Genesco (GCO) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $323.67M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 94.84K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.95
• Revenue Growth: 2.76%
• EPS Growth: 96.01%
• Country: US
• Employees: 5,400
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Apparel - Retail
• EPS (TTM): 0.79
• Shares Outstanding: 10,792,736
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 134,898
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 94,845
• PEG Ratio: -1.49
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.83
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.19
• P/FCF Ratio: 9.65
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 2.31
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.31
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 0.67
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 28.37
• 1Y Price Target: $34.00
• Price Target Upside: 4.84% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 4
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 59 Neutral
• Price Target: $31.00 ▼(-4.41% Downside)

The score is driven mainly by improving fundamentals—very strong recent revenue growth and better free cash flow—offset by weak profitability (near-zero net margin/ROE). Technicals are mixed with only partial trend confirmation, valuation is hindered by a negative P/E and no dividend support, and guidance/sentiment is balanced with earlier margin pressure and lowered EPS guidance partially countered by a subsequent raised EPS outlook tied to strong holiday sales.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

The significant revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, enhancing Genesco's competitive position and potential for sustained expansion.

Journeys Performance

Journeys' strong performance underscores its robust brand appeal and operational efficiency, contributing positively to Genesco's overall profitability and market strength.

Leverage Improvement

Improved leverage enhances financial stability and flexibility, allowing Genesco to invest in growth opportunities while managing risks effectively.

Negative Factors

Profitability Challenges

Low profitability margins indicate challenges in cost management and pricing power, potentially limiting Genesco's ability to reinvest in growth and innovation.

Schuh Performance

Schuh's underperformance reflects market challenges and competitive pressures in the UK, which could hinder Genesco's overall growth and profitability.

Tariff Impact

Tariff impacts increase costs and reduce margins, posing a structural challenge to Genesco's profitability and competitive positioning in affected markets.

Genesco Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Genesco Inc. operates as a retailer and wholesaler of footwear, apparel, and accessories. The company operates through four segments: Journeys Group, Schuh Group, Johnston & Murphy Group, and Licensed Brands. The Journeys Group segment offers footwear and accessories through the Journeys, Journeys Kidz, and Little Burgundy retail chains, as well as through e-commerce and catalogs for young men, women, and children. The Schuh Group segment operates Schuh retail footwear stores that offer casual and athletic footwear, as well as sells footwear through e-commerce. The Johnston & Murphy Group segment is involved in the retail and e-commerce operations; and wholesale distribution of men's dress and casual footwear, apparel, and accessories, as well as women's footwear and accessories. The Licensed Brands segment markets footwear under the Levi's, Dockers, and G.H. Bass brands for men, women, and children, as well as designs and manufactures the STARTER and ETONIC brands footwear. As of January 29, 2022, the company operated approximately 1,425 retail stores in the United States, Puerto Rico, Canada, the United Kingdom, and the Republic of Ireland primarily under the Journeys, Journeys Kidz, Schuh, Little Burgundy, and Johnston & Murphy names. Its e-commerce websites include journeys.com, journeyskidz.com, journeys.ca, schuh.co.uk, schuh.ie, schuh.eu, johnstonmurphy.com, littleburgundyshoes.com, johnstonmurphy.ca, nashvilleshoewarehouse.com, and dockersshoes.com. Genesco Inc. was incorporated in 1924 and is headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee.

How the Company Makes Money

Genesco generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of footwear and related accessories via its retail and wholesale operations. The company operates a significant number of retail stores across the United States and internationally, primarily under its Journeys and Lids brands. A substantial portion of Genesco's revenue comes from direct-to-consumer sales through their physical stores and e-commerce platforms. Additionally, Genesco benefits from wholesale distribution agreements, supplying products to various third-party retailers. Key partnerships with popular brands and ongoing collaborations enhance their product offerings, driving sales and customer loyalty. Seasonal promotions, marketing campaigns, and a focus on customer experience also contribute to their earnings, allowing them to maintain a competitive edge in the retail market.

Genesco Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong TTM revenue growth (84.2%) and improving free cash flow growth (24.98%) are positives, but profitability remains a key weakness with an extremely low net profit margin (0.0016%) and negligible ROE (0.0073%). Leverage improved (debt-to-equity 0.84), supporting stability, but margins and efficiency need to recover for a higher score.

Income Statement

Genesco's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a significant revenue growth rate of 84.2%, suggesting a strong recovery or expansion. However, profitability margins are concerning, with a very low net profit margin of 0.0016% and declining EBIT and EBITDA margins compared to previous years. The gross profit margin remains stable, indicating effective cost management. Overall, while revenue growth is promising, profitability remains a challenge.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects moderate financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.84 in the TTM, indicating a reduction in leverage compared to previous periods. However, the return on equity is negligible at 0.0073%, highlighting inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated but suggests a balanced asset structure. Overall, the balance sheet shows improvement in leverage but lacks strong profitability indicators.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trajectory with a 24.98% growth in free cash flow in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.18, indicating some challenges in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.24 suggests a reasonable level of cash generation relative to net income. Overall, cash flow performance is solid, with notable improvements in free cash flow growth.

Breakdown	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	2.33B	2.32B	2.38B	2.42B	1.79B
Gross Profit	1.10B	1.10B	1.14B	1.18B	804.47M
EBITDA	66.72M	35.44M	136.66M	190.36M	-59.66M
Net Income	-18.89M	-16.83M	71.92M	114.85M	-56.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.34B	1.33B	1.46B	1.56B	1.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	34.01M	35.16M	47.99M	320.52M	215.09M
Total Debt	485.09M	522.94M	580.43M	632.64M	734.04M
Total Liabilities	788.57M	758.69M	849.46M	959.63M	1.02B
Stockholders Equity	546.97M	571.20M	606.97M	602.47M	566.76M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	46.75M	34.49M	-224.82M	185.97M	133.61M
Operating Cash Flow	87.89M	94.80M	-164.88M	239.87M	157.74M
Investing Cash Flow	-41.13M	-60.00M	-59.93M	-33.90M	-24.02M
Financing Cash Flow	-47.00M	-47.58M	-45.53M	-101.17M	-3.16M

Genesco Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 32.43
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GCO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 32.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.38, above the 50-day MA of 28.35, and above the 200-day MA of 25.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.53 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.80 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GCO.

Genesco Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SCVL	69 Neutral	$523.68M	9.10	8.78%	3.12%	-6.22%	-22.81%
JILL	65 Neutral	$226.13M	6.83	28.98%	2.25%	-2.67%	-22.93%
ZUMZ	62 Neutral	$438.66M	49.63	2.79%	―	2.81%	―
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
GCO	59 Neutral	$323.67M	-176.06	-0.13%	―	2.76%	96.01%
CURV	45 Neutral	$108.12M	-50.45	―	―	-7.33%	-114.80%
PLCE	38 Underperform	$106.85M	-1.79	―	―	-10.09%	81.44%

Genesco Corporate Events

Genesco lifts earnings outlook on strong holiday sales

On January 12, 2026, Genesco reported that for the fourth fiscal quarter-to-date period ended December 27, 2025, total comparable sales rose 9% year over year, driven by a 10% increase in same-store sales and a 9% gain in e-commerce, with Journeys Group posting a 12% comparable sales jump, Schuh up 6%, and Johnston & Murphy up 1%. Management highlighted strong holiday performance at Journeys with double-digit growth on top of last year’s double-digit gains, while noting that Schuh’s better-than-expected top line relied on heavier discounting amid a highly promotional U.K. footwear market and inventory cleanup efforts; reflecting these dynamics, the company raised its fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings outlook to at least $1.30 per share and said it would provide a fuller business and outlook update with its fourth-quarter and full-year results, as well as present its story to investors at the 2026 ICR Conference on January 12, 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (GCO) stock is a Buy with a $39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Genesco stock, see the GCO Stock Forecast page.