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Rent The Runway, Inc. (RENT)
:RENT
US Market

Rent the Runway (RENT) AI Stock Analysis

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RENT

Rent the Runway

(NASDAQ:RENT)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$7.00
▲(41.70% Upside)
Rent the Runway's stock score is primarily impacted by its financial instability, with high debt and negative cash flow being major concerns. However, positive technical indicators and optimistic earnings call guidance provide some upside potential.
Positive Factors
Debt Reduction
Significant debt reduction and extended maturity enhance financial stability, providing more flexibility for strategic investments and growth.
Subscriber Growth
Strong subscriber growth indicates increasing market penetration and customer retention, supporting long-term revenue expansion.
Revenue Growth
Robust revenue growth reflects successful execution of business strategies and increased demand for services, bolstering future financial performance.
Negative Factors
Negative Free Cash Flow
Persistent negative free cash flow indicates ongoing liquidity challenges, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Decreased Gross Margins
Declining gross margins suggest rising costs and pricing pressures, which could erode profitability if not managed effectively.
High Debt Levels
High debt levels relative to equity pose a risk to financial health, potentially constraining future borrowing capacity and investment.

Rent the Runway (RENT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rent the Runway Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRent the Runway (RENT) is a leading online fashion rental service that allows customers to lease designer apparel and accessories for a fraction of the retail price. Founded in 2009, the company operates primarily in the fashion and e-commerce sectors, providing a sustainable alternative to fast fashion by enabling users to rent outfits for special occasions or everyday wear. Its core offerings include a subscription model for a rotating selection of clothing and accessories, as well as one-time rental options for specific events.
How the Company Makes MoneyRent the Runway generates revenue primarily through its subscription and rental services. The subscription model allows customers to pay a monthly fee for access to a rotating closet of designer fashion, which is a key revenue stream. Additionally, the company earns money through one-time rentals, where customers can rent items for specific occasions without committing to a subscription. Rent the Runway also benefits from partnerships with various fashion designers and brands, enhancing its inventory and attracting a diverse customer base. The company may also generate revenue through additional services such as clothing cleaning and insurance options, further diversifying its income streams.

Rent the Runway Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Subscriber Breakdown
Subscriber Breakdown
Provides a detailed look at the composition of subscribers, revealing trends in customer acquisition, retention, and the overall health of the subscription model.
Chart InsightsRent the Runway's subscriber metrics show fluctuations, but the latest earnings call reveals a strategic pivot with a record high in active subscribers, driven by inventory expansion and new features. Despite a revenue dip and financial challenges, the company is optimistic about its transformation strategy, aiming for double-digit subscriber growth and improved retention. This focus on enhancing product offerings and customer engagement could stabilize and potentially boost future performance, even as they navigate current financial hurdles.
Data provided by:The Fly

Rent the Runway Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 15, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a generally positive outlook with strong subscriber and revenue growth, reduced debt, and enhancements in customer experience. However, challenges remain with decreased gross margins, higher operating expenses, and negative free cash flow.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Debt Reduction and Recapitalization
The company successfully reduced its total debt from approximately $319 million to approximately $120 million and extended the maturity to 2029, following a strategic recapitalization with new capital from two private equity firms.
Subscriber Growth
Ending active subscribers grew by 12% year-over-year, reaching 148,916. Average active subscribers increased by 12.9% year-over-year, indicating strong subscriber growth.
Revenue Growth
The company reported a 15.4% increase in total revenue in Q3 2025, amounting to $87.6 million, with expectations of 11% to 14% year-over-year revenue growth in Q4.
Improved Customer Engagement
Net Promoter Score increased by 43% year-over-year, and customer engagement metrics such as visits and heart rates are up, with average active subscribers visiting the app 34% more year-over-year.
Enhanced Inventory and Customer Experience
Inventory-related cancellations decreased by nearly 30% year-over-year, and the company introduced several features to enhance customer experience, resulting in a 57% increase in engagement with the app's new homepage.
Negative Updates
Decreased Gross Margins
Gross margins decreased from 34.7% in Q3 2024 to 29.6% in Q3 2025, primarily due to higher revenue share costs from increased inventory levels.
Higher Operating Expenses
Operating expenses increased by 7% year-over-year, mainly due to higher employee expenses, although they decreased as a percentage of revenue.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow was negative $13.6 million in Q3 2025, compared to negative $3.4 million in Q3 2024, due to lower adjusted EBITDA and higher inventory purchases.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, Rent the Runway, Inc. provided optimistic guidance, highlighting significant progress in financial and operational metrics. The company reduced its total debt from approximately $319 million to $120 million, extended its maturity to 2029, and is on track for 11% to 14% year-over-year revenue growth in Q4, compared to 1% in Q4 2024. Q3 saw a 12.4% increase in active subscribers year-over-year, with total revenue rising by 15.4% to $87.6 million. Despite a price increase in August, customer retention and acquisition improved, with inventory-related cancellations down nearly 30% year-over-year in Q3. The Net Promoter Score increased by 43% year-over-year, while the average subscriber visited the app 34% more times, and parts per subscriber rose by 15%. However, the adjusted EBITDA margin decreased to 4.9% of revenue due to higher revenue share expenses, and free cash flow was negative $13.6 million. For fiscal year 2025, the company expects revenue to range between $323.1 million and $325.1 million, with adjusted EBITDA margins between 4.9-5.5% of revenue.

Rent the Runway Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rent the Runway's financial performance is concerning, with significant revenue growth overshadowed by negative profitability metrics, high leverage, and cash flow challenges. The negative equity and high debt-to-equity ratio pose substantial risks to financial stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Rent the Runway's income statement reveals significant challenges. The company has experienced a substantial revenue growth rate of 66.5% in the TTM, indicating strong top-line growth. However, profitability remains a concern with a negative net profit margin of -24.6% and an EBIT margin of -16.9%. The gross profit margin is relatively healthy at 72.5%, but the consistent net losses highlight ongoing operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet shows a precarious financial position. The company has a negative stockholders' equity, leading to a concerning debt-to-equity ratio of -1.86 in the TTM. This high leverage poses a risk to financial stability. The return on equity is positive at 42.8%, but this is due to the negative equity base rather than operational success. The equity ratio is negative, indicating that liabilities exceed assets.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates ongoing cash management issues. The free cash flow is negative, and the free cash flow growth rate is -46.56% in the TTM, reflecting deteriorating cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.23, suggesting limited cash conversion efficiency. The negative free cash flow to net income ratio of -2.63 further underscores cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue314.50M306.20M298.20M296.40M203.30M157.50M
Gross Profit227.40M223.40M119.70M204.20M69.70M-23.50M
EBITDA36.40M76.80M25.70M-4.70M-67.20M-58.20M
Net Income10.60M-69.90M-113.20M-138.70M-211.80M-171.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets231.00M240.00M278.50M336.20M447.50M320.70M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments50.70M77.40M84.00M154.50M247.60M95.30M
Total Debt42.40M380.80M356.60M315.20M312.80M414.20M
Total Liabilities266.10M422.50M400.80M371.50M376.40M847.40M
Stockholders Equity-35.10M-182.50M-122.30M-35.30M71.10M-526.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-14.40M-40.70M-98.20M-118.70M-83.40M-121.50M
Operating Cash Flow-2.20M12.90M-15.70M-47.70M-42.30M-42.80M
Investing Cash Flow-42.20M-20.10M-54.60M-44.30M-22.50M-58.40M
Financing Cash Flow20.70M-300.00K700.00K-4.00M215.20M168.50M

Rent the Runway Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.94
Price Trends
50DMA
4.68
Positive
100DMA
4.65
Positive
200DMA
4.59
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.42
Negative
RSI
69.90
Neutral
STOCH
74.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RENT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.94 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.01, above the 50-day MA of 4.68, and above the 200-day MA of 4.59, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RENT.

Rent the Runway Risk Analysis

Rent the Runway disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rent the Runway reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rent the Runway Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$4.17B25.8731.50%2.97%9.85%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
54
Neutral
$213.08M2.91%94.12%
54
Neutral
$727.36M-14.67%-0.08%73.05%
48
Neutral
$57.90M-34.77%-8.31%36.10%
48
Neutral
$12.37M-0.25-195.23%-12.10%-44.14%
45
Neutral
$112.06M-7.33%-114.80%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RENT
Rent the Runway
6.65
-1.01
-13.19%
TLYS
Tilly's
1.91
-1.54
-44.64%
SFIX
Stitch Fix
5.48
1.44
35.64%
CURV
Torrid Holdings
1.03
-3.24
-75.88%
VSCO
Victoria's Secret
54.49
8.60
18.74%
LVLU
Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings
5.21
-10.87
-67.60%

Rent the Runway Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Rent the Runway Completes Major Recapitalization Efforts
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Rent the Runway completed significant recapitalization transactions aimed at enhancing its financial stability by reducing debt and extending debt maturity. The recapitalization involved converting debt into equity and securing additional capital, which positions the company to focus on growth and customer service. The restructuring also led to changes in the board of directors, aligning with the company’s strategic goals. The transactions are expected to support Rent the Runway’s mission to innovate in the fashion rental market and maintain its position as a leader in the industry.

Shareholder MeetingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Rent the Runway Shareholder Meeting Approves Key Proposals
Neutral
Oct 22, 2025

Rent the Runway held a Special Meeting on September 23, 2025, where shareholders voted on several proposals related to the company’s stock and corporate governance. The meeting resulted in the approval of key items, including the issuance of shares of Class A Common Stock upon the Term Loan Conversion, the Rights Offering Backstop Agreement, and amendments to the 2021 Plan and the company’s Certificate of Incorporation. These approvals are significant for Rent the Runway’s compliance with Nasdaq Listing Rules and its strategic financial maneuvers.

Private Placements and Financing
Rent the Runway Announces $12.5 Million Rights Offering
Neutral
Oct 7, 2025

On October 7, 2025, Rent the Runway, Inc. announced a $12.5 million rights offering. Shareholders as of October 6, 2025, received rights to purchase additional shares, potentially impacting the company’s capital structure and market positioning.

Private Placements and Financing
Rent the Runway Announces $12.5M Rights Offering
Neutral
Sep 25, 2025

On September 24, 2025, Rent the Runway, Inc. announced a record date of October 6, 2025, for a $12,500,000 rights offering. This offering will allow holders of Class A and Class B common stock to purchase additional shares at a set price, potentially impacting the company’s market position and providing capital for future operations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 13, 2025