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Urban Outfitters (URBN)
:URBN

Urban Outfitters (URBN) AI Stock Analysis

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Urban Outfitters

(NASDAQ:URBN)

Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$85.00
▲(12.94%Upside)
Urban Outfitters receives a high overall stock score due to its strong financial performance, robust earnings call insights, and positive corporate events. Technical analysis suggests bullish momentum, although the valuation is moderate. Attention to tariff impacts and leverage is advised.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
URBN reported a strong earnings beat with a 38% higher EPS than expected, driven by positive same-store-sales growth and gross margin expansion.
Growth Opportunities
Nuuly sales increased by 60%, highlighting it as a good growth opportunity for the company.
Strategic Initiatives
The company's strategic initiatives, including the expansion of the FP Movement and growth in Nuuly, are expected to drive significant revenue and earnings growth.
Negative Factors
Profitability Concerns
Urban Outfitters is expected to remain unprofitable in the near term, despite opportunities for margin improvement.
Regional Performance
Urban Outfitters' positive performance was significantly driven by a 14% growth in Europe, despite a slight decline in North America.

Urban Outfitters (URBN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Urban Outfitters Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUrban Outfitters, Inc. engages in the retail and wholesale of general consumer products. The company operates through three segments: Retail, Wholesale, and Nully. It operates Urban Outfitters stores, which offer women's and men's fashion apparel, activewear, intimates, footwear, accessories, home goods, electronics, and beauty products for young adults aged 18 to 28; and Anthropologie stores that provide women's casual apparel, accessories, intimates, shoes, and home furnishings, as well as gifts, decorative items, and beauty and wellness products for women aged 28 to 45. The company also operates Bhldn stores, which offer heirloom quality wedding gowns, bridesmaid frocks, party dresses, assorted jewelry, headpieces, footwear, lingerie, and decorations; and Terrain stores that provide lifestyle home products, garden and outdoor living products, antiques, live plants, flowers, wellness products, and accessories. In addition, it operates Free People retail stores, which offer casual women's apparel, intimates, activewear, shoes, accessories, home products, gifts, and beauty and wellness products for young women aged 25 to 30; restaurants; and women's apparel subscription rental service under the Nuuly brand name. The company serves its customers directly through retail stores, Websites, mobile applications, catalogs and customer contact centers, franchised or third-party operated stores, and digital businesses. As of January 31, 2022, it operated 261 Urban Outfitters, 238 Anthropologie Group, and 173 Free People stores in the United States, Canada, and Europe; and 10 restaurants, as well as two Urban Outfitters and one Anthropologie franchisee-owned stores. The company is also involved in the wholesale of young women's contemporary casual apparel, intimates, activewear, and shoes under the Free People brand; and home goods through department and specialty stores worldwide. The company was founded in 1970 and is based in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyUrban Outfitters generates revenue primarily through the sale of merchandise in its retail stores and online platforms. The company's revenue streams are diversified across its various brands, each targeting distinct consumer segments. Urban Outfitters, Anthropologie, and Free People are the primary contributors to its sales, each offering a mix of apparel, accessories, and lifestyle products. In addition to direct-to-consumer sales, URBN also earns money through its wholesale operations, particularly under the Free People brand, which supplies products to department stores and specialty retailers. The company's earnings are influenced by factors such as brand popularity, fashion trends, seasonal demand, and its ability to effectively manage inventory and supply chain operations. URBN's e-commerce presence is a significant revenue driver, benefiting from the increasing consumer shift towards online shopping.

Urban Outfitters Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 21, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: 26.28%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 26, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong quarter for Urban Outfitters, Inc. with record-breaking revenue and growth across multiple brands, particularly Nuuly and Anthropologie. However, there are concerns about potential tariff impacts and ongoing challenges with Urban Outfitters in North America. Overall, the positive achievements and strategic management outweigh the lowlights.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Total URBN sales grew by 11%, hitting a Q1 record of $1.3 billion. All brands delivered positive sales comps, with four out of five brands posting record first-quarter sales.
Nuuly’s Exceptional Performance
Nuuly delivered impressive 60% revenue growth, with a 53% increase in average active subscribers, adding nearly 400 basis points of revenue growth to total URBN top line.
Gross Profit and Operating Income Surge
URBN saw a 20% increase in gross profit dollars, reaching a record $489 million, with a gross profit rate improvement of 278 basis points. Operating income rose by 72% compared to last year, reaching $128 million.
Anthropologie and Free People Success
Anthropologie achieved a 7% increase in retail segment comp, while Free People delivered an 11% increase in total retail and wholesale segment sales. Free People Wholesale revenues increased by 26%.
Urban Outfitters' Turnaround
Urban Outfitters posted the first positive sales comp in some time, with a 2% global retail segment comp. Europe saw an exceptionally strong positive 14% retail segment comp.
Strategic Inventory and Supply Chain Management
URBN teams have diversified countries of origin, with no single country accounting for more than 25% of production, mitigating potential tariff impacts.
Negative Updates
Tariff and Supply Chain Concerns
Uncertainty around tariffs and potential supply chain disruptions could negatively impact gross margins by 20 basis points in the back half of the year.
North America's Urban Outfitters Struggles
North America recorded a negative 4% retail segment comp, with the digital business continuing to face challenges due to heavy promotional activity from the prior year.
SG&A Increases
SG&A expenses increased by 8.1%, driven by higher marketing spend and increased store labor costs.
Company Guidance
During Urban Outfitters, Inc.'s First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Earnings Call, the company shared impressive metrics reflecting strong performance and optimistic guidance. For Q1, total URBN sales grew by 11%, reaching $1.3 billion, with a 5% increase in the Retail segment comp and a notable 60% revenue growth from Nuuly, driven by a 53% increase in average active subscribers. The Wholesale segment experienced a 24% revenue increase, while gross profit dollars rose by 20%, improving the gross profit rate by 278 basis points to 36.8%. SG&A expenses increased by 8.1%, leveraging by 65 basis points. Operating income surged by 72%, reaching $128 million, with a net income increase of 75% to $108 million or $1.16 per diluted share. For Q2, URBN expects high single-digit sales growth, with mid-single-digit retail segment comps for Anthropologie and Free People brands, low single-digit positive comps for Urban Outfitters, and mid-double-digit revenue growth for Nuuly. Gross profit margins are anticipated to improve by about 50 to 100 basis points, despite tariff-related challenges. The company plans to open approximately 64 new stores and anticipates capital expenditures of around $240 million for FY'26.

Urban Outfitters Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Urban Outfitters presents a strong financial profile with consistent revenue growth, improved profitability, and solid cash flow generation. The company's balance sheet stability supports its operational performance, though attention to leverage and capital expenditures is advised.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Urban Outfitters has shown impressive revenue growth, with a revenue increase from $4.79 billion in 2023 to $5.55 billion in 2025. The gross profit margin improved significantly to 34.7% in 2025. Net profit margin also increased to 7.25% over the same period, indicating enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins remained relatively stable, reflecting consistent operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet is strong with a steady equity ratio of approximately 54.7% in 2025, indicating solid financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio has remained manageable, marginally improving as equity increased. Return on Equity (ROE) improved to 16.29%, showcasing effective use of shareholders' equity. The balance sheet indicates a healthy financial position, though slightly high leverage may pose potential risks.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Urban Outfitters' cash flow statement shows robust free cash flow growth, rising from a negative $56.78 million in 2023 to a positive $502.83 million in 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is sound at 1.25, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The positive trend in free cash flow supports future growth opportunities, though fluctuations in capital expenditures need monitoring.
Breakdown
Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
5.55B5.15B4.80B4.55B3.45B
Gross Profit
1.93B1.73B1.43B1.49B861.91M
EBIT
473.76M388.07M226.62M408.57M3.97M
EBITDA
629.44M496.09M514.28M697.83M307.78M
Net Income Common Stockholders
402.46M287.67M159.70M310.62M1.24M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
610.43M465.06M382.64M446.00M570.33M
Total Assets
4.52B4.11B3.68B3.79B3.55B
Total Debt
1.10B1.08B1.12B1.19B1.33B
Net Debt
807.88M900.18M916.11M980.82M933.08M
Total Liabilities
2.05B2.00B1.89B2.05B2.07B
Stockholders Equity
2.47B2.11B1.79B1.75B1.48B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
320.25M309.79M-56.78M96.89M126.57M
Operating Cash Flow
502.83M509.41M142.73M359.32M285.81M
Investing Cash Flow
-308.77M-521.65M-32.01M-487.66M-101.90M
Financing Cash Flow
-77.11M-12.13M-118.40M-60.27M-10.42M

Urban Outfitters Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price75.26
Price Trends
50DMA
53.43
Positive
100DMA
54.55
Positive
200DMA
47.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.10
Negative
RSI
78.65
Negative
STOCH
95.71
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For URBN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 75.26 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 58.95, above the 50-day MA of 53.43, and above the 200-day MA of 47.65, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.65 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.71 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for URBN.

Urban Outfitters Risk Analysis

Urban Outfitters disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Urban Outfitters reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Urban Outfitters Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$6.74B15.7719.55%8.38%52.18%
BKBKE
79
Outperform
$2.22B11.1544.55%3.40%-1.08%-8.20%
GAGAP
73
Outperform
$10.71B12.9428.81%2.16%1.32%65.83%
AEAEO
71
Outperform
$1.85B6.3818.80%4.67%1.27%96.32%
68
Neutral
$4.99B27.8117.44%14.64%21.68%
ANANF
65
Neutral
$3.49B6.8447.77%15.60%71.45%
62
Neutral
$6.84B11.233.09%3.95%2.66%-25.23%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
URBN
Urban Outfitters
75.26
34.04
82.58%
ANF
Abercrombie Fitch
77.15
-112.30
-59.28%
AEO
American Eagle
11.10
-12.20
-52.36%
BKE
Buckle
43.33
9.68
28.77%
GAP
Gap Inc
28.44
7.42
35.30%
BOOT
Boot Barn
163.11
49.11
43.08%

Urban Outfitters Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Urban Outfitters Reports Record Q1 Financial Results
Positive
May 22, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Urban Outfitters announced record financial results for the first quarter ending April 30, 2025, with net income reaching $108.3 million and earnings per diluted share at $1.16. The company reported a 10.7% increase in total net sales to $1.33 billion, driven by growth across all segments, including a significant 59.5% rise in subscription segment sales. The gross profit rate improved by 278 basis points, and the company repurchased 3.3 million shares during the quarter. These results highlight the effectiveness of Urban Outfitters’ strategy and the strength of its brands, positioning the company for continued success.

The most recent analyst rating on (URBN) stock is a Buy with a $70.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Urban Outfitters stock, see the URBN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.