Zumiez Inc (ZUMZ)
NASDAQ:ZUMZ
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Zumiez
(NASDAQ:ZUMZ)
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Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$22.50
▼(-6.25% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/17/26
The score is driven primarily by a moderate financial recovery (profitability and free-cash-flow improvement) and a constructive earnings outlook focused on margin gains and disciplined capital returns. These positives are tempered by weak technical momentum and a relatively high P/E without dividend support, alongside cautious near-term guidance and ongoing regional/category headwinds.
Positive Factors
Gross Margin Expansion
A sustained 200bp gross-margin improvement signals structural gains from assortment, pricing and inventory discipline. Higher product margins provide durable earnings leverage versus sales, improving resilience to cost pressures and supporting modest profit growth even if top-line gains remain gradual.
Negative Factors
Thin & volatile margins
Despite recent improvement, very low operating and net margins leave limited room for error. Retail margin volatility from markdowns, SG&A or supply swings can quickly erase profits, making durable free‑cash‑flow generation and reinvestment programs vulnerable in economic downdrafts.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Gross Margin Expansion
A sustained 200bp gross-margin improvement signals structural gains from assortment, pricing and inventory discipline. Higher product margins provide durable earnings leverage versus sales, improving resilience to cost pressures and supporting modest profit growth even if top-line gains remain gradual.
Read all positive factors
Zumiez (ZUMZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$407.27M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)285.95K
Price to Earnings (P/E)30.9
Beta (1Y)1.11
Revenue Growth2.81%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees2,400
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryApparel - Retail
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.16
Shares Outstanding16,969,650
10 Day Avg. Volume300,554
30 Day Avg. Volume285,947
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.03
Price to Book (P/B)1.27
Price to Sales (P/S)0.44
P/FCF Ratio7.60
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.18
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.52
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit1.44
Enterprise Value/Ebitda11.96
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$24.00Price Target Upside0.00%
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)0.94
Revenue Forecast (FY)$942.90M
Zumiez Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Zumiez Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a specialty retailer of apparel, footwear, accessories, and hardgoods for young men and women. Its hardgoods include skateboards, snowboards, bindings, components, and other equipment. As of...
How the Company Makes Money
Zumiez primarily makes money by retailing branded and private-label merchandise at a markup over its cost of goods sold. The company’s key revenue stream is net sales from (1) physical retail stores and (2) e-commerce websites, where it sells appa...
Zumiez Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Mar 12, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted multiple clear improvements: revenue and comparable-sales growth (notably in North America), meaningful gross margin expansion, a return to full‑year profitability, strong private label penetration and product-margin gains in Europe, and a strengthened balance sheet with active share repurchases. Offsetting these positives were persistent international sales weakness in parts of Europe (though improving), ongoing footwear softness, litigation-related costs and planned store closures that will trim sales. Management remains cautiously optimistic but guarded due to macro and geopolitical uncertainties. Overall, the positive operational and financial progress outweighs the remaining regional and category headwinds.Positive Updates
Q4 Revenue and Comparable Sales Growth
Net sales for Q4 2025 increased 4.4% to $291.3M (from $279.2M). Consolidated comparable sales were up 2.2% for the quarter.
Negative Updates
Other International (Europe) Sales Weakness in FY and Q4
Other international comparable sales declined 7.5% in Q4 and were down 5.4% for the full year. On a constant currency basis, other international net sales decreased 4.2% for the year and decreased 7.1% in Q4.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Q4 Revenue and Comparable Sales Growth
Net sales for Q4 2025 increased 4.4% to $291.3M (from $279.2M). Consolidated comparable sales were up 2.2% for the quarter.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Zumiez guided Q1 FY2026 total sales of $189–$193 million (13 weeks ending May 2, 2026), up 3%–5% with comparable sales +2%–4%, and a consolidated operating loss of $(15.6)M to $(17.8)M (vs. $(19.9)M prior year), driven by an expected 130–200 basis points of gross margin expansion and 10–70 basis points of SG&A leverage (140–270 bps total margin improvement) and partly reflecting a $2.9M one‑time wage settlement in Q1 2025; they expect Q1 EPS of $(0.77) to $(0.87) (vs. $(0.79) prior, with ~$(0.07) headwind from a ~10% reduction in basic shares). For full‑year FY2026 they see potential low‑single‑digit total sales growth (inclusive of ~$(12)M of closed‑store sales), continued product‑margin gains, operating‑margin expansion of 50–100 basis points, a full‑year effective tax rate of ~35%–40% (vs. 44.4% in 2025), capital expenditures of $14–16M (vs. $11.1M in 2025), depreciation & amortization (ex‑noncash lease) ~ $18.9M (down from $21.3M), a projected diluted share count of ~17.1M, five new U.S. store openings, ~25 store closures (20 NA, 5 international), and continued balance‑sheet strength (cash & marketable securities $160.6M, no debt) plus a Board‑authorized $40M repurchase program.Zumiez Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
| Breakdown | Jan 2026 | Jan 2025 | Jan 2024 | Jan 2023 | Jan 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 929.06M | 889.20M | 875.49M | 958.38M | 1.18B |
| Gross Profit | 332.54M | 303.04M | 280.89M | 324.68M | 456.73M |
| EBITDA | 40.01M | 24.11M | -39.12M | 52.73M | 180.74M |
| Net Income | 13.38M | -1.71M | -62.61M | 21.03M | 119.29M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 699.84M | 634.88M | 664.23M | 747.90M | 862.01M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 160.62M | 147.56M | 171.58M | 173.49M | 294.48M |
| Total Debt | 199.33M | 199.82M | 220.76M | 254.29M | 267.89M |
| Total Liabilities | 375.56M | 305.90M | 311.02M | 340.57M | 393.69M |
| Stockholders Equity | 324.29M | 328.98M | 353.21M | 407.33M | 468.32M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 54.29M | 5.70M | -5.59M | -26.01M | 119.20M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 53.47M | 20.70M | 14.76M | -379.00K | 134.95M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -6.39M | 32.60M | -8.55M | 54.21M | 101.64M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -37.34M | -24.60M | 704.00K | -87.26M | -191.41M |
Zumiez Technical Analysis
Positive
24.00
Price Trends
23.81
Positive
25.01
Negative
21.36
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.32
Negative
58.27
Neutral
95.49
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ZUMZ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.00, above the 50-day MA of 23.81, and above the 200-day MA of 21.36, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.49 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ZUMZ.
Zumiez Risk Analysis
Zumiez disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Zumiez reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Zumiez Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
69 Neutral | $4.58B | 9.11 | 38.98% | ― | 7.57% | 1.75% | |
68 Neutral | $5.84B | 13.74 | 17.66% | ― | 11.09% | 51.51% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
56 Neutral | $407.27M | 30.86 | 4.41% | ― | 2.81% | ― | |
56 Neutral | $143.23M | -2.54 | -21.26% | ― | -8.31% | 36.10% | |
54 Neutral | $3.05B | 11.22 | 12.12% | 2.09% | -1.15% | -0.98% | |
52 Neutral | $1.26B | 12.82 | 10.27% | 4.89% | -0.34% | -61.00% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
ZUMZ
Zumiez
24.00
9.96
70.94%
ANF
Abercrombie Fitch
101.97
24.74
32.03%
AEO
American Eagle
18.31
7.45
68.60%
CRI
Carter's
34.58
-3.14
-8.31%
TLYS
Tilly's
4.70
2.80
147.37%
URBN
Urban Outfitters
68.22
17.77
35.22%
Zumiez Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Zumiez Announces New $40 Million Share Repurchase Plan
Positive
Mar 12, 2026
Zumiez reported that for the fiscal 2025 fourth quarter ended January 31, 2026, net sales rose 4.4% to $291.3 million and comparable sales increased 2.2%, while gross margin expanded by 200 basis points to 38.2% and earnings per share jumped 48.7%...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Zumiez Raises EPS Outlook Despite Mixed Holiday Sales
Positive
Jan 12, 2026
Zumiez Inc. reported that for the nine-week 2025 holiday period ended January 3, 2026, comparable sales rose 2.9% year over year, with North America delivering a strong 6.5% comp increase while international markets, including Europe and Australia...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.