Tilly's (TLYS)
NYSE:TLYS
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Tilly's
(NYSE:TLYS)
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Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▲(183.02% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/13/26
Score is driven primarily by improving—but still weak—financial performance (ongoing losses and high leverage), partially offset by strong technical momentum and a positive earnings-call outlook with guidance pointing toward near-term profitability. Valuation remains a headwind due to a negative P/E and no dividend support, while the credit maturity extension modestly improves financial flexibility.
Positive Factors
Improved cash generation
TTM positive operating and free cash flow marks a structural improvement versus prior cash burn, giving management recurring internal funding to support inventory, e-commerce investments, and deleveraging. Sustainable cash generation reduces reliance on external financing if maintained.
Negative Factors
High leverage and weakened equity
Elevated debt relative to a small equity base constrains financial flexibility and raises refinancing and interest costs over time. Shrinking equity reflects cumulative losses, reducing the company’s buffer for demand shocks and limiting capacity for opportunistic investments.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved cash generation
TTM positive operating and free cash flow marks a structural improvement versus prior cash burn, giving management recurring internal funding to support inventory, e-commerce investments, and deleveraging. Sustainable cash generation reduces reliance on external financing if maintained.
Read all positive factors
Tilly's Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Net Sales by Segment
Separates sales across business segments like retail stores, e‑commerce, and wholesale, highlighting channel mix, margin differences, and how shifts between channels affect growth and cost structure.
Separates sales across business segments like retail stores, e‑commerce, and wholesale, highlighting channel mix, margin differences, and how shifts between channels affect growth and cost structure.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyTilly's (TLYS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$135.06M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)384.63K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.62
Revenue Growth1.69%
EPS Growth93.35%
CountryUS
Employees1,410
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryApparel - Retail
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.10
Shares Outstanding23,182,312
10 Day Avg. Volume615,368
30 Day Avg. Volume384,628
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.04
Price to Book (P/B)0.52
Price to Sales (P/S)0.08
P/FCF Ratio-75.16
Enterprise Value/Market Cap2.09
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.49
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit1.57
Enterprise Value/Ebitda33.07
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$5.50Price Target Upside245.91% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.04
Revenue Forecast (FY)$568.00M
Tilly's Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Tilly's, Inc. functions as a dedicated retailer specializing in casual apparel, footwear, accessories, and hardgoods. Its primary demographic includes young men and women, as well as boys and girls throughout the United States. Their clothing sele...
How the Company Makes Money
Tilly's makes money primarily by selling merchandise (apparel, footwear, accessories, and related goods) to consumers through two main channels: (1) brick-and-mortar retail stores and (2) its e-commerce platform. Revenue is recognized from product...
Tilly's Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jun 03, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call portrayed a clear and broad recovery: strong comparable sales (22.9%), robust e‑commerce growth (30.9%), large margin expansion (gross margin +910 bps; product margin +400 bps), meaningful reduction in losses and improved liquidity. Management acknowledged remaining work — continued net loss, store count reductions, some SKU replenishment issues, and the expectation that the exceptional margin step-up may not fully persist — but provided constructive Q2 guidance (net sales ~$154–160M, comps +6% to +10%, expected net income $3.8M–$6.0M) and reiterated confidence in returning to profitability and further store productivity gains.Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line Growth
Total net sales of $125.0M, up $17.1M or 15.9% year-over-year; comparable net sales increased 22.9% (stores and e‑commerce both >20%).
Negative Updates
Net Loss Still Present
Company remains unprofitable for the quarter with a net loss of $8.0M ($0.26 per share), albeit materially improved versus prior year.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Top-Line Growth
Total net sales of $125.0M, up $17.1M or 15.9% year-over-year; comparable net sales increased 22.9% (stores and e‑commerce both >20%).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided Q2 net sales of approximately $154–$160 million (comparable net sales growth of +6% to +10%), product margins flat to slightly up versus last year’s company‑record Q2 rate, SG&A of roughly $48–$49 million (excluding any noncash impairments), a near‑zero effective tax rate, and net income of about $3.8–$6.0 million (EPS $0.13–$0.20 on ~30.3 million diluted shares); it expects to end the quarter with 221 stores (net -11 stores, -4.7% YoY) and total liquidity in excess of $120 million (cash & investments ~$59–63M plus ~ $63M undrawn ABL capacity, versus $51M cash & investments and $3M undrawn last year), noted May comps of +8.3% (10th consecutive month of comp growth), and said these results would represent a 5th consecutive quarter of year‑over‑year profit improvement.Tilly's Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
57
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Jan 2026 | Jan 2025 | Jan 2024 | Jan 2023 | Jan 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 570.69M | 553.59M | 569.45M | 623.08M | 672.28M | 775.69M |
| Gross Profit | 179.25M | 164.47M | 149.70M | 165.66M | 202.79M | 276.66M |
| EBITDA | 8.52M | -8.76M | -37.08M | -18.15M | 25.32M | 104.43M |
| Net Income | -3.25M | -17.45M | -46.23M | -34.49M | 9.68M | 64.25M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 317.13M | 310.76M | 342.46M | 429.55M | 475.90M | 504.82M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 41.12M | 46.31M | 46.71M | 95.05M | 113.28M | 139.23M |
| Total Debt | 175.88M | 170.46M | 193.87M | 231.59M | 242.00M | 247.00M |
| Total Liabilities | 239.36M | 225.62M | 241.59M | 284.68M | 298.69M | 330.11M |
| Stockholders Equity | 77.77M | 85.14M | 100.87M | 144.87M | 177.21M | 174.71M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 7.65M | -589.00K | -50.24M | -20.69M | -16.54M | 49.98M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 12.21M | 4.10M | -42.02M | -6.73M | -1.42M | 63.40M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -4.38M | 21.16M | 15.75M | -19.99M | 42.80M | -45.33M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -3.81M | 0.00 | 294.00K | 227.00K | -10.06M | -52.06M |
Tilly's Technical Analysis
Neutral
1.59
Price Trends
4.57
Negative
3.46
Positive
2.59
Positive
Market Momentum
0.13
Positive
44.85
Neutral
3.71
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TLYS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.59 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.77, below the 50-day MA of 4.57, and below the 200-day MA of 2.59, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.71 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TLYS.
Tilly's Risk Analysis
Tilly's disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tilly's reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Tilly's Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76 Outperform | $6.54B | 14.16 | 17.64% | ― | 11.23% | 8.96% | |
63 Neutral | $2.98B | 10.66 | 17.24% | 2.09% | 6.22% | 65.05% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
58 Neutral | $135.06M | -41.02 | -3.98% | ― | 1.69% | 93.35% | |
55 Neutral | $300.16M | 19.96 | 4.73% | ― | 4.68% | 3252.79% | |
48 Neutral | $192.07M | -15.27 | 6.03% | ― | -10.09% | -232.12% | |
47 Neutral | $65.86M | -286.67 | -0.14% | ― | 1.82% | ― |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
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Tilly's Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Tilly’s Extends Credit Agreement Maturity with Wells Fargo
Positive
Jun 12, 2026
On June 10, 2026, Tilly’s subsidiary World of Jeans Tops, as borrower, and Tilly’s, Inc., as guarantor, executed a second amendment to their existing credit agreement with Wells Fargo Bank, National Association. The amendment extends ...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Tilly’s Shareholders Approve Directors, Equity Plan and Auditor
Neutral
Jun 11, 2026
Tilly’s stockholders held their annual meeting after a record date of April 17, 2026, with a total voting power of 96,243,392 votes from both Class A and high‑vote Class B shares. The dual‑class structure continued to give outsiz...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.