Burlington Stores (BURL) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $17.30B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 928.95K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 32.4
• Beta (1Y): 1.11
• Revenue Growth: 7.56%
• EPS Growth: 29.06%
• Country: US
• Employees: 17,057
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Apparel - Retail
• EPS (TTM): 1.59
• Shares Outstanding: 63,035,015
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 842,747
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 928,945
• PEG Ratio: 0.71
• Price to Book (P/B): 13.18
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.70
• P/FCF Ratio: -631.58
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.30
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 2.05
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 4.70
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 20.25
• 1Y Price Target: $351.79
• Price Target Upside: 28.18% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 16

• Rating: 73 Outperform
• Price Target: $300.00 ▲(9.31% Upside)

Burlington Stores' strong financial performance and positive earnings call results are the primary drivers of its stock score. The company's high leverage and valuation concerns, along with potential risks highlighted in the earnings call, moderate the overall score. Technical indicators suggest neutral momentum, supporting a balanced outlook.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Consistent double-digit sales growth indicates strong market demand and effective strategies, enhancing Burlington's competitive position.

Operational Efficiency

Improved operating margins through cost efficiencies suggest sustainable profitability and robust operational management.

Strategic Inventory Management

Increased reserve inventory provides flexibility to adapt to sales trends, supporting revenue growth and customer satisfaction.

Negative Factors

High Leverage

Significant leverage may constrain financial flexibility, posing risks to cash flow and long-term financial stability.

Tariff Pressure

Tariff pressures could impact merchandise margins, challenging cost management and potentially affecting profitability.

Weather-Related Risks

Weather-related risks can lead to unpredictable sales patterns, impacting revenue stability and forecasting accuracy.

Burlington Stores Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Burlington Stores, Inc. operates as a retailer of branded apparel products in the United States. The company provides fashion-focused merchandise, including women's ready-to-wear apparel, menswear, youth apparel, footwear, accessories, toys, gifts, and coats, as well as baby, home, and beauty products. As of January 29, 2022, it operated 837 stores under the Burlington Stores name, 2 stores under the Cohoes Fashions name, and 1 store under the MJM Designer Shoes name in 45 states and Puerto Rico. Burlington Stores, Inc. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Burlington, New Jersey.

How the Company Makes Money

Burlington Stores generates revenue primarily through the sale of merchandise in its retail locations and online. The company's revenue model is built on offering brand-name and designer products at prices significantly lower than traditional department stores. Key revenue streams include the sale of clothing, footwear, and home products. Burlington benefits from a flexible buying strategy, allowing it to purchase excess inventory from manufacturers and wholesalers at reduced prices, which it can then sell to customers at competitive rates. Additionally, Burlington's expansion into e-commerce has opened new sales channels, contributing to its overall revenue growth. The company's ability to adapt to changing market trends and consumer preferences, along with its focus on cost-effective operations, further supports its earnings.

Burlington Stores Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Burlington Stores exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and improving profitability margins. The company has a high return on equity and positive cash flow trends, supporting operational initiatives. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio remains a potential risk factor.

Income Statement

Burlington Stores has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 2.22% and consistent improvement in profitability margins. The gross profit margin stands at 43.62%, and the net profit margin has improved to 4.96%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy at 7.26% and 10.54%, respectively, indicating efficient cost management and operational performance.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.04, which suggests significant leverage. However, the return on equity is robust at 41.11%, reflecting strong profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is moderate, indicating a balanced asset structure.

Cash Flow

Burlington Stores shows positive cash flow trends with a free cash flow growth rate of 8.57% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.38, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.38, indicating effective cash generation relative to earnings.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2023	Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue	11.01B	10.63B	10.63B	9.72B	9.72B	8.69B
Gross Profit	4.80B	4.60B	4.60B	4.13B	4.13B	3.52B
EBITDA	1.11B	1.05B	1.05B	847.36M	847.36M	650.92M
Net Income	546.38M	503.64M	503.64M	339.65M	339.65M	230.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	9.31B	8.77B	8.77B	7.71B	7.71B	7.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	747.62M	994.70M	994.70M	925.36M	925.36M	872.62M
Total Debt	5.84B	5.37B	5.37B	4.80B	4.80B	4.70B
Total Liabilities	7.86B	7.40B	7.40B	6.71B	6.71B	6.47B
Stockholders Equity	1.45B	1.37B	1.37B	996.93M	996.93M	794.90M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	308.10M	-28.61M	-28.61M	351.45M	351.45M	145.28M
Operating Cash Flow	804.10M	863.38M	863.38M	868.74M	868.74M	596.38M
Investing Cash Flow	-1.10B	-882.25M	-882.25M	-503.75M	-503.75M	-423.14M
Financing Cash Flow	385.00M	88.22M	88.22M	-318.84M	-318.84M	-391.71M

Burlington Stores Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 274.44
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BURL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 274.44 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 266.61, above the 50-day MA of 271.90, and above the 200-day MA of 256.41, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.79 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BURL.

Burlington Stores Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
TJX	―	$160.30B	32.87	59.75%	1.12%	4.14%	5.83%
URBN	―	$6.03B	13.15	19.72%	―	9.63%	56.06%
ROST	―	$52.26B	25.52	37.98%	0.98%	1.92%	1.50%
BURL	―	$17.30B	32.38	43.41%	―	7.56%	29.06%
GAP	―	$9.05B	10.48	28.07%	2.70%	-0.05%	15.17%
AEO	―	$2.81B	15.95	12.17%	2.96%	-2.73%	-16.71%
Sector *	―	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%

Burlington Stores Corporate Events

Burlington Stores’ Earnings Call Highlights Robust Growth and Challenges

Burlington Stores Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a positive sentiment driven by strong sales growth and operational efficiency. The company reported improved margins and exceeded earnings expectations, although concerns were raised about potential tariff impacts and weather-related sales risks. Additionally, the home category’s performance was noted as softer compared to other segments.

Burlington Stores Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings

Burlington Stores, Inc., a prominent off-price retailer known for offering high-quality branded apparel, footwear, and home merchandise at competitive prices, has released its financial results for the second quarter of 2025.

Burlington Stores Elects Michael Skirvin to Board

On August 21, 2025, Burlington Stores announced the election of Michael Skirvin to its Board of Directors and Audit Committee, effective November 18, 2025. Skirvin, with over 30 years of experience in the off-price retail sector, is expected to contribute significantly to Burlington’s strategic growth and the execution of its Burlington 2.0 strategy, enhancing the company’s industry positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (BURL) stock is a Buy with a $315.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Burlington Stores stock, see the BURL Stock Forecast page.

Burlington Stores Amends Credit Agreement for Growth

On July 25, 2025, Burlington Coat Factory Warehouse Corporation amended its credit agreement to increase the aggregate principal amount from $900 million to $1 billion and extend the maturity date to July 25, 2030. This strategic move, facilitated by major financial institutions, aims to enhance the company’s financial flexibility and support its long-term growth objectives.

The most recent analyst rating on (BURL) stock is a Buy with a $279.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Burlington Stores stock, see the BURL Stock Forecast page.