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Rent The Runway, Inc. (RENT)
:RENT
US Market
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Rent the Runway (RENT) AI Stock Analysis

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RENT

Rent the Runway

(NASDAQ:RENT)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▲(3.93% Upside)
Rent the Runway's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance and unfavorable valuation metrics. The company's significant revenue growth is overshadowed by profitability challenges, high leverage, and cash flow issues. Technical analysis indicates a lack of positive momentum, further contributing to the low score.
Positive Factors
Subscriber Growth
Record subscriber growth indicates strong demand and customer loyalty, which can drive sustained revenue and market presence over the long term.
Inventory Expansion
Significant inventory expansion enhances product variety and customer satisfaction, supporting retention and attracting new subscribers.
Innovative Product Features
Innovative product features improve user experience and reduce churn, contributing to long-term customer retention and competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow indicates cash management challenges, which can constrain growth initiatives and financial flexibility over time.
High Leverage
High leverage and negative equity pose risks to financial stability, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth and manage economic downturns.
Decline in Total Revenue
A decline in total revenue reflects challenges in maintaining sales momentum, which could hinder profitability and long-term growth prospects if not addressed.

Rent the Runway (RENT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rent the Runway Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRent the Runway (RENT) is a leading online clothing rental service that allows customers to rent high-end designer apparel and accessories for a fraction of the retail price. Founded in 2009, the company operates in the fashion technology sector and offers a variety of products including dresses, tops, bottoms, and handbags for special occasions, everyday wear, and work attire. With a subscription model and a pay-per-rental option, Rent the Runway aims to provide a more sustainable and accessible approach to fashion for women.
How the Company Makes MoneyRent the Runway generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily its subscription service and individual rental transactions. The subscription model allows customers to pay a monthly fee to access a rotating selection of designer items, which encourages repeat business and customer loyalty. Additionally, the company earns revenue from one-time rental transactions where customers can rent items without committing to a subscription. Rent the Runway also benefits from partnerships with designers and brands, which not only increases its inventory but also helps in marketing and brand visibility. Furthermore, the company may generate income through its retail sales of used items and exclusive collections, as well as through potential collaborations with fashion influencers and events that increase brand exposure.

Rent the Runway Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Subscriber Breakdown
Subscriber Breakdown
Provides a detailed look at the composition of subscribers, revealing trends in customer acquisition, retention, and the overall health of the subscription model.
Chart InsightsRent the Runway's subscriber metrics show fluctuations, but the latest earnings call reveals a strategic pivot with a record high in active subscribers, driven by inventory expansion and new features. Despite a revenue dip and financial challenges, the company is optimistic about its transformation strategy, aiming for double-digit subscriber growth and improved retention. This focus on enhancing product offerings and customer engagement could stabilize and potentially boost future performance, even as they navigate current financial hurdles.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Rent the Runway Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 11, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong subscriber growth and customer retention, bolstered by significant inventory expansion and product innovations. However, the financials showed challenges with declining revenue and negative cash flow. The strategic focus on inventory and customer experience is showing positive results, but the financial impact remains a concern.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Subscriber Growth
Rent the Runway, Inc. ended Q1 2025 with over 147,000 active subscribers, the highest number of ending subscribers at the end of a quarter in company history, indicating a return to subscriber growth.
Strongest Quarterly Customer Retention
The company experienced the strongest quarterly customer retention in four years, with improved churn rates for both early-term and long-term subscribers.
Significant Inventory Expansion
Q1 2025 inventory volume received was up 24% year over year with 36 new brands and over 1,000 new styles launched, increasing customer engagement.
Innovative Product Features
New features such as back-in-stock notifications and personalized styling support were introduced, leading to significant reductions in churn rates.
Increased Social Media Engagement
The engagement rate on social channels is up 163% since the launch of a new marketing strategy in April and May.
Negative Updates
Decline in Total Revenue
Total revenue for Q1 2025 was $69.6 million, down 7.2% year over year and 8.9% quarter over quarter, attributed to higher promotional spending and lower average subscribers.
Negative Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 was negative $1.3 million, a decrease from $6.5 million in Q1 2024, primarily due to lower revenue and higher revenue share expenses.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow for Q1 2025 was negative $6.4 million, compared to negative $1.4 million in Q1 2024, due to lower adjusted EBITDA and higher purchases of rental product.
Higher Fulfillment Costs
Fulfillment costs in Q1 2025 were 29.3% of revenue, up from 27.5% in Q1 2024, primarily due to higher transportation costs.
Company Guidance
During Rent the Runway, Inc.'s 2025 Q1 earnings call, the company provided guidance highlighting significant growth and strategic investments in inventory and customer experience. The company reported ending the quarter with over 147,000 active subscribers, marking a record high for the end of a quarter, and a 1% year-over-year increase in ending active subscribers. Despite a 7.2% year-over-year decline in total revenue to $69.6 million, the company emphasized its largest-ever investment in new inventory, with Q1 inventory volume up 24% year over year. Key metrics included a 23% higher share of use and a 46% increase in customer engagement with new styles. Looking ahead, Rent the Runway plans to increase new inventory receipts by over 420% year-over-year in Q2 and anticipates a 134% year-over-year rise for the rest of 2025. The company also outlined plans to launch over 40 new brands and introduce more personalized customer experiences to reduce churn, which has already improved significantly, with a 27% reduction in first-month churn when subscribers engage with stylists. Despite a negative adjusted EBITDA of $1.3 million, the company remains optimistic about achieving double-digit growth in ending active subscribers for the fiscal year, with continued investments expected to enhance customer retention and acquisition.

Rent the Runway Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rent the Runway's financial performance is concerning. Despite strong revenue growth, the company faces significant profitability challenges with negative net profit and EBIT margins. The balance sheet is weak, with negative equity and high leverage, posing financial stability risks. Cash flow issues further highlight operational inefficiencies.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Rent the Runway's income statement reveals significant challenges. The company has experienced a substantial revenue growth rate of 66.5% in the TTM, indicating strong top-line growth. However, profitability remains a concern with a negative net profit margin of -24.6% and an EBIT margin of -16.9%. The gross profit margin is relatively healthy at 72.5%, but the consistent net losses highlight ongoing operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
25
Negative
The balance sheet shows a precarious financial position. The company has a negative stockholders' equity, leading to a concerning debt-to-equity ratio of -1.86 in the TTM. This high leverage poses a risk to financial stability. The return on equity is positive at 42.8%, but this is due to the negative equity base rather than operational success. The equity ratio is negative, indicating that liabilities exceed assets.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates ongoing cash management issues. The free cash flow is negative, and the free cash flow growth rate is -46.56% in the TTM, reflecting deteriorating cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.23, suggesting limited cash conversion efficiency. The negative free cash flow to net income ratio of -2.63 further underscores cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue302.80M306.20M298.20M296.40M203.30M157.50M
Gross Profit218.30M223.40M119.70M204.20M69.70M-23.50M
EBITDA67.60M76.80M25.70M-4.70M-67.20M-58.20M
Net Income-84.80M-69.90M-113.20M-138.70M-211.80M-171.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets219.00M240.00M278.50M336.20M447.50M320.70M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments43.60M77.40M84.00M154.50M247.60M95.30M
Total Debt43.50M380.80M356.60M315.20M312.80M414.20M
Total Liabilities451.10M422.50M400.80M371.50M376.40M847.40M
Stockholders Equity-232.10M-182.50M-122.30M-35.30M71.10M-526.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-23.30M-40.70M-98.20M-118.70M-83.40M-121.50M
Operating Cash Flow3.90M12.90M-15.70M-47.70M-42.30M-42.80M
Investing Cash Flow-38.10M-20.10M-54.60M-44.30M-22.50M-58.40M
Financing Cash Flow-200.00K-300.00K700.00K-4.00M215.20M168.50M

Rent the Runway Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.33
Price Trends
50DMA
4.64
Negative
100DMA
4.55
Negative
200DMA
4.77
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.20
Positive
RSI
44.19
Neutral
STOCH
28.45
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RENT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.30, below the 50-day MA of 4.64, and below the 200-day MA of 4.77, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.20 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RENT.

Rent the Runway Risk Analysis

Rent the Runway disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rent the Runway reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rent the Runway Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$2.81B19.5826.29%2.30%8.85%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
55
Neutral
$564.61M-14.79%-5.26%79.25%
47
Neutral
$12.37M-0.25-187.85%-10.68%-74.47%
42
Neutral
$119.00M36.86-5.76%-75.71%
41
Neutral
$42.97M-43.51%-11.10%-10.31%
41
Neutral
$28.45M0.20%18.30%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RENT
Rent the Runway
4.05
-5.01
-55.30%
TLYS
Tilly's
1.40
-2.64
-65.35%
SFIX
Stitch Fix
4.34
0.50
13.02%
CURV
Torrid Holdings
1.15
-2.90
-71.60%
VSCO
Victoria's Secret
34.99
-0.79
-2.21%
LVLU
Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings
4.51
-20.99
-82.31%

Rent the Runway Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Rent the Runway Shareholder Meeting Approves Key Proposals
Neutral
Oct 22, 2025

Rent the Runway held a Special Meeting on September 23, 2025, where shareholders voted on several proposals related to the company’s stock and corporate governance. The meeting resulted in the approval of key items, including the issuance of shares of Class A Common Stock upon the Term Loan Conversion, the Rights Offering Backstop Agreement, and amendments to the 2021 Plan and the company’s Certificate of Incorporation. These approvals are significant for Rent the Runway’s compliance with Nasdaq Listing Rules and its strategic financial maneuvers.

The most recent analyst rating on (RENT) stock is a Hold with a $4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rent the Runway stock, see the RENT Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Rent the Runway Announces $12.5 Million Rights Offering
Neutral
Oct 7, 2025

On October 7, 2025, Rent the Runway, Inc. announced a $12.5 million rights offering. Shareholders as of October 6, 2025, received rights to purchase additional shares, potentially impacting the company’s capital structure and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (RENT) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rent the Runway stock, see the RENT Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Rent the Runway Announces $12.5M Rights Offering
Neutral
Sep 25, 2025

On September 24, 2025, Rent the Runway, Inc. announced a record date of October 6, 2025, for a $12,500,000 rights offering. This offering will allow holders of Class A and Class B common stock to purchase additional shares at a set price, potentially impacting the company’s market position and providing capital for future operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (RENT) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rent the Runway stock, see the RENT Stock Forecast page.

Rent the Runway Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Sep 12, 2025

Rent the Runway, Inc., a pioneer in the fashion rental industry, offers women the opportunity to rent, subscribe, and shop for designer apparel through its innovative ‘Closet in the Cloud’ platform. In its latest earnings report, Rent the Runway announced a transformative recapitalization plan aimed at reducing debt and injecting capital into the business, alongside a notable increase in active subscribers and customer satisfaction. The company reported a 13.4% year-over-year increase in active subscribers and a significant improvement in customer engagement metrics, despite a net loss of $26.4 million for the quarter. Key highlights include a strategic recapitalization plan to reduce debt from $340 million to $120 million, an expanded inventory strategy, and increased customer engagement with new inventory. The company also launched new brand collaborations and adjusted subscription prices to address inflationary pressures. Looking ahead, Rent the Runway anticipates continued growth in active subscribers and aims to strengthen its financial position through strategic initiatives, despite potential economic uncertainties.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Rent the Runway Announces Recapitalization Agreement
Positive
Aug 21, 2025

On August 20, 2025, Rent the Runway entered into a recapitalization agreement aimed at enhancing its financial position by reducing debt, lowering interest expenses, and extending debt maturity. The transaction involves converting a significant portion of existing debt into common equity and receiving new capital contributions from partners APS, STORY3, and Nexus, which are expected to support the company’s growth initiatives. The recapitalization is anticipated to close by December 31, 2025, subject to stockholder approval, and aims to provide Rent the Runway with the financial flexibility needed to capitalize on the expanding rental market in the U.S.

The most recent analyst rating on (RENT) stock is a Hold with a $4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rent the Runway stock, see the RENT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 28, 2025