter of double-digit earnings growth and demonstrates consistent earnings flow-through from sales.
Negative Updates
Rising Inventories and Inventory Mix Risk
Comparable store inventories were up 11% versus Q1 FY25; while reserve inventory improved (41% vs 48%), the inventory build warrants monitoring for potential markdown risk if trends change.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Earnings Growth
Adjusted EPS of $2.10 in Q1, up 26% year-over-year; marks the 14th consecutive quarter of double-digit earnings growth and demonstrates consistent earnings flow-through from sales.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Burlington raised its fiscal 2026 outlook, now targeting total sales growth of 9%–11% (vs. prior 8%–10%) with full‑year comp store sales of +2%–4%, adjusted EPS of $11.45–$11.80 (+13%–16% YoY) and adjusted EBIT margin expansion of 10–30 bps; the company now expects 135 gross / 115 net new stores (majority in H1) and roughly $875M of capex (net of landlord allowances). For Q2 it guides comps +1%–3%, total sales +10%–12%, operating margin expansion of 30–60 bps and adjusted EPS $2.05–$2.20 (vs $1.72 LY, implying ~19%–28% EPS growth), excluding ~$3M of bankruptcy‑acquired lease costs (vs $11M LY). The back half outlook is unchanged (comps +1%–3%, total sales +8%–10%, adj EBIT margin +10–30 bps, EPS $7.30–$7.50). Q1 trends that drove the lift included 14% total sales, 6% comp, EPS +26%, gross margin 44.1% (+30 bps), comparable inventories +11% with reserve inventory 41% (vs 48% a year ago), liquidity of ~$1.7B (cash $747M, ABL availability $942M, no outstanding ABL borrowings), $81M repurchased in Q1 with $304M remaining on the buyback, 1,242 stores at quarter end and sales/selling sqft ≈ $350 (vs ~$220 in 2019); the company remains on track to exceed 1,500 stores by end‑2028.Burlington Stores Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
66
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Jan 2026 | Jan 2025 | Jan 2024 | Jan 2023 | Jan 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 11.92B | 11.57B | 10.63B | 9.73B | 8.70B | 9.32B |
| Gross Profit | 5.24B | 5.08B | 4.61B | 4.14B | 3.53B | 3.89B |
| EBITDA | 1.33B | 1.31B | 1.09B | 851.24M | 644.38M | 862.02M |
| Net Income | 624.07M | 610.15M | 503.64M | 339.65M | 230.12M | 408.84M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 9.78B | 9.92B | 8.77B | 7.71B | 7.27B | 7.09B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 747.36M | 1.23B | 994.70M | 925.36M | 872.62M | 1.09B |
| Total Debt | 3.97B | 6.01B | 5.37B | 4.80B | 4.70B | 4.45B |
| Total Liabilities | 5.97B | 8.11B | 7.40B | 6.71B | 6.47B | 6.33B |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.81B | 1.81B | 1.37B | 996.93M | 794.90M | 760.42M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 726.40M | 171.59M | -28.61M | 351.45M | 145.28M | 480.12M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.32B | 1.23B | 863.38M | 868.74M | 596.38M | 833.16M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -932.03M | -1.06B | -882.25M | -503.75M | -423.14M | -344.39M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -13.46M | 61.49M | 88.22M | -318.84M | -391.71M | -777.96M |
Burlington Stores Technical Analysis
Positive
347.26
Price Trends
319.74
Positive
312.01
Positive
292.77
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.31
Negative
55.29
Neutral
66.82
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BURL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 347.26 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 306.28, above the 50-day MA of 319.74, and above the 200-day MA of 292.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.31 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BURL.
Burlington Stores Risk Analysis
Burlington Stores disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Burlington Stores reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Burlington Stores Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
81 Outperform | $73.19B | 31.92 | 38.42% | 0.90% | 11.86% | 13.46% | |
80 Outperform | $171.43B | 29.93 | 59.66% | 1.07% | 8.06% | ― | |
79 Outperform | $6.41B | 13.46 | 17.64% | ― | 11.23% | 8.96% | |
68 Neutral | $18.88B | 33.28 | 29.06% | ― | 10.60% | 19.47% | |
67 Neutral | $9.13B | 8.08 | 26.47% | 2.45% | 1.58% | 11.13% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
57 Neutral | $3.00B | 9.46 | 17.24% | 2.09% | 6.22% | 65.05% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
BURL
Burlington Stores
323.83
90.97
39.07%
AEO
American Eagle
15.80
5.71
56.58%
GAP
Gap Inc
21.15
-0.65
-2.99%
ROST
Ross Stores
231.73
90.72
64.33%
TJX
TJX Companies
154.75
27.87
21.97%
URBN
Urban Outfitters
72.65
0.03
0.04%
Burlington Stores Corporate Events
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Burlington Stores Stockholders Confirm Directors and Annual Say-On-Pay
Positive
May 26, 2026
Burlington Stores, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders on May 19, 2026, with approximately 95% of eligible shares represented, establishing a strong quorum and signaling high investor engagement. At the meeting, stockholders elected seven...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.