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Lululemon Athletica (LULU)
NASDAQ:LULU

Lululemon Athletica (LULU) AI Stock Analysis

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LULU

Lululemon Athletica

(NASDAQ:LULU)

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Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$210.00
▲(11.93% Upside)
Lululemon Athletica's strong financial performance and reasonable valuation are key strengths, supported by international growth prospects. However, challenges in the U.S. market and reduced revenue guidance pose risks. The stock's technical indicators suggest cautious optimism, with potential resistance ahead.
Positive Factors
International Growth
Strong international growth, particularly in China, indicates successful market expansion and diversification, reducing reliance on the U.S. market.
Leadership Consolidation
Consolidating leadership under Maestrini may streamline operations and enhance global strategy execution, supporting long-term growth.
Financial Flexibility
Improved credit terms can provide Lululemon with greater financial flexibility to invest in growth initiatives and navigate economic challenges.
Negative Factors
U.S. Revenue Decline
Declining U.S. revenue poses a risk to overall growth, highlighting potential market saturation or competitive pressures in a key region.
Impact of Tariffs
Increased tariffs can significantly impact profitability, necessitating strategic adjustments to maintain margin stability.
Inventory Levels
Rising inventory levels may lead to increased markdowns and pressure on margins, indicating potential inefficiencies in supply chain management.

Lululemon Athletica (LULU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lululemon Athletica Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Descriptionlululemon athletica inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, distributes, and retails athletic apparel and accessories for women and men. It operates in two segments, Company-Operated Stores and Direct to Consumer. The company offers pants, shorts, tops, and jackets for healthy lifestyle and athletic activities, such as yoga, running, and training, as well as other sweaty pursuits. It also provides fitness-related accessories and footwear. The company sells its products through a chain of company-operated stores; outlets and warehouse sales; interactive workout platform; a network of wholesale accounts, such as yoga studios, health clubs, and fitness centers; temporary locations; and license and supply arrangements, as well as directly to consumer through mobile apps and lululemon.com e-commerce website. As of January 30, 2022, it operated 574 company-operated stores under the lululemon brand in the United States, Canada, the People's Republic of China, Australia, the United Kingdom, Japan, New Zealand, Germany, South Korea, Singapore, France, Malaysia, Sweden, Ireland, the Netherlands, Norway, and Switzerland. lululemon athletica inc. was founded in 1998 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyLululemon generates revenue primarily through the sale of its athletic apparel and accessories. The company operates a direct-to-consumer model, which includes both brick-and-mortar stores and a robust e-commerce platform. Key revenue streams include sales from retail locations, online sales, and wholesale partnerships with select retailers. Additionally, Lululemon has introduced a range of experiential offerings, such as fitness classes and events, which help to strengthen customer loyalty and engagement. The company also invests in collaborations and partnerships with fitness influencers and studios, which can enhance brand visibility and drive sales.

Lululemon Athletica Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Channel
Revenue by Channel
Revenue distribution across various sales and distribution channels
Chart InsightsLululemon's revenue from company-operated stores shows a seasonal pattern, peaking in Q4, while e-commerce maintains steady growth. Despite these trends, the latest earnings call reveals challenges in the U.S. market, with expected revenue decline and reduced growth guidance due to tariffs and inventory pressures. However, international expansion, particularly in China, offers a counterbalance with strong growth. The company is focusing on product innovation and strategic pricing to navigate these headwinds, aiming for a refreshed product portfolio by 2026.
Data provided by:The Fly

Lululemon Athletica Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 11, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Mar 31, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed performance with strong growth in international markets and digital channels, but challenges in the U.S. market, increased costs, and a decrease in gross margin. The company is focusing on product innovation and efficiency to drive future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
International Revenue Growth
International revenue increased 33%, with China Mainland growing 46% and Rest of World up 19% in constant currency.
Digital Channel Performance
Digital revenue increased 13% and contributed $1.1 billion, or 42% of total revenue.
Strong Cash Position
lululemon has a balance sheet with $1 billion in cash and no debt.
Product Innovation and Newness
New styles like Milemaker, Shake It Out, Tumbled Fleece, and Scuba Waffle show successful product innovation.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline in Americas
Americas revenue decreased 2%, with the U.S. down 3% and Canada flat.
Gross Margin Decrease
Gross margin decreased by 290 basis points due to tariff impacts and higher markdowns.
Increased SG&A Expenses
SG&A expenses were 38.5% of net revenue compared to 38% last year, showing deleverage.
Outlook for Q4 Revenue Decline
Q4 revenue is expected to decline by 1% to 3% compared to the last year.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter 2025 financial results conference call, lululemon Athletica Inc. provided updated guidance for the fourth quarter and full year. The company anticipates total net revenue for fiscal year 2025 to range between $10.96 billion and $11.05 billion, reflecting a 4% increase from the previous year. The U.S. market is expected to remain within a guidance range of negative 1% to 2%, while China Mainland is projected to achieve growth at or above the high end of 20% to 25%. For the fourth quarter, revenue is forecasted to be between $3.5 billion and $3.59 billion, which accounts for a growth of 2% to 4% when including the 53rd week from the previous year. The company aims to open approximately 46 net new stores in 2025, with a focus on international markets, particularly China. Gross margin for the full year is projected to decrease by approximately 270 basis points, driven by increased tariffs and markdowns. Earnings per share for fiscal year 2025 are expected to be between $12.92 and $13.02. The company also plans to manage inventory units below sales to mitigate markdown risks and is making strategic adjustments to its product pipeline and store experiences to drive growth.

Lululemon Athletica Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lululemon Athletica shows strong financial performance with high profitability margins and efficient operations. The balance sheet is stable with prudent leverage and high returns on equity. However, the decline in free cash flow growth is a concern that needs monitoring.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Lululemon Athletica demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and solid profitability margins. The TTM data shows a Gross Profit Margin of 59.10% and a Net Profit Margin of 16.38%, indicating efficient cost management and profitability. The Revenue Growth Rate of 1.43% in the TTM suggests steady growth, although slightly slower compared to previous periods. Overall, the company maintains robust EBIT and EBITDA margins, reflecting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a manageable Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.40 in the TTM, indicating prudent leverage. The Return on Equity (ROE) is impressive at 42.05%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds to generate profits. The Equity Ratio stands at 58.29%, suggesting a strong equity base relative to total assets, which enhances financial stability.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a mixed picture. While the Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is healthy at 1.23, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income, the Free Cash Flow Growth Rate shows a decline of 11.20% in the TTM. This suggests potential challenges in maintaining free cash flow levels, although the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio remains solid at 0.61, indicating reasonable cash flow coverage of earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.90B10.59B9.62B8.11B6.26B4.40B
Gross Profit6.44B6.27B5.61B4.49B3.61B2.46B
EBITDA2.99B2.95B2.59B2.02B1.60B1.04B
Net Income1.79B1.81B1.55B854.80M975.32M588.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.52B7.60B7.09B5.61B4.94B4.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.16B1.98B2.24B1.15B1.26B1.15B
Total Debt1.76B1.58B1.40B1.07B881.05M798.68M
Total Liabilities3.14B3.28B2.86B2.46B2.20B1.63B
Stockholders Equity4.39B4.32B4.23B3.15B2.74B2.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.17B1.58B1.64B327.81M994.61M574.11M
Operating Cash Flow1.91B2.27B2.30B966.46M1.39B803.34M
Investing Cash Flow-851.51M-798.17M-654.13M-569.94M-427.89M-695.53M
Financing Cash Flow-1.48B-1.65B-548.83M-467.49M-844.99M-80.79M

Lululemon Athletica Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price187.62
Price Trends
50DMA
173.62
Positive
100DMA
182.16
Positive
200DMA
232.79
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
4.01
Negative
RSI
62.43
Neutral
STOCH
52.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LULU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 187.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 176.26, above the 50-day MA of 173.62, and below the 200-day MA of 232.79, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 4.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LULU.

Lululemon Athletica Risk Analysis

Lululemon Athletica disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lululemon Athletica reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lululemon Athletica Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$57.95B27.8637.43%0.89%3.71%0.65%
80
Outperform
$22.64B12.4842.42%9.16%12.74%
79
Outperform
$15.35B58.5415.38%38.94%81.82%
78
Outperform
$6.90B14.9319.34%11.09%51.51%
77
Outperform
$4.05B20.6112.36%2.09%-1.15%-0.98%
76
Outperform
$9.49B11.4325.10%2.42%0.29%3.65%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LULU
Lululemon Athletica
187.62
-201.71
-51.81%
AEO
American Eagle
24.16
7.49
44.93%
GAP
Gap Inc
26.69
3.25
13.87%
ROST
Ross Stores
181.82
29.63
19.47%
URBN
Urban Outfitters
79.03
27.26
52.66%
ONON
On Holding AG
48.72
-8.88
-15.42%

Lululemon Athletica Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Lululemon Appoints André Maestrini as New President
Neutral
Nov 21, 2025

On November 17, 2025, Celeste Burgoyne announced her resignation as President, Americas and Global Guest Innovation at Lululemon, effective December 31, 2025, to pursue opportunities outside the industry. In response, Lululemon appointed André Maestrini as President and Chief Commercial Officer on November 21, 2025. Maestrini, who joined Lululemon in 2021 and significantly expanded its international revenues, will now oversee all regions, stores, and digital channels globally, focusing on market expansion and revenue generation.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Lululemon Updates Credit Agreement for Financial Flexibility
Positive
Oct 21, 2025

On October 15, 2025, Lululemon Athletica announced entering into the Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement. This development is expected to impact the company’s financial strategy and operations, potentially enhancing its market position and providing greater financial flexibility.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025