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Rent the Runway (RENT)
NASDAQ:RENT
US Market
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Rent the Runway (RENT) AI Stock Analysis

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RENT

Rent the Runway

(NASDAQ:RENT)

Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$5.50
▼(-13.79% Downside)
Rent the Runway's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance, characterized by high leverage and negative cash flow. While technical analysis and valuation also reflect challenges, the company's strategic initiatives in subscriber growth and a recent recapitalization agreement offer some optimism for future improvement.
Positive Factors
Revenue Performance
Rent the Runway reported 2Q24 revenue and EBITDA above the high end of guidance while reiterating guidance for breakeven free cash flow for 2024.
Subscriber Growth
Reserve and resale both grew 20%+, indicating positive trends for new subscriber growth.
Negative Factors
Market Potential
The lack of subscriber growth suggests a smaller total addressable market than initially believed at the IPO.

Rent the Runway (RENT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rent the Runway Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRent the Runway, Inc. rents designer wear for women through its stores and online retail. The company offers ready-to-wear, workwear, denim, casual, maternity, outerwear, blouses, knitwear, loungewear, jewelry, handbags, activewear, ski wear, home goods, evening wear, and kids wear, as well as accessories. It also engages in the software development and support activities. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Brooklyn, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyRent the Runway generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily its subscription service and individual rental transactions. The subscription model allows customers to pay a monthly fee to access a rotating selection of designer items, which encourages repeat business and customer loyalty. Additionally, the company earns revenue from one-time rental transactions where customers can rent items without committing to a subscription. Rent the Runway also benefits from partnerships with designers and brands, which not only increases its inventory but also helps in marketing and brand visibility. Furthermore, the company may generate income through its retail sales of used items and exclusive collections, as well as through potential collaborations with fashion influencers and events that increase brand exposure.

Rent the Runway Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Revenue by Segment
Net Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business segments, highlighting which areas drive growth and profitability, and indicating potential shifts in strategic focus.
Chart InsightsRent the Runway's Subscription & Reserve Rental revenue shows a plateau after a period of growth, while the 'Others' segment is gaining momentum. Despite a recent revenue decline, the company is optimistic about future growth, driven by record subscriber numbers and enhanced inventory strategies. The significant investment in new inventory and brand expansion aims to improve retention and acquisition, potentially reversing the revenue dip. However, rising fulfillment costs and negative EBITDA highlight ongoing financial challenges that could impact profitability.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Rent the Runway Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 05, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong subscriber growth and customer retention, bolstered by significant inventory expansion and product innovations. However, the financials showed challenges with declining revenue and negative cash flow. The strategic focus on inventory and customer experience is showing positive results, but the financial impact remains a concern.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Subscriber Growth
Rent the Runway, Inc. ended Q1 2025 with over 147,000 active subscribers, the highest number of ending subscribers at the end of a quarter in company history, indicating a return to subscriber growth.
Strongest Quarterly Customer Retention
The company experienced the strongest quarterly customer retention in four years, with improved churn rates for both early-term and long-term subscribers.
Significant Inventory Expansion
Q1 2025 inventory volume received was up 24% year over year with 36 new brands and over 1,000 new styles launched, increasing customer engagement.
Innovative Product Features
New features such as back-in-stock notifications and personalized styling support were introduced, leading to significant reductions in churn rates.
Increased Social Media Engagement
The engagement rate on social channels is up 163% since the launch of a new marketing strategy in April and May.
Negative Updates
Decline in Total Revenue
Total revenue for Q1 2025 was $69.6 million, down 7.2% year over year and 8.9% quarter over quarter, attributed to higher promotional spending and lower average subscribers.
Negative Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 was negative $1.3 million, a decrease from $6.5 million in Q1 2024, primarily due to lower revenue and higher revenue share expenses.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow for Q1 2025 was negative $6.4 million, compared to negative $1.4 million in Q1 2024, due to lower adjusted EBITDA and higher purchases of rental product.
Higher Fulfillment Costs
Fulfillment costs in Q1 2025 were 29.3% of revenue, up from 27.5% in Q1 2024, primarily due to higher transportation costs.
Company Guidance
During Rent the Runway, Inc.'s 2025 Q1 earnings call, the company provided guidance highlighting significant growth and strategic investments in inventory and customer experience. The company reported ending the quarter with over 147,000 active subscribers, marking a record high for the end of a quarter, and a 1% year-over-year increase in ending active subscribers. Despite a 7.2% year-over-year decline in total revenue to $69.6 million, the company emphasized its largest-ever investment in new inventory, with Q1 inventory volume up 24% year over year. Key metrics included a 23% higher share of use and a 46% increase in customer engagement with new styles. Looking ahead, Rent the Runway plans to increase new inventory receipts by over 420% year-over-year in Q2 and anticipates a 134% year-over-year rise for the rest of 2025. The company also outlined plans to launch over 40 new brands and introduce more personalized customer experiences to reduce churn, which has already improved significantly, with a 27% reduction in first-month churn when subscribers engage with stylists. Despite a negative adjusted EBITDA of $1.3 million, the company remains optimistic about achieving double-digit growth in ending active subscribers for the fiscal year, with continued investments expected to enhance customer retention and acquisition.

Rent the Runway Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rent the Runway faces significant financial challenges with negative net income, a highly leveraged balance sheet, and weak cash flow performance. Despite a strong gross profit margin, the company's financial health is concerning due to high debt and negative equity.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company shows a strong gross profit margin of 72.56% TTM, but net profit margin remains negative at -24.61% TTM, indicating profitability challenges. Revenue growth is relatively flat with a 1.48% increase over the last two years. The negative EBIT margin of -16.92% TTM reflects operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet shows significant financial leverage with a negative stockholders' equity of -$207.1 million TTM and a high debt-to-equity ratio due to negative equity, signifying financial instability. The equity ratio is also negative, indicating potential solvency issues.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
The company has improved operating cash flow with a positive operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.22 TTM. However, free cash flow remains negative, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, highlighting cash generation challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue300.80M306.20M298.20M296.40M203.30M157.50M
Gross Profit218.20M223.40M119.70M204.20M69.70M-23.50M
EBITDA70.00M72.70M25.70M-4.70M-67.20M-52.20M
Net Income-74.00M-69.90M-113.20M-138.70M-211.80M-171.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets245.30M240.00M278.50M336.20M447.50M320.70M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments70.40M77.40M84.00M154.50M247.60M95.30M
Total Debt386.00M380.80M356.60M315.20M312.80M414.20M
Total Liabilities452.40M422.50M400.80M371.50M376.40M847.40M
Stockholders Equity-207.10M-182.50M-122.30M-35.30M71.10M-526.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-43.60M-40.70M-98.20M-118.70M-83.40M-121.50M
Operating Cash Flow16.60M12.90M-15.70M-47.70M-42.30M-42.80M
Investing Cash Flow-28.80M-20.10M-54.60M-44.30M-22.50M-58.40M
Financing Cash Flow-400.00K-300.00K700.00K-4.00M215.20M168.50M

Rent the Runway Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.38
Price Trends
50DMA
5.07
Positive
100DMA
5.17
Positive
200DMA
6.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.32
Negative
RSI
69.49
Neutral
STOCH
92.14
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RENT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.38 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.26, above the 50-day MA of 5.07, and above the 200-day MA of 6.26, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.14 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RENT.

Rent the Runway Risk Analysis

Rent the Runway disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rent the Runway reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rent the Runway Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$365.54M1,677.270.19%1.64%
61
Neutral
$17.92B12.81-0.76%2.98%1.30%-14.28%
55
Neutral
$737.25M-27.37%-8.48%55.77%
54
Neutral
$57.90M-43.51%-11.10%-10.31%
48
Neutral
$24.83M47.49%0.60%36.38%
42
Neutral
$187.03M52.88
-5.76%-75.71%
42
Neutral
$11.02M-187.85%-10.68%-74.47%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RENT
Rent the Runway
6.38
-3.51
-35.49%
TLYS
Tilly's
1.99
-2.98
-59.96%
ZUMZ
Zumiez
21.24
-1.86
-8.05%
SFIX
Stitch Fix
5.70
2.11
58.77%
CURV
Torrid Holdings
1.65
-5.03
-75.30%
LVLU
Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings
4.11
-15.99
-79.55%

Rent the Runway Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Rent the Runway Announces Recapitalization Agreement
Positive
Aug 21, 2025

On August 20, 2025, Rent the Runway entered into a recapitalization agreement aimed at enhancing its financial position by reducing debt, lowering interest expenses, and extending debt maturity. The transaction involves converting a significant portion of existing debt into common equity and receiving new capital contributions from partners APS, STORY3, and Nexus, which are expected to support the company’s growth initiatives. The recapitalization is anticipated to close by December 31, 2025, subject to stockholder approval, and aims to provide Rent the Runway with the financial flexibility needed to capitalize on the expanding rental market in the U.S.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Rent the Runway Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jul 11, 2025

On July 8, 2025, Rent the Runway, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where 74.68% of the company’s voting power was represented. During the meeting, Tim Bixby, Jennifer Fleiss, and Daniel Rosensweig were elected as Class I Directors, and PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending January 31, 2026.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2025