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Gap Inc (GAP)
NYSE:GAP
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Gap Inc (GAP) AI Stock Analysis

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GAP

Gap Inc

(NYSE:GAP)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$22.00
▲(5.36% Upside)
Gap Inc's overall score is driven by its solid financial performance and attractive valuation, indicating good value. While technical indicators show bearish trends, the company's strategic initiatives and positive earnings call sentiment reinforce its resilience. The recent leadership change at Athleta adds a positive outlook for that segment.
Positive Factors
Profitability prospects
All brands are showing improving profitability trajectories, increasing confidence in future margin growth.
Strategic initiatives
Ongoing efforts and proof points for brand reinvigoration across different brands.
Negative Factors
Revenue growth challenges
Management clarified 2Q’s forecasted flat revenue growth rate is negatively impacted by a ~100bps headwind associated with the lap YOY of a 1x benefit LY from the credit card program and a ~100bps headwind associated with store closures.
Tariff challenges
The stock is expected to come under pressure due to larger tariff headwinds than previously expected.

Gap Inc (GAP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gap Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGap Inc. (GAP) is a global retailer specializing in apparel and accessories for men, women, and children. Founded in 1969, the company operates several well-known brands, including Gap, Banana Republic, Old Navy, Athleta, and Intermix. With a focus on casual and stylish clothing, Gap Inc. serves a diverse customer base through both physical retail stores and an expanding online presence, catering to various market segments and lifestyle choices.
How the Company Makes MoneyGap Inc. generates revenue primarily through the sale of clothing, accessories, and personal care products across its various brands. The company operates a multi-channel retail strategy, combining brick-and-mortar stores with a robust online shopping platform, which allows for wider market reach and increased sales opportunities. Key revenue streams include direct sales from retail locations, e-commerce sales, and wholesale distribution to third-party retailers. Additionally, Gap Inc. has entered into strategic partnerships and collaborations with other brands and influencers to enhance its product offerings and drive customer engagement. Seasonal promotions, loyalty programs, and targeted marketing campaigns also contribute significantly to its earnings, helping to attract and retain customers in a competitive retail environment.

Gap Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -24.76%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Gap, Inc. demonstrated strong financial performance with consistent market share gains and a leading position in e-commerce. However, challenges remain with Athleta's performance and the potential impact of tariffs. The company shows resilience and strategic focus, despite some brand-specific challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Gap, Inc. delivered a 2% increase in comparable sales and a 24% growth in earnings per share to $0.51. Operating margin improved by 140 basis points to 7.5% compared to last year.
Market Share Gains
Old Navy and Gap brands achieved their ninth and sixth consecutive quarters of market share gains, respectively. Old Navy's net sales were $2 billion, up 3%, and Gap's net sales were $724 million, up 5%.
E-commerce Leadership
Gap, Inc. ranked as the number one apparel e-commerce business in the US, with online business growing 6% and representing 39% of total net sales.
Strong Cash Position
The company ended the quarter with a strong cash balance of approximately $2.2 billion, an increase of 28% from last year.
Successful Brand Collaborations
Gap's collaborations, such as the Gap Studio Collection by Zach Posen, generated over 1.3 billion impressions with strong full-price sell-through, demonstrating the brand's pricing power.
Negative Updates
Challenging Performance at Athleta
Athleta's net sales decreased by 6%, and comparable sales were down 8% as the brand continues to reset and work through an over-rotation towards new customers.
Impact of Tariffs
The estimated net impact of tariffs on fiscal 2025 operating income is projected to be $100 million to $150 million, primarily affecting the second half of the year.
Flat Performance at Banana Republic
Banana Republic's net sales were down 3% year over year, with comparable sales flat as the brand focuses on reestablishing its position.
Company Guidance
During The Gap, Inc.'s first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a 2% increase in comparable sales and a 24% rise in earnings per share to $0.51, alongside a robust cash balance of approximately $2.2 billion. Key financial metrics highlighted were a 40 basis point expansion in operating margin and a 60 basis point increase in gross margin. Old Navy and Gap brands achieved respective comparable sales growth of 3% and 5%, while Banana Republic remained flat, and Athleta experienced an 8% decline. The company reaffirmed its fiscal 2025 outlook, projecting net sales growth of 1% to 2% and operating income growth of 8% to 10% while navigating potential tariff impacts estimated at $100 million to $150 million. The call underscored the company's strategic focus on diversifying its sourcing footprint, with aspirations for no single country to account for more than 25% of sourcing by the end of 2026.

Gap Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gap Inc presents a robust financial profile characterized by improved profitability, efficient operations, and solid cash management. Strong margins and returns indicate good financial health, despite modest revenue growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Gap Inc shows strong recovery and steady growth in recent years. The Gross Profit Margin for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) is 41.38%, indicating good cost management. The Net Profit Margin is 5.80%, an improvement from previous years. Revenue growth is modest at 0.50% from the prior year, showing stability. The EBIT Margin is 7.70% and EBITDA Margin is 10.68%, reflecting healthy operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Gap Inc's Balance Sheet highlights a moderate Debt-to-Equity ratio of 1.65, suggesting a balanced leverage situation. The Return on Equity (ROE) for TTM is 26.47%, which is robust and indicates effective use of equity. The Equity Ratio stands at 28.71%, reflecting adequate equity base compared to total assets.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
The company has a stable cash flow position, with Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio at 1.50, indicating strong cash earnings. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.00, demonstrating efficient cash conversion. Free Cash Flow growth has been positive, though it shows a decline from the previous year.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.09B14.89B15.62B16.67B13.80B
Gross Profit6.23B5.78B5.36B6.64B4.71B
EBITDA1.72B1.17B489.43M994.00M-403.00M
Net Income844.00M502.00M-202.00M256.00M-665.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.88B11.04B11.39B12.76B13.77B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.59B1.87B1.22B877.00M2.40B
Total Debt5.47B5.44B6.02B6.25B7.66B
Total Liabilities8.62B8.45B9.15B10.04B11.15B
Stockholders Equity3.26B2.60B2.23B2.72B2.61B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.04B1.11B-78.00M115.00M-155.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.49B1.53B607.00M809.00M237.00M
Investing Cash Flow-692.00M-334.00M-227.00M-446.00M-510.00M
Financing Cash Flow-321.00M-567.00M6.00M-1.47B895.00M

Gap Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price20.88
Price Trends
50DMA
21.03
Negative
100DMA
21.65
Negative
200DMA
22.07
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.24
Negative
RSI
53.38
Neutral
STOCH
92.93
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GAP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 20.88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.12, below the 50-day MA of 21.03, and below the 200-day MA of 22.07, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.93 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GAP.

Gap Inc Risk Analysis

Gap Inc disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gap Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gap Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$4.84B9.9746.98%12.54%25.47%
79
Outperform
$2.87B14.4444.55%6.96%-1.08%-8.20%
79
Outperform
$6.93B16.1919.55%8.38%52.18%
73
Outperform
$7.79B9.1029.16%3.02%1.07%28.03%
72
Outperform
$2.17B12.8312.19%3.96%-0.95%-10.51%
61
Neutral
$17.22B11.49-5.97%3.08%1.37%-15.54%
50
Neutral
$2.45B194.63-12.85%-2.62%0.93%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GAP
Gap Inc
20.88
-2.62
-11.15%
ANF
Abercrombie Fitch
97.32
-67.76
-41.05%
AEO
American Eagle
12.64
-8.17
-39.26%
BKE
Buckle
56.07
16.56
41.91%
FL
Foot Locker
25.69
-6.88
-21.12%
URBN
Urban Outfitters
77.29
36.55
89.72%

Gap Inc Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Gap Inc Announces New CEO for Athleta
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

On July 29, 2025, Gap Inc. announced that Chris Blakeslee will step down as President and CEO of Athleta, effective July 31, 2025, with his last day being November 3, 2025. Maggie Gauger, with over 20 years of leadership experience in women’s active apparel, will succeed him starting August 1, 2025. Gauger’s appointment is part of Gap Inc.’s strategy to accelerate Athleta’s growth in the women’s active market, leveraging her expertise in business transformation and consumer engagement. This leadership transition aims to further Athleta’s mission of empowering women and enhancing its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (GAP) stock is a Hold with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gap Inc stock, see the GAP Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
Gap Inc Holds Annual Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
May 23, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Gap Inc held its annual meeting of shareholders, where a quorum was present with 353,826,312 shares represented. During the meeting, shareholders voted to elect the directors nominated by the Board, ratified the selection of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent accountant for the fiscal year ending January 31, 2026, and approved the overall compensation of the company’s named executive officers on an advisory basis.

The most recent analyst rating on (GAP) stock is a Hold with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gap Inc stock, see the GAP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 30, 2025