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Victoria's Secret (VSCO)
NYSE:VSCO
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Victoria's Secret (VSCO) AI Stock Analysis

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VSCO

Victoria's Secret

(NYSE:VSCO)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$41.00
▲(16.91% Upside)
Victoria's Secret's stock score is driven by strong earnings performance and bullish technical indicators. Financial stability is supported by healthy gross margins and cash flow, but high leverage and moderate valuation pose risks. The positive earnings call outlook further enhances the score.
Positive Factors
International Expansion
Strong international sales growth indicates successful market penetration and potential for continued revenue expansion in global markets.
Improved Gross Margins
Improved gross margins reflect effective cost management and pricing strategies, supporting long-term profitability and financial health.
Cash Flow Growth
Positive cash flow growth enhances financial flexibility, enabling investment in growth initiatives and reducing reliance on external financing.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Significant leverage increases financial risk, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth and weather economic downturns.
Low Net Profit Margin
Low net profit margins indicate challenges in converting sales into profit, which could impact long-term profitability and shareholder returns.
Governance Challenges
Ongoing governance issues and board disputes may distract management and affect strategic decision-making, impacting long-term company performance.

Victoria's Secret (VSCO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Victoria's Secret Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVictoria's Secret (VSCO) is a leading American lingerie, women's wear, and beauty products retailer, renowned for its high-quality products and iconic branding. Founded in 1977, the company has evolved to become a prominent player in the fashion industry, offering a wide range of products including bras, panties, sleepwear, loungewear, sportswear, and beauty items. Victoria's Secret operates through various channels, including physical retail stores, an online presence, and catalog sales, catering to a diverse customer base seeking luxury and comfort in intimate apparel.
How the Company Makes MoneyVictoria's Secret generates revenue primarily through the sale of lingerie, sleepwear, and beauty products both in-store and online. Key revenue streams include direct retail sales from its extensive network of physical locations and e-commerce platform, as well as catalog sales. The company benefits from brand loyalty and recognition, which drive repeat purchases. Strategic partnerships, such as collaborations with celebrities and influencers, enhance its marketing efforts and expand its customer reach. Seasonal promotions and exclusive product lines also contribute to sales spikes. Additionally, the company's ability to leverage data analytics for targeted marketing and inventory management plays a significant role in optimizing its revenue generation.

Victoria's Secret Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Chart InsightsVictoria's Secret's international segment is experiencing robust growth, with a notable 22% year-over-year increase, driven by new store openings and high single-digit retail gains. This contrasts with North America, where revenue remains volatile. The earnings call highlights successful product launches and market share gains in intimate apparel, despite challenges like digital outages and increased tariffs. The company's strategic focus on pricing and product innovation is expected to mitigate these risks, maintaining a positive outlook for future growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Victoria's Secret Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 28, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 26, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call demonstrated a successful quarter with strong sales growth, improved gross margins, and positive international performance. However, challenges such as the digital outage and increased tariff impacts were noted. Overall, the positive aspects slightly outweigh the negatives, suggesting a generally optimistic outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Net Sales Growth
Net sales grew by 3% year-over-year to $1.459 billion, with comparable sales increasing by 4% across both Victoria's Secret and PINK brands.
International Expansion
International net sales grew 22% year-over-year, with high single-digit retail comparable sales gains and continued new store openings.
Improved Gross Margins
Gross margins improved to 35.6%, 20 basis points above last year and 60 basis points above guidance, driven by reduced promotions and higher regular-priced sales.
Bra Market Share Gain
Victoria's Secret grew market share by approximately 0.5 points in total bras, including almost 1 full point in traditional bras.
Successful Product Launches
The launch of the Body by Victoria collection's new FlexFactor bra and the PINK x LoveShackFancy collaboration drove significant customer engagement and sales.
Negative Updates
Impact of Digital Outage
A digital outage in May negatively impacted net sales by approximately $20 million.
Increased Tariff Impact
Incremental tariff exposure led to an estimated $50 million increase in net tariff impact for fiscal year 2025.
Adjusted Operating Loss Forecast
Third quarter 2025 adjusted operating loss is projected to be between $35 million and $55 million, compared to a $28 million loss in the same quarter of 2024.
Company Guidance
During the Victoria's Secret & Co. second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company announced that they exceeded their top and bottom line guidance, with net sales growing by 3% and comparable sales increasing by 4%. The international segment was a standout, with net sales increasing by 22% year-over-year. Gross margins improved to 35.6%, 20 basis points higher than the previous year and 60 basis points above guidance. Adjusted operating income reached $55 million, surpassing the high end of their guidance by $20 million. The company also gained market share in the intimate apparel category, particularly in the 18 to 44 age group. Looking forward, Victoria's Secret is maintaining its full-year operating income guidance despite an anticipated $100 million net tariff impact, and it plans to mitigate the impact through strategic pricing, sourcing, and promotional strategies, alongside a focus on driving top-line growth with elevated product assortments and major brand initiatives.

Victoria's Secret Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Victoria's Secret demonstrates a stable financial position with healthy gross margins and positive cash flow growth. However, challenges include low net profit margins and high leverage, indicating potential financial risk.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Victoria's Secret shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM Gross Profit Margin is healthy at 36.31%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the Net Profit Margin is relatively low at 2.42%, suggesting challenges in converting revenue into profit. Revenue growth is positive at 0.68% TTM, but the EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased compared to previous years, reflecting potential operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 4.23 TTM, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. Return on Equity is moderate at 25.34%, showing decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. The Equity Ratio is low, highlighting a reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks if market conditions worsen.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a positive trend with a 15.79% growth in Free Cash Flow TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.29 suggests moderate cash conversion efficiency. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.53 indicates a reasonable level of cash flow relative to net income, supporting operational stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.16B6.23B6.18B6.34B6.78B5.41B
Gross Profit1.46B2.28B2.25B2.26B2.76B1.57B
EBITDA205.08M565.00M530.00M751.00M1.17B226.00M
Net Income-41.77M165.00M109.00M348.00M646.00M-72.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.75B4.53B4.60B4.71B4.34B4.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments188.00M227.00M270.00M427.00M490.00M335.00M
Total Debt2.87B2.70B2.70B2.79B2.64B2.07B
Total Liabilities4.04B3.87B4.16B4.31B4.09B3.34B
Stockholders Equity680.00M640.00M417.00M383.00M257.00M891.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-404.00M247.00M133.00M273.00M682.00M547.00M
Operating Cash Flow-242.00M425.00M389.00M437.00M851.00M674.00M
Investing Cash Flow-161.00M-153.00M-254.00M-555.00M-169.00M-123.00M
Financing Cash Flow356.00M-315.00M-291.00M58.00M-527.00M-465.00M

Victoria's Secret Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price35.07
Price Trends
50DMA
29.31
Positive
100DMA
24.86
Positive
200DMA
23.89
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.12
Negative
RSI
59.63
Neutral
STOCH
53.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VSCO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 35.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.21, above the 50-day MA of 29.31, and above the 200-day MA of 23.89, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VSCO.

Victoria's Secret Risk Analysis

Victoria's Secret disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Victoria's Secret reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Victoria's Secret Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$2.90B14.2043.13%6.80%1.62%-2.57%
73
Outperform
$3.30B6.7743.30%9.34%10.61%
69
Neutral
$2.81B15.9812.17%2.92%-2.73%-16.71%
69
Neutral
$2.91B19.6226.29%2.30%8.85%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
$883.55M168.996.23%6.63%7.84%-81.20%
50
Neutral
$331.10M-4.81%2.66%-4772.54%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VSCO
Victoria's Secret
35.07
0.10
0.29%
ANF
Abercrombie Fitch
71.57
-68.68
-48.97%
AEO
American Eagle
17.10
-0.39
-2.23%
BKE
Buckle
57.32
15.67
37.62%
GCO
Genesco
31.35
0.74
2.42%
GES
Guess?
16.96
1.03
6.47%

Victoria's Secret Corporate Events

Victoria’s Secret & Co. Q2 Earnings Call Highlights
Sep 1, 2025

Victoria’s Secret & Co. recently held its second quarter 2025 earnings call, revealing a generally optimistic outlook despite some challenges. The company reported strong sales growth, improved gross margins, and positive international performance. However, issues such as a digital outage and increased tariff impacts were also discussed. Overall, the positive developments slightly outweighed the negatives, suggesting a promising future for the company.

Victoria’s Secret & Co. Exceeds Q2 2025 Expectations
Aug 29, 2025

Victoria’s Secret & Co. is a leading specialty retailer in the fashion industry, known for its modern collections of lingerie, apparel, and beauty products, with a global presence of approximately 1,380 retail stores. In its latest earnings report, the company announced that its second-quarter sales, operating income, and earnings per share exceeded expectations, with a 4% increase in comparable sales. The company also raised its full-year sales guidance. Key financial highlights include net sales of $1.459 billion for the second quarter, a 3% increase from the previous year, and an adjusted operating income of $55 million, surpassing the guidance range. Despite a decrease in operating income compared to the previous year, the company reported a positive net income of $16 million. Looking ahead, Victoria’s Secret & Co. remains optimistic about its growth prospects, focusing on product innovation and customer engagement, while acknowledging potential challenges in the macroeconomic environment.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Victoria’s Secret Exceeds Q2 Expectations, Raises Sales Guidance
Positive
Aug 28, 2025

On August 28, 2025, Victoria’s Secret & Co. reported its second quarter 2025 financial results, revealing sales and operating income that exceeded expectations. The company saw a 4% increase in comparable sales, driven by product innovation and a refreshed leadership team, despite tariff challenges. The company raised its full-year sales guidance, forecasting net sales between $6.330 billion to $6.410 billion, and adjusted operating income between $270 million to $320 million, reflecting optimism about future growth and brand differentiation.

The most recent analyst rating on (VSCO) stock is a Hold with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Victoria’s Secret stock, see the VSCO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025