tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
JJill Inc (JILL)
NYSE:JILL
Advertisement

JJill (JILL) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
238 Followers

Top Page

JILL

JJill

(NYSE:JILL)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$16.50
▲(8.77% Upside)
JJill's overall stock score is driven by strong valuation metrics and positive cash flow trends. However, challenges in revenue growth, high leverage, and bearish technical indicators weigh on the score. The earnings call provides a cautiously optimistic outlook, balancing the risks with strategic improvements.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Generation
Strong free cash flow generation indicates effective cash management and provides financial flexibility for investments and debt reduction.
Ship-from-Store Capabilities
The implementation of ship-from-store capabilities enhances operational efficiency and customer satisfaction, supporting long-term sales growth.
Gross Profit Margin
A strong gross profit margin reflects efficient cost management and pricing power, contributing to sustained profitability.
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Challenges
Declining revenue growth indicates potential market share loss or demand issues, impacting long-term financial health.
High Leverage
Significant leverage can strain financial resources and limit strategic flexibility, posing risks if not managed effectively.
Gross Margin Pressure
Decreasing gross margins due to markdowns and tariffs could erode profitability, necessitating strategic cost management.

JJill (JILL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

JJill Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJ.Jill, Inc. operates as an omnichannel retailer for women's apparel under the J.Jill brand in the United States. The company offers knit and woven tops, bottoms, and dresses, as well as sweaters and outerwear; footwear; and accessories, including scarves, jewelry, and hosiery. The company markets its products through retail stores, website, and catalogs. As of March 22, 2022, it operated 253 stores. The company was founded in 1959 and is headquartered in Quincy, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyJ.Jill generates revenue primarily through the sale of its clothing and accessories in its retail stores and online. The company operates a multi-channel retail model, which allows it to reach a broader customer base. Key revenue streams include direct sales from its brick-and-mortar stores and e-commerce platform, where customers can shop the latest collections and exclusive online offerings. Additionally, J.Jill may benefit from seasonal promotions and loyalty programs that drive customer engagement and repeat purchases. The company's focus on quality and customer service fosters brand loyalty, further contributing to its financial performance.

JJill Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 03, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a cautious optimism. While there are significant challenges such as tariff impacts and decreased gross margins, the company shows resilience with successful strategic implementations and improved sales trends. The focus on customer growth and operational improvements provides a solid foundation for future growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Sequential Improvement in Sales Trends
Sales trends improved month over month, with total sales down less than 1% and an adjusted EBITDA of $25.6 million. Store sales for Q2 were up 0.4% compared to Q2 2024, driven by three net new stores.
Successful Implementation of Ship-from-Store Capabilities
J.Jill launched ship-from-store capabilities well ahead of plan, which extended to the entire fleet during the month of July, helping to drive sales growth and support gross margins.
Strong Free Cash Flow Generation
The company generated $17 million of free cash flow in the quarter, resulting in end-of-quarter cash on the balance sheet of $46 million.
Positive Customer Response to Promotions
Improved customer response to the summer sale in July helped clear markdown goods and end the quarter with clean inventories.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Gross Margin
Q2 gross margin was 68.4%, down 210 basis points versus Q2 2024, driven primarily by a higher mix of markdown sales and higher full-price promotional rates.
Impact of Tariffs
Gross margin rate was pressured by approximately 50 basis points related to tariffs, with rates for the largest sourcing countries averaging around 20%, and India at 50%.
Challenges in Direct Sales
Direct sales, representing about 46% of total sales in the quarter, were down about 2% compared to the second quarter of fiscal 2024.
Higher SG&A Expenses
SG&A expenses for the quarter were about $89 million compared to $86 million last year, driven by higher store expenses, higher occupancy costs, and higher marketing expenses.
Company Guidance
During J.Jill's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance for its third quarter, anticipating adjusted EBITDA in the range of $18 to $22 million. This forecast assumes sales will remain flat or decrease by low single digits, with comparable sales expected to decline in the low to mid-single digits. The guidance also factors in gross margins decreasing more than in Q2, primarily due to tariff pressures, with rates averaging around 20% for major sourcing countries and 50% for India. The company expects approximately $5 million in incremental tariff impact for Q3, similar to future quarterly impacts if current policies persist. Additionally, capital expenditures for the year are projected between $20 and $25 million, with plans to open one to five net new stores, including two new openings toward the end of Q3. J.Jill aims to maintain shareholder returns through dividend payments and share repurchases, with $20 million remaining on a $25 million repurchase authorization.

JJill Financial Statement Overview

Summary
JJill's financial performance shows a strong gross profit margin and positive cash flow growth, but faces challenges with declining revenue growth and high leverage. The company needs to focus on revenue growth and managing debt levels to enhance its financial position.
Income Statement
65
Positive
JJill's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is strong at 69.54%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 6.12% from 6.46% in the previous annual report, reflecting a slight decline in profitability. Revenue growth is negative at -20.8% TTM, which is concerning, although previous periods showed positive growth. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased, suggesting pressure on operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.25 TTM, which is an improvement from the previous year's 1.97 but still indicates significant leverage. Return on equity is strong at 33.27% TTM, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is low, suggesting a reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows positive trends with a free cash flow growth rate of 17.03% TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.44, suggesting a moderate conversion of income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.69, reflecting a healthy cash flow relative to earnings, although slightly lower than previous periods.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue458.87M610.86M604.66M615.27M585.21M421.26M
Gross Profit323.69M429.86M427.40M422.05M394.44M242.88M
EBITDA66.55M75.70M99.07M104.49M28.22M-135.65M
Net Income34.55M39.48M36.20M42.17M-28.14M-141.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets436.51M417.70M428.18M466.42M451.85M499.57M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments45.52M35.43M62.17M87.05M35.96M4.41M
Total Debt152.47M208.82M295.22M366.29M385.29M459.65M
Total Liabilities315.01M311.93M390.96M466.64M496.50M598.48M
Stockholders Equity121.50M105.77M37.22M-219.00K-44.66M-98.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow35.55M50.77M46.38M59.36M69.53M-38.62M
Operating Cash Flow43.77M65.04M63.31M74.42M75.00M-34.81M
Investing Cash Flow-10.96M-17.75M-16.93M-15.07M-5.47M-3.81M
Financing Cash Flow-12.41M-74.03M-71.26M-8.26M-37.98M21.50M

JJill Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price15.17
Price Trends
50DMA
16.50
Negative
100DMA
16.02
Negative
200DMA
17.49
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.36
Positive
RSI
43.81
Neutral
STOCH
19.81
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JILL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.49, below the 50-day MA of 16.50, and below the 200-day MA of 17.49, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.36 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.81 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JILL.

JJill Risk Analysis

JJill disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. JJill reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

JJill Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$372.40M0.19%1.64%
63
Neutral
$231.00M6.3534.74%2.04%-2.37%-16.40%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
53
Neutral
$321.44M-13.32%3.32%25.71%
50
Neutral
$338.44M-4.81%2.66%-4772.54%
42
Neutral
$119.00M38.46-5.76%-75.71%
41
Neutral
$42.97M-43.51%-11.10%-10.31%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JILL
JJill
15.17
-10.34
-40.53%
CTRN
Citi Trends
38.70
19.69
103.58%
GCO
Genesco
31.35
0.74
2.42%
TLYS
Tilly's
1.41
-2.78
-66.35%
ZUMZ
Zumiez
21.71
-0.58
-2.60%
CURV
Torrid Holdings
1.20
-2.87
-70.52%

JJill Corporate Events

J.Jill Earnings Call: Resilience Amid Challenges
Sep 5, 2025

The recent earnings call for J.Jill, Inc. reflected a sense of cautious optimism. Despite facing significant challenges such as the impact of tariffs and decreased gross margins, the company demonstrated resilience through successful strategic implementations and improved sales trends. The focus on customer growth and operational improvements provides a solid foundation for future growth.

J.Jill, Inc. Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Sep 4, 2025

J.Jill, Inc. is a national lifestyle brand specializing in women’s apparel, footwear, and accessories, offering a high-touch customer experience through its network of over 200 stores and a robust e-commerce platform. The company recently reported its financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, highlighting a slight decline in net sales and gross profit compared to the previous year. Despite a challenging retail environment, J.Jill managed to improve its net income, which increased to $10.5 million from $8.2 million in the same quarter last year, partly due to reduced interest expenses and a strategic focus on aligning inventory with current trends. Key financial metrics for the quarter included a net sales decrease of 0.8% to $154.0 million, a gross margin of 68.4%, and an operating income of $16.8 million. The company also closed two stores, ending the quarter with 247 locations. Looking ahead, J.Jill remains focused on expanding its customer base and enhancing its product assortment, with expectations for flat to slightly declining net sales in the third quarter of fiscal 2025. The management is optimistic about the brand’s potential for sustainable growth and shareholder value enhancement.

Dividends
J.Jill Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend Announcement
Positive
Aug 27, 2025

On August 27, 2025, J.Jill, Inc. announced that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.08 per share on its common stock, payable on October 1, 2025, to shareholders recorded by September 17, 2025. This decision reflects J.Jill’s ongoing commitment to providing value to its shareholders and could impact its financial positioning and stakeholder relations positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (JILL) stock is a Hold with a $17.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on JJill stock, see the JILL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025