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Abercrombie & Fitch Company (ANF)
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Abercrombie Fitch (ANF) AI Stock Analysis

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ANF

Abercrombie Fitch

(NYSE:ANF)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$109.00
▲(14.27% Upside)
Abercrombie Fitch's strong financial performance and strategic initiatives, such as the NFL partnership, drive a positive outlook. The stock's undervaluation and robust earnings call further support its potential. However, challenges in cash flow and regional performance in EMEA, along with tariff impacts, are risks to monitor.
Positive Factors
Customer Expansion
Abercrombie brand has successfully expanded its customer reach to an 18-40 year old customer demographic, with strong new customer acquisition globally supporting broad-based top-line results.
Inventory Management
Heading into 2H, inventory levels are more in-line with sales, and 3Q trends are off to a strong start, suggesting potential for better average unit retail prices.
Revenue and Growth
Hollister showed strong performance with a 19% growth, exceeding expectations.
Negative Factors
Comparative Sales
Abercrombie & Fitch comparative sales were weaker than planned, driven by pressure to clear excess inventory.
Operating Margin
Management’s 3Q operating margin outlook contemplates gross margin degradation of ~150-200bps Y/Y driven primarily by a ~200bps net tariff headwind.
Tariff Impact
Adj. EPS guidance was cut due to higher tariff assumptions resulting in margin pressure.

Abercrombie Fitch (ANF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Abercrombie Fitch Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAbercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF) is a global retail company specializing in casual wear, with a focus on apparel, accessories, and personal care products for young adults. Founded in 1892, the company operates under multiple brands, including Abercrombie & Fitch, Abercrombie Kids, Hollister Co., and Gilly Hicks. The company is known for its distinctive marketing strategies and its emphasis on a lifestyle brand that promotes a sense of belonging among its target demographic.
How the Company Makes MoneyAbercrombie & Fitch generates revenue primarily through the direct sale of its products via physical retail stores and e-commerce platforms. The company's main revenue streams include the sale of clothing, accessories, and personal care items, with a significant portion of sales coming from its flagship stores and online channels. Additionally, the company benefits from seasonal promotions, limited-edition product releases, and loyalty programs that encourage repeat purchases. Abercrombie has also formed partnerships with various third-party retailers and e-commerce platforms to expand its reach, contributing to its overall earnings. The company continuously adapts its product offerings based on market trends and consumer preferences, which helps maintain its competitive edge and drive revenue growth.

Abercrombie Fitch Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business segments, highlighting which areas drive growth and profitability for Abercrombie Fitch and where there might be opportunities or challenges.
Chart InsightsHollister's robust growth trajectory, highlighted by a 22% sales increase, contrasts with Abercrombie's 4% decline due to lower AUR from winter inventory. This divergence underscores Hollister's strong market positioning, particularly in fleece, jeans, and skirts, while Abercrombie faces challenges in optimizing its inventory strategy. Despite these mixed results, Abercrombie & Fitch Co. achieved record net sales, driven by Hollister's performance and regional growth, though tariff impacts and margin pressures remain concerns for future profitability.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Abercrombie Fitch Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 27, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 25, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong overall company performance with record-breaking revenue growth and successful brand strategies, particularly for Hollister. However, challenges remain with regional performance in EMEA and Abercrombie brand's sales decline. The impact of tariffs is also a concern moving forward.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Second quarter net sales reached a record $1.2 billion, growing 7% over last year and exceeding top and bottom line expectations. The company delivered its 11th consecutive quarter of growth.
Strong Performance in the Americas and APAC
The Americas achieved its 12th consecutive quarter of growth with net sales up 8%. APAC continued to perform well, growing 12%.
Hollister Brand Success
Hollister brands delivered record first half sales with net sales growing 19% in the second quarter on strong cross-channel traffic and comparable sales.
Share Repurchase Program
Abercrombie & Fitch repurchased $50 million of stock this quarter, totaling $250 million in repurchases so far this year.
Partnership with NFL
Abercrombie & Fitch announced a partnership with the NFL, becoming an Official NFL Fashion Partner, a first for a league sponsor.
Negative Updates
Decline in EMEA Performance
EMEA net sales were lower by 1% due to softness in Germany and other European markets, against 16% growth in the second quarter of 2024.
Abercrombie Brand Sales Decline
Abercrombie brands net sales were lower by 5% due to lower AUR as carryover inventory was cleared, with comparable sales down 11%.
Impact of Tariffs
Tariffs have an estimated cost impact of around $90 million for 2025, impacting full year operating margin outlook by 170 basis points.
Company Guidance
During the Abercrombie & Fitch Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported record net sales of $1.2 billion, marking a 7% increase over the previous year. The Americas region achieved its 12th consecutive quarter of growth with an 8% rise in net sales, while APAC also performed well with a 12% increase. However, EMEA experienced a 1% decline due to softness in Germany. Hollister brands saw a significant growth of 19% in net sales and comparable sales, whereas Abercrombie brands experienced a 5% decline in net sales with an 11% drop in comparable sales, primarily due to lower average unit retail (AUR) as they managed carryover inventory. The company repurchased $50 million of stock in the second quarter, totaling $250 million for the year, and announced plans for 100 new store experiences, including 60 new stores and 40 remodels or right-sizes. Revised full-year expectations include a net sales growth of 5% to 7% and an operating margin of 13% to 13.5%, factoring in a $90 million estimated impact from tariffs.

Abercrombie Fitch Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Abercrombie Fitch exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue growth, robust profitability, and stable cash flow generation. Despite a moderate increase in leverage, effective cost management and cash conversion bolster its financial position.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Abercrombie Fitch shows a strong financial position with a consistent increase in total revenue over the years, notably achieving a revenue growth of 17.5% from 2024 to 2025. Gross profit margin is robust at 63.2% TTM, reflecting effective cost management. However, net profit margin decreased slightly to 10.6% TTM from 11.4% in the previous year, indicating rising operational costs. Overall, the company's profitability and growth metrics are commendable within the apparel retail industry.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a stable financial structure with a healthy equity ratio of 38.4% TTM. The debt-to-equity ratio increased slightly to 0.86 TTM from 0.71, suggesting a moderate increase in leverage. Return on equity improved significantly to 44.8% TTM from 42.4%, indicating efficient use of shareholder funds. Despite the increase in leverage, the company maintains a stable equity position, supporting its financial stability.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Abercrombie Fitch demonstrates solid cash flow management with a free cash flow of $416.6 million TTM, albeit with a decline in free cash flow growth rate. The operating cash flow to net income ratio remains strong, highlighting effective conversion of earnings into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.78 reflects good cash generation, supporting ongoing investments and financial obligations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.10B4.95B4.28B3.70B3.71B3.13B
Gross Profit3.16B3.17B2.69B2.10B2.31B1.89B
EBITDA924.80M934.53M659.71M240.55M494.99M151.00M
Net Income541.00M566.22M328.12M2.82M263.01M-114.02M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.30B3.30B2.97B2.71B2.94B3.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments603.52M888.95M900.88M517.60M823.14M1.10B
Total Debt1.10B951.61M1.05B1.22B1.22B1.55B
Total Liabilities1.99B1.95B1.92B2.01B2.10B2.37B
Stockholders Equity1.29B1.34B1.04B694.84M826.09M936.63M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow344.95M527.47M495.63M-166.91M177.02M303.01M
Operating Cash Flow563.15M710.38M653.42M-2.34M274.00M404.92M
Investing Cash Flow-233.00M-297.70M-157.18M-140.68M-96.98M-51.91M
Financing Cash Flow-498.63M-534.88M-111.20M-155.33M-446.90M69.72M

Abercrombie Fitch Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price95.39
Price Trends
50DMA
94.54
Positive
100DMA
85.35
Positive
200DMA
100.60
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.13
Positive
RSI
50.11
Neutral
STOCH
62.82
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ANF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 95.39 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 95.67, above the 50-day MA of 94.54, and below the 200-day MA of 100.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ANF.

Abercrombie Fitch Risk Analysis

Abercrombie Fitch disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Abercrombie Fitch reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Abercrombie Fitch Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$3.03B14.8543.13%6.57%1.62%-2.57%
78
Outperform
$4.49B9.0043.30%9.34%10.61%
77
Outperform
$6.34B14.2819.72%9.63%56.06%
76
Outperform
$5.58B28.8018.15%16.70%27.76%
75
Outperform
$8.83B10.2328.07%2.61%-0.05%15.17%
75
Outperform
$3.26B18.1512.17%2.78%-2.73%-16.71%
61
Neutral
$18.02B12.77-0.75%3.01%1.30%-13.03%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ANF
Abercrombie Fitch
95.12
-34.74
-26.75%
AEO
American Eagle
18.00
-0.33
-1.80%
BKE
Buckle
59.04
19.96
51.07%
GAP
Gap Inc
24.10
5.26
27.92%
BOOT
Boot Barn
184.32
30.90
20.14%
URBN
Urban Outfitters
72.09
37.74
109.87%

Abercrombie Fitch Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Abercrombie Fitch Elects Directors at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 12, 2025

At the Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on June 11, 2025, Abercrombie & Fitch Co. successfully elected ten director nominees to serve until the 2026 Annual Meeting. Additionally, stockholders approved the executive compensation for the fiscal year ended February 1, 2025, and ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending January 31, 2026.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2025