tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Zumiez Inc (ZUMZ)
NASDAQ:ZUMZ
Advertisement

Zumiez (ZUMZ) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
232 Followers

Top Page

ZUMZ

Zumiez

(NASDAQ:ZUMZ)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$23.00
▲(17.11% Upside)
Zumiez's strong technical momentum is a significant positive factor, indicating potential for short-term gains. However, the company's valuation is a major concern due to the extremely negative P/E ratio, suggesting underlying profitability issues. Financial performance is moderate, with strong revenue and cash flow growth but weak profitability margins. The absence of a dividend yield further impacts the overall attractiveness of the stock.
Positive Factors
Private Label Growth
The growth in private label sales enhances profit margins and brand control, providing a competitive edge and supporting long-term profitability.
Comparable Sales Growth
Consistent growth in comparable sales indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting sustained revenue growth.
Improved Gross Profit Margin
Improvement in gross profit margin reflects better cost management and pricing strategies, enhancing long-term financial stability.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Declining revenue poses a risk to business sustainability, indicating challenges in market share retention and competitive positioning.
International Sales Decline
Declining international sales highlight challenges in global market expansion, affecting overall growth potential and diversification.
Higher SG&A Expenses
Rising SG&A expenses can erode profitability, indicating inefficiencies and potential strain on financial resources if not managed effectively.

Zumiez (ZUMZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Zumiez Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionZumiez Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a specialty retailer of apparel, footwear, accessories, and hardgoods for young men and women. Its hardgoods include skateboards, snowboards, bindings, components, and other equipment. As of February 26, 2022, the company operated 738 stores, including 602 stores in the United States, 52 stores in Canada, 67 stores in Europe, and 17 stores in Australia under the names of Zumiez, Blue Tomato, and Fast Times. The company also operates zumiez.com, zumiez.ca, blue-tomato.com, and fasttimes.com.au e-commerce websites. Zumiez Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Lynnwood, Washington.
How the Company Makes MoneyZumiez generates revenue primarily through the sale of apparel, footwear, and accessories in its retail stores and e-commerce platform. The company employs a multi-channel retail strategy, which includes brick-and-mortar locations and online sales, allowing it to reach a broad customer base. Key revenue streams include sales from branded products from well-known action sports brands, as well as private label merchandise, which typically has higher profit margins. Additionally, Zumiez benefits from customer loyalty programs and promotional events that encourage repeat business. The company's partnerships with popular brands and participation in action sports events also contribute to brand visibility and sales growth.

Zumiez Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 27, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call displayed a balanced sentiment with strong performance in North America and private label growth offset by challenges in international markets, particularly Europe, and specific product categories like footwear and men's. Despite SG&A expense increases, the company remains optimistic about future growth given the strong back-to-school results and strategic initiatives.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Comparable Sales Growth
Zumiez reported a 2.5% increase in comparable sales for the second quarter, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of positive growth. North America was the primary driver, with a 4.2% increase in comparable sales.
Strong Back-to-School Performance
During the back-to-school season, comparable sales in the U.S. saw low teens growth on top of a double-digit increase in the previous year, providing optimism for the upcoming holiday season.
Private Label Growth
Private label sales reached 30% of total sales year-to-date through the second quarter, up from 27% a year ago, marking the highest private label penetration in Zumiez's history.
Improved Gross Profit Margin
Gross profit increased by 5.9% to $76 million, with the gross profit margin improving by 130 basis points to 35.5% due to better product margins and store occupancy leverage.
Encouraging Third Quarter Trends
Net sales for the thirty-day period ended September 1, 2025, increased by 10.6%, with North America seeing an 11.7% increase in comparable sales, driven by women's and accessories categories.
Negative Updates
International Sales Decline
Other international net sales, including Europe and Australia, decreased by 4.2% year-over-year, with a 5.5% decline in comparable sales for the second quarter.
Footwear and Men's Category Challenges
Footwear was the largest negative comping category, followed by men's, indicating ongoing challenges in these areas.
Higher SG&A Expenses
SG&A expenses rose to 35.4% of sales, driven by increased corporate costs, legal settlements, and wage costs, partially offset by benefits in non-wage store operating costs.
European Market Difficulties
Challenging market conditions in Europe hindered improvements in sales, product margin, and operating results, with a focus on distinctive product offerings and expense management necessary for recovery.
Company Guidance
In the Zumiez Inc. Second Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance reflecting a positive outlook despite ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties. They reported a 2.5% increase in comparable sales for Q2, with North America being the primary driver, and projected Q3 sales between $232 million and $237 million, indicating a 5.5% to 7.5% growth over the previous year. The company highlighted their success in private label products, which constituted 30% of total sales year-to-date, up from 27% a year ago, and their efforts to maintain strong financial health with $106 million in cash and liquid investments. Zumiez plans to open six new stores in 2025 while closing approximately 20, mainly in North America, and anticipates modest year-over-year growth in product margins. The company remains focused on strategic priorities, including driving revenue growth through customer-focused initiatives, optimizing profitability, and leveraging their financial foundation to manage volatility.

Zumiez Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Zumiez is facing significant financial challenges, with declining revenue and profitability putting pressure on its financial health. While there is some improvement in cash flow and leverage management, overall stability is a concern due to negative net income and shrinking equity.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Zumiez has experienced declining revenues over the past few years, with a significant drop from $1.18 billion in 2022 to $889.2 million in 2025. Gross profit margin has also decreased, highlighting pressures on cost management. The net profit margin turned negative in 2024 and remained negative in 2025, indicating ongoing struggles with profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins reflect operational challenges, as they have remained low or negative in recent periods.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a decrease in total assets and stockholders' equity over time, which could indicate declining financial health. However, the debt-to-equity ratio has improved from 2020 to 2025, suggesting better leverage management. Despite this, the equity ratio has decreased, reducing financial stability. Return on equity was positive until 2023 but turned negative in subsequent periods, challenging the company's ability to generate returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow has been inconsistent, with occasional negative values, but improved in 2025. Free cash flow turned positive again in 2025, but its growth rate has been volatile. The company shows a positive operating cash flow to net income ratio in 2025, indicating potential for cash generation despite negative net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue900.25M889.20M875.49M958.38M1.18B990.65M
Gross Profit310.68M303.04M280.89M324.68M456.73M350.01M
EBITDA19.73M24.11M-39.12M52.73M180.74M121.00M
Net Income581.00K-1.71M-62.61M21.03M119.29M76.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets623.39M634.88M664.23M747.90M862.01M998.36M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments106.74M147.56M171.58M173.49M294.48M375.54M
Total Debt208.72M199.82M220.76M254.29M267.89M313.12M
Total Liabilities330.95M305.90M311.02M340.57M393.69M445.77M
Stockholders Equity292.44M328.98M353.21M407.33M468.32M552.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow31.29M5.70M-5.59M-26.01M119.20M129.35M
Operating Cash Flow26.62M20.70M14.76M-379.00K134.95M138.41M
Investing Cash Flow20.21M32.60M-8.55M54.21M101.64M-110.54M
Financing Cash Flow-37.74M-24.60M704.00K-87.26M-191.41M-9.69M

Zumiez Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.64
Price Trends
50DMA
16.90
Positive
100DMA
14.86
Positive
200DMA
15.23
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.95
Positive
RSI
56.20
Neutral
STOCH
17.87
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ZUMZ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.64 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.77, above the 50-day MA of 16.90, and above the 200-day MA of 15.23, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.95 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.87 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ZUMZ.

Zumiez Risk Analysis

Zumiez disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Zumiez reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Zumiez Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
3.01B14.7546.12%6.64%1.62%-2.57%
79
Outperform
6.39B13.9518.42%9.63%56.06%
77
Outperform
4.19B8.3241.86%9.34%10.61%
66
Neutral
3.03B17.2312.76%2.81%-2.73%-16.71%
64
Neutral
$343.76M1,677.270.19%1.64%
49
Neutral
60.64M-1.31-45.83%-11.10%-10.31%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ZUMZ
Zumiez
19.64
-2.10
-9.66%
ANF
Abercrombie Fitch
87.86
-50.07
-36.30%
AEO
American Eagle
17.80
-2.49
-12.27%
BKE
Buckle
58.77
19.11
48.18%
TLYS
Tilly's
1.99
-2.70
-57.57%
URBN
Urban Outfitters
71.26
33.57
89.07%

Zumiez Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Zumiez Shareholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

At the Annual Meeting, Zumiez shareholders voted on three proposals as outlined in the 2025 Proxy Statement. On the first proposal, Travis D. Smith and Guy M. Harkless were elected as directors for a three-year term until the 2028 Annual Meeting. The second proposal saw shareholders approve an advisory, non-binding vote on executive compensation. Lastly, the third proposal involved the ratification of Moss Adams LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending January 31, 2026.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2025