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Rent The Runway, Inc. (RENT)
NASDAQ:RENT
US Market

Rent the Runway (RENT) AI Stock Analysis

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RENT

Rent the Runway

(NASDAQ:RENT)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$5.50
▲(11.34% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/04/26
The score is held down mainly by weak financial health (negative equity/high leverage indicators, negative EBIT margin, and declining free cash flow) and bearish technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). These are partly offset by a more constructive earnings outlook (subscriber/revenue growth and improved guidance) and a liquidity-positive financing update.
Positive Factors
High gross margin
A 72.3% TTM gross margin signals durable unit economics and operational efficiency in core rental operations. High gross margins provide a structural buffer to cover fulfillment and styling costs, supporting scalability and margin recovery as customer mix and volumes improve over months.
Subscriber and revenue momentum
Consistent subscriber growth and multi-quarter revenue acceleration underpin a recurring-revenue business model. Rising active subscribers improve lifetime value and utilization of inventory, enabling better fixed-cost absorption and more predictable revenue over the medium term.
Debt reduction & extended maturity
Substantial deleveraging and extended debt maturity materially reduce refinancing risk and interest burden. This structural recapitalization increases financial flexibility to invest in inventory, customer experience and growth initiatives without immediate liquidity pressure.
Negative Factors
Weak balance sheet / negative equity
Negative equity and high leverage reflect structural capital weakness that limits strategic optionality. Persistent negative equity constrains ability to raise unsecured capital, increases cost of financing, and leaves the company vulnerable to shocks or slower-than-expected revenue persistence.
Operating profitability deficits
Sustained negative EBIT margins indicate the business still fails to cover operating costs from core operations. Until fixed and variable cost structure improves or scale benefits materialize, profitability deficits will pressure retained earnings and reinvestment capacity over the medium term.
Deteriorating free cash flow
Sharply declining FCF growth and negative operating cash conversion point to structural working capital and capex demands, especially inventory financing. Persistent negative FCF reduces internal funding for marketing and product improvement, increasing reliance on external financing.

Rent the Runway (RENT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rent the Runway Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRent the Runway, Inc. rents designer wear for women through its stores and online retail. The company offers ready-to-wear, workwear, denim, casual, maternity, outerwear, blouses, knitwear, loungewear, jewelry, handbags, activewear, ski wear, home goods, evening wear, and kids wear, as well as accessories. It also engages in the software development and support activities. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Brooklyn, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyRent the Runway generates revenue primarily through its subscription and rental services. The subscription model allows customers to pay a monthly fee for access to a rotating closet of designer fashion, which is a key revenue stream. Additionally, the company earns money through one-time rentals, where customers can rent items for specific occasions without committing to a subscription. Rent the Runway also benefits from partnerships with various fashion designers and brands, enhancing its inventory and attracting a diverse customer base. The company may also generate revenue through additional services such as clothing cleaning and insurance options, further diversifying its income streams.

Rent the Runway Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Subscriber Breakdown
Subscriber Breakdown
Provides a detailed look at the composition of subscribers, revealing trends in customer acquisition, retention, and the overall health of the subscription model.
Chart InsightsRent the Runway's subscriber metrics show fluctuating trends, with a recent uptick in average active subscribers reaching a peak in mid-2025. This suggests potential recovery and renewed customer engagement after a period of volatility. However, the decline in ending total subscribers in early 2025 highlights retention challenges. The absence of earnings call commentary leaves strategic responses to these shifts unclear, but the company may need to focus on enhancing customer retention strategies to sustain growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Rent the Runway Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 15, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a generally positive outlook with strong subscriber and revenue growth, reduced debt, and enhancements in customer experience. However, challenges remain with decreased gross margins, higher operating expenses, and negative free cash flow.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Debt Reduction and Recapitalization
The company successfully reduced its total debt from approximately $319 million to approximately $120 million and extended the maturity to 2029, following a strategic recapitalization with new capital from two private equity firms.
Subscriber Growth
Ending active subscribers grew by 12% year-over-year, reaching 148,916. Average active subscribers increased by 12.9% year-over-year, indicating strong subscriber growth.
Revenue Growth
The company reported a 15.4% increase in total revenue in Q3 2025, amounting to $87.6 million, with expectations of 11% to 14% year-over-year revenue growth in Q4.
Improved Customer Engagement
Net Promoter Score increased by 43% year-over-year, and customer engagement metrics such as visits and heart rates are up, with average active subscribers visiting the app 34% more year-over-year.
Enhanced Inventory and Customer Experience
Inventory-related cancellations decreased by nearly 30% year-over-year, and the company introduced several features to enhance customer experience, resulting in a 57% increase in engagement with the app's new homepage.
Negative Updates
Decreased Gross Margins
Gross margins decreased from 34.7% in Q3 2024 to 29.6% in Q3 2025, primarily due to higher revenue share costs from increased inventory levels.
Higher Operating Expenses
Operating expenses increased by 7% year-over-year, mainly due to higher employee expenses, although they decreased as a percentage of revenue.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow was negative $13.6 million in Q3 2025, compared to negative $3.4 million in Q3 2024, due to lower adjusted EBITDA and higher inventory purchases.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, Rent the Runway, Inc. provided optimistic guidance, highlighting significant progress in financial and operational metrics. The company reduced its total debt from approximately $319 million to $120 million, extended its maturity to 2029, and is on track for 11% to 14% year-over-year revenue growth in Q4, compared to 1% in Q4 2024. Q3 saw a 12.4% increase in active subscribers year-over-year, with total revenue rising by 15.4% to $87.6 million. Despite a price increase in August, customer retention and acquisition improved, with inventory-related cancellations down nearly 30% year-over-year in Q3. The Net Promoter Score increased by 43% year-over-year, while the average subscriber visited the app 34% more times, and parts per subscriber rose by 15%. However, the adjusted EBITDA margin decreased to 4.9% of revenue due to higher revenue share expenses, and free cash flow was negative $13.6 million. For fiscal year 2025, the company expects revenue to range between $323.1 million and $325.1 million, with adjusted EBITDA margins between 4.9-5.5% of revenue.

Rent the Runway Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong gross margin (72.31% TTM) and modest revenue growth (3.86% TTM) are outweighed by weak profitability (EBIT margin -14.88% TTM), negative equity/high leverage signals, and deteriorating free cash flow growth (-38.20% TTM).
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Rent the Runway shows a modest revenue growth rate of 3.86% TTM, indicating some positive momentum. However, profitability remains a challenge with a low net profit margin of 3.37% and negative EBIT margin of -14.88% TTM. The gross profit margin is strong at 72.31% TTM, suggesting efficient cost management. Despite improvements, the company struggles with consistent profitability.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant financial leverage with a negative debt-to-equity ratio of -1.21 TTM, indicating high debt levels relative to equity. The return on equity is negative, reflecting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is not available due to negative equity, highlighting financial instability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows a concerning decline in free cash flow growth at -38.20% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow issues. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 6.55 TTM, suggesting some ability to convert net income into free cash flow despite overall cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMJan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022Jan 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue314.50M306.20M298.20M296.40M203.30M157.50M
Gross Profit51.60M67.70M60.80M55.10M8.90M-23.50M
EBITDA174.90M76.80M25.70M-4.70M-67.20M-52.20M
Net Income10.60M-69.90M-113.20M-138.70M-211.80M-171.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets231.00M509.60M534.60M336.20M447.50M320.70M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments50.70M77.40M84.00M154.50M247.60M95.30M
Total Debt202.30M380.80M356.60M315.20M312.80M414.20M
Total Liabilities266.10M692.10M656.90M371.50M376.40M459.30M
Stockholders Equity-35.10M-182.50M-122.30M-35.30M71.10M-138.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-14.40M-40.70M-98.20M-118.70M-83.40M-121.50M
Operating Cash Flow-2.20M12.90M-15.70M-47.70M-42.30M-42.80M
Investing Cash Flow-42.20M-20.10M-54.60M-44.30M-22.50M-58.40M
Financing Cash Flow20.70M-300.00K700.00K-4.00M215.20M168.50M

Rent the Runway Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.94
Price Trends
50DMA
7.42
Negative
100DMA
6.11
Negative
200DMA
5.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.32
Positive
RSI
35.21
Neutral
STOCH
24.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RENT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.94 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.32, below the 50-day MA of 7.42, and below the 200-day MA of 5.46, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.32 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RENT.

Rent the Runway Risk Analysis

Rent the Runway disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rent the Runway reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rent the Runway Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$4.91B30.0031.50%2.97%9.85%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
55
Neutral
$43.32M-0.96-195.23%-12.10%-44.14%
49
Neutral
$434.80M-14.67-14.67%-0.08%73.05%
48
Neutral
$42.05M-1.22-34.77%-8.31%36.10%
45
Neutral
$192.00M-4.752.91%94.12%
45
Neutral
$102.17M-46.40-7.33%-114.80%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RENT
Rent the Runway
5.75
1.51
35.61%
TLYS
Tilly's
1.38
-2.69
-66.09%
SFIX
Stitch Fix
3.24
-1.16
-26.36%
CURV
Torrid Holdings
1.03
-4.76
-82.21%
VSCO
Victoria's Secret
61.18
37.80
161.68%
LVLU
Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings
15.63
5.96
61.63%

Rent the Runway Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Rent the Runway Amends Credit Agreement, Easing Liquidity Terms
Positive
Feb 3, 2026

On January 28, 2026, Rent the Runway, Inc. entered into a First Amendment to its Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with its lenders and administrative agent, CHS (US) Management LLC, originally dated October 28, 2025, to remove the minimum liquidity covenant from the facility. This change eases a key financial constraint on the company, potentially providing greater flexibility in managing its cash position and capital needs, which may affect how it navigates its financing strategy and short-term liquidity management.

The most recent analyst rating on (RENT) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rent the Runway stock, see the RENT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 04, 2026