Burlington Stores (BURL) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $17.10B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 1.19M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 30.2
• Beta (1Y): 0.77
• Revenue Growth: 6.80%
• EPS Growth: 20.46%
• Country: US
• Employees: 17,057
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Apparel - Retail
• EPS (TTM): 1.80
• Shares Outstanding: 62,927,006
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,651,688
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,186,765
• PEG Ratio: 0.71
• Price to Book (P/B): 13.18
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.70
• P/FCF Ratio: -631.58
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.34
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 2.05
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 4.78
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 19.87
• 1Y Price Target: $341.69
• Price Target Upside: 28.36% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 16
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 68 Neutral
• Price Target: $284.00 ▲(6.69% Upside)

Burlington Stores' overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, highlighting growth and margin expansion. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the high valuation limits upside potential. Competitive pressures and tariff challenges also pose risks.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Consistent sales growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term revenue expansion.

Store Expansion

Aggressive store expansion suggests confidence in market opportunities and potential for increased market share.

Margin Expansion

Margin expansion demonstrates effective cost management and operational efficiency, enhancing profitability.

Negative Factors

High Debt Levels

High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting long-term financial stability.

Competitive Pressure

Lagging comp sales growth compared to peers indicates competitive challenges that may affect market positioning.

Tariff Pressures

Ongoing tariff pressures can impact cost structures and profitability, posing a risk to margin sustainability.

Burlington Stores Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) is a leading off-price retailer of apparel and home products in the United States. The company operates a chain of Burlington stores that offer a wide variety of merchandise, including women's, men's, and children's clothing, footwear, accessories, and home goods, all at discounted prices. Burlington's business model emphasizes providing customers with high-quality products at lower prices, making it a popular choice among budget-conscious shoppers. The company also engages in online retailing, expanding its reach beyond physical store locations.

How the Company Makes Money

Burlington Stores generates revenue primarily through the sale of discounted merchandise in its retail stores and online platforms. The company's revenue model is based on offering high-quality products at lower prices than traditional retailers, attracting a wide customer base. Key revenue streams include sales from clothing, footwear, home goods, and seasonal merchandise. Additionally, Burlington benefits from strong supplier relationships, enabling it to acquire products at lower costs, which enhances its profit margins. The company's focus on off-price retailing allows it to remain competitive, especially during economic downturns when consumers prioritize value. Seasonal promotions and sales events also contribute to its revenue, drawing in customers looking for bargains.

Burlington Stores Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Burlington Stores demonstrates solid financial health with consistent revenue growth and improved leverage. While profitability margins are stable, operational efficiency could be enhanced. The company shows strong cash flow generation, but there is potential to improve the conversion of net income into free cash flow.

Income Statement

Burlington Stores has shown consistent revenue growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.64% and improving gross profit margins. The net profit margin is stable at 5.01%, indicating profitability. However, the EBIT margin has decreased slightly in the TTM, which could suggest rising operational costs.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved significantly in the TTM to 1.09 from a high of 9.98 in 2021, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity has decreased to 28.79%, and the equity ratio remains moderate, suggesting room for improvement in asset management.

Cash Flow

Free cash flow has grown by 56.26% in the TTM, showing strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.38, but the free cash flow to net income ratio indicates that a significant portion of net income is not converted into free cash flow.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	11.19B	10.63B	9.72B	8.69B	9.31B	5.76B
Gross Profit	4.79B	4.60B	4.13B	3.52B	3.88B	2.20B
EBITDA	1.15B	1.05B	847.36M	650.92M	1.02B	-110.79M
Net Income	560.53M	503.64M	339.65M	230.12M	408.84M	-216.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	9.60B	8.77B	7.71B	7.27B	7.09B	6.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	584.08M	994.70M	925.36M	872.62M	1.09B	1.38B
Total Debt	5.94B	5.37B	4.80B	4.70B	4.45B	4.64B
Total Liabilities	8.07B	7.40B	6.71B	6.47B	6.33B	6.32B
Stockholders Equity	1.53B	1.37B	996.93M	794.90M	760.42M	464.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	481.42M	-28.61M	351.45M	145.28M	480.12M	-54.10M
Operating Cash Flow	837.03M	863.38M	868.74M	596.38M	833.16M	219.18M
Investing Cash Flow	-1.18B	-882.25M	-503.75M	-423.14M	-344.39M	-274.13M
Financing Cash Flow	73.43M	88.22M	-318.84M	-391.71M	-777.96M	1.03B

Burlington Stores Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 266.20
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BURL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 266.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 269.29, below the 50-day MA of 269.09, and above the 200-day MA of 256.55, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.83 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BURL.

Burlington Stores Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ROST	80 Outperform	$57.85B	27.81	37.43%	0.91%	3.71%	0.65%
TJX	79 Outperform	$170.21B	33.87	58.40%	1.07%	4.53%	6.52%
URBN	78 Outperform	$6.79B	14.33	19.34%	―	11.09%	51.51%
GAP	76 Outperform	$9.88B	11.90	25.10%	2.47%	0.29%	3.65%
AEO	72 Outperform	$3.91B	19.90	12.36%	2.09%	-1.15%	-0.98%
BURL	68 Neutral	$17.10B	30.21	41.92%	―	6.80%	20.46%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%

Burlington Stores Corporate Events

Burlington Stores Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings

Burlington Stores, Inc., a leading off-price retailer in the United States, specializes in offering high-quality, branded apparel, footwear, accessories, and home merchandise at competitive prices. In its third-quarter earnings report for 2025, Burlington Stores announced a 7% increase in total sales and a 1% rise in comparable store sales. The company reported a net income of $105 million, translating to a diluted EPS of $1.63. Adjusted EPS, which excludes certain expenses, rose by 16% to $1.80. The company has also raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $9.69 to $9.89.

Burlington Stores Q3 Earnings: Growth Amid Challenges

Burlington Stores, Inc. recently held its third-quarter earnings call, revealing a positive sentiment despite facing several challenges. The company reported strong sales growth and margin expansion, surpassing earnings expectations. However, competitive pressures were evident as comparable sales lagged behind industry peers. Nevertheless, Burlington’s plans for increased store openings and a robust pipeline suggest optimism for future growth.

Burlington Stores’ Earnings Call Highlights Robust Growth and Challenges

Burlington Stores Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a positive sentiment driven by strong sales growth and operational efficiency. The company reported improved margins and exceeded earnings expectations, although concerns were raised about potential tariff impacts and weather-related sales risks. Additionally, the home category’s performance was noted as softer compared to other segments.

Burlington Stores Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings

Burlington Stores, Inc., a prominent off-price retailer known for offering high-quality branded apparel, footwear, and home merchandise at competitive prices, has released its financial results for the second quarter of 2025.