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Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings (LVLU)
NASDAQ:LVLU
US Market

Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings (LVLU) AI Stock Analysis

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LVLU

Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings

(NASDAQ:LVLU)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$17.50
▲(177.78% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/06/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (declining revenue, losses, high leverage, and cash flow challenges). This is partially offset by strong technical momentum and an earnings call that emphasized meaningful margin and cost improvements with expectations for continued adjusted EBITDA improvement, though top-line and customer trends remain a key risk.
Positive Factors
Gross margin expansion
A 450bp expansion to a 42.6% gross margin reflects a shift to higher‑margin product mix and fewer markdowns. Sustained gross margin improvement materially supports long‑term profitability, enabling reinvestment and cushioning revenue swings without relying solely on cost cuts.
Positive adjusted EBITDA
Turning adjusted EBITDA positive shows operating leverage and the effectiveness of cost reductions (OpEx down 11%, fixed costs down 18%). A structurally leaner cost base improves break‑even economics and increases resilience while management scales profitable growth initiatives.
Wholesale channel growth
Rapid wholesale expansion diversifies revenue beyond direct‑to‑consumer, opening scale opportunities and reducing reliance on online order volumes. Securing multiple retail partners can stabilize demand, improve inventory turns, and support higher margin avenues over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue and orders
Sustained top‑line declines and falling order counts signal weakening customer acquisition or retention, impairing scale economics. Over time this pressures unit economics, necessitates higher marketing spend to restore active customers, and can undercut margin gains if volume doesn't recover.
High financial leverage
Very high leverage constrains strategic flexibility, increases interest and refinancing risk, and limits capacity to invest in inventory, marketing, or product development. In a weaker revenue environment, leverage elevates solvency risk and reduces ability to absorb shocks.
Negative free cash flow trend
Material negative FCF and deteriorating FCF growth limit the company’s ability to self‑fund operations, capex, or strategic initiatives. Continued cash burn increases reliance on external financing, which is costly given leverage, and can force suboptimal decisions on inventory and marketing.

Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings (LVLU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc. operates as an online retailer of women's clothing, shoes, and accessories. The company offers dresses, tops, bottoms, bridal wear, intimates, swimwear, footwear, and accessories under the Lulus brand. It sells its products through owned media, which primarily consists of its website, mobile app, social media platforms, email, and SMS; and earned and paid media, as well as social media platforms. The company primarily serves Millennial and Gen Z women. Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Chico, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyLulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of its fashion products via its e-commerce platform. The company's revenue model is driven by direct-to-consumer sales, allowing it to maintain higher profit margins by selling products without intermediaries. Key revenue streams include the sale of women’s clothing, footwear, and accessories, as well as seasonal promotions and special collections. Additionally, Lulu's may engage in partnerships with influencers and fashion bloggers to enhance brand visibility and drive traffic to its online store, contributing to sales growth. The company also benefits from repeat customers and loyalty programs that encourage customer retention and increase lifetime value.

Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant improvements in operational efficiency, gross margins, and strategic initiatives in special occasion categories and wholesale growth. However, challenges remain with a decline in net revenue, casual wear and footwear performance, and active customer counts. The company is actively addressing these issues with strategic realignment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Adjusted EBITDA
The company sustained positive adjusted EBITDA in the third quarter, consistent with expectations, supported by a leaner cost structure and improved product margins.
Gross Margin Improvement
Gross margins expanded by 450 basis points to 42.6% over the prior year period, indicating significant improvement due to higher margin product categories and fewer markdown sales.
Special Occasion Categories Outperformance
Special occasion and bridesmaids categories continued to outperform, driving year-over-year net sales growth on top of a double-digit comparison in the prior year.
Wholesale Growth
The company achieved triple-digit 7-figure year-over-year growth in wholesale revenue, with an expansion to six major retailers in Q3.
Operational Efficiency and Cost Reduction
OpEx declined 11% year over year, with fixed costs down 18%, enabling another quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA performance.
Increased Average Order Value
Despite a 14% decrease in total orders, the average order value increased by 8%, supporting strong comp performance.
Successful Reorder Strategies
First-time reorders of new products saw sequential and year-over-year growth, with total reorder business showing success across event dress businesses.
Negative Updates
Net Revenue Decline
Net revenue decreased by 9% year over year, driven by a 14% decrease in total orders placed.
Challenges in Casual Wear and Footwear
Continued weaker performance in casual wear and footwear assortments, which the company is actively realigning.
Active Customer Count Decline
Despite brand engagement initiatives, there was a decline in active customer counts year over year.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow during Q3 was negative $2.4 million, although it reflected a $3.9 million improvement year over year.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc. reported a net revenue of approximately $73.6 million, reflecting a 9% decrease year over year. However, the company achieved a positive adjusted EBITDA of $0.4 million, a significant improvement from a $3.6 million loss in the same period last year, resulting in an adjusted EBITDA margin of 0.5%. The gross margin expanded by 450 basis points to 42.6%, supported by an 8% increase in average order value. Operational efficiencies led to an 11% reduction in operating expenses, with fixed costs down 18%. The company also strengthened its liquidity position through a new credit agreement with White Oak Commercial Finance, maintaining a net debt of $7.3 million. Looking forward, Lulu's anticipates continued year-over-year improvements in adjusted EBITDA, with full-year capital expenditures projected at approximately $2.5 million.

Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials remain pressured: declining TTM revenue (-2.37%), negative profitability (net and EBIT margins), high leverage (debt-to-equity 5.93), and weak free cash flow trend (FCF growth -224.60%). While there are some cash generation offsets versus net losses (positive FCF to net income ratio), overall balance sheet risk and profitability challenges keep the score low.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings has faced declining revenue over recent periods, with a negative revenue growth rate of -2.37% in the TTM. The company is struggling with profitability, as indicated by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin has decreased slightly over time, reflecting challenges in maintaining cost efficiency.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet shows high leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.93 in the TTM, indicating significant financial risk. The return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses. The equity ratio is low, suggesting limited equity financing and potential solvency concerns.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals a negative free cash flow growth rate of -224.60% in the TTM, indicating cash flow challenges. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to generate cash relative to net losses. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting inefficiencies in converting income to cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Mar 2022Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue285.41M315.89M355.18M439.65M375.63M248.66M
Gross Profit119.20M130.25M148.23M191.45M176.73M110.29M
EBITDA-40.94M-46.20M-14.46M16.27M23.93M-1.32M
Net Income-45.08M-55.29M-19.33M3.73M2.04M-19.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets103.34M108.20M149.44M167.20M113.78M105.08M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.94M4.46M2.51M10.22M11.40M15.55M
Total Debt18.14M39.35M39.08M58.50M25.00M115.56M
Total Liabilities100.82M94.83M88.49M102.31M69.25M140.63M
Stockholders Equity2.52M13.37M60.95M64.89M44.52M-35.55M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.47M-273.00K13.54M1.19M23.93M3.72M
Operating Cash Flow2.62M2.60M15.42M6.20M26.90M4.42M
Investing Cash Flow-2.09M-2.87M-4.00M-5.12M-3.39M-1.91M
Financing Cash Flow-4.89M2.23M-19.13M-2.77M-27.65M7.19M

Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.30
Price Trends
50DMA
12.55
Positive
100DMA
8.82
Positive
200DMA
6.87
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.36
Positive
RSI
51.53
Neutral
STOCH
50.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LVLU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.13, below the 50-day MA of 12.55, and below the 200-day MA of 6.87, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.36 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LVLU.

Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Risk Analysis

Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings disclosed 72 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$425.60M54.262.79%2.81%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
55
Neutral
$43.63M-0.96-195.23%-12.10%-44.14%
49
Neutral
$429.44M-15.13-14.67%-0.08%73.05%
48
Neutral
$42.05M-1.25-34.77%-8.31%36.10%
45
Neutral
$214.70M-5.192.91%94.12%
45
Neutral
$22.34M-0.27-93.02%-21.98%35.39%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LVLU
Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings
15.57
4.75
43.90%
TLYS
Tilly's
1.42
-2.21
-60.88%
ZUMZ
Zumiez
26.24
12.17
86.50%
SFIX
Stitch Fix
3.34
-1.28
-27.71%
RENT
Rent the Runway
6.29
1.13
21.90%
BIRD
Allbirds
2.82
-3.57
-55.87%

Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Lulus Names Heidi Crane Permanent Chief Financial Officer
Positive
Feb 5, 2026

On February 3, 2026, Lulu’s Fashion Lounge Holdings appointed veteran finance executive Heidi Crane as its permanent Chief Financial Officer, effective February 4, 2026, following her tenure as fractional CFO since October 2025. The move formalizes Crane’s role as principal financial and accounting officer under a new employment agreement that runs initially through January 31, 2027, with a base salary of $425,000, performance-based bonus eligibility, and a time-vested RSU package designed to align her interests with shareholders, alongside severance protections, restrictive covenants, and potential clawbacks, underscoring Lulus’ focus on financial discipline and experienced leadership as it scales its direct-to-consumer fashion business.

The most recent analyst rating on (LVLU) stock is a Hold with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lulu’s Fashion Lounge Holdings stock, see the LVLU Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Lulu’s Fashion Lounge Extends Engagement of Fractional CFO
Neutral
Jan 22, 2026

On January 22, 2026, Lulu’s Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc. amended its consulting arrangement with Business Talent Group, LLC to extend the engagement of Heidi Crane as the company’s fractional Chief Financial Officer. Under the amendment, Crane, who remains employed by BTG, will continue providing CFO services from January 23, 2026 until the completion of Milestone 2, expected around February 23, 2026, with the option for further extension by mutual agreement, and Lulu’s will pay BTG $63,000 for her services during this period, signaling the company’s decision to maintain interim financial leadership through a fractional CFO structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (LVLU) stock is a Sell with a $19.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lulu’s Fashion Lounge Holdings stock, see the LVLU Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 06, 2026