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Gap Inc (GAP)
NYSE:GAP
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Gap Inc (GAP) AI Stock Analysis

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GAP

Gap Inc

(NYSE:GAP)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$30.00
▲(10.82% Upside)
Gap Inc. receives a strong overall score driven by robust earnings performance and positive technical indicators. The company's effective financial management and strategic initiatives have contributed to its positive outlook. While valuation metrics are favorable, challenges such as Athleta's performance and tariff impacts on margins need monitoring.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue growth indicates robust demand across Gap Inc.'s brands, supporting long-term market presence and financial stability.
Brand Performance
Strong brand performance, particularly in Old Navy and Gap, highlights effective market strategies and brand strength, ensuring competitive advantage.
Technological Advancements
Investments in technology enhance operational efficiency and supply chain resilience, positioning Gap Inc. for sustained competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage could limit financial flexibility and increase risk, necessitating careful debt management to maintain long-term financial health.
Cash Flow Challenges
Declining free cash flow growth may constrain Gap Inc.'s ability to invest in growth initiatives, impacting long-term strategic execution.
Athleta's Performance
Athleta's declining sales indicate brand-specific challenges, potentially affecting Gap Inc.'s overall growth and market diversification strategy.

Gap Inc (GAP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gap Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGap Inc. is a global retailer that operates multiple brands, including Gap, Banana Republic, Old Navy, and Athleta. Founded in 1969, the company offers a range of apparel, accessories, and personal care products for men, women, and children. With a focus on casual and contemporary styles, Gap Inc. serves customers through various channels, including brick-and-mortar stores, online platforms, and mobile applications, aiming to provide accessible, fashionable clothing to a diverse audience.
How the Company Makes MoneyGap Inc. generates revenue primarily through the sale of its clothing and accessories across its various brands. The company operates a multi-channel retail model, which includes physical stores, e-commerce websites, and mobile applications, allowing it to reach a broad customer base. Key revenue streams include direct sales from retail locations, online sales, and wholesale partnerships with other retailers. Additionally, Gap Inc. benefits from seasonal promotions, loyalty programs, and collaborations with other brands, which drive customer engagement and enhance sales. The company's strategic focus on inventory management, marketing initiatives, and customer experiences also contribute to its overall earnings.

Gap Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 20, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call revealed a strong overall performance by The Gap, Inc., highlighted by significant growth in comparable sales, successful brand strategies at Old Navy and Gap, and technological advancements in their supply chain. However, challenges persist with Athleta's declining sales and the impact of tariffs on margins. Despite these challenges, the company has raised its fiscal year outlook, indicating confidence in continued growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Comparable Sales Growth
The Gap, Inc. reported a 5% increase in comparable sales, the highest quarterly comp in over four years. This growth was driven by strong performances from Old Navy, Gap, and Banana Republic.
Operating Margin and Cash Position
The company delivered an operating margin of 8.5%, benefiting from growth in Average Unit Retail (AUR). They ended the quarter with strong cash balances of approximately $2.5 billion.
Old Navy and Gap Brand Success
Old Navy's comparable sales were up 6%, with the brand gaining market share and showing strong performance in categories like denim and activewear. Gap's comparable sales increased by 7%, marking the eighth consecutive quarter of positive comps, driven by successful campaigns like 'Better in Denim.'
Supply Chain and Technological Advancements
The company introduced new automation and AI capabilities across its fulfillment network, increasing productivity by nearly 30% compared to previous years.
Updated Fiscal Year Outlook
The company raised its full-year 2025 net sales growth to the high end of its prior range and increased its operating margin outlook.
Negative Updates
Athleta's Performance Challenges
Athleta's net sales decreased by 11% year over year, with comparable sales also down 11%. The brand is in the early stages of a reinvigoration journey.
Impact of Tariffs on Margins
The gross margin of 42.4% declined by 30 basis points due to an estimated 190 basis point impact from tariffs.
Banana Republic Sales Decline
Net sales for Banana Republic were down 1% year over year, despite a 4% increase in comparable sales.
Company Guidance
During The Gap, Inc.'s third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a strong performance, exceeding expectations across several key metrics. Net sales for the quarter reached $3.9 billion, up 3% year-over-year, with a comparable sales increase of 5%, marking the highest quarterly comp in over four years. Old Navy, Gap, and Banana Republic all posted positive comps, with Old Navy's sales up 6%, Gap's up 7%, and Banana Republic's up 4%. The company achieved an operating margin of 8.5% and ended the quarter with $2.5 billion in cash. Gross margin was reported at 42.4%, slightly down by 30 basis points from the previous year, primarily due to tariff impacts, although this was partially offset by strong AUR growth and reduced discounting. The company's financial outlook for fiscal 2025 was updated, with net sales growth expected at the high end of the prior range and an operating margin target of about 7.2%. The call also highlighted The Gap, Inc.'s strategic priorities, including brand reinvigoration, digital engagement, and supply chain enhancements, which have collectively contributed to the company's robust performance and positive momentum.

Gap Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gap Inc. demonstrates solid financial performance with significant improvements in revenue growth and profitability. The company has effectively managed its leverage, resulting in a healthier balance sheet. Cash flow generation is strong, although historical volatility in growth rates suggests the need for cautious cash flow management.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Gap Inc. has shown a strong recovery in its income statement metrics. The TTM data indicates a significant revenue growth rate of 74.5%, reflecting a robust rebound. Gross profit margin is healthy at 41%, and the net profit margin has improved to 5.57%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also solid, indicating effective cost management and operational efficiency. However, the company has experienced fluctuations in revenue growth in previous years, which could pose a risk if not managed well.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet shows a moderate level of financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 1.51 in the TTM period, indicating better leverage management compared to previous years. Return on equity is strong at 24.91%, reflecting good profitability relative to shareholder equity. However, the equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting a higher reliance on debt financing, which could be a risk if market conditions change.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow metrics indicate a positive trend with a free cash flow growth rate of 130% in the TTM period, showcasing strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.37, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.64, both indicating efficient cash flow management. Despite these strengths, the company has experienced volatility in free cash flow growth in past periods, which could impact future cash flow stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.28B15.09B14.89B15.62B16.67B13.80B
Gross Profit6.27B6.23B5.78B5.36B6.64B4.71B
EBITDA1.72B1.72B1.17B489.43M994.00M-403.00M
Net Income851.00M844.00M502.00M-202.00M256.00M-665.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.37B11.88B11.04B11.39B12.76B13.77B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.52B2.59B1.87B1.22B877.00M2.40B
Total Debt5.52B5.47B5.44B6.02B6.25B7.66B
Total Liabilities8.72B8.62B8.45B9.15B10.04B11.15B
Stockholders Equity3.65B3.26B2.60B2.23B2.72B2.61B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow779.00M1.04B1.11B-78.00M115.00M-155.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.22B1.49B1.53B607.00M809.00M237.00M
Investing Cash Flow-443.00M-692.00M-334.00M-227.00M-446.00M-510.00M
Financing Cash Flow-486.00M-321.00M-567.00M6.00M-1.47B895.00M

Gap Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price27.07
Price Trends
50DMA
22.80
Positive
100DMA
22.02
Positive
200DMA
21.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.00
Negative
RSI
67.81
Neutral
STOCH
84.74
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GAP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 27.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.21, above the 50-day MA of 22.80, and above the 200-day MA of 21.85, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.74 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GAP.

Gap Inc Risk Analysis

Gap Inc disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gap Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gap Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$4.61B9.3840.72%7.57%1.75%
77
Outperform
$6.64B13.9919.34%11.09%51.51%
76
Outperform
$10.07B12.1225.10%2.66%0.29%3.65%
76
Outperform
$2.89B13.8741.26%6.91%4.67%3.46%
73
Outperform
$3.45B19.6412.17%2.45%-2.73%-16.71%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
44
Neutral
-3.58%-4.20%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GAP
Gap Inc
27.07
2.05
8.19%
ANF
Abercrombie Fitch
97.87
-59.44
-37.79%
AEO
American Eagle
20.40
1.25
6.53%
BKE
Buckle
56.48
6.58
13.19%
FL
Foot Locker
24.01
-1.13
-4.49%
URBN
Urban Outfitters
74.07
23.02
45.09%

Gap Inc Corporate Events

Gap Inc. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 21, 2025

Gap Inc., the largest specialty apparel company in the U.S., is known for its iconic brands such as Old Navy, Gap, Banana Republic, and Athleta, offering clothing and lifestyle products globally through both physical and online stores.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Gap Inc Appoints Jody Gerson to Board of Directors
Positive
Sep 15, 2025

On September 15, 2025, Gap Inc. announced the appointment of Jody Gerson, Chairman and CEO of Universal Music Publishing Group, to its Board of Directors. Gerson, a pioneer in the music industry, is expected to enhance Gap’s strategy at the intersection of fashion and music, leveraging her extensive experience to strengthen the brand’s cultural resonance and support its long-term strategic goals.

The most recent analyst rating on (GAP) stock is a Hold with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gap Inc stock, see the GAP Stock Forecast page.

Gap Inc. Earnings Call Highlights Growth Amid Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

The recent earnings call for Gap Inc. conveyed a generally positive sentiment, highlighting the company’s sales growth and robust financial performance across its major brands, particularly Gap and Old Navy. Despite these successes, challenges such as the underperformance of Athleta and the impact of tariffs on operating margins were also noted.

Gap Inc. Reports Steady Q2 2025 Performance
Aug 29, 2025

Gap Inc., the largest specialty apparel company in the U.S., operates iconic brands like Old Navy, Gap, Banana Republic, and Athleta, offering clothing and lifestyle products worldwide through both physical and online stores. In its second quarter of fiscal 2025, Gap Inc. reported flat net sales compared to the previous year, with a notable achievement of positive comparable sales for the sixth consecutive quarter, driven by its major brands. The company also saw a 6% increase in diluted earnings per share, reaching $0.57, and a 13% increase in cash and short-term investments, totaling $2.4 billion.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 26, 2025