tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Allbirds, Inc. Class A (BIRD)
:BIRD
US Market
Advertisement

Allbirds (BIRD) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
317 Followers

Top Page

BIRD

Allbirds

(NASDAQ:BIRD)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$6.00
▼(-27.62% Downside)
Allbirds' overall stock score is driven by significant financial challenges, including declining revenues and negative profitability. Technical analysis and valuation metrics further indicate bearish momentum and unattractive valuation. While the earnings call provided some positive insights into new product launches and cost management, the overall outlook remains cautious due to liquidity concerns and macroeconomic challenges.
Positive Factors
Sustainability Focus
Allbirds' commitment to sustainability and eco-friendly products aligns with growing consumer demand for environmentally responsible brands, potentially enhancing long-term brand loyalty and market differentiation.
New Product Launches
Successful new product launches, such as the Wool Cruiser, demonstrate Allbirds' ability to innovate and expand its product line, which can drive future revenue growth and strengthen its market position.
Cost Management
Effective cost management, including significant reductions in SG&A expenses, improves operational efficiency and can help stabilize financial performance amid challenging market conditions.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenues
Significant revenue decline indicates challenges in market demand or competitive positioning, which could hinder long-term growth and profitability if not addressed.
Liquidity Concerns
Limited cash reserves and the need to explore liquidity options suggest financial strain, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities or weather economic downturns.
Rising Leverage
Increased leverage can constrain financial flexibility and increase risk, especially if revenue and cash flow do not improve to support debt obligations.

Allbirds (BIRD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Allbirds Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAllbirds, Inc. is an American footwear and apparel company known for its commitment to sustainability and comfort. Founded in 2016, Allbirds specializes in eco-friendly shoes made from natural materials such as merino wool and eucalyptus tree fibers. The company operates primarily in the retail sector, offering a range of products that include footwear, activewear, and accessories aimed at environmentally conscious consumers.
How the Company Makes MoneyAllbirds generates revenue through direct-to-consumer sales via its e-commerce platform and physical retail stores. The company offers a diverse range of products, including shoes, apparel, and socks, which cater to a growing market of consumers seeking sustainable and comfortable footwear options. Key revenue streams include online sales, which account for a significant portion of its income, as well as revenues from its brick-and-mortar locations. Additionally, Allbirds has engaged in strategic partnerships and collaborations with other brands and organizations that share its sustainability ethos, enhancing its brand visibility and market reach. The company also focuses on brand loyalty and customer retention through initiatives like its membership program and sustainable practices, which further contribute to its earnings.

Allbirds Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Allbirds is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsAllbirds' revenue in both the U.S. and international markets has faced significant declines, particularly in 2024, reflecting challenges in sustaining growth. However, the earnings call highlights optimism for a rebound, driven by successful product launches and strategic marketing initiatives. Despite pressures from tariffs and macroeconomic uncertainties, management anticipates a return to top-line growth by Q4 2025, supported by new offerings and improved brand engagement. Investors should watch for execution on these initiatives as they could signal a turnaround in revenue trends.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Allbirds Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted successful new product launches and effective cost and inventory management. However, it also noted challenges in core franchises, revenue at the lower end of guidance, margin declines, and concerns about liquidity.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful New Product Launches
The Wool Cruiser and the 100% waterproof collection were launched and exceeded expectations. The Wool Cruiser, available in 19 colors, has become a key franchise with vibrant colors selling out first.
Cost Management and SG&A Reduction
SG&A expenses were reduced by 30% year-over-year, reflecting lower personnel expenses and other cost reductions.
Inventory Management
Inventories decreased by 25% year-over-year, indicating strong inventory management and preparedness for new product launches.
Positive Response to New Marketing Strategy
A shift to mid- and lower funnel marketing, including increased influencer activation and strategic celebrity seeding, has contributed to cultural relevance and expanded reach.
Negative Updates
Decline in Core Franchises
Some foundational franchises, particularly the original runner, have been slower to rebuild and have not yet inflected positively.
Revenue at Low End of Guidance
Third quarter net revenue totaled $33 million, at the low end of the guidance range, affected by macroeconomic challenges and distractions for consumers.
Margin Decline
Gross margin in Q3 declined to 43.2% from 44.4% in Q3 2024, due to a higher mix of digital and international distributor sales and increased duties in the U.S.
Liquidity and Financing Concerns
The company ended the quarter with $24 million in cash and is exploring options to improve liquidity, including potential capital raising.
Company Guidance
During the Allbirds' Third Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company provided guidance reflecting expectations for the fourth quarter and beyond. Allbirds anticipates fourth-quarter net revenue to range from $56 million to $61 million, representing flat to up 9% growth compared to the previous year. Full-year net revenue is projected to be between $161 million and $166 million, adjusted from an earlier range of $165 million to $180 million, factoring in $23 million to $25 million from international distributor transitions and retail store closures. The company expects a fourth-quarter adjusted EBITDA loss between $16 million and $10 million, improving from a $19 million loss a year ago. For the full year, adjusted EBITDA is forecasted to be between negative $63 million and $57 million. Allbirds is focused on maintaining a lean inventory, which stood at $43 million, down 25% year-over-year, and is exploring options to enhance liquidity, such as potential capital raising. These strategies underpin Allbirds' efforts to improve top-line trends, drive growth, and maximize shareholder value amid a competitive holiday shopping period and challenging macroeconomic environment.

Allbirds Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Allbirds faces significant financial challenges, including declining revenues, negative profitability, and cash flow issues. The increasing leverage and negative return on equity further highlight financial instability. Despite a slight improvement in free cash flow growth, the overall financial health remains concerning.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Allbirds has experienced declining revenues with a negative revenue growth rate of -5.86% in the TTM period. The company also shows negative profitability metrics, with a net profit margin of -51.90% and an EBIT margin of -38.73%, indicating significant operational challenges. The gross profit margin of 38.77% is relatively stable but has decreased from previous years, reflecting pressure on cost management.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.83, which has increased over time, indicating rising leverage. The return on equity is negative at -108.35%, highlighting ongoing losses. The equity ratio stands at 43.30%, suggesting a reasonable level of equity financing relative to total assets, but the declining trend in equity is concerning.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Allbirds' cash flow situation is challenging, with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow. The free cash flow growth rate improved slightly by 6.90% in the TTM period, but the operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.05 suggests some alignment between cash flow and reported earnings, but overall cash flow health remains weak.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue160.64M189.76M254.06M297.77M277.47M219.30M
Gross Profit62.27M81.06M104.23M129.63M146.66M112.74M
EBITDA-77.23M-81.56M-97.85M-81.54M-34.36M-22.59M
Net Income-83.38M-93.32M-152.46M-101.35M-45.37M-25.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets119.91M188.88M312.70M462.36M488.43M244.04M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments23.70M66.73M130.03M167.14M288.58M126.55M
Total Debt43.25M53.67M93.95M105.85M0.00204.05M
Total Liabilities67.98M87.19M127.38M145.59M91.42M269.55M
Stockholders Equity51.93M101.69M185.33M316.77M397.00M-25.51M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-65.94M-67.95M-41.09M-121.95M-75.03M-48.93M
Operating Cash Flow-62.65M-63.86M-30.22M-90.58M-50.85M-34.58M
Investing Cash Flow-848.00K2.12M-7.71M-32.29M-25.64M-16.28M
Financing Cash Flow9.37M287.00K640.00K3.58M238.15M102.19M

Allbirds Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8.29
Price Trends
50DMA
6.55
Negative
100DMA
8.01
Negative
200DMA
7.23
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.31
Positive
RSI
39.90
Neutral
STOCH
36.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BIRD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.20, above the 50-day MA of 6.55, and above the 200-day MA of 7.23, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BIRD.

Allbirds Risk Analysis

Allbirds disclosed 77 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Allbirds reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Allbirds Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$11.43B74.989.66%39.16%-14.16%
64
Neutral
$372.40M0.19%1.64%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
55
Neutral
$564.61M-14.79%-5.26%79.25%
47
Neutral
$101.27M-24.97%-6.13%-215.18%
44
Neutral
$67.53M-78.23%-21.98%35.39%
41
Neutral
$42.97M-43.51%-11.10%-10.31%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BIRD
Allbirds
6.00
-1.99
-24.91%
TLYS
Tilly's
1.41
-2.78
-66.35%
ZUMZ
Zumiez
21.71
-0.58
-2.60%
DLTH
Duluth Holdings
2.76
-0.96
-25.81%
SFIX
Stitch Fix
4.21
0.25
6.31%
ONON
On Holding AG
35.00
-17.71
-33.60%

Allbirds Corporate Events

Allbirds, Inc. Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 7, 2025

Allbirds, Inc. is a global lifestyle brand known for its commitment to sustainability, using innovative materials like Merino wool and sugarcane to produce footwear and apparel. In its third quarter of 2025, Allbirds reported financial results that aligned with its guidance, despite a 23.3% decrease in net revenue compared to the previous year. The company highlighted a strong response to new product introductions and maintained its focus on comfort, style, and sustainability.

Executive/Board Changes
Allbirds Appoints Lily Yan Hughes to Board
Positive
Oct 31, 2025

On October 31, 2025, Allbirds, Inc. announced the appointment of Lily Yan Hughes as an independent director to its Board of Directors. Ms. Hughes, a former global S&P 500 and Fortune 100 executive, brings extensive expertise in technology, distribution, real estate, capital markets, and governance. Her leadership is expected to support Allbirds in advancing its brand, driving growth, and building long-term shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (BIRD) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allbirds stock, see the BIRD Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Allbirds Faces Board Compliance Issue After Resignation
Neutral
Sep 8, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Ann Freeman announced her resignation from Allbirds‘ Board of Directors, effective September 8, 2025, to become President of Foot Locker, North America. Her departure did not stem from any disagreements with Allbirds. Consequently, Allbirds informed Nasdaq that Freeman’s resignation led to non-compliance with the Nasdaq Listing Rule requiring a majority of independent directors on the board. The company has a cure period to rectify this before the next annual meeting or within a year.

The most recent analyst rating on (BIRD) stock is a Hold with a $6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allbirds stock, see the BIRD Stock Forecast page.

Allbirds, Inc. Navigates Earnings Call with Cautious Optimism
Aug 13, 2025

The recent earnings call from Allbirds, Inc. Class A painted a picture of strong financial discipline and effective inventory management, balanced by concerns over declining gross margins, store closures, and a conservative revenue outlook. The company showcased its innovative product launches and marketing strategies, which were well-received, yet macroeconomic factors and operational challenges posed significant hurdles.

Allbirds, Inc. Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Aug 8, 2025

Allbirds, Inc. is a global lifestyle brand known for its innovative use of sustainable materials to create modern footwear and apparel, with a focus on comfort and environmental responsibility.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025