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Boot Barn Holdings (BOOT)
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Boot Barn (BOOT) AI Stock Analysis

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BOOT

Boot Barn

(NYSE:BOOT)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$229.00
▲(24.51% Upside)
Boot Barn's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the stock's score. The company's robust revenue growth, profitability, and strategic expansion initiatives position it well for future growth. However, the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, and technical indicators show mixed signals with potential overbought conditions.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates effective market penetration and product demand, supporting long-term business expansion and profitability.
Expansion of Total Addressable Market
Expanding the addressable market enhances growth potential, allowing Boot Barn to capture a larger customer base and increase sales opportunities.
E-commerce Success
Strong e-commerce growth reflects successful digital strategy and adaptation to consumer trends, ensuring sustained revenue streams.
Negative Factors
Tariff Challenges
Tariff-related cost increases can pressure margins, potentially impacting profitability and pricing strategies over the long term.
Occupancy Cost Deleverage
Increased occupancy costs from new stores may strain margins, affecting overall cost efficiency and profitability.
Potential Macro Uncertainty
Macroeconomic uncertainties can affect consumer spending, posing risks to sales growth and financial performance.

Boot Barn (BOOT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Boot Barn Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBoot Barn Holdings, Inc. is a leading retailer of western and work-related footwear, apparel, and accessories in the United States. Founded in 1978, the company operates a chain of stores that cater to the lifestyle of western and outdoor enthusiasts, offering a wide range of products including cowboy boots, work boots, hats, jeans, and other western wear. Boot Barn serves both the western lifestyle and workwear markets, addressing the needs of ranchers, farmers, and outdoor workers, as well as consumers looking for durable and stylish clothing and footwear.
How the Company Makes MoneyBoot Barn generates revenue primarily through the sale of its merchandise across its retail locations and e-commerce platform. The company's revenue model is built on a combination of direct sales of proprietary and third-party brands, including popular names in western wear and work apparel. Key revenue streams include in-store sales, online sales, and exclusive brand partnerships. Additionally, Boot Barn benefits from seasonal sales and promotions, contributing to increased foot traffic and online engagement. The company also focuses on customer loyalty programs, which help drive repeat business and enhance customer retention. Strategic partnerships with brands and manufacturers further bolster its product offerings and market presence, thereby supporting overall earnings.

Boot Barn Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was characterized by strong revenue and earnings growth, driven by new store openings and increased merchandise margins. The company's expansion of its total addressable market and growth in exclusive brands are notable positives. However, challenges such as tariff impacts, occupancy cost deleverage, and macroeconomic uncertainties present potential headwinds.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue increased by 19% compared to the prior year, reaching $505 million, driven by sales from 64 new stores and a consolidated same-store sales growth of 8.4%.
Increased Merchandise Margin
Merchandise margin rate increased by 80 basis points compared to the prior year period.
Significant Earnings Growth
Earnings per diluted share were $1.37, equating to 44% growth compared to the prior year period of $0.95.
Expansion of Total Addressable Market
The estimated total addressable market increased from $40 billion to $58 billion.
Growth in Exclusive Brands
Exclusive brand penetration increased by 290 basis points to 41% of sales.
Positive October Performance
Consolidated same-store sales increased by 9.3% in October, driven by an increase in transactions.
E-commerce Success
E-commerce comp sales grew by 14.4%, with bootbarn.com comping positive high teens.
Negative Updates
Tariff Challenges
The company faced increases in product costs due to tariffs, affecting merchandise margin rates.
Occupancy Cost Deleverage
The company experienced a 30 basis point deleverage in buying, occupancy, and distribution center costs driven by the occupancy cost of new stores.
Potential Macro Uncertainty
There is caution around consumer sentiment and macro uncertainty as the company heads into the holiday season.
Pricing Strategy Adjustments
The company plans to implement price increases on exclusive brands after the holidays to mitigate tariff impacts.
Company Guidance
During Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.'s second quarter fiscal 2026 earnings call, the company provided strong guidance supported by a 19% increase in revenue to $505 million, driven by the addition of 64 new stores and an 8.4% rise in same-store sales. Merchandise margin improved by 80 basis points, leading to a 44% increase in earnings per diluted share to $1.37. The company plans to open 70 new stores this fiscal year, with long-term potential for 1,200 U.S. locations, and estimates a total addressable market expansion from $40 billion to $58 billion. Boot Barn's e-commerce sales surged 14.4%, bolstered by AI enhancements and new exclusive brand websites. The company's strategic initiatives focus on new store growth, omnichannel improvements, merchandise margin expansion, and exclusive brand development, aiming for a 50% penetration of exclusive brands in the coming years. Boot Barn raised its fiscal 2026 guidance, projecting total sales of $2.235 billion, with same-store sales growth of 6% and earnings per diluted share of $7.15.

Boot Barn Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Boot Barn exhibits strong financial health with robust revenue growth, solid profitability margins, and efficient asset management. The company maintains a stable balance sheet with moderate leverage and excellent return on equity. Cash flow generation is improving, though capital expenditures remain high. Overall, Boot Barn is well-positioned for sustainable growth within the Apparel - Retail industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Boot Barn has demonstrated impressive revenue growth with a 19.2% increase from 2024 to 2025. The gross profit margin is strong at 38.0% TTM, indicating effective cost management. The net profit margin has improved to 9.8% TTM, reflecting enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 13.0% and 15.6% TTM, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.51 TTM, suggesting a balanced financial leverage. The return on equity is robust at 16.7% TTM, indicating good return on shareholder investments. The equity ratio has improved to 55.9% TTM, showing a stable asset base with a significant portion funded by equity. Overall, the balance sheet reflects a strong financial position with moderate risk.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Free cash flow has significantly improved, growing from negative to a positive $27.39 million TTM, indicating improved cash generation. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.92 TTM, reflecting strong cash conversion from profits. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is lower at 0.14 TTM, suggesting that capital expenditures still consume a significant portion of cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.62B1.91B1.67B1.66B1.49B893.49M
Gross Profit620.24M717.04M614.42M610.57M575.07M294.88M
EBITDA281.77M304.10M249.19M315.57M325.01M145.07M
Net Income170.70M180.94M147.00M170.55M192.45M59.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.26B2.02B1.71B1.52B1.20B933.58M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments64.73M69.77M75.85M18.19M20.67M73.15M
Total Debt667.95M563.04M466.76M447.72M306.25M331.02M
Total Liabilities1.05B886.96M761.95M740.93M600.18M538.69M
Stockholders Equity1.21B1.13B943.64M776.45M599.68M394.89M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow139.08M-753.00K117.30M-35.65M28.42M127.50M
Operating Cash Flow256.73M147.54M236.08M88.89M88.86M155.92M
Investing Cash Flow-117.88M-148.24M-118.78M-124.53M-60.44M-28.42M
Financing Cash Flow-28.35M-5.38M-59.64M33.17M-80.89M-123.91M

Boot Barn Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price183.92
Price Trends
50DMA
181.01
Positive
100DMA
174.49
Positive
200DMA
151.16
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.80
Positive
RSI
48.67
Neutral
STOCH
19.22
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BOOT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 183.92 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 189.81, above the 50-day MA of 181.01, and above the 200-day MA of 151.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.80 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.22 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BOOT.

Boot Barn Risk Analysis

Boot Barn disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Boot Barn reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Boot Barn Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$5.69B27.6218.74%17.82%34.88%
76
Outperform
$2.93B14.3643.13%6.88%1.62%-2.57%
73
Outperform
$3.37B6.6043.30%9.34%10.61%
71
Outperform
$3.01B17.1212.17%2.81%-2.73%-16.71%
69
Neutral
$8.70B10.0828.07%2.69%-0.05%15.17%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
44
Neutral
-3.58%-4.20%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BOOT
Boot Barn
183.92
49.29
36.61%
ANF
Abercrombie Fitch
69.69
-70.24
-50.20%
AEO
American Eagle
17.48
0.24
1.39%
BKE
Buckle
56.68
12.75
29.02%
FL
Foot Locker
24.01
-1.02
-4.08%
GAP
Gap Inc
24.02
2.79
13.14%

Boot Barn Corporate Events

Boot Barn Holdings Reports Strong Q2 2026 Growth
Oct 30, 2025

Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. is a leading lifestyle retailer specializing in western and work-related footwear, apparel, and accessories across the United States, with a significant presence in both physical stores and e-commerce platforms.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Boot Barn Reports Strong Q2 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. reported strong financial results for the second fiscal quarter ended September 27, 2025, with an 18.7% increase in net sales to $505.4 million and a net income rise to $42.2 million. The company opened 16 new stores, expanding its total to 489, and announced an increased store count potential of 1,200 locations, reflecting an expanded total addressable market of approximately $58 billion. These results highlight the company’s strategic execution and market growth potential, positioning it for continued success and strong returns for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (BOOT) stock is a Buy with a $229.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boot Barn stock, see the BOOT Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
Boot Barn Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting, August 2025
Neutral
Aug 28, 2025

On August 27, 2025, Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where four proposals were voted on. All management’s nominees for directors were elected, and the stockholders approved the fiscal 2025 executive compensation. The frequency of future say-on-pay votes was set to annual, aligning with stockholder preference. Additionally, Deloitte & Touche LLP was ratified as the independent auditor for the fiscal year ending March 28, 2026. These decisions reflect the company’s commitment to aligning with stockholder interests and ensuring robust governance practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (BOOT) stock is a Buy with a $189.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boot Barn stock, see the BOOT Stock Forecast page.

Boot Barn’s Strong Q1: Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 2, 2025

Boot Barn Holdings recently held its first-quarter earnings call, revealing a strong performance marked by significant revenue growth and improved margins. The company demonstrated solid execution of strategic initiatives, although concerns about tariffs and macroeconomic uncertainties loom over the latter half of the fiscal year.

Boot Barn Holdings Reports Strong Q1 Fiscal 2026 Results
Aug 1, 2025

Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. is a leading lifestyle retailer specializing in western and work-related footwear, apparel, and accessories, operating in the retail sector with a significant presence across the United States. The company has reported robust financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, showcasing a strong start with a notable increase in net sales and income. Boot Barn’s net sales rose by 19.1% to $504.1 million, driven by a 9.4% increase in same-store sales and the opening of 14 new stores. The company’s net income also saw a significant boost, rising to $53.4 million, or $1.74 per diluted share, compared to $38.9 million, or $1.26 per diluted share, in the previous year. The increase in gross profit margin by 210 basis points to 39.1% was attributed to better merchandise margins and cost control measures. Looking ahead, Boot Barn is optimistic about its growth prospects, planning to open between 65 and 70 new stores in fiscal year 2026 and expecting total sales growth of 10% to 14%. The company remains confident in its strategic initiatives and aims to continue delivering value to shareholders.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Boot Barn Reports Strong Q1 2026 Financial Performance
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. reported a robust financial performance for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, ending June 28, 2025, with net sales rising by 19.1% to $504.1 million compared to the previous year. The company saw a 9.4% increase in same-store sales and opened 14 new stores, bringing the total to 473. Net income rose to $53.4 million, driven by strong merchandise margin expansion and effective expense control. The company raised its full-year outlook, reflecting confidence in its strategic initiatives and growth potential, including plans to open up to 70 new stores in fiscal 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (BOOT) stock is a Buy with a $181.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boot Barn stock, see the BOOT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025