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Duluth Holdings (DLTH)
NASDAQ:DLTH

Duluth Holdings (DLTH) AI Stock Analysis

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DLTH

Duluth Holdings

(NASDAQ:DLTH)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▲(62.04% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/20/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (declining revenue, ongoing losses, and elevated leverage) despite a meaningful TTM free-cash-flow rebound. Technicals are constructive with price above major moving averages, but the stock looks overbought (high RSI). Valuation is constrained by negative earnings, while the recent corporate update is a positive offset due to improved margins, profitability in Q4, and stronger free cash flow.
Positive Factors
Margin expansion & Q4 profit
A swing to Q4 net income and a 53% gross margin indicate meaningful improvement in pricing, product mix and markdown discipline. Sustained higher product-level margins provide structural room to cover fixed costs and drive durable profitability if management maintains assortment and promotion discipline.
Negative Factors
Revenue weakness
Declining top-line sales reflect weakening demand or market share pressure in apparel retail. Sustained revenue declines strain operating leverage, making it harder to convert product-level margins into consistent net profits and prolonging the turnaround timeline if comps remain negative.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Margin expansion & Q4 profit
A swing to Q4 net income and a 53% gross margin indicate meaningful improvement in pricing, product mix and markdown discipline. Sustained higher product-level margins provide structural room to cover fixed costs and drive durable profitability if management maintains assortment and promotion discipline.
Read all positive factors

Duluth Holdings (DLTH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Duluth Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Duluth Holdings Inc. sells casual wear, workwear, and accessories for men and women under the Duluth Trading brand in the United States. It provides shirts, pants, underwear, outerwear, footwear, accessories, and hard goods. The company offers its...
How the Company Makes Money
Duluth Holdings makes money primarily by selling branded apparel and accessories directly to consumers through an omnichannel retail model. Its key revenue stream is net sales from product purchases made via (1) its e-commerce websites, (2) its di...

Duluth Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue By Sales Channel
Revenue By Sales Channel
Shows how much revenue comes from different sales channels like online, retail stores, or wholesale, highlighting the company's strategic focus and adaptability to consumer shopping preferences.
Chart InsightsDuluth Holdings' Direct-To-Consumer channel shows a pattern of strong seasonal spikes, particularly in the first quarter, but has faced a decline in recent quarters. Meanwhile, the Stores channel has experienced a consistent downward trend since 2021, reflecting possible shifts in consumer behavior or strategic focus. The absence of earnings call commentary leaves uncertainty about management's plans to address these trends, but the data suggests a need for strategic adjustments to stabilize and grow revenue across both channels.
Data provided by:The Fly

Duluth Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 19, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed meaningful progress across operations, commercial traction and strategic validation—record backlog, revenue growth, major certifications, defense clearance, partnerships and improved cost discipline. However, material challenges remain: revenue missed expectations, gross margin pressure from demonstration work, sizable absolute losses and ongoing cash burn with conversion timing risk for backlog. On balance, the highlights (record backlog, cost reductions, improved liquidity, strategic certifications and defense validation) materially outweigh the lowlights, though execution risk remains in converting backlog to profitable revenue.
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Fiscal 2025 revenue of $5.9 million, a 7% increase year-over-year (from $5.5 million), achieved alongside operational improvements.
Negative Updates
Revenue and Profitability Shortfalls vs. Expectations
Management noted revenue was below expectations and the company missed its Q4 calendar '25 profitability target, driven primarily by delayed defense procurements and macroeconomic volatility.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Revenue Growth
Fiscal 2025 revenue of $5.9 million, a 7% increase year-over-year (from $5.5 million), achieved alongside operational improvements.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided that FY‑26 will focus on converting the record $12.5M funded backlog into deliveries, turning demonstrations into multiyear deals and maintaining tight expense control to drive scaling revenue and near‑term profitability; they expect improved conversion rates from a retooled sales organization and an uptick in gross margins as higher‑margin recurring services (backlog split across buoys, vehicles and services) convert. Key FY‑25 metrics cited to support the plan: revenue $5.9M (+7% vs $5.5M), operating expenses $23.4M (down ~26–27% from $32.2M), net loss $21.5M (improved 22% vs $27.5M), cash and equivalents $6.7M (vs $3.2M), net cash used in operations $18.6M (improved >38% vs $29.8M), plus a $10M unsecured debt facility secured post‑year‑end; management also pointed to ~60,000 sq ft production capacity, ISO 9001 certification and AUVSI Trusted Operator status as enablers of execution.

Duluth Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: TTM revenue is down (-4.3%) and profitability remains negative, while leverage has risen (debt-to-equity ~1.22) and ROE is negative. Offsetting this, gross margin has stayed relatively strong (~49–53%) and TTM cash flow improved sharply with positive operating cash flow (~$24M) and free cash flow (~$16.6M), though cash flow durability has been volatile across years.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownTTMJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue565.18M626.63M646.68M653.31M698.58M638.78M
Gross Profit301.61M308.51M324.97M343.44M377.32M331.53M
EBITDA16.54M-4.41M23.51M37.42M73.38M52.80M
Net Income-16.39M-43.67M-9.92M2.30M29.70M13.58M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets433.80M452.44M490.45M527.45M515.55M515.58M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.74M3.33M32.16M45.55M77.05M47.22M
Total Debt188.95M163.13M186.23M199.88M190.25M237.37M
Total Liabilities266.74M272.76M268.28M300.26M292.83M324.48M
Stockholders Equity169.99M182.68M225.23M230.41M225.87M193.46M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow16.57M-25.25M-10.41M-28.46M81.63M38.49M
Operating Cash Flow24.17M-16.92M38.67M-5.63M91.98M50.75M
Investing Cash Flow-7.38M-8.13M-48.72M-22.64M-10.15M-12.13M
Financing Cash Flow-3.78M-3.78M-3.35M-3.23M-51.36M6.36M

Duluth Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.16
Price Trends
50DMA
2.53
Positive
100DMA
2.57
Positive
200DMA
2.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.24
Negative
RSI
70.88
Negative
STOCH
79.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DLTH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.85, below the 50-day MA of 2.53, and below the 200-day MA of 2.68, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.88 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DLTH.

Duluth Holdings Risk Analysis

Duluth Holdings disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Duluth Holdings reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Duluth Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
56
Neutral
$143.23M-2.54-21.26%-8.31%36.10%
55
Neutral
$171.12M8.4023.05%2.25%-2.67%-22.93%
53
Neutral
$124.63M-5.06-9.82%-6.40%11.65%
49
Neutral
$308.80M-37.20-2.97%2.68%-5.16%-3394.48%
46
Neutral
$176.78M-16.580.97%-7.33%-114.80%
42
Neutral
$61.20M-9.84-3.88%-1.01%65.04%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DLTH
Duluth Holdings
3.39
1.47
76.56%
CATO
The Cato
3.10
0.54
21.09%
DBI
Designer Brands
6.09
3.27
115.88%
TLYS
Tilly's
4.70
2.91
162.57%
JILL
JJill
11.50
-4.69
-28.96%
CURV
Torrid Holdings
1.78
-3.39
-65.57%

Duluth Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Duluth Holdings Delivers Strong Turnaround in Q4 Results
Positive
Mar 19, 2026
On March 19, 2026, Duluth Holdings Inc. reported fiscal fourth-quarter 2025 results showing a sharp turnaround to net income of $7.8 million from a $5.6 million loss a year earlier, as gross margin expanded 890 basis points to 53.0% despite tariff...
Executive/Board Changes
Duluth Holdings Revises Executive Employment and Compensation Terms
Neutral
Mar 13, 2026
On March 9, 2026, Duluth Holdings amended the employment agreement of President and CEO Stephanie L. Pugliese so that, for fiscal 2026, she will receive a single equity grant that vests in three equal annual installments, with the overall minimum ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 20, 2026