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Abercrombie Fitch (ANF)
NYSE:ANF

Abercrombie Fitch (ANF) AI Stock Analysis

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ANF

Abercrombie Fitch

(NYSE:ANF)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$115.00
▲(10.44% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high margins, improved leverage, solid cash generation) and supportive earnings-call guidance. Valuation also helps due to a low P/E. Technicals are the main offset, reflecting recent weakness versus the 20-day average and a low RSI despite a broader uptrend.
Positive Factors
Margin Sustainability
A sustained gross margin near 62% and TTM net margin above 10% indicate durable pricing power and efficient product economics. High margins underpin free cash flow generation, fund reinvestment and buybacks, and provide a buffer against input cost inflation over multiple quarters.
Brand & Channel Strength
Hollister’s mid-teens growth demonstrates the portfolio’s ability to scale a high-growth brand. Strong cross-channel traffic and balanced category/gender demand diversify revenue streams, lower single-brand concentration risk, and support more stable top-line expansion over the medium term.
Balance Sheet & ROE
Improved leverage combined with very high ROE signals efficient capital allocation and stronger financial flexibility. Lower relative debt and high returns support continued share repurchases, strategic capex, and resilience to shocks, enabling durable investor returns and operational investment.
Negative Factors
APAC Weakness
Persistent APAC underperformance limits geographic diversification and growth optionality. Structural issues—market fit, distribution or execution—can take multiple quarters to address and may constrain companywide revenue growth and margin expansion until regional recovery occurs.
Tariff-Driven Margin Pressure
Material tariff-related cost increases (~210 bps) create a durable headwind to gross and operating margins unless sourcing or pricing strategies change. Resolving tariff exposure typically requires multi-quarter supply-chain shifts or sustained price increases that can pressure demand and profits.
Abercrombie Brand Underperformance
The core Abercrombie label’s sales decline signals structural product/positioning or AUR challenges. If the flagship brand fails to regain consistent demand, the company may need sustained marketing, assortment and pricing investment, weighing on margins and returns for several quarters.

Abercrombie Fitch (ANF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Abercrombie Fitch Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAbercrombie & Fitch Co., through its subsidiaries, operates as a specialty retailer. The company operates in two segments, Hollister and Abercrombie. It offers an assortment of apparel, personal care products, and accessories for men, women, and children under the Hollister, Abercrombie & Fitch, abercrombie kids, Moose, Seagull, Gilly Hicks, and Social Tourist brands. As of January 29, 2022, it operated approximately 729 retail stores in Europe, Asia, Canada, the Middle East, United States, and internationally. The company sells products through its stores; various third-party wholesale, franchise, and licensing arrangements; and e-commerce platforms. Abercrombie & Fitch Co. was founded in 1892 and is headquartered in New Albany, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyAbercrombie & Fitch generates revenue primarily through the sale of its clothing and accessories across its various retail brands. The company operates a multi-channel business model that includes physical retail stores, e-commerce platforms, and international sales. Key revenue streams include direct sales from brick-and-mortar stores and online shopping, where the latter has seen significant growth in recent years. The company also benefits from seasonal promotions and collaborations that attract customers. Additionally, Abercrombie & Fitch has established partnerships with various distributors and online platforms that help broaden its market reach. The focus on brand loyalty and customer engagement through marketing initiatives and social media also plays a pivotal role in driving sales and revenue growth.

Abercrombie Fitch Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Abercrombie Fitch is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsAbercrombie & Fitch's revenue in the United States shows strong growth momentum, with recent quarters reflecting significant increases. This aligns with the company's report of the Americas achieving its 12th consecutive quarter of growth. International revenue, however, remains relatively flat, with EMEA facing challenges, particularly in Germany. The earnings call highlights robust performance in the Americas and APAC, but the softness in EMEA could be a concern. The strategic focus on expanding store experiences and the NFL partnership may bolster future growth, despite tariff-related cost pressures.
Data provided by:The Fly

Abercrombie Fitch Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 25, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong overall performance with record-breaking revenue and growth, especially driven by the Hollister brand and continued investments in technology. However, challenges remain in the APAC region and with tariffs affecting margins. Abercrombie brand is showing improvement but still faces sales declines.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Abercrombie & Fitch achieved their twelfth consecutive quarter of growth with sales up 7% to a record of $1.3 billion. Net sales and operating margin were at the high end of outlook, with earnings per share above expectations.
Strong Performance in Hollister Brand
Hollister brand reported a 16% net sales growth with comparable sales up 15%, showing balanced growth across categories and genders. The brand is performing exceptionally well with strong cross-channel traffic.
High Gross Margin and Operating Margin
The company delivered a gross margin of 62.5% and a 12% operating margin despite an adverse tariff impact of around 210 basis points.
Share Repurchase Program
Abercrombie & Fitch repurchased $100 million worth of shares in the quarter, totaling $350 million or 9% of shares outstanding since the beginning of the year.
Investment in AI and Technology
The company is enhancing customer service with AI agents and partnering with PayPal and Symbio to enable seamless AI-driven commerce transactions.
Negative Updates
Decline in APAC Sales
Net sales in APAC were down 6% with comparable sales down 12%, indicating challenges in this region.
Abercrombie Brand Sales Decline
Abercrombie brands saw a net sales decline of 2% with comparable sales down 7%, primarily due to lower Average Unit Retail (AUR).
Tariff Challenges
The company faced a 280 basis point decline in operating margin from Q3 2024, mainly due to 210 basis points of tariff expense included in the cost of sales.
Company Guidance
During the Abercrombie & Fitch Co. third quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings call, the company announced a 7% increase in sales, reaching $1.3 billion, marking their twelfth consecutive quarter of growth. Operating margin was reported at 12%, with earnings per share exceeding expectations at $2.36. The Americas and EMEA regions both saw net sales growth of 7%, while APAC experienced a 6% decline. Despite challenges, the company maintained clean inventory levels and achieved a gross margin of 62.5%, with adverse tariffs impacting margins by 210 basis points. Hollister brands showed exceptional growth with a 16% increase in net sales, while Abercrombie brands saw a 2% decline in net sales but noted sequential improvement. The company repurchased $100 million in shares during the quarter, bringing total repurchases to $350 million for the year. Looking ahead, Abercrombie & Fitch aims to narrow their full-year sales outlook towards the top end of the range, anticipating net sales growth of 6%-7% for 2025, with a GAAP operating margin of 13%-13.5%.

Abercrombie Fitch Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability (gross margin ~62% and net margin >10% TTM) and healthy operating efficiency support the score. Leverage has improved (debt-to-equity 0.85) and ROE is robust (>42%), though cash flow quality is a mild watch-out as operating cash flow relative to net income has declined.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Abercrombie Fitch shows strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin around 62% and a net profit margin improving to over 10% in TTM. Revenue growth is positive, though slightly slowing, indicating stable demand. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company has improved its debt-to-equity ratio to 0.85 in TTM, indicating better leverage management. Return on equity is robust at over 42%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Operating cash flow remains strong, though slightly decreased in TTM. Free cash flow growth is positive, supporting future investments. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating good cash conversion, but the operating cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, suggesting potential cash flow management challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.18B4.95B4.28B3.70B3.71B3.13B
Gross Profit3.07B3.02B2.55B1.96B2.17B1.71B
EBITDA899.07M934.81M659.71M230.85M487.10M151.00M
Net Income522.02M566.22M328.12M2.82M263.01M-114.02M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.48B3.30B2.97B2.71B2.94B3.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments631.04M888.95M900.88M517.60M823.14M1.10B
Total Debt1.13B951.61M1.05B1.22B1.22B1.55B
Total Liabilities2.15B1.95B1.92B2.01B2.10B2.37B
Stockholders Equity1.32B1.34B1.04B694.84M826.09M936.63M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow384.55M527.47M495.63M-166.91M180.80M303.01M
Operating Cash Flow620.62M710.38M653.42M-2.34M277.78M404.92M
Investing Cash Flow-205.88M-297.70M-157.18M-140.68M-96.98M-51.91M
Financing Cash Flow-496.86M-534.88M-111.20M-155.33M-446.90M69.72M

Abercrombie Fitch Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price104.13
Price Trends
50DMA
100.66
Positive
100DMA
91.45
Positive
200DMA
87.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.50
Positive
RSI
41.93
Neutral
STOCH
15.82
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ANF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 104.13 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 120.11, above the 50-day MA of 100.66, and above the 200-day MA of 87.34, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.50 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.82 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ANF.

Abercrombie Fitch Risk Analysis

Abercrombie Fitch disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Abercrombie Fitch reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Abercrombie Fitch Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$6.33B13.1419.34%11.09%51.51%
74
Outperform
$4.94B9.9840.72%7.57%1.75%
74
Outperform
$4.38B22.2812.36%2.09%-1.15%-0.98%
72
Outperform
$2.71B13.0141.26%6.82%4.67%3.46%
72
Outperform
$879.28M16.1016.57%6.28%6.44%-9.23%
71
Outperform
$4.86B29.3631.50%2.97%9.85%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ANF
Abercrombie Fitch
104.13
-22.15
-17.54%
AEO
American Eagle
25.44
9.99
64.69%
BKE
Buckle
52.72
8.31
18.70%
GES
Guess?
16.82
4.78
39.70%
URBN
Urban Outfitters
69.48
9.04
14.96%
VSCO
Victoria's Secret
59.86
21.12
54.52%

Abercrombie Fitch Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Abercrombie Fitch Posts Record Holiday Sales, Reaffirms Outlook
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

On January 12, 2026, Abercrombie & Fitch reported record quarter-to-date holiday net sales through fiscal December 2025, with balanced growth across regions, brands and channels, and a particularly strong performance from Hollister Brands, which is on track for mid‑teens net sales growth for fiscal 2025. The company reaffirmed its expectation of record full-year fiscal 2025 net sales with at least 6% growth and operating margins around 13%, while modestly tightening its outlook ranges for fourth-quarter and full-year net income per diluted share, maintaining robust share repurchase plans and increased capital expenditures, and signaling continued investment in marketing, digital and stores to strengthen its long-term competitive position and returns to investors despite headwinds from tariffs.

The most recent analyst rating on (ANF) stock is a Buy with a $160.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Abercrombie Fitch stock, see the ANF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Abercrombie & Fitch Promotes Robert J. Ball to CFO
Neutral
Dec 15, 2025

On December 11, 2025, Abercrombie & Fitch Co. announced the promotion of Robert J. Ball to Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, with changes to his compensation package reflecting his new role. This move is part of the company’s strategic efforts to strengthen its leadership team, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (ANF) stock is a Buy with a $120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Abercrombie Fitch stock, see the ANF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026