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The Cato Corporation (CATO)
NYSE:CATO
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The Cato (CATO) AI Stock Analysis

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CATO

The Cato

(NYSE:CATO)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▲(0.29% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/10/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial consistency (still negative operating profitability and negative/volatile free cash flow) and a very high P/E multiple. Technicals are somewhat supportive with the stock trading above key moving averages, and recent company news reflects improved near-term profitability, though partly helped by a one-time item and with noted consumer-demand headwinds.
Positive Factors
Revenue rebound and narrowing losses
A sustained revenue rebound and materially narrowed losses indicate the business is regaining demand traction and operating discipline. Over the next several months this trend improves the odds of reaching consistent profitability, reduces cash burn pressure and supports reinvestment in merchandising and e-commerce.
Negative Factors
Operating profitability still negative
Persisting negative operating margins and razor-thin EBITDA leave limited room to absorb sales softness or cost inflation. Until margins convert to sustainable positive operating profitability, the company remains vulnerable to revenue fluctuations and may need recurring cost actions that impair long-term growth and competitiveness.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue rebound and narrowing losses
A sustained revenue rebound and materially narrowed losses indicate the business is regaining demand traction and operating discipline. Over the next several months this trend improves the odds of reaching consistent profitability, reduces cash burn pressure and supports reinvestment in merchandising and e-commerce.
Read all positive factors

The Cato (CATO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

The Cato Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
The Cato Corporation, encompassing its subsidiary entities, operates as a specialized vendor of fashionable clothing and accompanying accessories, with its primary market centered in the southeastern region of the United States. Its business model...
How the Company Makes Money
Cato generates revenue primarily by selling apparel, shoes, and fashion accessories directly to consumers. Its main revenue streams are (1) in-store retail sales across its branded store formats and (2) online sales through its e-commerce operatio...

The Cato Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TTM results show a clear operational rebound (revenue up ~13% and losses narrowing toward break-even), but profitability remains weak with negative operating margin and only a thin EBITDA margin. Cash flow is still a concern: operating cash flow recently turned positive, yet free cash flow remains negative and volatile. Balance sheet leverage is manageable (debt under 1x equity), but ROE is negative and equity has trended down versus earlier years.
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Balance Sheet
53
Neutral
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
BreakdownTTMJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue654.67M653.81M649.81M708.06M759.26M769.27M
Gross Profit216.44M212.28M203.55M233.88M238.52M303.85M
EBITDA7.75M2.49M-6.24M-3.90M12.94M51.39M
Net Income-228.00K-5.91M-18.61M-22.59M41.00K34.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets439.18M421.42M452.36M486.82M553.14M633.77M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments83.64M76.32M77.70M102.95M128.66M165.76M
Total Debt145.03M150.45M145.90M153.12M174.77M184.33M
Total Liabilities272.48M264.11M290.06M294.50M326.55M379.57M
Stockholders Equity166.71M157.31M162.30M192.32M226.59M254.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.09M-5.22M-27.62M-12.05M-6.06M55.68M
Operating Cash Flow2.72M-1.46M-19.75M477.00K13.37M59.79M
Investing Cash Flow-8.44M-1.30M28.96M19.78M16.02M-25.33M
Financing Cash Flow-212.00K-851.00K-14.05M-16.13M-29.28M-31.80M

The Cato Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.49
Price Trends
50DMA
3.14
Positive
100DMA
3.04
Positive
200DMA
3.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
60.93
Neutral
STOCH
56.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CATO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.26, above the 50-day MA of 3.14, and above the 200-day MA of 3.30, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CATO.

The Cato Risk Analysis

The Cato disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. The Cato reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

The Cato Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
$158.85M-12.46-6.80%-8.42%79.65%
58
Neutral
$127.44M-40.30-3.98%1.69%93.35%
47
Neutral
$67.26M343.50-0.14%1.82%
47
Neutral
$24.85M-5.17-326.53%-8.96%83.08%
45
Neutral
$35.00M-0.86-32.66%-5.30%-1323.39%
44
Neutral
$111.84M0.52-33.43%16.39%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CATO
The Cato
3.47
0.35
11.22%
TLYS
Tilly's
4.12
2.65
180.27%
DXLG
Destination XL
0.62
-0.58
-48.33%
DLTH
Duluth Holdings
4.03
1.94
92.82%
RENT
Rent the Runway
3.35
-1.13
-25.22%
LVLU
Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings
8.64
3.96
84.62%

The Cato Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial DisclosuresShareholder Meetings
The Cato Shareholders Approve Proposals at Annual Meeting
Positive
May 26, 2026
The Cato Corporation reported a sharp improvement in profitability for the first quarter ended May 2, 2026, with net income rising to $9.3 million, or $0.47 per diluted share, from $3.3 million, or $0.17 per share, a year earlier, on sales that in...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 10, 2026