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Carter's (CRI)
NYSE:CRI
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Carter's (CRI) AI Stock Analysis

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CRI

Carter's

(NYSE:CRI)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$31.00
▲(7.12% Upside)
Carter's stock score reflects a mix of strengths and challenges. The low P/E ratio and high dividend yield suggest potential undervaluation, while technical indicators show short-term bullish momentum. However, financial performance concerns, particularly in cash flow and leverage, along with earnings call highlights of tariff impacts and profitability challenges, weigh on the overall score.

Carter's (CRI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Carter's Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCarter's, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, sources, and markets branded childrenswear under the Carter's, OshKosh, Skip Hop, Child of Mine, Just One You, Simple Joys, Carter's My First Love, little planet, and other brands in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments: U.S. Retail, U.S. Wholesale, and International. Its Carter's products include babies and young children products, such as bodysuits, pants, dresses, knit sets, blankets, layette essentials, bibs, booties, sleep and play products, rompers, and jumpers; and OshKosh brand products comprise playclothes, such as denim apparel products with multiple wash treatments and coordinating garments, overalls, woven bottoms, knit tops, and bodysuits. The company also provides products for playtime, travel, mealtime, bathtime, and homegear, as well as kid's bags and diaper bags under the Skip Hop brand. In addition, it offers bedding, cribs, diaper bags, footwear, gift sets, hair accessories, jewelry, outerwear, paper goods, socks, shoes, swimwear, and toys. The company operates 18,800 wholesale locations, including department stores, national chain stores, and specialty stores. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 980 retail stores. The company also sells its products through its eCommerce websites, such as carters.com, oshkoshbgosh.com, oshkosh.com, and skiphop.com, as well as other international wholesale accounts and licensees. Carter's, Inc. was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyCarter's generates revenue primarily through the sale of its children's clothing and accessories across multiple channels. The company's key revenue streams include direct sales from its branded retail stores and online platforms, which have increasingly contributed to its income as e-commerce continues to grow. Additionally, Carter's benefits from wholesale partnerships by selling its products to other retailers, expanding its reach to a larger customer base. Seasonal collections and promotional campaigns also play a significant role in driving sales. The company's strong brand recognition and customer loyalty, coupled with strategic marketing efforts, further enhance its earnings potential.

Carter's Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 25, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mix of positive developments in revenue growth, particularly in the international and baby segments, alongside challenges such as significant tariff impacts and decreased profitability. There are strategic initiatives underway to address these issues, including brand expansion and pricing adjustments. However, the pressure from tariffs and increased expenses temper the overall outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Sales Growth
Second quarter sales of $585 million represented growth of 4% over last year, driven by U.S. Retail and International segments.
International Segment Success
International sales grew by $11 million, with Canada posting a +8% comp and Mexico +19% comp, showing strong performance in this segment.
Baby Category Performance
Carter's baby category sales continue to accelerate for the fourth straight quarter with +5% growth in Q1 and +10% in Q2 versus last year.
New Brand Launches
Launch of new brands such as Little Planet, which grew its consumer base by 50%, and the introduction of Otter Avenue, aimed at toddlers.
Negative Updates
Tariff Impact
Incremental baseline tariffs are expected to have a significant impact, with an estimated gross additional tariff amount between $125 million and $150 million on an annualized basis.
Decreased Profitability
Adjusted operating income in the second quarter was $12 million, representing a significant decline compared to last year, with adjusted earnings per share at $0.17 compared to $0.76 last year.
SG&A Expenses Increase
Adjusted SG&A in the second quarter increased by $26 million to $273 million, primarily due to higher store-related expenses and increased performance-based compensation.
Higher Tax Rate
Effective tax rate in the quarter was unusually high at approximately 74% due to stock option expirations and a new global minimum tax rate in Hong Kong.
Company Guidance
During the Carter's Second Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance that reflects a cautious optimism about future performance amidst ongoing challenges. Carter's reported second-quarter sales of $585 million, marking a 4% year-over-year increase driven primarily by their U.S. Retail and International segments. However, adjusted operating income declined to $12 million, with an adjusted operating margin of 2%. The company faced headwinds from tariffs, which impacted the gross margin by approximately $2 million in Q2 and are expected to have a more significant impact moving forward. Adjusted SG&A expenses rose by 10% to $273 million, partly due to higher store-related expenses. Despite these challenges, Carter's outlined plans to mitigate costs through price increases, sourcing diversification, and operational efficiencies, while also emphasizing long-term investments in demand creation and product innovation to drive sustainable and profitable growth. The company did not reinstate guidance due to tariff uncertainties but remains focused on leveraging its market leadership and brand strength for future success.

Carter's Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Carter's financial statements indicate challenges in revenue growth and profitability, with high leverage posing potential risks. Operational efficiency is evident, but the decline in cash flow growth and high debt levels are concerning. The company should focus on improving revenue growth and managing its debt to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Carter's shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data indicates a slight decline in revenue and profit margins compared to previous years. The gross profit margin remains stable, but the net profit margin has decreased, reflecting challenges in maintaining profitability. Revenue growth has been negative, indicating potential market challenges or competitive pressures. However, the company maintains a reasonable EBIT and EBITDA margin, suggesting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a moderate financial position with a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage. However, the return on equity remains healthy, suggesting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a balanced asset structure. The company should focus on managing its debt levels to reduce financial risk.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Carter's cash flow statement shows a decline in free cash flow growth, which is a concern for future liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is below 1, indicating potential challenges in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains strong, suggesting that the company is still generating sufficient cash relative to its net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.83B2.84B2.95B3.21B3.49B3.02B
Gross Profit1.34B1.37B1.40B1.47B1.66B1.31B
EBITDA256.28M320.07M400.35M455.01M592.69M328.90M
Net Income135.59M185.51M232.50M250.04M339.75M109.72M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.46B2.43B2.38B2.44B3.20B3.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments338.18M412.93M351.21M211.75M984.29M1.10B
Total Debt1.12B1.13B1.08B1.18B1.57B1.73B
Total Liabilities1.60B1.58B1.53B1.64B2.25B2.45B
Stockholders Equity853.90M854.56M845.25M796.41M950.19M938.03M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow140.36M242.62M469.27M48.00M230.82M557.02M
Operating Cash Flow198.76M298.79M529.13M88.36M268.26M589.89M
Investing Cash Flow-58.40M-56.16M-59.86M-40.36M-32.44M-32.87M
Financing Cash Flow-118.28M-174.82M-332.64M-819.27M-352.71M324.84M

Carter's Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price28.94
Price Trends
50DMA
28.14
Positive
100DMA
30.43
Negative
200DMA
38.85
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.49
Negative
RSI
61.28
Neutral
STOCH
73.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CRI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 28.94 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.04, above the 50-day MA of 28.14, and below the 200-day MA of 38.85, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.49 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CRI.

Carter's Risk Analysis

Carter's disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Carter's reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Carter's Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$3.04B14.8743.13%6.61%1.62%-2.57%
75
Outperform
$3.17B17.6712.17%2.78%-2.73%-16.71%
72
Outperform
$2.06B14.2926.29%2.30%8.85%
68
Neutral
$1.05B7.6815.95%7.26%-1.46%-41.93%
61
Neutral
$18.02B12.77-0.74%3.01%1.30%-13.03%
49
Neutral
$2.29B194.63-13.84%-3.58%-4.20%
47
Neutral
$139.66M-521.67%-12.08%93.16%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CRI
Carter's
28.94
-36.46
-55.75%
AEO
American Eagle
18.00
-0.40
-2.17%
BKE
Buckle
59.04
20.82
54.47%
FL
Foot Locker
24.01
-0.22
-0.91%
PLCE
Children's Place
6.47
-2.63
-28.90%
VSCO
Victoria's Secret
25.54
4.36
20.59%

Carter's Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Carter’s Announces Departure of Chief Product Officer
Neutral
Aug 18, 2025

Carter’s, Inc. announced the departure of Chief Product Officer Kendra D. Krugman as part of an organizational restructuring to enhance decision-making and competitiveness, effective October 21, 2025. Additionally, the company decided to terminate its Deferred Compensation Plan due to low participation and administrative complexity, transitioning to a Safe Harbor 401(k) Plan, with the plan termination effective September 30, 2025.

Dividends
Carter’s Announces Quarterly Dividend of $0.25 Per Share
Positive
Aug 14, 2025

On August 14, 2025, Carter’s, Inc. announced a quarterly dividend of $0.25 per share, payable on September 12, 2025, to shareholders of record as of August 26, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders and is subject to future business conditions and financial performance, as determined by the Board of Directors.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Carter’s Board Member Hali Borenstein to Step Down
Neutral
Jul 11, 2025

On July 8, 2025, Hali Borenstein, a member of Carter’s, Inc. Board of Directors, announced she will not seek re-election at the 2026 annual shareholders’ meeting. Her decision is not due to any disagreements with the company but to focus on her role as CEO of Reformation LLC and her family. Ms. Borenstein will continue her duties on the Board until the meeting in 2026, and the company expressed gratitude for her service.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 04, 2025