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Zumiez Inc (ZUMZ)
NASDAQ:ZUMZ

Zumiez (ZUMZ) AI Stock Analysis

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ZUMZ

Zumiez

(NASDAQ:ZUMZ)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$25.00
▲(1.58% Upside)
Score is anchored by solid cash-flow strength and a stable financial position, supported by a strong recent earnings call with improved margins and EPS performance. Offsetting these positives are weak near-term technicals (bearish/oversold) and a stretched valuation (high P/E with no dividend support).
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow growth
Sustained, large FCF growth strengthens Zumiez's ability to fund inventory, invest in omni‑channel capabilities, expand private label, or weather retail cyclicality without relying on external financing, improving long‑term operational flexibility and strategic optionality.
Private label margin expansion
A rise in private label to roughly 31% of sales shifts mix toward higher‑margin owned goods, enhancing gross margin durability and reducing dependence on third‑party brands. This structural mix change supports long‑term margin sustainability and pricing control.
Cash on hand with no debt
A net cash position provides a durable liquidity cushion, lowers financial risk, and preserves strategic flexibility for inventory cycles, store investments or selective M&A. It also reduces vulnerability to interest rate swings and financing constraints.
Negative Factors
Very low net profit margin
Sub‑1% net margin implies limited profit conversion from sales, reducing retained earnings for reinvestment and making the business more sensitive to cost inflation or sales softness. This weak profitability constrains long‑term shareholder return potential.
Weak return on equity
An ROE near zero signals poor capital efficiency and limited ability to generate returns from shareholders' equity. Over time, persistently low ROE can deter capital allocation and indicate structural operating or margin issues that impair long‑term value creation.
International and category headwinds
Ongoing international declines and category weaknesses (notably footwear) limit geographic diversification and growth runway. Sustained underperformance overseas increases the need for investment in local assortments and raises uncertainty around profitable global expansion.

Zumiez (ZUMZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Zumiez Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionZumiez Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a specialty retailer of apparel, footwear, accessories, and hardgoods for young men and women. Its hardgoods include skateboards, snowboards, bindings, components, and other equipment. As of February 26, 2022, the company operated 738 stores, including 602 stores in the United States, 52 stores in Canada, 67 stores in Europe, and 17 stores in Australia under the names of Zumiez, Blue Tomato, and Fast Times. The company also operates zumiez.com, zumiez.ca, blue-tomato.com, and fasttimes.com.au e-commerce websites. Zumiez Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Lynnwood, Washington.
How the Company Makes MoneyZumiez generates revenue primarily through the sale of action sports and lifestyle apparel, footwear, and accessories in its retail stores and online platform. The company's revenue model is driven by direct product sales, where it offers a mix of proprietary brands and third-party branded items. Key revenue streams include in-store sales, online sales through its e-commerce platform, and sales from promotional events and collaborations. The company often engages in partnerships with popular brands to create exclusive products, enhancing its market appeal. Additionally, Zumiez benefits from a strong brand loyalty and community engagement, which drives repeat purchases and customer retention, further contributing to its earnings.

Zumiez Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance in North America with consistent sales growth and improved financial metrics. However, challenges remain in the international markets and footwear segment. The company's strategic focus on private label and financial stability positions it well for future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Third Quarter Performance
Zumiez reported a 7.6% increase in comparable sales for the third quarter, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of positive comparable sales growth. North American business showed significant strength with double-digit comps.
Record Earnings Per Share
Earnings per share for the third quarter reached $0.55, exceeding the high end of the guidance of $0.29.
Gross Margin Improvement
Gross profit rose by 14.7% to $89.8 million, with gross margin improving by 240 basis points to 37.6% due to leverage in store occupancy costs and improved product margins.
Successful Private Label Strategy
Private label products have grown to represent just under 31% of total sales, up from 11-12% five years ago, contributing positively to product margins.
Solid Financial Position
Zumiez ended the third quarter with $104.5 million in cash and marketable securities, with no debt on the balance sheet.
Promising Start to Fourth Quarter
Fourth quarter comparable sales as of December 2, 2025, were up 6.6%, with a notable 8.7% comp gain during the Black Friday and Cyber Monday period.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Footwear Category
Footwear was the only negative comping category for the quarter and continues to be a challenging segment for Zumiez.
International Sales Struggles
Other international comparable sales declined by 3.9% in the third quarter, with continued challenges in Europe despite some improvement.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter fiscal 2025 earnings conference call for Zumiez, Inc., the company reported a robust performance with comparable sales up 7.6% year-over-year, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of positive growth. North American operations were particularly strong, with comps accelerating to double digits. The company achieved a gross margin of 37.6%, a 240 basis point increase from the previous year, attributed to premium pricing strategies and improved expense efficiency. Operating income surged to $11.8 million, up significantly from $2.4 million the previous year, while earnings per share reached $0.55, exceeding guidance. Looking ahead, Zumiez anticipates fourth quarter net sales between $291 million and $296 million, with comparable sales growth projected in the 2.5% to 4% range. The company's strategic focus remains on customer-driven initiatives, profitability optimization, and leveraging a strong financial foundation, ensuring long-term growth despite macroeconomic challenges.

Zumiez Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: modest TTM revenue growth (1.85%) and very low net margin (0.94%) indicate limited profitability, but the balance sheet is stable (manageable leverage noted) and cash flow is a clear strength with strong TTM free cash flow growth (47.62%) and solid cash conversion.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Zumiez's income statement shows a modest revenue growth of 1.85% in the TTM, with a gross profit margin of 35.14%. However, the net profit margin is low at 0.94%, indicating limited profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also low, suggesting operational challenges. Despite these issues, the company has shown improvement from previous periods, moving from negative to positive net income.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.70, which is manageable. The return on equity is low at 0.19%, indicating limited returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company's equity position appears stable relative to its assets.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Zumiez's cash flow statement shows a strong free cash flow growth rate of 47.62% in the TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.29, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.91, suggesting efficient cash conversion. Overall, the cash flow position is robust, supporting the company's liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue916.91M889.20M875.49M958.38M1.18B990.65M
Gross Profit322.17M303.04M280.89M324.68M456.73M350.01M
EBITDA28.32M24.11M-39.12M52.73M180.74M121.00M
Net Income8.58M-1.71M-62.61M21.03M119.29M76.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets633.11M634.88M664.23M747.90M862.01M998.36M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments104.47M147.56M171.58M173.49M294.48M375.54M
Total Debt209.06M199.82M220.76M254.29M267.89M313.12M
Total Liabilities334.57M305.90M311.02M340.57M393.69M445.77M
Stockholders Equity298.54M328.98M353.21M407.33M468.32M552.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow46.20M5.70M-5.59M-26.01M119.20M129.35M
Operating Cash Flow50.50M20.70M14.76M-379.00K134.95M138.41M
Investing Cash Flow15.57M32.60M-8.55M54.21M101.64M-110.54M
Financing Cash Flow-37.73M-24.60M704.00K-87.26M-191.41M-9.69M

Zumiez Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price24.61
Price Trends
50DMA
26.38
Negative
100DMA
23.69
Positive
200DMA
18.74
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.51
Positive
RSI
41.42
Neutral
STOCH
37.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ZUMZ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 24.61 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.38, below the 50-day MA of 26.38, and above the 200-day MA of 18.74, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.51 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ZUMZ.

Zumiez Risk Analysis

Zumiez disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Zumiez reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Zumiez Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$6.35B13.4019.34%11.09%51.51%
74
Outperform
$4.48B9.3640.72%7.57%1.75%
74
Outperform
$3.95B20.1212.36%2.09%-1.15%-0.98%
68
Neutral
$1.26B14.0410.27%4.89%-0.34%-61.00%
62
Neutral
$417.13M50.892.79%2.81%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
48
Neutral
$44.80M-1.30-34.77%-8.31%36.10%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ZUMZ
Zumiez
24.61
9.11
58.77%
ANF
Abercrombie Fitch
97.63
-17.92
-15.51%
AEO
American Eagle
23.31
8.37
56.07%
CRI
Carter's
34.61
-15.27
-30.61%
TLYS
Tilly's
1.47
-2.72
-64.92%
URBN
Urban Outfitters
70.85
17.17
31.99%

Zumiez Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Zumiez Raises EPS Outlook Despite Mixed Holiday Sales
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

Zumiez Inc. reported that for the nine-week 2025 holiday period ended January 3, 2026, comparable sales rose 2.9% year over year, with North America delivering a strong 6.5% comp increase while international markets, including Europe and Australia, saw an 8.9% decline. Women’s apparel led category growth, followed by men’s, accessories and hardgoods, while footwear was the only segment to post negative comparable sales. Reflecting softer international demand but improved product margins and cost discipline, Zumiez trimmed its fiscal 2025 fourth-quarter net sales outlook to a range of $287 million to $290 million, down from prior guidance, but raised its earnings-per-share forecast to $1.05 to $1.10, signaling that profitability is holding up despite mixed regional performance and underscoring the strategic benefits of its focus on full-price selling and expense management.

The most recent analyst rating on (ZUMZ) stock is a Hold with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zumiez stock, see the ZUMZ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Zumiez Extends Revolving Credit Facility Maturity to 2027
Positive
Dec 22, 2025

On December 17, 2025, Zumiez Inc. and its subsidiaries Zumiez Europe Holding GmbH and Blue Tomato GmbH, along with newly added borrowers Zumiez Services Inc. and Zumiez Canada Holdings Inc., amended their existing revolving credit agreement with PNC Bank, National Association. The amendment extends the maturity of the secured $25 million revolving credit facility, originally dated December 20, 2024 and previously scheduled to mature on December 20, 2025, to December 23, 2027, providing the company and its affiliated borrowers with longer-term access to credit for general corporate purposes and reinforcing their financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (ZUMZ) stock is a Hold with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zumiez stock, see the ZUMZ Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026