Burlington Stores (BURL) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $17.64B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 910.72K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 34.7
• Beta (1Y): 1.15
• Revenue Growth: 8.29%
• EPS Growth: 38.09%
• Country: US
• Employees: 17,057
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 64
• Industry: Apparel - Retail
• EPS (TTM): 1.60
• Shares Outstanding: 63,086,660
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 897,277
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 910,723
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.00
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.14
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.86
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 4.29
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 17.85
• 1Y Price Target: $320.36
• Price Target Upside: 14.55% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 15

• Rating: 78 Outperform
• Price Target: $320.00 ▲(14.42% Upside)

Burlington Stores shows strong financial performance and technical momentum, with strategic initiatives supporting growth. High valuation metrics and economic concerns temper the outlook, but overall prospects remain positive.

Positive Factors

Earnings Potential

Burlington continues on its multi-year turnaround journey, set to deliver ~25% EPS growth through 2028.

Market Trends

The company benefits from the thematic push to off-price shopping and expects strong top- and bottom-line growth ahead.

Sales Growth

BURL has shown consistent sales growth driven by LSD comps and 4-7% store growth, with management planning to expand under-penetrated categories and chase sales via opportunistic buying.

Negative Factors

Economic Environment

ST demand picture could be challenged in current macro, with a weaker low-income consumer.

Management Tone

A broadly cautious management tone also contributed to the stock pressure.

Tariffs Impact

Tariffs will significantly pressure merchandise margin, but at current levels, they can be offset elsewhere in the P&L.

Burlington Stores Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Burlington Stores, Inc. operates as a retailer of branded apparel products in the United States. The company provides fashion-focused merchandise, including women's ready-to-wear apparel, menswear, youth apparel, footwear, accessories, toys, gifts, and coats, as well as baby, home, and beauty products. As of January 29, 2022, it operated 837 stores under the Burlington Stores name, 2 stores under the Cohoes Fashions name, and 1 store under the MJM Designer Shoes name in 45 states and Puerto Rico. Burlington Stores, Inc. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Burlington, New Jersey.

How the Company Makes Money

Burlington Stores makes money primarily through the sale of merchandise in its off-price retail stores. The company's revenue model is based on purchasing excess inventory from various brands and manufacturers at a discounted rate, which it then sells to consumers at competitive prices while maintaining a healthy profit margin. Key revenue streams include the sales of women's and men's apparel, youth apparel, footwear, home products, and beauty items. Burlington's business strategy focuses on maintaining low operating costs and optimizing inventory turnover to maximize profitability. The company benefits from strong vendor relationships and a flexible supply chain, enabling it to quickly adapt to changing consumer preferences and market trends. Significant factors contributing to its earnings include strategic store locations, effective marketing campaigns, and a focus on customer experience, which drive foot traffic and sales.

Burlington Stores Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Burlington Stores has shown strong revenue growth and improved profitability, reflected in a stable gross profit margin and an improved net profit margin. However, high leverage and fluctuating free cash flow pose risks, necessitating continued focus on cost management and strategic investments.

Income Statement

Burlington Stores has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a significant increase from $5.76 billion in 2021 to $10.78 billion in TTM 2025, indicating robust demand and effective business strategies. The gross profit margin has remained stable, reflecting efficient cost management. The net profit margin has improved, showcasing enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT margin has slightly declined, suggesting potential cost pressures or increased competition.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks if interest rates rise or cash flows decrease. However, the return on equity has improved, reflecting better utilization of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio has increased over the years, suggesting a strengthening financial position.

Cash Flow

Burlington Stores' operating cash flow has been consistently positive, indicating strong cash generation from core operations. However, free cash flow has fluctuated, with negative figures in TTM 2025, primarily due to high capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, but the free cash flow to net income ratio indicates potential challenges in converting profits into free cash flow.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	10.63B	9.72B	8.70B	9.32B	5.76B
Gross Profit	4.61B	4.13B	3.53B	3.89B	2.21B
EBITDA	1.09B	851.24M	636.38M	837.12M	-119.47M
Net Income	503.64M	339.65M	230.12M	408.84M	-216.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	8.77B	7.71B	7.27B	7.09B	6.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	994.70M	925.36M	872.62M	1.09B	1.38B
Total Debt	5.37B	4.80B	4.70B	4.45B	4.64B
Total Liabilities	7.40B	6.71B	6.47B	6.33B	6.32B
Stockholders Equity	1.37B	996.93M	794.90M	760.42M	464.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-28.61M	351.45M	145.28M	480.12M	-54.10M
Operating Cash Flow	863.38M	868.74M	596.38M	833.16M	219.18M
Investing Cash Flow	-882.25M	-503.75M	-423.14M	-344.39M	-274.13M
Financing Cash Flow	88.22M	-318.84M	-391.71M	-777.96M	1.03B

Burlington Stores Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 279.66
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BURL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 279.66 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 269.35, above the 50-day MA of 249.22, and above the 200-day MA of 256.96, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 9.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 63.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BURL.

Burlington Stores Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ANF	80 Outperform	$4.73B	10.16	46.98%	―	12.54%	25.47%
URBN	79 Outperform	$6.98B	16.72	19.55%	―	8.38%	52.18%
BURL	78 Outperform	$17.64B	34.73	44.13%	―	8.29%	38.09%
ROST	77 Outperform	$46.38B	22.45	39.57%	1.13%	2.49%	6.60%
TJX	76 Outperform	$143.66B	30.36	60.36%	1.23%	3.79%	5.23%
GAP	73 Outperform	$7.27B	8.49	29.16%	3.23%	1.07%	28.03%
Sector *	62 Neutral	C$4.63B	8.07	17.93%	3.89%	2.21%	-1.75%

Burlington Stores Corporate Events

Burlington Stores Amends Credit Agreement for Growth

On July 25, 2025, Burlington Coat Factory Warehouse Corporation amended its credit agreement to increase the aggregate principal amount from $900 million to $1 billion and extend the maturity date to July 25, 2030. This strategic move, facilitated by major financial institutions, aims to enhance the company’s financial flexibility and support its long-term growth objectives.

The most recent analyst rating on (BURL) stock is a Buy with a $279.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Burlington Stores stock, see the BURL Stock Forecast page.

Burlington Stores Secures $500 Million in New Loans

On June 11, 2025, Burlington Coat Factory Warehouse Corporation amended its Credit Agreement to secure $500 million in incremental term loans. These funds will support general corporate activities, including purchasing a distribution center and repaying ABL borrowings, enhancing the company’s operational flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (BURL) stock is a Buy with a $279.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Burlington Stores stock, see the BURL Stock Forecast page.

Burlington Stores Approves Amended Incentive Plan at Meeting

On May 20, 2025, Burlington Stores, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where the First Amendment to the 2022 Omnibus Incentive Plan was approved, increasing the shares of common stock by 3,100,000. Additionally, stockholders voted on various proposals, including the election of directors, the ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent auditor, an advisory vote on executive compensation, and the approval of the Amended 2022 Plan, with significant participation from eligible voting shares.

The most recent analyst rating on (BURL) stock is a Buy with a $279.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Burlington Stores stock, see the BURL Stock Forecast page.