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On Holding AG (ONON)
NYSE:ONON

On Holding AG (ONON) AI Stock Analysis

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ONON

On Holding AG

(NYSE:ONON)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$51.00
▲(0.73% Upside)
On Holding AG's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary drivers of the stock score. Technical indicators support a bullish outlook, although high valuation metrics and cash flow challenges present some risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates expanding market reach and successful product adoption, enhancing long-term business prospects.
Market Expansion
Significant growth in Asia Pacific highlights successful regional expansion, positioning the company for sustained global market presence.
Product Innovation
Strong growth in apparel sales reflects successful product innovation and diversification, strengthening the company's competitive edge.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Cash flow challenges may limit the company's ability to reinvest in growth opportunities, impacting long-term financial flexibility.
Profit Margin Pressure
Declining profit margins suggest potential operational inefficiencies, which could affect long-term profitability and competitiveness.
Tariff and FX Risks
Tariff and currency exchange headwinds pose risks to profitability, potentially affecting the company's cost structure and pricing strategy.

On Holding AG (ONON) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

On Holding AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOn Holding AG develops and distributes sports products worldwide. It offers athletic footwear, apparel, and accessories. The company offers its products through independent retailers and distributors, online, and stores. On Holding AG was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland.
How the Company Makes MoneyOn Holding AG generates revenue primarily through the sale of its footwear and apparel products. The company's business model includes direct-to-consumer sales through its own branded retail stores and e-commerce platforms, as well as wholesale distribution to sporting goods retailers and specialty stores. Key revenue streams include the sale of running shoes, training shoes, and related apparel, which cater to both amateur and professional athletes. Significant partnerships with professional sports teams and athletes serve to enhance brand visibility and credibility, contributing to increased sales. Additionally, On's commitment to sustainability and innovation helps attract environmentally conscious consumers, further bolstering its revenue potential.

On Holding AG Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where On Holding AG is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsOn Holding AG is experiencing robust growth across all regions, with the APAC region leading the charge, showing a remarkable 110.9% increase in sales. The Americas and EMEA also show strong upward trends, supported by strategic investments and premium positioning. The latest earnings call highlights the company's resilience and strategic clarity, despite challenges like forex losses and increased tariffs. The upward revision of sales guidance to CHF 2.91 billion underscores management's confidence in sustained growth, driven by technological innovation and expanding retail presence.
Data provided by:The Fly

On Holding AG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive sentiment driven by strong revenue growth, record profitability, and significant expansion in the Asia Pacific and apparel segments. The company raised its full-year outlook, showing confidence in its premium strategy. However, challenges such as tariffs and currency exchange headwinds remain concerns.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Net sales in Q3 2025 approached CHF 800 million, growing 24.9% year-over-year on a reported basis and by 34.5% at constant exchange rates.
Record Profitability
Gross profit margin reached 65.7%, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 22.6%, and nearly 50% year-over-year adjusted EBITDA growth.
Asia Pacific Growth
Asia Pacific delivered net sales of CHF 144.9 million, up 94.2% year-over-year on a reported basis and 109.2% at constant currency.
Apparel Segment Expansion
Apparel net sales reached CHF 50.1 million, an increase of 86.9% year-over-year on a reported basis and 100.2% at constant currency.
Raised 2025 Outlook
The company raised its constant currency net sales growth guidance to 34% year-over-year, with an expectation of CHF 2.98 billion in reported net sales.
Negative Updates
Challenges from Tariffs
The company anticipates the full impact of additional U.S. tariffs in future quarters, which could affect profitability.
Currency Exchange Headwinds
The current FX environment negatively impacted SG&A and adjusted EBITDA margin.
Conservative Q4 Growth Outlook
Despite strong Q3 performance, the guidance for Q4 implies a mid-20s growth rate, suggesting a conservative outlook given potential market uncertainties.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, On reported significant success with net sales reaching CHF 794.4 million, marking a 24.9% increase year-over-year on a reported basis and 34.5% at constant exchange rates. The company's focus on a premium strategy resulted in a strong gross profit margin of 65.7% and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 22.6%, representing nearly 50% year-over-year adjusted EBITDA growth. The direct-to-consumer (DTC) channel contributed substantially with net sales of CHF 314.7 million, growing 27.6% year-over-year on a reported basis and 37.5% at constant currency. In terms of regional performance, Asia Pacific demonstrated remarkable growth with net sales of CHF 144.9 million, up 94.2% year-over-year on a reported basis and 109.2% at constant currency, establishing itself as a key growth engine. The company's apparel category also showed impressive progress, with net sales increasing by 86.9% year-over-year on a reported basis, reaching CHF 50.1 million. Overall, the strong performance across various metrics has led On to raise its 2025 guidance, projecting a 34% year-over-year growth in constant currency net sales.

On Holding AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
On Holding AG shows strong revenue growth and a solid gross profit margin, indicating effective cost management. However, declining net profit margins and cash flow challenges suggest areas for improvement. The balance sheet is stable with prudent leverage.
Income Statement
On Holding AG has demonstrated strong revenue growth over the years, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 5.84%. The company maintains a solid gross profit margin of 62.40% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 7.80% TTM from 10.45% in the previous year, suggesting some pressure on profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, reflecting potential challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The company's balance sheet is stable with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.33 TTM, indicating a conservative approach to leverage. The return on equity has slightly decreased to 15.50% TTM from 17.41% in the previous year, which may reflect the impact of reduced net income. The equity ratio remains strong, showcasing a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
On Holding AG's cash flow performance shows some concerns, with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -66.10% TTM, indicating potential cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.55 TTM, suggesting moderate cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.83 TTM indicates that a significant portion of net income is being converted into free cash flow, albeit at a reduced level compared to previous periods.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.88B2.32B1.79B1.22B724.60M425.30M
Gross Profit1.80B1.41B1.07B684.90M430.30M231.10M
EBITDA398.30M400.00M206.30M128.60M-125.80M-12.00M
Net Income224.30M242.30M79.60M57.70M-170.20M-27.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.75B2.38B1.59B1.38B1.24B382.57M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.02B968.00M512.40M397.30M676.80M100.51M
Total Debt503.90M347.60M229.00M160.40M180.80M23.73M
Total Liabilities1.21B984.90M518.50M412.90M388.10M137.48M
Stockholders Equity1.54B1.39B1.07B969.50M848.40M245.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow345.40M445.60M184.90M-310.00M-19.30M-33.30M
Operating Cash Flow415.20M510.60M232.10M-227.00M16.90M-14.70M
Investing Cash Flow-69.70M-64.90M-47.10M-82.90M-36.40M-18.60M
Financing Cash Flow-73.90M-55.40M-21.80M6.30M595.90M124.80M

On Holding AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price50.63
Price Trends
50DMA
43.99
Positive
100DMA
43.83
Positive
200DMA
47.18
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.13
Negative
RSI
67.04
Neutral
STOCH
75.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ONON, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 50.63 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 48.16, above the 50-day MA of 43.99, and above the 200-day MA of 47.18, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ONON.

On Holding AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$16.72B62.6515.38%38.94%81.82%
77
Outperform
$4.70B23.1512.36%2.09%-1.15%-0.98%
76
Outperform
$10.57B12.6825.10%2.45%0.29%3.65%
75
Outperform
$24.96B14.8141.02%8.76%3.41%
72
Outperform
$5.87B28.4718.74%17.82%34.88%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ONON
On Holding AG
50.63
-4.75
-8.58%
AEO
American Eagle
27.75
12.76
85.07%
GAP
Gap Inc
28.42
6.06
27.08%
BOOT
Boot Barn
192.44
37.47
24.18%
LULU
Lululemon Athletica
212.17
-186.69
-46.81%

On Holding AG Corporate Events

On Holding AG Reports Record Q3 2025 Results and Raises Full-Year Guidance
Nov 12, 2025

On Holding AG reported record financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with net sales increasing by 24.9% year-over-year to CHF 794.4 million, driven by strong demand across all channels and regions. The company achieved significant growth in its apparel category and expanded its global retail presence, leading to a gross profit margin of 65.7%. On’s strategic execution and premium positioning have resulted in a net income margin increase to 15.0%, and the company has raised its full-year guidance, expecting continued growth and profitability.

The most recent analyst rating on (ONON) stock is a Buy with a $60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on On Holding AG stock, see the ONON Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 03, 2025