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Duluth Holdings Inc. (DLTH)
:DLTH

Duluth Holdings (DLTH) AI Stock Analysis

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Duluth Holdings

(NASDAQ:DLTH)

Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▲(9.29%Upside)
The overall score reflects significant financial pressures facing Duluth Holdings, despite some positive strategic steps and corporate events. The most significant factor is the deteriorating financial performance, which overshadows the company's efforts to stabilize operations and improve liquidity.
Positive Factors
Inventory Management
Efforts are in motion to improve inventory productivity and sourcing efficiencies, which are expected to benefit gross margins moving forward.
Leadership
New leadership under CEO Stephanie Pugliese is focused on restoring the financial health of the business and has identified significant annualized expense savings.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Q1 sales and Adjusted EBITDA missed expectations, with revenue falling 12% year over year.
Gross Margin
Gross margin eroded due to higher clearance penetration, and SG&A delevered nearly 300 basis points off the weaker top-line.
Valuation
Valuation at sub-2 times adjusted EBITDA estimate reflects deep uncertainty over the company’s future, including negative earnings and just $3 million in cash on the balance sheet.

Duluth Holdings (DLTH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Duluth Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDuluth Holdings Inc., also known as Duluth Trading Company, is a lifestyle brand primarily serving the casual wear, workwear, and accessory markets in the United States. The company is renowned for its high-quality, solution-based apparel and gear designed for men and women who value durability and functionality. Duluth Holdings operates through a multi-channel distribution model, which includes retail stores, direct-to-consumer catalogs, and an e-commerce platform.
How the Company Makes MoneyDuluth Holdings Inc. generates revenue through the sale of its diverse range of apparel and lifestyle products. The company's primary revenue streams include direct-to-consumer sales via its online platform and catalogs, as well as sales from its network of retail stores. In addition to its core product offerings in workwear and casual wear, Duluth Holdings capitalizes on seasonal products and accessories, enhancing its revenue potential. Marketing initiatives, customer loyalty programs, and a strong brand reputation contribute to repeat business and customer acquisition. The company does not heavily rely on any significant external partnerships, instead focusing on its brand strengths and unique product lines to drive sales.

Duluth Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 05, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -18.30%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook for Duluth Holdings Inc. While there were strategic initiatives and positive steps such as cost reductions, improved lending terms, and growth in mobile sales, these were offset by significant declines in net sales, increased inventory levels, and a decline in gross profit margin. The company is taking steps to address challenges, but the current financial performance remains under pressure.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Transition to Asset-Based Lending
Duluth Holdings Inc. transitioned its line of credit to an asset-based lending agreement, extending to 2030 with a $100 million limit, improved borrowing rates, and increased flexibility.
Cost Reduction Initiative
Duluth implemented an expense savings initiative expected to result in annualized savings of approximately $15 million, with $10 million of cost benefits to be realized in the current fiscal year.
Mobile Sales Growth
Mobile sales penetration increased by 200 basis points with mobile conversion continuing to trend upwards.
Store Portfolio Optimization
Duluth is revitalizing its store portfolio, closing one low-performing store, renewing leases on stores meeting higher hurdle rates, and opening two new stores in the second half of the year.
Negative Updates
Decline in Net Sales
First quarter 2025 net sales were $102.7 million, down 12% compared to the previous year.
Reported EPS Loss
The reported EPS loss for the quarter was $0.45, with an adjusted EPS loss of $0.32.
Increased Inventory Levels
Inventory increased by $39.7 million or 29% compared to the previous year, with key drivers being core year-round products and wholesale inventory shifts.
Gross Profit Margin Decline
Gross profit margin rate declined by 80 basis points due to greater clearance penetration and deeper discounting during February's Big Dam clearance event.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, Duluth Holdings Inc. reported net sales of $102.7 million, a 12% decline compared to the previous year. The company experienced a reported EPS loss of $0.45, while the adjusted EPS loss stood at $0.32. Adjustments to EPS included a $4.5 million impact, with $4.1 million attributed to an increase in deferred tax valuation allowance and $0.4 million related to net impairment expenses. The adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was negative $3.8 million. The company reduced promotional days by 35% and adjusted the depth of promotions from 25% to 20% on average, contributing to a gross profit margin rate decline of 80 basis points, although gross margin improved by over 300 basis points in March and April compared to the previous year. Inventory levels increased by 29% year-on-year, reaching $176.1 million, with a clearance inventory mix of 9%. The company ended the quarter with $8.6 million in cash and cash equivalents and $64 million in borrowings on its credit facility. Despite the challenges, Duluth Holdings maintained its fiscal year 2025 guidance with an adjusted EBITDA range of $20 million to $25 million. Key focuses include reducing SKUs by more than 5% in fall 2025 and over 20% in spring/summer 2026, managing tariffs with targeted price increases, and revitalizing the store portfolio. The company also transitioned its credit facility to an asset-based lending agreement with a $100 million limit, improving borrowing rates and flexibility.

Duluth Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Duluth Holdings is experiencing declining revenue and negative profitability, with challenges in cash flow and increasing financial leverage. Despite a stable asset base, strategic adjustments are needed to improve financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Duluth Holdings has faced declining revenue, with a noticeable drop from $653.3M in 2023 to $626.6M in 2025. Additionally, the company is experiencing negative EBIT and net income margins, indicating profitability challenges. The gross profit margin has remained stable but is not sufficient to offset operating losses.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased as equity decreases, indicating higher financial leverage. Stockholders' equity has declined over the years, impacting the equity ratio. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a relatively stable asset base, providing a buffer against liabilities.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Operating cash flow has turned negative, with free cash flow worsening significantly over the recent period. This trend suggests liquidity pressures and challenges in sustaining operations without relying on external financing. The free cash flow to net income ratio indicates additional stress, as cash flow generation is weak relative to earnings.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
612.65M626.63M646.68M653.31M698.58M638.78M
Gross Profit
300.24M308.51M324.97M343.44M377.32M331.53M
EBIT
-38.65M-36.86M-8.83M6.23M44.10M24.21M
EBITDA
-9.47M-4.41M24.25M37.42M73.38M52.80M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-51.09M-43.67M-9.36M2.30M29.70M13.58M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
8.58M3.33M32.16M45.55M77.05M47.22M
Total Assets
463.70M452.44M490.45M527.45M515.55M515.58M
Total Debt
223.89M163.13M186.23M199.88M190.25M237.37M
Net Debt
215.31M159.80M154.07M154.34M113.19M190.15M
Total Liabilities
298.81M272.76M268.28M300.26M292.83M324.48M
Stockholders Equity
167.86M182.68M225.23M230.41M225.87M193.46M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-47.85M-25.25M-10.41M-28.46M81.63M38.49M
Operating Cash Flow
-39.71M-16.92M38.67M-5.63M91.98M50.75M
Investing Cash Flow
-7.93M-8.13M-48.72M-22.64M-10.15M-12.13M
Financing Cash Flow
49.42M-3.78M-3.35M-3.23M-51.36M6.36M

Duluth Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.83
Price Trends
50DMA
1.86
Negative
100DMA
2.23
Negative
200DMA
2.92
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
45.90
Neutral
STOCH
24.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DLTH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.83 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.94, below the 50-day MA of 1.86, and below the 200-day MA of 2.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DLTH.

Duluth Holdings Risk Analysis

Duluth Holdings disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Duluth Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Duluth Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$6.90B11.052.80%4.27%2.67%-24.92%
61
Neutral
$60.81M26.16-1.82%-10.71%-112.57%
DBDBI
54
Neutral
$117.67M-9.20%8.30%-4.22%-386.70%
54
Neutral
$95.24M-72.29%-23.63%41.36%
47
Neutral
$19.33M-179.00%-11.33%-183.48%
44
Neutral
$36.79M-47.54%-8.79%-15.17%
42
Neutral
$72.90M-27.53%-4.21%-292.04%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DLTH
Duluth Holdings
1.83
-2.02
-52.47%
DBI
Designer Brands
2.22
-4.54
-67.16%
TLYS
Tilly's
1.15
-4.16
-78.34%
DXLG
Destination XL
1.12
-2.50
-69.06%
BIRD
Allbirds
10.56
-0.10
-0.94%
LVLU
Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings
0.45
-1.35
-75.00%

Duluth Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Duluth Holdings Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results
Negative
Jun 5, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Duluth Holdings Inc. announced its financial results for the fiscal first quarter ended May 4, 2025, reporting net sales of $102.7 million and a net loss of $15.3 million. The company is undergoing a strategic shift under new leadership to simplify operations and focus on brand awareness, product innovation, and customer service. Despite a 12% decrease in net sales compared to the previous year, Duluth Trading is taking steps to streamline its expense base and optimize its operations to return to profitable growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (DLTH) stock is a Hold with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duluth Holdings stock, see the DLTH Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Duluth Holdings Elects Board and Approves Auditor
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

At the 2025 annual meeting of shareholders held on May 29, 2025, Duluth Holdings Inc. shareholders voted to elect eight board members, approve executive compensation, and ratify KPMG LLP as the independent auditor for the fiscal year ending February 1, 2026. These decisions reflect the company’s ongoing commitment to strong governance and financial oversight, potentially impacting its operational stability and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (DLTH) stock is a Hold with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duluth Holdings stock, see the DLTH Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Duluth Holdings Announces Inducement Stock Awards for CEO
Neutral
May 5, 2025

On May 5, 2025, Duluth Holdings Inc. announced the issuance of inducement stock awards to Stephanie L. Pugliese, the new President and CEO, in accordance with NASDAQ Listing Rule 5635(c)(4). The awards, totaling 1,759,532 shares of Class B common stock, were granted outside the company’s 2024 Equity Incentive Plan as a material inducement for her hiring. The stock awards include specific vesting schedules and conditions, such as immediate vesting in cases of termination due to death, disability, or without cause, and were approved by the company’s Board of Directors and Compensation Committee.

Private Placements and Financing
Duluth Holdings Secures New $100M Credit Agreement
Positive
May 1, 2025

On April 28, 2025, Duluth Holdings Inc. entered into a new Credit Agreement with BMO Bank N.A. and other financial institutions, allowing for borrowings up to $100 million under an asset-based revolving senior credit facility. This agreement, which replaces a previous facility at a lower interest rate, is secured by a first-priority perfected security interest in the company’s assets and will mature on April 28, 2030. The new facility is expected to provide Duluth Holdings with increased flexibility and liquidity, particularly for financing seasonal inventory builds.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Duluth Holdings Appoints Stephanie Pugliese as CEO
Positive
Apr 2, 2025

On March 31, 2025, Duluth Holdings Inc. announced the appointment of Stephanie L. Pugliese as President and CEO, effective May 5, 2025, succeeding Stephen L. Schlecht. Pugliese, who previously led the company from 2015 to 2019, is expected to leverage her extensive experience in branded apparel and retail to drive sustainable growth. Her return is anticipated to strengthen Duluth’s market position, building on recent investments in systems, sourcing, and distribution.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Duluth Holdings Announces Board Member Departure
Neutral
Mar 26, 2025

On March 24, 2025, Francesca M. Edwardson announced her decision not to stand for re-election to the Board of Directors of Duluth Holdings Inc. at the 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders. Having served since 2015, her departure is not due to any disagreements with the company. Her retirement marks the end of a significant tenure where her expertise in corporate governance was highly valued, and her contributions will be missed by the company.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.