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Tjx Companies (TJX)
NYSE:TJX
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TJX Companies (TJX) AI Stock Analysis

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TJX

TJX Companies

(NYSE:TJX)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$154.00
▲(10.41% Upside)
TJX Companies receives a strong overall score due to its robust financial performance and positive earnings call, which highlighted significant sales and profit growth. Technical analysis suggests strong momentum, although overbought conditions pose short-term risks. Valuation is a concern due to a high P/E ratio, but the company's strategic initiatives and operational efficiencies provide a solid foundation for future growth.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth reflects TJX's ability to attract customers and expand its market reach, ensuring long-term business sustainability.
Expansion Potential
The potential for significant store expansion indicates a strong growth strategy, enhancing market presence and revenue opportunities.
Operational Efficiency
Improved operational efficiencies help sustain profit margins and reduce costs, contributing to long-term financial health.
Negative Factors
Tariff Pressures
Ongoing tariff pressures could impact cost structures and margins, posing a challenge to maintaining profitability.
Weather Impact
Weather-related disruptions can affect sales performance, highlighting vulnerability to external factors beyond management control.
Debt Levels
Moderate debt levels require careful management to ensure financial flexibility and reduce interest burden over time.

TJX Companies (TJX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TJX Companies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe TJX Companies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an off-price apparel and home fashions retailer. It operates through four segments: Marmaxx, HomeGoods, TJX Canada, and TJX International. The company sells family apparel, including footwear and accessories; home fashions, such as home basics, furniture, rugs, lighting products, giftware, soft home products, decorative accessories, tabletop, and cookware, as well as expanded pet, kids, and gourmet food departments; jewelry and accessories; and other merchandise. As of February 23, 2022, it operated 1,284 T.J. Maxx, 1,148 Marshalls, 850 HomeGoods, 59 Sierra, and 39 Homesense stores, as well as tjmaxx.com, marshalls.com, and sierra.com in the United States; 293 Winners, 147 HomeSense, and 106 Marshalls stores in Canada; 618 T.K. Maxx and 77 Homesense stores, as well as tkmaxx.com in Europe; and 68 T.K. Maxx stores in Australia. The company was incorporated in 1962 and is headquartered in Framingham, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyTJX Companies generates revenue primarily through the sale of off-price retail goods. The company purchases excess inventory from manufacturers, wholesalers, and other retailers at discounted prices, which allows it to sell products to consumers at lower prices while maintaining healthy profit margins. Key revenue streams include sales from its various retail chains, with T.J. Maxx and Marshalls being the largest contributors. Additionally, TJX benefits from a strong inventory management system that enables it to quickly adapt to changing consumer preferences and market conditions. The company's extensive supplier relationships and its ability to capitalize on opportunistic buying also play a significant role in its earnings. Furthermore, TJX's growth strategy includes expanding its store footprint and e-commerce presence, further enhancing its revenue potential.

TJX Companies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Store Count by Type
Store Count by Type
Provides the number of stores categorized by type, offering insight into the company's retail footprint and strategic focus on different retail formats.
Chart InsightsTJX Companies is expanding its store footprint significantly, particularly in the Marmaxx and HomeGoods segments, which aligns with the strong sales growth reported in the latest earnings call. The recent surge in Marmaxx store count suggests a strategic push to capitalize on increased customer transactions. HomeGoods also shows robust expansion, supported by a 4% comp sales growth. Despite challenges like tariff pressures and foreign exchange impacts, TJX's flexible business model and strong international performance, especially in Europe and Australia, underpin its optimistic growth outlook.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

TJX Companies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 20, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 19, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong quarter with significant sales and profit growth across various divisions, particularly internationally and in the home and apparel segments. Despite ongoing tariff challenges and minor weather impacts, the company showed resilience with effective mitigation strategies.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeding Second Quarter Expectations
Second quarter comp sales increased by 4%, exceeding expectations and driven by customer transactions across all divisions. Profit results also surpassed targets, leading to raised full-year guidance for pre-tax profit margin and earnings per share.
Strong International Performance
TJX Canada's comp sales increased by 9% with a segment profit margin up by 100 basis points. TJX International saw a 5% increase in comp sales with a segment profit margin up by 80 basis points.
HomeGoods and Apparel Sales Growth
HomeGoods comp sales grew 5%, with a segment profit margin up 90 basis points. Apparel categories also showed significant growth, contributing to overall sales strength.
Improved Profit Margins
Pre-tax profit margin for the second quarter was 11.4%, up 50 basis points from the previous year. Gross margin increased by 30 basis points due to favorable hedges.
Successful Cost Mitigation Strategies
Despite higher tariff costs, merchandise margin remained flat due to effective mitigation strategies. SG&A decreased by 30 basis points due to operational efficiencies.
Negative Updates
Tariff Pressures
Higher tariff costs were a headwind, although they were mitigated more effectively than expected. Tariff impacts are anticipated to continue as a challenge for the remainder of the year.
Impact of Weather on Sales
Sales were slightly impacted by unfavorable weather conditions in June, although performance improved through July and August.
Net Interest Income Impact
Net interest income negatively impacted pre-tax profit margin by 10 basis points compared to last year.
Company Guidance
In the recent conference call for The TJX Companies, Inc., the guidance for the fiscal year 2026 was notably optimistic, reflecting strong second-quarter results. The company reported a consolidated comp sales growth of 4%, exceeding expectations, with a pre-tax profit margin of 11.4%, up 50 basis points from the previous year. Diluted earnings per share increased by 15% to $1.10. As a result of this performance, TJX raised its full-year guidance, projecting a 3% increase in overall comp sales and a consolidated sales range of $59.3 billion to $59.6 billion. The company expects full-year profitability to be between 11.4% and 11.5%, with a gross margin of 30.5% to 30.6%. For the third quarter, TJX anticipates comp sales growth of 2% to 3%, with a pre-tax profit margin forecasted at 12% to 12.1%. The company remains confident in its ability to offset tariff pressures and manage operational efficiencies, positioning itself strongly for continued growth and market share expansion.

TJX Companies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TJX Companies demonstrates robust financial health with strong revenue growth, profitability, and cash flow generation. The company maintains a solid balance sheet with manageable leverage and high return on equity. While the debt levels are moderate, continued focus on reducing leverage could enhance financial stability further.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
TJX Companies shows strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and solid profitability margins. The TTM data indicates a gross profit margin of 30.57% and a net profit margin of 8.59%, which are healthy for the retail industry. Revenue growth is steady, with a 1.64% increase in the TTM period. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 11.47% and 14.02% respectively, indicating efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate level of leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.48 in the TTM period, showing improvement from previous years. Return on equity is strong at 58.63%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 26.95%, suggesting a balanced capital structure but with room for improvement in reducing debt levels.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trajectory with a 6.99% growth in free cash flow in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.19, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.68, reflecting efficient cash management and the ability to fund operations and investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue57.92B56.36B54.22B49.94B48.55B32.14B
Gross Profit17.71B17.25B16.27B13.79B13.84B7.60B
EBITDA7.87B7.66B7.01B5.61B5.38B1.15B
Net Income4.97B4.86B4.47B3.50B3.28B90.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets32.88B31.75B29.75B28.35B28.46B30.81B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.64B5.33B5.60B5.48B6.23B10.47B
Total Debt13.12B12.78B12.54B12.74B12.51B15.50B
Total Liabilities24.02B23.36B22.45B21.98B22.46B24.98B
Stockholders Equity8.87B8.39B7.30B6.36B6.00B5.83B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.04B4.20B4.33B2.63B2.01B3.99B
Operating Cash Flow5.93B6.12B6.06B4.08B3.06B4.56B
Investing Cash Flow-2.46B-2.48B-1.72B-1.47B-1.05B-578.60M
Financing Cash Flow-4.12B-3.84B-4.21B-3.31B-6.20B3.23B

TJX Companies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price139.48
Price Trends
50DMA
130.96
Positive
100DMA
128.83
Positive
200DMA
125.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.63
Positive
RSI
61.80
Neutral
STOCH
73.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TJX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 139.48 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 137.75, above the 50-day MA of 130.96, and above the 200-day MA of 125.26, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.63 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 61.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TJX.

TJX Companies Risk Analysis

TJX Companies disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. TJX Companies reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

TJX Companies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$156.74B31.9159.75%1.15%4.14%5.83%
77
Outperform
$6.43B14.0319.72%9.63%56.06%
77
Outperform
$17.63B33.0043.41%7.56%29.06%
75
Outperform
$8.99B10.3428.07%2.75%-0.05%15.17%
75
Outperform
$49.14B23.7037.98%1.05%1.92%1.50%
66
Neutral
$3.32B18.5312.17%2.73%-2.73%-16.71%
61
Neutral
$18.08B12.82-1.60%3.03%1.45%-15.68%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TJX
TJX Companies
139.48
21.36
18.08%
AEO
American Eagle
18.34
-0.28
-1.50%
GAP
Gap Inc
22.90
3.10
15.66%
ROST
Ross Stores
147.90
-3.58
-2.36%
URBN
Urban Outfitters
67.71
31.05
84.70%
BURL
Burlington Stores
266.91
-5.17
-1.90%

TJX Companies Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
TJX Companies Holds Annual Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

On June 10, 2025, TJX Companies held its annual shareholder meeting where all director nominees were elected to serve until the next meeting. Additionally, PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for fiscal 2026, and the executive compensation package was approved.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 21, 2025